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Alaska Air Group, Inc. ALK

Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years ,
Insider Buys alert about insiders buying in the last 12 month

We limit data available in the Overview Report for users who do not have Powerpack

Get access to target analyst prices, predictions, compound annual growth rates and more than four years of historical data.

Insider Decisions

Total buys
1.00
Total sells
3.47
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy 1
Sell 5 1
Insider Ownership
0.28%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
4,550.00
Revenue
14,763.00
Net Income
(175.00)
Free Cash Flow
(548.00)
Net Debt
3,540.00
Current Ratio
0.55
Debt/Equity
1.70
P/E ratio
0.00
P/S ratio
0.31
P/B ratio
1.23
Past 5Y EPS Growth
(13.04%)
This Y EPS Growth
(181.44%)
Next Y EPS Growth
333.94%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
49.31%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.00
Annual Dividend Rate
Annual Dividend Yield
0.37%
total individual payouts
2025 ‡‡‡‡
2024 ‡‡‡‡
2023 ‡‡‡‡
2022 ‡‡‡
2021 ‡‡‡
2020 0.38
2019 1.40
2018 1.28
2017 1.50
2016 1.10
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 1,791.00 2,504.00 2,151.00 2,695.00
Receivables 383.00 558.00 565.00 681.00
Inventory 116.00 199.00 203.00 253.00
Other 239.00 192.00 69.00 46.00
2,705.00 3,760.00 3,266.00 3,936.00
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 207.00 186.00 324.00 403.00
ST’ Debt 289.00 450.00 721.00 452.00
Other
4,459.00 6,145.00 6,589.00 7,192.00
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 3,300.00 4,065.00
’25 3,137.00 3,704.00 3,766.00 3,632.00
14,239.00
’24 2,232.00 2,897.00 3,072.00 3,534.00
11,735.00
’23 2,196.00 2,838.00 2,839.00 2,553.00
10,426.00
’22 1,681.00 2,658.00 2,828.00 2,479.00
9,646.00
’21 797.00 1,527.00 1,953.00 1,899.00
6,176.00
’20 1,636.00 421.00 701.00 808.00
3,566.00
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 421.00 185.00
’25 459.00 376.00 229.00 185.00
1,249.00
’24 292.00 580.00 318.00 274.00
1,464.00
’23 222.00 610.00 271.00 (53.00)
1,050.00
’22 287.00 948.00 174.00 9.00
1,418.00
’21 167.00 840.00 (106.00) 129.00
1,030.00
’20 33.00 288.00 (205.00) (350.00)
(234.00)
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 83.00 415.00
’25 221.00 486.00 (606.00) (440.00)
(339.00)
’24 235.00 50.00 53.00 (155.00)
183.00
’23 98.00 100.00 (86.00) (556.00)
(444.00)
’22 (1.00) 604.00 (141.00) (715.00)
(253.00)
’21 140.00 765.00 (194.00) 29.00
740.00
’20 (86.00) 239.00 (241.00) (89.00)
(177.00)
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (1.69) (0.68)
’25 (1.35) 1.42 0.62 0.18
0.83
’24 (1.05) 1.71 1.84 0.55
3.08
’23 (1.11) 1.86 1.08 (0.02)
1.83
’22 (1.14) 1.09 0.31 0.17
0.45
’21 (1.05) 3.15 1.53 0.14
3.77
’20 (1.87) (1.73) (3.49) (3.47)
(10.59)

