Algoma Steel Group Inc.

ASTL Basic Materials Steel

Algoma Steel Group Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.5 billion, down 28.0% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue fell 54.7%, EPS grew 13.5%, free cash flow grew 20.9% and total debt rose 42.0%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for three consecutive years.

4.02 0.08 −1.95%
Market cap
$433.2M
P/E
0.0×
Fwd P/E
−2.1×
Dividend yield
0.00%
F-score
n/a
Altman Z
−1.04
Beneish M
n/a
Dividend safety
8/100

Insider Decisions trades per month

Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 10.19%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 433.21
Revenue 1,115.90
Net Income (791.69)
Free Cash Flow (260.35)
Net Debt 619.88
Current Ratio 2.49 (at or above 1.5: strong)
Debt/Equity 3.12 (above 2: weak)
P/E ratio 0.00
Fwd P/E (2.07) (negative: loss-making)
P/S ratio 0.39
P/B ratio 2.06
Past 5Y EPS Growth —
This Y EPS Growth —
Next Y EPS Growth —
Next Y revenue growth (46.78%) (below 0%: weak)
Next 5Y EPS Growth —

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/S against its own 10 years 56.69%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 88.04%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 95.34%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio —
Annual Dividend Rate 0.00
Annual Dividend Yield 0.00%
total individual payouts
2027 Powerpack
2026 Powerpack
2025 0.10
0.05
0.05
2024 0.20
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
2023 0.20
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
2022 0.25
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 190 75 56 45
Receivables 220 198 286 311
Inventory 547 599 407 324
Other 5 4 4 5
1,034 936 775 707
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 155 213 146 153
ST’ Debt 9 12 132 56
Other 85 70 55 42
260 318 356 284

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales — (13.24%) (10.78%)
Cash Flow — 0.00% 0.00%
Earnings — 0.00% 0.00%
Book Value — (22.57%) (31.76%)

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 216 193 — — —
’25 360 475 440 326 1,493
’24 459 — — — 2,073
’23 — 615 546 452 2,779
’23 493 — — — 2,102
’22 — 731 459 419 3,806
’22 1,389 — — — 3,036
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (9) (57) — — —
’25 64 9 19 (2) (47)
’24 219 — — — 219
’23 — 122 43 (37) 177
’23 134 — — — 134
’22 — 217 (55) (101) 1,227
’22 1,008 — — — 1,008
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (24) (78) — — —
’25 (24) (63) (47) (19) (282)
’24 (145) — — — (145)
’23 — 43 (82) (105) 177
’23 (118) — — — (118)
’22 — 154 (119) (159) 1,227
’22 875 — — — 875
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (1.06) (0.64) — — —
’25 (0.13) 0.03 (0.72) (2.41) (6.48)
’24 0.07 — — — 0.59
’23 — 0.63 0.18 (0.57) 1.71
’23 (0.14) — — — 1.54
’22 — 1.17 0.46 (0.47) 5.80
’22 1.15 — — — 6.14
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

2
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low — — — — — 8.73 5.64 5.79 6.67 3.02

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High — — — — — 13.65 12.50 10.25 12.14 9.85
People
People Employees — — — — — — — — 2,844 2,400
Revenue/emp, $m — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.62
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue — — — — 1,957 3,036 3,806 2,779 2,073 1,493
Gross margin, % — — — — (4.14) 39.78 39.78 13.89 10.10 (31.87)
EBT — — — — 0 923 1,157 376 107 (931)
EBT margin, % — — — — 0.01 30.39 30.40 13.53 5.18 (62.36)
Net income — — 0 — 0 487 858 299 78 (705)
Depreciation — — — — 0 51 87 99 85 255
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue — — — — 74.47 30.20 25.72 22.59 19.12 13.73
Earnings — — — — 0.01 6.73 5.80 2.43 0.72 (6.48)
Cash flow — — — — (0.01) 6.47 8.29 1.44 2.02 (0.44)
Capex — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (3.35) (2.15)
Free cash flow — — — — (0.01) 6.47 8.29 1.44 (1.33) (2.59)
Book value — — — — 0.19 12.56 10.70 11.89 10.27 3.23
Shares, m — — — — 26 101 148 123 108 109
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E — — — — 4.42 2.73 2.17 23.24 11.66 0.00
P/S — — — — 0.00 0.42 0.23 0.49 0.45 0.30
P/B — — — — 27,653.46 1.71 0.63 0.98 0.84 1.27
EV/Sales — — — — 0.00 0.28 0.19 0.51 0.47 0.67
EV/FCF — — — — 0.00 1.17 0.77 (4.07) (3.35) (3.55)
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow — — — — 0 650 1,227 177 219 (47)
Capex — — — — 0 0 (168) (334) (363) (234)
Free cash flow — — — — 0 650 1,227 177 (145) (282)
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital — — — — 1 1,100 1,379 1,023 618 419
Total debt — — — — 814 74 95 123 107 611
Net debt — — — — 814 (659) (824) (128) 31 555
Shareholders’ equity — — — — 5 1,263 1,583 1,462 1,114 351
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA — — — — 0.19 57.37 35.43 13.86 3.51 (40.30)
ROIC — — — — (0.02) 116.64 0.00 0.00 6.77 (63.18)
ROE — — — — 8.98 157.73 60.30 23.29 6.06 (96.22)
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Charts ten years each

Algoma Steel Group Inc. vs peers in Steel (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
WS Worthington Steel, Inc. $2.0B — (loss-making) 14.3× +212.36% (above 0%: growing) n/m −42.57% (below 0%: shrinking) 9.58% 2.05% Compare
SID National Steel Company $1.5B — (loss-making) 199× +18.55% (above 0%: growing) n/m +8.38% (above 0%: growing) 25.92% 5.54% Compare
MTL Mechel PAO $1.2B 0.8× 10.3× +70.05% (above 0%: growing) n/m +467.53% (above 0%: growing) 44.33% 0.00% Compare
NWPX NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. $945.9M 19.3× 23.9× +19.74% (above 0%: growing) +80.22% (above 0%: growing) +410.94% (above 0%: growing) 21.54% 13.26% Compare
MTUS Metallus Inc. $846.4M 108× 25.5× +11.95% (above 0%: growing) +133.33% (above 0%: growing) −114.12% (below 0%: shrinking) 10.00% 3.46% Compare
ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc. $433.2M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −54.68% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +20.93% (above 0%: growing) (39.36%) (50.17%)
FRD Friedman Industries Inc. $297.6M 10.5× 5.0× +78.05% (above 0%: growing) +152.11% (above 0%: growing) −62.51% (below 0%: shrinking) 13.73% 8.77% Compare
MSB Mesabi Trust $236.7M 36.3× 56.9× −55.76% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m −94.31% (below 0%: shrinking) 100.00% 100.00% Compare
ZKIN ZK International Group Co., Ltd. $123.6M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +6.38% (above 0%: growing) +100.00% (above 0%: growing) −602.13% (below 0%: shrinking) 6.38% 0.00% Compare
Median of peers $896.1M 19.3× 23.9× +19.15% +116.67% −52.54% 17.64% 4.50%

All 21 Steel stocks →

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) key facts

  • Concern: Algoma Steel Group Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.5 billion, down 28.0% from fiscal 2024.
  • Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) is a Steel company in the Basic Materials sector, listed on Nasdaq.
  • As of October 16, 2026, ASTL traded at $4.02, a market capitalization of $433.2 million.
  • Return on equity was −96.2% and debt-to-equity 3.12.
  • Its Altman Z-score is −1.04 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) Latest News

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stockrow.com/ASTL · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com