Saturday 17 October 2026
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Algoma Steel Group Inc.
ASTL Basic Materials Steel
Algoma Steel Group Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.5 billion, down 28.0% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue fell 54.7%, EPS grew 13.5%, free cash flow grew 20.9% and total debt rose 42.0%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for three consecutive years.
4.02
0.08
−1.95%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | — | — | — | — | — | 8.73 | 5.64 | 5.79 | 6.67 | 3.02 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | — | — | — | — | — | 13.65 | 12.50 | 10.25 | 12.14 | 9.85 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2,844 | 2,400 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.73 | 0.62 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | — | — | — | — | 1,957 | 3,036 | 3,806 | 2,779 | 2,073 | 1,493 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | — | — | — | — | (4.14) | 39.78 | 39.78 | 13.89 | 10.10 | (31.87) | |||||
| EBT | — | — | — | — | 0 | 923 | 1,157 | 376 | 107 | (931) | |||||
| EBT margin, % | — | — | — | — | 0.01 | 30.39 | 30.40 | 13.53 | 5.18 | (62.36) | |||||
| Net income | — | — | 0 | — | 0 | 487 | 858 | 299 | 78 | (705) | |||||
| Depreciation | — | — | — | — | 0 | 51 | 87 | 99 | 85 | 255 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | — | — | — | — | 74.47 | 30.20 | 25.72 | 22.59 | 19.12 | 13.73 | ||||
| Earnings | — | — | — | — | 0.01 | 6.73 | 5.80 | 2.43 | 0.72 | (6.48) | |||||
| Cash flow | — | — | — | — | (0.01) | 6.47 | 8.29 | 1.44 | 2.02 | (0.44) | |||||
| Capex | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | (3.35) | (2.15) | |||||
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | — | (0.01) | 6.47 | 8.29 | 1.44 | (1.33) | (2.59) | |||||
| Book value | — | — | — | — | 0.19 | 12.56 | 10.70 | 11.89 | 10.27 | 3.23 | |||||
| Shares, m | — | — | — | — | 26 | 101 | 148 | 123 | 108 | 109 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 2.73 | 2.17 | 23.24 | 11.66 | 0.00 | ||||
| P/S | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.42 | 0.23 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 0.30 | |||||
| P/B | — | — | — | — | 27,653.46 | 1.71 | 0.63 | 0.98 | 0.84 | 1.27 | |||||
| EV/Sales | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.67 | |||||
| EV/FCF | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 1.17 | 0.77 | (4.07) | (3.35) | (3.55) | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | — | — | — | — | 0 | 650 | 1,227 | 177 | 219 | (47) | ||||
| Capex | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | (168) | (334) | (363) | (234) | |||||
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | — | 0 | 650 | 1,227 | 177 | (145) | (282) | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1,100 | 1,379 | 1,023 | 618 | 419 | ||||
| Total debt | — | — | — | — | 814 | 74 | 95 | 123 | 107 | 611 | |||||
| Net debt | — | — | — | — | 814 | (659) | (824) | (128) | 31 | 555 | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1,263 | 1,583 | 1,462 | 1,114 | 351 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | — | — | — | — | 0.19 | 57.37 | 35.43 | 13.86 | 3.51 | (40.30) | ||||
| ROIC | — | — | — | — | (0.02) | 116.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.77 | (63.18) | |||||
| ROE | — | — | — | — | 8.98 | 157.73 | 60.30 | 23.29 | 6.06 | (96.22) | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
Algoma Steel Group Inc. vs peers in Steel (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WS Worthington Steel, Inc. | $2.0B | — (loss-making) | 14.3× | +212.36% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −42.57% (below 0%: shrinking) | 9.58% | 2.05% | Compare |
| SID National Steel Company | $1.5B | — (loss-making) | 199× | +18.55% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +8.38% (above 0%: growing) | 25.92% | 5.54% | Compare |
| MTL Mechel PAO | $1.2B | 0.8× | 10.3× | +70.05% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +467.53% (above 0%: growing) | 44.33% | 0.00% | Compare |
| NWPX NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. | $945.9M | 19.3× | 23.9× | +19.74% (above 0%: growing) | +80.22% (above 0%: growing) | +410.94% (above 0%: growing) | 21.54% | 13.26% | Compare |
| MTUS Metallus Inc. | $846.4M | 108× | 25.5× | +11.95% (above 0%: growing) | +133.33% (above 0%: growing) | −114.12% (below 0%: shrinking) | 10.00% | 3.46% | Compare |
| ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc. | $433.2M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −54.68% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +20.93% (above 0%: growing) | (39.36%) | (50.17%) | |
| FRD Friedman Industries Inc. | $297.6M | 10.5× | 5.0× | +78.05% (above 0%: growing) | +152.11% (above 0%: growing) | −62.51% (below 0%: shrinking) | 13.73% | 8.77% | Compare |
| MSB Mesabi Trust | $236.7M | 36.3× | 56.9× | −55.76% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −94.31% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | 100.00% | Compare |
| ZKIN ZK International Group Co., Ltd. | $123.6M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +6.38% (above 0%: growing) | +100.00% (above 0%: growing) | −602.13% (below 0%: shrinking) | 6.38% | 0.00% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $896.1M | 19.3× | 23.9× | +19.15% | +116.67% | −52.54% | 17.64% | 4.50% |
Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) key facts
- Concern: Algoma Steel Group Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.5 billion, down 28.0% from fiscal 2024.
- Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) is a Steel company in the Basic Materials sector, listed on Nasdaq.
- As of October 16, 2026, ASTL traded at $4.02, a market capitalization of $433.2 million.
- Return on equity was −96.2% and debt-to-equity 3.12.
- Its Altman Z-score is −1.04 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.