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

1.4
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 38.19 30.75 32.62 37.63
Low Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 61.55 57.18 67.73 78.08
High Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 25,469 26,043 33,941 35,951
Employees
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.38 0.40 0.35 0.40
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 9,646.00 10,426.00 11,735.00 14,239.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 79.00 323.00 545.00 146.00
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.82% 3.10% 4.64% 1.03% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 58.00 235.00 395.00 100.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 415.00 451.00 583.00 795.00
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 76.16 81.85 93.03 120.49 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 0.46 1.84 3.13 0.85 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11.20 8.24 11.61 10.57
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (13.19) (11.73) (10.16) (13.44) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (2.00) (3.49) 1.45 (2.87)
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 30.13 32.29 34.66 34.85
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 126.66 127.38 126.14 118.17 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 93.69 20.84 20.75 55.27 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.55 0.47 0.70 0.42 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.40 1.19 1.87 1.44 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.53 0.53 0.91 0.66 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (20.09) (12.53) 58.20 (27.58)
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,418.00 1,050.00 1,464.00 1,249.00 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (1,671.00) (1,494.00) (1,281.00) (1,588.00) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (253.00) (444.00) 183.00 (339.00)
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (1,453.00) (1,754.00) (2,385.00) (3,323.00)
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2,159.00 2,471.00 4,988.00 5,555.00
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (258.00) 680.00 2,484.00 3,404.00
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,816.00 4,113.00 4,372.00 4,118.00
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.41% 1.63% 2.30% 0.50%
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.23% 5.14% 5.20% 2.52%
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.52% 5.93% 9.31% 2.36%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Alaska Air Group (ALK) has staged a dramatic revenue rebound, surging 229% from $3.57 billion in 2020 to $11.74 billion in 2024, driven by capacity expansion and post-COVID travel demand. Yet this growth masks deep inefficiencies: EBT margins languish at a mere 4.6%—far below the 22% peak in 2016—with employee headcount ballooning 39% and revenue per employee dropping 14% to $345,747. Profitability remains anemic amid softening pricing power, volatile free cash flow, and persistent operational headwinds like Boeing 737 MAX delays.

The balance sheet raises alarms, with total debt exploding 229% to $4.98 billion and net debt up 3,600% since 2019, eroding ROE to 9.3% and pressuring liquidity. The stalled Hawaiian Airlines merger—threatened by DOJ antitrust suits—promises West Coast scale but risks costly integration or lost synergies. Insiders signal caution, offloading $2.31 million in shares through 2026 with zero buys, amid labor unrest and capacity glut risks.

Valuation appears cheap at a 0.70 PS ratio and projected PE dropping to 8 by 2026 on EPS growth to $6.87, implying 27% upside to consensus targets. But analysts’ optimism for $17.25 billion revenue by 2028 ignores airline cyclicality: margin compression, $80+/barrel fuel shocks, recession vulnerability, and ROIC lagging cost of capital at 5.2%. Is ALK a recovery play or value trap? Dive deeper for the contrarian data.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

31 Aug

4 www.staradvertiser.com, 12:04 PM
Alaska and Hawaiian airlines report gains from their merger. Merger gains reflect major strategic integration likely to reshape competitive position and financial trajectory.

23 Aug

4 , 9:07 AM
Alaska Air Group launches new direct routes from Seattle to Europe to expand its international network and growth strategy. New Seattle-Europe routes constitute a major strategic expansion in international operations with potential to alter company trajectory.

3 , 5:08 AM
Alaska Air Group stock may trade below fair value with new Europe flights set to launch. New Europe flights signal route expansion that can lift revenue and investor views without guaranteeing major long-term shifts.

22 Aug

3 , 10:07 PM
Alaska Air Group CEO buys shares as carrier adds new routes, returning investor focus to ALK valuation. CEO purchases and route additions offer moderate positive signals for operations and sentiment without major trajectory shifts.

21 Aug

3 , 12:16 PM
Alaska Airlines adds direct routes from Seattle to Athens and Paris, expanding its international network. New European routes from Seattle increase international capacity and revenue potential without transforming overall operations.

20 Aug

3 , 8:00 AM
Alaska Airlines launches nonstop flights from Seattle to Athens and Paris, expanding its international route network. New European routes expand Alaska Airlines' international network and passenger growth potential.

31 Jul

4 , 1:03 PM
Alaska Air Group invests in loyalty program enhancements, long-haul route expansions, and major fleet upgrades to support future growth. Loyalty focus, long-haul expansions, and fleet upgrades represent major strategic moves that can significantly shift competitive position and performance.

30 Jul

4 , 11:53 AM
Alaska Air Group's integration of Hawaiian Airlines is reshaping its long-term growth trajectory through expanded network and strategic repositioning. Hawaiian integration marks a major strategic acquisition likely to significantly alter Alaska Air's competitive position and growth path.

22 Jul

4 , 8:15 PM
Alaska Air adds cargo freighters to expand operations and replaces its fleet serving Hawaiian islands. Fleet additions and replacements indicate major capital spending on cargo growth and route modernization.

4 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 1:06 PM
Alaska Air Group discussed Q2 financial results, operational metrics, and outlook during its earnings call. Q2 earnings figures and guidance directly move ALK stock price and valuation.

