Monday 12 October 2026
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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
CAKE Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $3.8 billion, up 4.75% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 7.72%, EPS grew 24.6%, free cash flow grew 220.4% and total debt fell 10.4%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for five consecutive years, revenue growth for five, operating cash flow growth for three.
109.00
0.55
+0.51%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 44.16 | 38.34 | 41.63 | 35.83 | 14.52 | 34.64 | 26.05 | 28.58 | 31.24 | 42.69 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 64.41 | 67.14 | 60.19 | 51.15 | 43.00 | 65.81 | 44.65 | 41.28 | 52.10 | 69.70 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 38,800 | 39,100 | 38,700 | 46,250 | 41,000 | 45,800 | 47,500 | 47,900 | 47,900 | 48,400 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 2,276 | 2,261 | 2,332 | 2,483 | 1,983 | 2,928 | 3,303 | 3,440 | 3,582 | 3,752 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 19.72 | 18.17 | 17.09 | 15.69 | 6.57 | 13.99 | 12.07 | 14.12 | 15.41 | 16.31 | |||||
| EBT | 192 | 146 | 107 | 140 | (356) | 72 | 33 | 100 | 171 | 163 | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 8.43 | 6.48 | 4.61 | 5.65 | (17.95) | 2.45 | 1.00 | 2.91 | 4.78 | 4.34 | |||||
| Net income | 139 | 157 | 99 | 127 | (253) | 72 | 43 | 101 | 157 | 148 | |||||
| Depreciation | 88 | 93 | 96 | 88 | 91 | 90 | 92 | 93 | 101 | 109 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 47.43 | 48.17 | 51.53 | 56.49 | 45.21 | 61.59 | 66.31 | 71.18 | 74.95 | 80.19 | ||||
| Earnings | 2.91 | 3.35 | 2.19 | 2.90 | (6.32) | 1.03 | 0.87 | 2.10 | 3.28 | 3.17 | |||||
| Cash flow | 6.59 | 5.09 | 6.44 | 4.98 | 0.07 | 4.48 | 3.25 | 4.52 | 5.61 | 6.44 | |||||
| Capex | (2.45) | (2.61) | (2.34) | (1.73) | (1.16) | (1.42) | (2.27) | (3.17) | (3.38) | (3.15) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 4.15 | 2.48 | 4.10 | 3.25 | (1.09) | 3.06 | 0.98 | 1.35 | 2.24 | 3.29 | |||||
| Book value | 12.57 | 13.07 | 12.62 | 13.01 | 6.58 | 6.95 | 5.86 | 6.58 | 9.28 | 9.33 | |||||
| Shares, m | 48 | 47 | 45 | 44 | 44 | 48 | 50 | 48 | 48 | 47 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 20.49 | 14.63 | 19.96 | 13.45 | 0.00 | 37.64 | 38.06 | 16.36 | 14.42 | 15.92 | ||||
| P/S | 1.25 | 1.02 | 0.84 | 0.69 | 0.82 | 0.64 | 0.49 | 0.48 | 0.63 | 0.63 | |||||
| P/B | 4.73 | 3.77 | 3.45 | 2.99 | 5.63 | 5.64 | 5.52 | 5.22 | 5.11 | 5.41 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 1.24 | 1.03 | 0.84 | 0.83 | 0.95 | 0.78 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.78 | 0.74 | |||||
| EV/FCF | 14.19 | 19.92 | 10.53 | 14.47 | (39.26) | 15.60 | 43.13 | 34.03 | 25.99 | 18.02 | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 316 | 239 | 291 | 219 | 3 | 213 | 162 | 218 | 268 | 301 | ||||
| Capex | (117) | (122) | (106) | (76) | (51) | (68) | (113) | (153) | (161) | (147) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 199 | 116 | 185 | 143 | (48) | 145 | 49 | 65 | 107 | 154 | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | (155) | (189) | (221) | (370) | (245) | (231) | (311) | (360) | (378) | (322) | ||||
| Total debt | 101 | 10 | 10 | 418 | 413 | 598 | 607 | 470 | 452 | 630 | |||||
| Net debt | 47 | 4 | (17) | 360 | 259 | 408 | 492 | 414 | 368 | 414 | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 603 | 614 | 571 | 572 | 289 | 330 | 292 | 318 | 443 | 436 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 11.04 | 11.99 | 7.48 | 6.13 | (9.92) | 1.77 | 1.55 | 3.61 | 5.33 | 4.71 | ||||
| ROIC | 19.32 | 15.47 | 13.41 | 6.95 | (39.65) | 6.97 | 3.10 | 9.27 | 13.74 | 13.76 | |||||
| ROE | 23.41 | 25.87 | 16.72 | 22.28 | (64.41) | 15.88 | 13.86 | 33.23 | 41.18 | 33.74 | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated vs peers in Restaurants (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YUMC Yum China | $14.3B | 15.7× | 14.7× | +12.59% (above 0%: growing) | +20.69% (above 0%: growing) | +3.10% (above 0%: growing) | 22.21% | 11.09% | Compare |
| TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $10.7B | 25.8× | 26.6× | +11.11% (above 0%: growing) | −0.53% (below 0%: shrinking) | +120.59% (above 0%: growing) | 16.80% | 8.50% | Compare |
| DPZ Domino's Pizza Inc | $10.2B | 17.5× | 16.4× | +4.30% (above 0%: growing) | +6.82% (above 0%: growing) | −0.95% (below 0%: shrinking) | 40.04% | 19.43% | Compare |
| EAT Brinker International, Inc. | $8.0B | 17.3× | 11.3× | +5.06% (above 0%: growing) | +27.80% (above 0%: growing) | +48.74% (above 0%: growing) | 18.75% | 10.87% | Compare |
| BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | $7.0B | 52.8× | 65.2× | +32.48% (above 0%: growing) | +40.00% (above 0%: growing) | +11.97% (above 0%: growing) | 27.42% | 12.78% | Compare |
| CAVA CAVA Group, Inc. | $6.3B | 94.1× | 131× | +31.30% (above 0%: growing) | +25.00% (above 0%: growing) | +52.60% (above 0%: growing) | 44.93% | 7.29% | Compare |
| CAKE The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | $5.3B | 28.3× | 16.3× | +7.72% (above 0%: growing) | +24.58% (above 0%: growing) | +220.39% (above 0%: growing) | 17.64% | 7.63% | |
| WING Wingstop Inc. | $3.2B | 28.7× | 31.6× | +6.44% (above 0%: growing) | +19.79% (above 0%: growing) | −45.18% (below 0%: shrinking) | 86.49% | 29.44% | Compare |
| SHAK Shake Shack, Inc. | $2.9B | 68.1× | 45.8× | +17.16% (above 0%: growing) | −9.30% (below 0%: shrinking) | −102.73% (below 0%: shrinking) | 25.58% | 4.97% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $7.5B | 27.2× | 29.1× | +11.85% | +20.24% | +7.54% | 26.50% | 10.98% |
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) key facts
- Strength: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $3.8 billion, up 4.75% from fiscal 2024.
- The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is a Restaurants company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on Nasdaq.
- As of October 12, 2026, CAKE traded at $109.00, a market capitalization of $5.4 billion.
- The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated pays an annual dividend of $1.17 per share, a yield of 1.07%, with a payout ratio of 31.7%.
- Return on equity was 33.7% and debt-to-equity 1.08.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 6 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 2.33 (grey zone) for fiscal 2025.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Latest News
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