Sunday 11 October 2026
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Alaska Air Group, Inc.
ALK Industrials Airlines
Alaska Air Group, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $14.2 billion, up 21.3% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 9.75%, EPS fell 146.9%, free cash flow fell 14.6% and total debt rose 24.9%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for three consecutive years, revenue growth for five; insiders bought in the last twelve months.
39.36
0.16
−0.40%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 54.51 | 61.10 | 57.42 | 53.39 | 20.02 | 46.26 | 38.19 | 30.75 | 32.62 | 37.63 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 91.89 | 101.43 | 75.46 | 72.22 | 68.79 | 74.25 | 61.55 | 57.18 | 67.73 | 78.08 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 19,112 | 23,156 | 23,376 | 24,000 | 22,000 | 22,833 | 25,469 | 26,043 | 33,941 | 35,951 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.40 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 5,925 | 7,894 | 8,264 | 8,781 | 3,566 | 6,176 | 9,646 | 10,426 | 11,735 | 14,239 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | |||||
| EBT | 1,316 | 1,159 | 585 | 1,016 | (1,840) | 629 | 79 | 323 | 545 | 146 | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 22.21 | 14.68 | 7.08 | 11.57 | (51.60) | 10.18 | 0.82 | 3.10 | 4.64 | 1.03 | |||||
| Net income | 797 | 960 | 437 | 769 | (1,324) | 478 | 58 | 235 | 395 | 100 | |||||
| Depreciation | 363 | 372 | 398 | 423 | 420 | 394 | 415 | 451 | 583 | 795 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 47.95 | 64.07 | 67.06 | 71.23 | 28.89 | 49.38 | 76.16 | 81.85 | 93.03 | 120.49 | ||||
| Earnings | 6.59 | 8.34 | 3.55 | 6.24 | (10.59) | 3.82 | 0.46 | 1.84 | 3.13 | 0.85 | |||||
| Cash flow | 11.22 | 12.90 | 9.70 | 13.97 | (1.90) | 8.24 | 11.20 | 8.24 | 11.61 | 10.57 | |||||
| Capex | (5.45) | (7.69) | (7.66) | (5.42) | 0.46 | (2.32) | (13.19) | (11.73) | (10.16) | (13.44) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 5.77 | 5.21 | 2.04 | 8.55 | (1.43) | 5.92 | (2.00) | (3.49) | 1.45 | (2.87) | |||||
| Book value | 23.72 | 28.08 | 30.44 | 35.13 | 24.20 | 30.39 | 30.13 | 32.29 | 34.66 | 34.85 | |||||
| Shares, m | 124 | 123 | 123 | 123 | 123 | 125 | 127 | 127 | 126 | 118 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 13.37 | 9.00 | 17.14 | 10.87 | 0.00 | 13.64 | 93.69 | 20.81 | 20.75 | 55.27 | ||||
| P/S | 1.84 | 1.17 | 0.91 | 0.95 | 1.80 | 1.06 | 0.55 | 0.47 | 0.70 | 0.42 | |||||
| P/B | 3.71 | 2.67 | 2.00 | 1.93 | 2.15 | 1.71 | 1.40 | 1.19 | 1.87 | 1.44 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 2.07 | 1.29 | 1.01 | 0.95 | 1.84 | 1.17 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.91 | 0.66 | |||||
| EV/FCF | 17.19 | 15.87 | 33.33 | 7.90 | (37.11) | 9.75 | (20.09) | (12.53) | 58.20 | (27.58) | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 1,386 | 1,590 | 1,195 | 1,722 | (234) | 1,030 | 1,418 | 1,050 | 1,464 | 1,249 | ||||
| Capex | (673) | (948) | (944) | (668) | 57 | (290) | (1,671) | (1,494) | (1,281) | (1,588) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 713 | 642 | 251 | 1,054 | (177) | 740 | (253) | (444) | 183 | (339) | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | (485) | (534) | (1,155) | (1,164) | (287) | (71) | (1,453) | (1,754) | (2,385) | (3,323) | ||||
| Total debt | 2,964 | 2,569 | 2,103 | 1,499 | 3,495 | 3,818 | 2,159 | 2,471 | 4,988 | 5,555 | |||||
| Net debt | 1,384 | 948 | 867 | (22) | 149 | 702 | (258) | 680 | 2,484 | 3,404 | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 2,931 | 3,460 | 3,751 | 4,331 | 2,988 | 3,801 | 3,816 | 4,113 | 4,372 | 4,118 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 9.67 | 9.27 | 4.04 | 6.43 | (9.79) | 3.41 | 0.41 | 1.63 | 2.30 | 0.50 | ||||
| ROIC | 18.92 | 17.13 | 8.70 | 15.42 | (35.36) | 9.51 | 1.23 | 5.14 | 5.20 | 2.52 | |||||
| ROE | 29.84 | 30.04 | 12.12 | 19.03 | (36.18) | 14.08 | 1.52 | 5.93 | 9.31 | 2.36 | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
Alaska Air Group, Inc. vs peers in Airlines (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A. | $14.5B | 9.2× | 8.8× | +27.15% (above 0%: growing) | −45.68% (below 0%: shrinking) | −20.71% (below 0%: shrinking) | 16.27% | 5.29% | Compare |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | $8.5B | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +16.28% (above 0%: growing) | −87.91% (below 0%: shrinking) | −175.65% (below 0%: shrinking) | 20.73% | 2.67% | Compare |
| CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. | $5.5B | 8.8× | 8.2× | +25.72% (above 0%: growing) | −53.74% (below 0%: shrinking) | +207.63% (above 0%: growing) | 50.85% | 8.65% | Compare |
| ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. | $4.4B | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +9.75% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −14.61% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | (4.13%) | |
| SKYW SkyWest, Inc. | $3.8B | 9.4× | 7.8× | +6.52% (above 0%: growing) | −14.43% (below 0%: shrinking) | +122.47% (above 0%: growing) | 69.52% | 14.13% | Compare |
| AERO Grupo Aeromexico SAB DE CV - Sponsored ADR | $2.2B | 8.1× | 9.1× | +6.26% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +81.61% (above 0%: growing) | 66.60% | 4.53% | Compare |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Company | $2.1B | 53.8× | 32.8× | +36.86% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −610.56% (below 0%: shrinking) | 24.77% | 2.24% | Compare |
| JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation | $1.5B | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +14.47% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −4.95% (below 0%: shrinking) | 51.32% | (5.23%) | Compare |
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | $1.4B | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +37.67% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +183.13% (above 0%: growing) | 24.71% | (7.58%) | Compare |
| Median of peers | $3.0B | 9.2× | 8.8× | +21.00% | −49.71% | +38.33% | 37.81% | 3.60% |
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) key facts
- Strength: Alaska Air Group, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $14.2 billion, up 21.3% from fiscal 2024.
- Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) is an Airlines company in the Industrials sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- As of October 9, 2026, ALK traded at $39.36, a market capitalization of $4.4 billion.
- Return on equity was 2.36% and debt-to-equity 1.70.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 6 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 1.12 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.