| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2024 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 269.00 | 59.00 | 41.00 | 56.00 |
| Receivables | 2,010.00 | 2,124.00 | 2,199.00 | 2,479.00 |
| Inventory | 1,600.00 | 1,626.00 | 1,711.00 | 1,703.00 |
| Other | 14.00 | 19.00 | 60.00 | 35.00 |
| 4,031.00 | 3,974.00 | 4,164.00 | 4,447.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 2,051.00 | 2,231.00 | 2,447.00 | 2,794.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 110.00 | 109.00 | 137.00 | 150.00 |
| Other | — | 8.00 | — | — |
| 3,112.00 | 3,296.00 | 3,591.00 | 3,911.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 9,610.00 | 10,532.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 9,351.00 | 10,082.00 | 10,191.00 | 9,800.00 |
39,424.00
|
| ’24 | 8,949.00 | 9,709.00 | 9,728.00 | 9,491.00 |
37,877.00
|
| ’23 | 8,542.00 | 9,013.00 | 9,106.00 | 8,936.00 |
35,597.00
|
| ’22 | 7,798.00 | 8,827.00 | 8,917.00 | 8,515.00 |
34,057.00
|
| ’21 | 6,295.00 | 7,663.00 | 7,890.00 | 7,639.00 |
29,487.00
|
| ’20 | 6,339.00 | 4,560.00 | 5,848.00 | 6,138.00 |
22,885.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 294.00 | 431.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 391.00 | 334.00 | 351.00 | 293.00 |
1,369.00
|
| ’24 | 139.00 | 482.00 | 270.00 | 283.00 |
1,174.00
|
| ’23 | 279.00 | 374.00 | 282.00 | 205.00 |
1,140.00
|
| ’22 | 158.00 | 101.00 | 354.00 | 152.00 |
765.00
|
| ’21 | 176.00 | 74.00 | 270.00 | (101.00) |
419.00
|
| ’20 | (62.00) | 832.00 | (237.00) | (120.00) |
413.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 197.00 | 355.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 308.00 | 261.00 | 237.00 | 159.00 |
965.00
|
| ’24 | 53.00 | 414.00 | 191.00 | 178.00 |
836.00
|
| ’23 | 219.00 | 328.00 | 229.00 | 65.00 |
841.00
|
| ’22 | 88.00 | 31.00 | 297.00 | 94.00 |
510.00
|
| ’21 | 130.00 | 14.00 | 205.00 | (197.00) |
152.00
|
| ’20 | (141.00) | 781.00 | (228.00) | (144.00) |
268.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.52 | 1.24 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.49 | 0.96 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
2.94
|
| ’24 | 0.33 | 0.80 | 0.61 | 0.28 |
2.02
|
| ’23 | 0.32 | 0.73 | 0.38 | 0.59 |
2.02
|
| ’22 | (0.07) | 0.27 | 0.43 | 0.37 |
1.01
|
| ’21 | (0.18) | 0.20 | 0.24 | 0.26 |
0.54
|
| ’20 | (0.60) | (0.44) | (0.01) | (0.11) |
(1.15)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 25.49 | 33.68 | 44.82 | 57.36 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 39.73 | 45.84 | 72.84 | 85.11 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29,000 | 30,000 | 30,000 | 30,000 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.17 | 1.19 | 1.26 | 1.31 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 34,057.00 | 35,597.00 | 37,877.00 | 39,424.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.13% | 17.27% | 17.25% | 17.41% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 361.00 | 678.00 | 644.00 | 898.00 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.06% | 1.90% | 1.70% | 2.28% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 265.00 | 506.00 | 494.00 | 676.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 384.00 | 395.00 | 438.00 | 462.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 152.04 | 148.94 | 157.17 | 173.67 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 1.02 | 2.09 | 2.05 | 2.98 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.42 | 4.77 | 4.87 | 6.03 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.14) | (1.25) | (1.40) | (1.78) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.28 | 3.52 | 3.47 | 4.25 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 20.07 | 19.87 | 18.79 | 18.97 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 224.00 | 239.00 | 241.00 | 227.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 33.78 | 22.22 | 33.23 | 25.28 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.22 | 0.31 | 0.43 | 0.43 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.93 | 2.31 | 3.59 | 3.97 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.56 | 0.56 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 24.09 | 18.31 | 25.27 | 23.06 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 765.00 | 1,140.00 | 1,174.00 | 1,369.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (255.00) | (299.00) | (338.00) | (404.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 510.00 | 841.00 | 836.00 | 965.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,024.00 | 919.00 | 678.00 | 573.00 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,854.00 | 4,674.00 | 4,928.00 | 5,200.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,643.00 | 4,405.00 | 4,869.00 | 5,159.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,495.00 | 4,749.00 | 4,528.00 | 4,307.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.80% | 3.90% | 3.71% | 4.94% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.06% | 6.94% | 7.31% | 7.92% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.93% | 11.62% | 10.65% | 15.30% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) has shown steady resilience as a leading North American foodservice distributor, rebounding strongly from the 2020 COVID revenue plunge of 11.8% to deliver a 7.8% CAGR through 2024, reaching $37.9 billion amid diversified demand from restaurants, healthcare, and education. Operational efficiencies shine through, with revenue per employee climbing 37.8% to $1.26 million and free cash flow per share surging over 100% since 2016, supporting robust balance sheet management despite moderate debt levels around $4.9 billion net.
Profitability metrics continue to improve, with gross margins stabilizing at 17.5%, ROE projected at 15.3% for 2025, and EPS forecasted to reach $6.24 by 2028 on 20%+ annual growth, bolstered by share buybacks and analyst targets implying 10-18% upside. Valuation multiples remain reasonable—forward P/E at 16x by 2028 and EV/FCF in historical norms—positioning USFD favorably against peers like Sysco, with stock compounding ~25% annually post-recovery.
Yet, caution is warranted: insider selling without buys signals potential profit-taking, debt-to-EBITDA at 2.5x exposes vulnerability to inflation or rate hikes, and food cost volatility could squeeze margins. While Monte Carlo odds favor 65% chance of 15%+ returns over 12 months, monitoring Q1 2026 results and macro risks will be key to confirming this steady performer’s trajectory.
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