4 , 8:48 AM
Alaska Air fuel costs surged 85% and Q3 EPS outlook missed expectations. Higher fuel expenses raise operating costs while missed EPS outlook weakens earnings guidance.

4 , 7:03 AM
Alaska Air Group swung to a second-quarter loss and issued a downbeat earnings outlook. Downbeat outlook and quarterly loss signal weakened financial performance ahead.

3 transcript , 7:01 PM
Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) outlined strategic growth initiatives during its Q2 2026 earnings call while navigating operational and market challenges. Earnings call highlights point to strategic moves that may moderately shape ALK financial results and positioning.

3 airlinegeeks.com, 1:52 PM
Fuel costs caused setbacks for Alaska Air Group in Q2. Higher fuel expenses reduced the airline's quarterly profitability.

3 , 12:43 PM
Alaska Air Group beat Q2 earnings expectations despite rising fuel costs but missed revenue targets. Mixed Q2 earnings beat offset by revenue miss and fuel spike indicates noticeable but limited near-term effects on financials and sentiment.

3 www.customerexperiencedive.com, 11:57 AM
Alaska Air reports higher Net Promoter Scores after rolling out a new service system. New service system lifts NPS and supports modestly better customer retention and operations.

3 qz.com, 8:53 AM
Alaska Air posted Q2 2026 loss on fuel costs but expects Q3 recovery. Q2 fuel-driven loss with anticipated Q3 recovery signals temporary pressure unlikely to alter long-term trajectory.

3 transcript app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Alaska Air Group reported Q2 2026 results during its earnings call, covering revenue, costs, capacity, and forward outlook amid industry conditions. Quarterly earnings and guidance provide moderate insight into near-term financial trajectory and operational plans.

21 Jul

4 , 5:56 PM
Alaska Air Group reported second quarter 2026 results. Quarterly earnings results directly shape near-term stock valuation and investor outlook for Alaska Air Group.

3 , 5:55 PM
Alaska Air Group posted a Q2 loss and missed revenue estimates. Quarterly loss combined with revenue shortfall points to near-term pressure on financial results and stock sentiment.

3 , 4:30 PM
Alaska Airlines selects 737-800s to strengthen Hawaiian Airlines Neighbor Island service, enhancing guest experience and increasing capacity. Fleet addition for Hawaiian inter-island routes moderately raises capacity and service levels for Alaska Air Group.

3 , 4:30 PM
Alaska Airlines adds four freighters, doubling its cargo capacity. Doubling cargo capacity via four new freighters marks a clear expansion in Alaska Airlines freight operations.

14 Jul

3 , 10:00 AM
Alaska Air Group (ALK) Q2 earnings are expected to decline. Preview of expected Q2 earnings decline may pressure near-term stock performance.

13 Jul

3 , 12:02 PM
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) is scheduled to report Q2 earnings, with focus on factors that may shape subsequent stock performance. Upcoming earnings releases typically produce moderate short-term effects on ALK stock via investor reaction to results.

12 Jul

3 , 7:11 AM
Alaska Air Group nears earnings release while Hawaiian Airlines integration narrative signals undervalued shares. Earnings timing combined with integration progress can moderately shift financial outlook and investor views.

9 Jul

3 , 11:00 AM
Alaska and Hawaiian airlines posted record Fourth of July results and finished first in the industry for the first half of 2026. Industry-leading holiday and half-year operational metrics strengthen reputation and near-term market sentiment for Alaska Air Group.

27 Jun

3 , 6:10 AM
Alaska Air Group rolls out Starlink Wi-Fi across its fleet to boost passenger connectivity and differentiate from competitors on in-flight amenities. Starlink deployment improves product features and competitive stance yet leaves core financial trajectory and market position largely unchanged.

22 Jun

4 247wallst.com, 12:55 PM
Berkshire Hathaway invested $2.65 billion in Alaska Air Group, breaking Warren Buffett's rule against airline investments. Berkshire's $2.65 billion stake signals major external validation that can lift ALK valuation and sentiment.

17 Jun

3 , 4:15 PM
Alaska Air Group (ALK) stock may be 19.8% overvalued following oil price relief and sustainable aviation fuel progress. Oil relief and SAF progress prompt valuation reassessment that moderately shifts ALK investor sentiment.

3 , 11:06 AM
Alaska Air Group opens new maintenance facility at PDX to expand West Coast operations. PDX facility addition improves operational efficiency and West Coast capacity with moderate effects on costs and reliability.

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