Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
ULCC Industrials Airlines
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $3.7 billion, down 1.35% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 37.7%, EPS fell 25.8%, free cash flow grew 183.1% and total debt fell 1.85%, each against the same quarter a year earlier.
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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) Altman Z-score
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s Altman Z-score for fiscal 2025 is 0.36, in the distress zone (below 1.81).
Altman Z-score, annual
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Annual newest first
| Period | Altman Z-score | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 0.36 | (0.33) |
| FY2024 | 0.69 | (0.03) |
| FY2023 | 0.72 | (0.22) |
| FY2022 | 0.94 | 0.11 |
| FY2021 | 0.83 | — |
How fiscal 2025’s score is made up
| Component | This year | Year before | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Working capital / total assets | (0.16) | — | −0.19 | |
| Retained earnings / total assets | 0.01 | — | 0.01 | |
| EBIT / total assets | (0.02) | — | −0.07 | |
| Market value of equity / total liabilities | 0.16 | — | 0.10 | |
| Sales / total assets | 0.52 | — | 0.52 | |
| Altman Z-score | Distress zone | 0.36 | ||
| Z″ Variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies (drops the sales/assets term, uses book equity) | Distress zone | −1.08 | ||
How the Altman Z-score works
Z = 1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets (Altman, 1968). The market value of equity is the close on the last trading day of the fiscal year times weighted basic shares.
Z″ = 6.56 × working capital ÷ total assets + 3.26 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 6.72 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 1.05 × book equity ÷ total liabilities (Altman, Hartzell and Peck, 1995), the variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies.
| Zone | Z | Z″ |
|---|---|---|
| Safe zone | above 2.99 | above 2.60 |
| Grey zone | 1.81–2.99 | 1.10–2.60 |
| Distress zone | below 1.81 | below 1.10 |
Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs, whose balance sheets the model does not describe, nor when a figure is missing or there is no share price in the week to the fiscal year end.
Altman Z-score against peers
| Company | Altman Z-score |
|---|---|
| CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. compare | 2.4× |
| SKYW SkyWest, Inc. compare | 1.8× |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Company compare | 1.2× |
| RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. compare | 1.2× |
| ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. compare | 1.1× |
| AERO Grupo Aeromexico SAB DE CV - Sponsored ADR compare | 0.8× |
| JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation compare | 0.5× |
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | 0.4× |
| VLRS Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion, S.A.B. de C.V. compare | 0.3× |
What Altman Z-score is
The Altman Z-Score weighs working capital, retained earnings, operating profit, market value and sales against assets and debts to gauge the risk of distress.
1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets