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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. ULCC

Industrials — Airlines

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Insider Decisions

Total sells
89.33
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — 3 — 1 — — 2 2 2 5 2
Insider Ownership
57.23%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
1,350.00
Revenue
4,154.00
Net Income
(386.00)
Free Cash Flow
(164.00)
Net Debt
(372.00)
Current Ratio
0.58
Debt/Equity
4.29
P/E ratio
0.00
P/S ratio
0.32
P/B ratio
9.88
Past 5Y EPS Growth
(19.57%)
This Y EPS Growth
36.40%
Next Y EPS Growth
200.02%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
22.84%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.00
Annual Dividend Rate
—
Annual Dividend Yield
—
total individual payouts
2025 ‡‡‡
2024 ‡‡‡
2023 ‡‡‡
2022 ‡‡‡
2021 ‡‡‡
2020 ‡‡‡
2019 ‡‡‡‡
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 609.00 740.00 671.00 955.00
Receivables 93.00 73.00 85.00 147.00
Inventory 79.00 79.00 90.00 91.00
Other 90.00 98.00 112.00 113.00
871.00 990.00 958.00 1,306.00
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 134.00 115.00 130.00 95.00
ST’ Debt 251.00 261.00 301.00 206.00
Other 461.00 500.00 525.00 645.00
1,658.00 1,852.00 2,103.00 2,239.00
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow — ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Book Value — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 992.00 1,279.00 — —
—
’25 912.00 929.00 886.00 997.00
3,724.00
’24 865.00 973.00 935.00 1,002.00
3,775.00
’23 848.00 967.00 883.00 891.00
3,589.00
’22 605.00 909.00 906.00 906.00
3,326.00
’21 271.00 550.00 630.00 609.00
2,060.00
’20 544.00 194.00 245.00 267.00
1,250.00
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 40.00 151.00 — —
—
’25 (86.00) (133.00) (215.00) (91.00)
(525.00)
’24 (22.00) 9.00 (156.00) 87.00
(82.00)
’23 (25.00) (9.00) (173.00) (54.00)
(261.00)
’22 (87.00) 20.00 (105.00) 94.00
(78.00)
’21 30.00 212.00 (146.00) 120.00
216.00
’20 (180.00) (13.00) (173.00) (191.00)
(557.00)
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 28.00 138.00 — —
—
’25 (104.00) (166.00) (217.00) (113.00)
(600.00)
’24 (39.00) (22.00) (170.00) 73.00
(158.00)
’23 (36.00) (21.00) (187.00) (68.00)
(312.00)
’22 (94.00) 13.00 (122.00) 84.00
(119.00)
’21 27.00 203.00 (154.00) 113.00
189.00
’20 (182.00) (17.00) (173.00) (201.00)
(573.00)
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (1.18) (0.39) — —
—
’25 (0.19) (0.31) (0.34) 0.23
(0.60)
’24 (0.12) 0.14 0.11 0.23
0.37
’23 (0.06) 0.31 (0.14) (0.17)
(0.05)
’22 (0.56) 0.06 0.13 0.18
(0.17)
’21 (0.46) 0.08 0.11 (0.25)
(0.48)
’20 (0.30) 0.08 — (0.59)
(1.05)

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

3.4
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
— — — — — ‡‡‡‡‡ 8.19 3.19 2.79 2.89 — — —
Low Price
— — — — — ‡‡‡‡ 15.25 14.10 8.33 10.26 — — —
High Price
— — — — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 6,470 7,235 7,938 7,750 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.51 0.50 0.48 0.48 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,326.00 3,589.00 3,775.00 3,724.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 31.33% 33.71% 32.13% 30.10% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (45.00) 32.00 86.00 (134.00) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (1.35%) 0.89% 2.28% (3.60%) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (37.00) (11.00) 85.00 (137.00) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 46.00 51.00 73.00 92.00 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 15.28 16.31 16.83 16.35 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (0.17) (0.05) 0.37 (0.60) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (0.36) (1.19) (0.37) (2.30) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (0.19) (0.23) (0.34) (0.33) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (0.55) (1.42) (0.70) (2.63) — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.34 2.30 2.69 2.16 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 217.60 220.10 224.33 227.77 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 19.22 0.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.66 0.33 0.42 0.29 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 4.32 2.31 2.64 2.19 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.57 0.30 0.37 0.28 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (15.95) (3.41) (8.78) (1.77) — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (78.00) (261.00) (82.00) (525.00) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (41.00) (51.00) (76.00) (75.00) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (119.00) (312.00) (158.00) (600.00) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (535.00) (787.00) (862.00) (1,145.00) — — —
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 461.00 505.00 533.00 658.00 — — —
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (300.00) (104.00) (207.00) (13.00) — — —
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ — ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 509.00 507.00 604.00 491.00 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (0.85%) (0.23%) 1.51% (2.05%) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROA
‡‡‡ — ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (13.46%) (0.47%) 9.13% (19.48%) — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (7.12%) (2.17%) 15.12% (25.02%) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC), the ultra-low-cost carrier behind Frontier Airlines, has delivered impressive revenue growth amid industry turbulence—from $1.71 billion in 2016 to $3.78 billion in 2024, with projections hitting $4.92 billion by 2027 driven by route expansions and efficiency gains like revenue per employee doubling to $476K. Yet, profitability remains erratic: after deep COVID losses, 2024 marked a $85 million net income turnaround (2.3% margin), but analysts forecast a $169 million loss in 2025 before rebounding.

The balance sheet shows manageable debt around $500 million but liquidity strains and negative free cash flow (-$0.70 per share in 2024), fueling a stock plunge from $23 highs to $2.79 lows (-78%). Valuation looks dirt cheap (PS ratio 0.42 vs. industry 1x), but insider sells totaling $6.35 million with zero buys signal caution, while Wall Street targets suggest modest upside (average flat, high 50%).

For retail investors, ULCC is a high-risk, high-reward play banking on 20%+ revenue CAGR and margin stability—if execution clicks amid fuel costs, labor woes, and engine issues, it could soar; otherwise, more bumps ahead. Dive into the full analysis for the charts, trends, and your next move.

Read full commentary →

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

16 Sep

3 , 9:00 AM
Frontier Airlines launched Cancel for Any Reason product powered by Hopper Technology Solutions. New flexible cancellation feature supports product innovation and may improve customer retention.

11 Sep

4 , 7:53 PM
Frontier Group Holdings CEO is aggressively pursuing market share vacated by Spirit Airlines after its failed merger and operational setbacks, aiming to expand route network and capture low-cost carrier demand. CEO strategy directly targets competitor weakness to drive Frontier's growth and market position.

10 Aug

3 , 10:08 PM
Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) valuation assessed following latest earnings release, focusing on key financial metrics and market positioning. Earnings results directly inform near-term valuation metrics and investor outlook for ULCC.

7 Aug

3 transcript www.fool.com, 9:00 PM
Frontier Group Holdings Inc. (ULCC) released its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript covering financial results, operational updates and executive commentary. Quarterly earnings details typically move short-term stock prices without altering long-term company trajectory.

29 Jul

4 , 8:00 AM
Frontier Airlines reported record second quarter 2026 revenue of $1.3 billion, a 38 percent increase year-over-year, significantly exceeding Wall Street estimates. Record revenue growth and earnings beat signal positive trajectory for company performance and market valuation.

3 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 2:04 PM
Frontier Group Holdings reported Q2 earnings highlights including financial results, operational metrics and forward outlook for the airline. Q2 earnings updates supply performance data that can shift near-term investor views without guaranteeing structural change.

3 , 10:00 AM
Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) released Q2 earnings with detailed key metrics covering revenue, costs, load factors and profitability measures. Quarterly earnings metrics typically drive short-term share price moves but rarely shift long-term company trajectory.

3 , 9:40 AM
Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) posted a Q2 loss while beating revenue estimates. Q2 earnings with a loss but revenue beat can sway short-term ULCC stock moves without shifting long-term trajectory.

23 Jul

3 , 2:52 PM
Frontier reports weaker earnings and cuts guidance due to elevated fuel costs and softer demand, driving shares lower. Lowered outlook and earnings miss introduce short-term pressure on profitability and sentiment.

14 Jul

3 , 10:09 AM
Frontier Airlines will begin adding Starlink internet to its planes in 2027. Starlink rollout improves in-flight connectivity and may lift customer appeal without reshaping core operations.

3 , 9:00 AM
Frontier Airlines will equip its fleet with Starlink to deliver the fastest in-flight WiFi currently available. Starlink rollout adds a competitive amenity that can lift customer appeal but is unlikely to shift overall financial trajectory or market position.

8 Jul

3 , 5:14 PM
Frontier Group Holdings shares plummet with Marriott Vacations stock. Sharp share price drop signals negative market sentiment likely to pressure short-term performance and investor views.

23 May

3 Insider Monkey, 8:15 AM
Citi raised its price target on Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) after the airline reported fiscal Q1 results. Analyst price target lift after earnings offers moderate positive signal for near-term stock sentiment.

7 May

5 247wallst.com, 2:19 PM
Airfares skyrocketed as much as 218% on Spirit Airlines’ busiest routes within just 48 hours of its May 2 liquidation. Spirit Airlines' liquidation removes a direct ultra-low-cost rival, fundamentally enhancing Frontier's competitive position, market share, and pricing power.

6 May

4 Simply Wall St., 6:13 PM
Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) stock surged 27.5% after launching rescue fares targeting Spirit Airlines flyers and a Summer Pass promotion. Targeting Spirit fliers with rescue fares and Summer Pass triggered a 27.5% stock surge, boosting competitive positioning and investor sentiment.

5 May

4 www.marketbeat.com, 5:07 PM
Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) Q1 earnings call highlights revenue of $881 million, up 5% year-over-year, adjusted EBITDA of $192 million, capacity growth of 7%, and Q2 guidance for $2.9-3.0 billion revenue and $475-525 million adjusted EBITDA amid fuel cost pressures and strong demand. Q1 results and Q2 guidance signal key operational shifts and financial outlook that could substantially sway investor confidence and stock valuation.

4 qz.com, 10:26 AM
Frontier Airlines reported record revenue for Q1 2026 but posted a wider loss. Record revenue indicates strong demand growth, but wider losses highlight profitability challenges that could significantly sway investor sentiment and stock performance.

4 Zacks, 9:30 AM
Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) Q1 earnings compared to analyst estimates, with analysis of key metrics. Q1 earnings versus estimates significantly impact ULCC's financial perception and stock trajectory.

4 PR Newswire, 8:00 AM
Frontier Airlines reported first quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings reports typically drive significant stock volatility and shape investor expectations for future performance.

3 Zacks, 9:15 AM
Frontier Group Holdings Inc. (ULCC) reported a first-quarter net loss of $51 million, or $0.21 per share, wider than the prior year's $26 million loss, while revenue fell 2% to $816 million, missing analyst estimates of $850 million amid higher costs and softer demand. Q1 loss widened and revenue missed estimates, impacting short-term financials and investor sentiment but not altering long-term strategy.

3 StockStory, 8:22 AM
Frontier (NASDAQ:ULCC) missed Q1 CY2026 revenue estimates. Missing Q1 CY2026 revenue estimates affects financial performance and investor sentiment but is unlikely to fundamentally alter long-term trajectory.

4 May

4 StockStory, 10:44 AM
Frontier (ULCC) reports Q1 results tomorrow. Upcoming Q1 earnings report likely to significantly impact ULCC's stock price and investor sentiment based on financial performance.

2 May

4 Barrons.com, 7:35 AM
Spirit Airlines has halted all flights amid bankruptcy proceedings, leaving passengers to seek rebookings with other airlines, refunds via credit card or travel insurance, and alternatives for disrupted travel plans. Spirit's flight shutdown removes a direct ultra-low-cost rival, enabling Frontier to capture market share and strengthen competitive positioning.

4 Bloomberg, 3:25 AM
Spirit Airlines shuts down all operations after a proposed White House bailout collapses. Spirit's shutdown removes a key ultra-low-cost rival, enabling Frontier to capture market share and improve its competitive landscape.

4 PR Newswire, 2:54 AM
Frontier Airlines announces discounted rescue fares to support Spirit Airlines customers affected by disruptions. Discounted rescue fares target Spirit's customers, enabling Frontier to gain market share from a struggling low-cost competitor.

1 May

5 Investing.com, 11:37 AM
Spirit Airlines will shut down after failing to secure a $500 million lifeline. Spirit's shutdown removes a direct ultra-low-cost rival, enabling Frontier to capture market share and redefine its competitive landscape.

5 qz.com, 11:32 AM
Spirit Airlines prepares to shut down operations after bailout talks collapse. Spirit's shutdown eliminates a major ultra-low-cost rival, enabling Frontier to capture market share and strengthen its competitive position.

4 Investor's Business Daily, 2:52 PM
Spirit Airlines plans to shut down as rescue efforts deteriorate. Alaska Air stock downgraded to sell amid airline sector pressures. Spirit's shutdown eliminates a direct ultra-low-cost competitor, potentially increasing Frontier's market share and pricing power.

3 , 12:08 PM
Spirit Airlines stock plummets below $1, signaling potential collapse for the budget carrier amid ongoing financial distress. Spirit's potential collapse alters competitive dynamics in the ultra-low-cost airline sector, impacting Frontier's market positioning and investor sentiment.

29 Apr

4 StockStory, 5:08 AM
Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) stock dropped over 10% today after the low-cost carrier reported weaker-than-expected Q2 revenue due to softening leisure demand and higher costs, while trimming its full-year profit outlook. Disappointing earnings and guidance cut signal significant pressure on near-term financial performance and investor confidence.
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