| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 0.69 |
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 7.90 | 45.90 | 205.10 | 149.80 |
| Receivables | 286.20 | 278.10 | 232.50 | 417.00 |
| Inventory | 439.40 | 416.30 | 385.20 | 421.00 |
| Other | 9.60 | — | 6.70 | — |
| 794.70 | 766.00 | 857.80 | 1,022.80 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 322.00 | 320.80 | 281.50 | 372.10 |
| ST’ Debt | 333.00 | 280.90 | 325.50 | 513.70 |
| Other | 232.80 | 51.10 | 21.10 | 174.10 |
| 1,112.70 | 863.60 | 840.70 | 1,216.80 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1,029.70 | 1,445.10 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 993.90 | 1,026.60 | 1,078.00 | 1,038.60 |
4,137.10
|
| ’24 | 1,005.80 | 1,133.70 | 1,100.40 | 949.50 |
4,189.40
|
| ’23 | 1,037.30 | 1,017.80 | 1,149.40 | 976.50 |
4,181.00
|
| ’22 | 1,097.90 | 1,424.00 | 1,165.00 | 999.40 |
4,686.30
|
| ’21 | 600.30 | 807.00 | 874.90 | 865.80 |
3,148.00
|
| ’20 | 692.60 | 453.70 | 568.00 | 553.90 |
2,268.20
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (86.20) | 92.30 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (29.30) | (1.80) | 23.50 | 116.50 |
108.90
|
| ’24 | (94.00) | 66.50 | (15.50) | (3.40) |
(46.40)
|
| ’23 | (26.70) | (25.90) | 45.20 | (7.50) |
(14.90)
|
| ’22 | (2.90) | 89.70 | 63.90 | (50.10) |
100.60
|
| ’21 | (50.30) | (39.00) | 59.40 | (14.10) |
(44.00)
|
| ’20 | (19.90) | 70.30 | 14.50 | (2.10) |
62.80
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (99.40) | 54.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (46.90) | (15.40) | 15.10 | 103.80 |
56.60
|
| ’24 | (114.00) | 51.50 | (32.20) | (28.40) |
(123.10)
|
| ’23 | (157.10) | (103.70) | 13.10 | (39.00) |
(286.70)
|
| ’22 | (70.10) | (21.90) | (133.60) | (209.80) |
(435.40)
|
| ’21 | (56.50) | (49.50) | 41.80 | 20.30 |
(43.90)
|
| ’20 | (34.80) | 56.80 | 8.10 | (11.20) |
18.90
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (3.64) | (1.09) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (1.87) | (1.70) | 3.61 | (0.43) |
(0.39)
|
| ’24 | (0.51) | (0.48) | (1.18) | (0.47) |
(2.67)
|
| ’23 | 0.35 | (0.23) | 1.26 | (0.59) |
0.59
|
| ’22 | (1.18) | (0.19) | 0.19 | (0.86) |
(2.04)
|
| ’21 | (1.82) | (0.97) | 0.64 | (1.08) |
(3.23)
|
| ’20 | (0.18) | 0.05 | (0.70) | (1.03) |
(1.86)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 8.40 | 11.91 | 9.97 | 7.68 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 20.50 | 20.25 | 25.29 | 23.75 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,530 | 1,580 | 1,620 | 1,540 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.06 | 2.65 | 2.59 | 2.69 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,686.30 | 4,181.00 | 4,189.40 | 4,137.10 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.50% | 10.80% | 5.51% | 5.94% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (169.90) | 49.70 | (221.20) | (126.40) | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (3.63%) | 1.19% | (5.28%) | (3.06%) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (173.30) | 48.10 | (222.00) | (33.80) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 121.40 | 182.90 | 187.00 | 189.80 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 59.07 | 52.21 | 50.39 | 47.68 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.04) | 0.59 | (2.67) | (0.39) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.27 | (0.19) | (0.56) | 1.26 | ‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (6.76) | (3.39) | (0.92) | (0.60) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (5.49) | (3.58) | (1.48) | 0.65 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (6.72) | (6.12) | (8.56) | (8.44) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 79.34 | 80.08 | 83.15 | 86.76 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 22.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.42 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.70 | 0.85 | 0.99 | 0.95 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (7.57) | (12.42) | (33.55) | 69.29 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 100.60 | (14.90) | (46.40) | 108.90 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (536.00) | (271.80) | (76.70) | (52.30) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (435.40) | (286.70) | (123.10) | 56.60 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (531.30) | (318.00) | (97.60) | 17.10 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,036.10 | 2,162.70 | 2,345.60 | 2,402.80 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,000.90 | 2,154.80 | 2,299.70 | 2,197.70 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (533.30) | (490.30) | (711.90) | (732.70) | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (6.97%) | 1.72% | (8.06%) | (1.24%) | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.62% | 10.03% | 0.32% | 4.64% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 36.81% | (9.19%) | 36.89% | 4.68% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Calumet, Inc. (CLMT), a volatile specialty refiner of hydrocarbons, lubricants, and fuels, has grappled with crude price swings, regulatory pressures, and macroeconomic shocks, yielding inconsistent profitability amid high debt and thin margins. Revenue scaled 35% from 2016 to a 2022 peak of $4.69 billion before stabilizing near $4.2 billion in 2023-2024, with employee productivity surging 76% peak-to-trough. Yet gross margins plummeted 49% to 5.5% in 2024, net income flipped from a rare 2023 profit of $48 million to a -$222 million loss, and analyst forecasts predict modest 4% cumulative revenue growth to 2027 alongside persistent EPS losses improving only to +0.13 by then.
Balance sheet strains intensify risks, with debt at $2.35 billion, negative equity of -$712 million, and free cash flow per share at -$1.48 in 2024 due to renewable capex. Stock prices have doubled from 2020 lows, decoupling from fundamentals via a PS ratio expansion to 0.44 and speculative fervor around the 2022 Montana Renewables project for sustainable aviation fuel—bolstered by IRA credits—yet insider selling dwarfs buys 145x by value, signaling caution.
Analysts eye tepid growth with mixed targets (9% mean downside, 15% high upside), hinging on margin recovery above 10% and renewables execution amid oil volatility risks. ROIC at 0.3% in 2024 underscores capital inefficiency, positioning CLMT as a high-stakes bet on green tailwinds versus historical value traps—full analysis unpacks probabilities and catalysts.
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