| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.12 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.16 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.14 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.08 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.08 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.08 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.08 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.16 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.12 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.04 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.04 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 2.89 | 3.69 | 2.45 | 5.03 |
| Receivables | 47.33 | 47.48 | 80.70 | 90.69 |
| Inventory | 115.80 | 113.69 | 172.22 | 191.08 |
| Other | 4.04 | 1.62 | 1.67 | 4.31 |
| 170.06 | 166.47 | 257.04 | 291.11 |
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 43.89 | 35.30 | 67.17 | 88.24 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 7.68 | 2.09 | 8.70 | 8.23 |
| 54.11 | 38.32 | 76.15 | 100.32 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Jun | Sep | Dec | Mar | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 239.97 | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 134.78 | 152.38 | 167.97 | 191.78 |
646.91
|
| ’25 | 114.55 | 106.76 | 94.07 | 129.22 |
444.60
|
| ’24 | 137.30 | 130.75 | 115.97 | 132.23 |
516.25
|
| ’23 | 161.80 | 149.69 | 111.86 | 124.19 |
547.54
|
| ’22 | 65.92 | 92.57 | 51.66 | 75.09 |
285.24
|
| ’21 | 23.52 | 24.86 | 28.50 | 49.21 |
126.10
|
| Jun | Sep | Dec | Mar | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 7.31 | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 15.49 | 0.44 | (4.75) | (2.63) |
8.54
|
| ’25 | (6.06) | 10.78 | 2.70 | (11.84) |
(4.42)
|
| ’24 | (4.58) | (15.65) | 21.25 | 3.96 |
4.98
|
| ’23 | (21.34) | 76.00 | (10.55) | 19.80 |
63.89
|
| ’22 | 2.12 | (26.71) | 1.65 | 9.54 |
(13.40)
|
| ’21 | (2.06) | 5.78 | 1.12 | 3.59 |
8.43
|
| Jun | Sep | Dec | Mar | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 5.14 | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 13.71 | (2.02) | (6.35) | (3.96) |
1.38
|
| ’25 | (7.11) | 9.94 | 2.35 | (12.02) |
(6.84)
|
| ’24 | (5.03) | (18.09) | 19.36 | 2.94 |
(0.81)
|
| ’23 | (24.16) | 71.61 | (11.64) | 11.62 |
47.44
|
| ’22 | (0.64) | (26.70) | (2.79) | 8.83 |
(21.30)
|
| ’21 | (3.43) | 4.22 | (0.17) | 3.24 |
3.85
|
| Jun | Sep | Dec | Mar | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.79 | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 0.71 | 0.32 | 0.43 | 1.30 |
2.76
|
| ’25 | 0.37 | (0.10) | (0.17) | 0.76 |
0.87
|
| ’24 | 1.04 | 0.48 | 0.16 | 0.71 |
2.39
|
| ’23 | 1.55 | 0.34 | 0.19 | 0.86 |
2.91
|
| ’22 | 1.64 | 1.91 | (0.43) | (1.11) |
2.12
|
| ’21 | (0.12) | (0.04) | 0.30 | 1.50 |
1.63
|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 6.74 | 9.50 | 13.40 | 12.24 | 16.55 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.00 | 18.31 | 19.52 | 23.50 | 48.77 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 99 | 235 | 268 | 271 | 381 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.88 | 2.33 | 1.93 | 1.64 | 1.70 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 285.24 | 547.54 | 516.25 | 444.60 | 646.91 | — | — | — |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.37% | 8.31% | 9.42% | 5.00% | 8.98% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.33 | 28.19 | 23.31 | 7.69 | 26.37 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.43% | 5.15% | 4.52% | 1.73% | 4.08% | — | — | — |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.07 | 21.34 | 17.35 | 6.09 | 19.53 | — | — | — |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.32 | 2.53 | 3.07 | 3.32 | 3.90 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 43.06 | 75.88 | 71.86 | 64.02 | 92.85 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 2.12 | 2.91 | 2.39 | 0.87 | 2.76 | — | — | — |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.02) | 8.85 | 0.69 | (0.64) | 1.23 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.19) | (2.28) | (0.81) | (0.35) | (1.03) | — | — | — |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (3.22) | 6.57 | (0.11) | (0.99) | 0.20 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.03 | 16.00 | 17.74 | 19.07 | 21.74 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.62 | 7.22 | 7.18 | 6.95 | 6.97 | — | — | — |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.38 | 3.86 | 7.66 | 17.31 | 6.42 | — | — | — |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.19 | — | — | — |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 0.73 | 0.71 | 1.03 | 0.78 | 0.81 | — | — | — |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.19 | — | — | — |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.64) | 1.69 | (159.78) | (14.77) | 90.42 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (13.40) | 63.89 | 4.98 | (4.42) | 8.54 | — | — | — |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (7.90) | (16.45) | (5.79) | (2.43) | (7.16) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (21.30) | 47.44 | (0.81) | (6.84) | 1.38 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 64.55 | 98.57 | 115.96 | 128.14 | 180.89 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.38 | 1.43 | — | — | 3.49 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.22) | (1.56) | (2.89) | (3.69) | 1.04 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 79.69 | 115.43 | 127.48 | 132.43 | 151.49 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.64% | 11.72% | 8.00% | 2.65% | 6.82% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 23.01% | 11.57% | 12.30% | 1.48% | 10.51% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.65% | 21.54% | 14.14% | 4.67% | 13.54% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Friedman Industries Inc. (FRD), a nimble Texas steel processor and tubular manufacturer, rode the waves of a turbulent decade—from Section 232 tariffs boosting domestic players to the 2021-2023 steel price supercycle that drove revenues soaring 334% CAGR to $547 million. Employee scaling and capacity expansions fueled this boom, with revenue per employee doubling pre-pandemic levels, while stock highs mirrored the frenzy. Yet, 2024’s 6% revenue dip to $516 million and 2025 forecasts of $445 million signal cyclical normalization amid global oversupply and cooling construction demand.
Profitability tells a boom-bust tale: EPS peaked at $2.91 in 2023 with ROE at 21.5%, but projections slash it to $0.87 next year as margins compress to 1.7% and FCF turns negative. FRD’s fortress-like balance sheet—equity up 95% to $127 million, near-zero debt, and $116 million working capital—provides a buffer, yielding attractive valuations (PS 0.25x, PB 1.03x) that scream undervalued versus peers.
Bullish insider buys totaling $68,000 in late 2024 by the CEO and a director signal hidden catalysts amid forecasts of near-term pain, positioning FRD for a rebound on infrastructure tailwinds and the next steel upcycle—potentially 20-30% upside for patient investors.
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