Mechel PAO

MTL Basic Materials Steel

Revenue growth for five consecutive years, operating cash flow growth for five.

2.25 0.00 0.00%
Market cap
$1.2B
P/E
0.8×
Fwd P/E
10.3×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
8/9
Altman Z
n/a
Beneish M
−1.89
Dividend safety
62/100

Insider Decisions trades per month

Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 60.95%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 1,206.17
Revenue 4,287.08
Net Income 369.21
Free Cash Flow 607.81
Net Debt 3,679.37
Current Ratio 0.32 (below 1: weak)
Debt/Equity (1.81) (negative: negative equity)
P/E ratio 0.84
Fwd P/E 10.30
P/S ratio 0.13
P/B ratio 0.00
Past 5Y EPS Growth —
This Y EPS Growth —
Next Y EPS Growth —
Next Y revenue growth (72.73%) (below 0%: weak)
Next 5Y EPS Growth —

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

Dividends

Payout Ratio —
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2025 Powerpack
2024 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2018 2019 2020 2021
Cash 37 60 25 242
Receivables 282 239 227 331
Inventory 690 616 582 849
Other 138 108 116 141
1,147 1,023 950 1,563
2018 2019 2020 2021
Payables 553 595 604 493
ST’ Debt 6,555 5,910 4,345 3,854
Other 170 170 198 270
7,572 7,121 5,511 4,943

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales (7.97%) 5.72% 3.24%
Cash Flow 1.19% 4.62% (2.62%)
Earnings 3.15% 59.28% 76.06%
Book Value 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 — — — — —
’21 1,019 — — 1,517 5,468
’20 1,032 892 822 929 3,663
’19 1,138 — — 1,098 4,597
’18 1,317 — — — 4,970
’17 1,316 — — — 5,115
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 — — — — —
’21 175 — — 361 1,000
’20 241 6 8 64 524
’19 213 — 660 126 894
’18 293 — — — 1,083
’17 238 — — — 1,082
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 — — — — —
’21 157 (20) (58) 361 920
’20 212 (8) (42) 64 459
’19 199 — 593 126 800
’18 275 — — — 997
’17 223 — — — 964
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 — — — — —
’21 — — — 0.90 5.40
’20 — — — — 0.05
’19 — — — — 0.18
’18 — — — — 0.91
’17 — — — — 0.95
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

2
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Trend 2022e 2023e 2024e
Price, $
Price, $ Low — — — — — — — — — —

Analyst estimates 2022–2024

Powerpack
High — — — — — — — — — —
People
People Employees — — — — 61,455 59,971 59,382 56,182 52,851 51,414
Revenue/emp, $m — — — — 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.11
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue — — — — 4,140 5,115 4,970 4,597 3,663 5,468
Gross margin, % — — — — 46.99 46.39 43.13 36.66 35.73 44.29
EBT — — — — 212 269 258 190 (519) 1,212
EBT margin, % — — — — 5.13 5.26 5.19 4.14 (14.17) 22.17
Net income — — — — 132 215 215 66 20 1,124
Depreciation — — — — 284 347 335 280 265 227
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue — — — — 19.89 24.57 23.88 22.09 17.76 27.02
Earnings — — — — 0.51 0.95 0.91 0.18 0.05 5.40
Cash flow — — — — 3.83 5.20 5.20 4.29 2.54 4.94
Capex — — — — (0.32) (0.57) (0.41) (0.45) (0.31) (0.39)
Free cash flow — — — — 3.51 4.63 4.79 3.84 2.22 4.55
Book value — — — — (18.20) (20.06) (17.81) (17.40) (15.43) (9.90)
Shares, m — — — — 208 208 208 208 206 202
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.07 1.18
P/S — — — — 0.15 0.15 0.11 0.18 0.14 0.14
P/B — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
EV/Sales — — — — 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99
EV/FCF — — — — 9.14 9.14 9.14 9.14 9.14 9.14
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow — — — — 798 1,082 1,083 894 524 1,000
Capex — — — — (67) (118) (86) (94) (65) (80)
Free cash flow — — — — 731 964 997 800 459 920
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital — — — — (6,624) (7,125) (6,424) (6,098) (4,561) (3,380)
Total debt — — — — 6,693 7,554 6,698 6,131 4,430 3,908
Net debt — — — — 6,666 7,503 6,661 6,071 4,404 3,666
Shareholders’ equity — — — — (3,789) (4,175) (3,708) (3,621) (3,183) (2,003)
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA — — — — 2.03 3.82 3.82 0.75 0.30 37.11
ROIC — — — — 13.91 18.36 16.75 12.46 14.07 52.47
ROE — — — — (2.63) (4.95) (5.08) (1.02) (0.33) (42.07)
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2021 · latest quarter Dec 2021

Charts ten years each

Mechel PAO vs peers in Steel (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
SIM Grupo Simec, S.A. de C.V. $4.6B 23.3× 28.5× +29.60% (above 0%: growing) n/m +51.13% (above 0%: growing) 24.99% 15.91% Compare
WS Worthington Steel, Inc. $2.0B — (loss-making) 14.3× +212.36% (above 0%: growing) n/m −42.57% (below 0%: shrinking) 9.58% 2.05% Compare
SID National Steel Company $1.5B — (loss-making) 199× +18.55% (above 0%: growing) n/m +8.38% (above 0%: growing) 25.92% 5.54% Compare
MTL Mechel PAO $1.2B 0.8× 10.3× +70.05% (above 0%: growing) n/m +467.53% (above 0%: growing) 44.33% 0.00%
NWPX NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. $945.9M 19.3× 23.9× +19.74% (above 0%: growing) +80.22% (above 0%: growing) +410.94% (above 0%: growing) 21.54% 13.26% Compare
MTUS Metallus Inc. $846.4M 108× 25.5× +11.95% (above 0%: growing) +133.33% (above 0%: growing) −114.12% (below 0%: shrinking) 10.00% 3.46% Compare
ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc. $433.2M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −54.68% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +20.93% (above 0%: growing) (39.36%) (50.17%) Compare
FRD Friedman Industries Inc. $297.6M 10.5× 5.0× +78.05% (above 0%: growing) +152.11% (above 0%: growing) −62.51% (below 0%: shrinking) 13.73% 8.77% Compare
MSB Mesabi Trust $236.7M 36.3× 56.9× −55.76% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m −94.31% (below 0%: shrinking) 100.00% 100.00% Compare
Median of peers $896.1M 23.3× 25.5× +19.15% +133.33% −17.10% 17.64% 7.16%

All 21 Steel stocks →

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stockrow.com/MTL · Data as of Dec 31, 2021 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com