Saturday 31 October 2026
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Serve Robotics Inc.
SERV Industrials Integrated Freight & Logistics
Serve Robotics Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.7 million, up 46.2% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 404.4%, EPS fell 122.2% and free cash flow fell 97.5%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for three consecutive years.
2.60
0.24
−8.45%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.77 | 4.66 | +163.3% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | |
| High | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30.00 | 24.35 | (18.8%) | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ||
| People | |||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 67 | 110 | 380 | +138.2% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | |
| Revenue/emp, $m | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 | n/m | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +190.8% | 10 | 34 | 56 | +177.0% | |
| Gross margin, % | — | — | — | — | — | — | (965.31) | (733.83) | (4.14) | (580.23) | +385.1 pt | ||||||
| EBT | — | — | — | — | — | — | (22) | (25) | (39) | (105) | +68.7% | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | — | — | — | — | — | — | (20,273.75) | (11,958.41) | (2,161.67) | (3,961.41) | +16,312.3 pt | ||||||
| Net income | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | (22) | (25) | (39) | (101) | +461.9% | ||||||
| Depreciation | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | +173.4% | ||||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.04 | n/m | |||||
| Earnings | — | — | — | — | — | — | (3.17) | (1.75) | (1.07) | (1.63) | (19.9%) | ||||||
| Cash flow | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | (0.01) | (3.10) | (1.12) | (0.59) | (1.29) | +240.9% | ||||||
| Capex | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | (0.53) | 0.00 | (0.28) | (0.60) | n/m | ||||||
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | (0.01) | (3.63) | (1.12) | (0.87) | (1.89) | +267.9% | ||||||
| Book value | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | (0.01) | (1.81) | (0.28) | 3.59 | 5.63 | n/m | ||||||
| Shares, m | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 62 | +68.2% | ||||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | |||||
| P/S | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,628.40 | 1,628.40 | 272.97 | 243.87 | 943.4 | ||||||
| P/B | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.76 | 1.84 | 1.4 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,629.48 | 1,629.48 | 205.11 | 155.91 | 905.0 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | — | — | — | — | — | — | (17.24) | (17.24) | (11.70) | (3.52) | (12.4) | ||||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | (21) | (16) | (22) | (80) | +472.0% | |||||
| Capex | — | — | — | — | — | — | (4) | 0 | (10) | (37) | +117.2% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | (25) | (16) | (32) | (118) | +517.5% | ||||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | (5) | 118 | 228 | n/m | |||||
| Total debt | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0 | — | — | (81.0%) | ||||||
| Net debt | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | (2) | 0 | (123) | (233) | +656.8% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | (12) | (4) | 132 | 351 | n/m | ||||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | (1,125.77) | (511.57) | (437.30) | (55.04) | (39.96) | (40.0) pt | |||||
| ROIC | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | (284.38) | (60.07) | (60.1) pt | ||||||
| ROE | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 121.60 | 348.98 | 301.02 | (61.40) | (42.02) | (42.0) pt | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026 · fundamentals updated 26 Oct 2026
Serve Robotics Inc. vs peers in Integrated Freight & Logistics (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUBG Hub Group, Inc. | $1.6B | 15.3× | 14.4× | −5.31% (below 0%: shrinking) | +23.08% (above 0%: growing) | −37.43% (below 0%: shrinking) | 26.84% | 4.22% | Compare |
| CYRX CryoPort, Inc. | $926.4M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +7.74% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +35.91% (above 0%: growing) | 46.61% | (20.50%) | Compare |
| FWRD Forward Air Corporation | $603.7M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +8.76% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +59.37% (above 0%: growing) | 49.11% | (29.91%) | Compare |
| RLGT Radiant Logistics, Inc. | $426.6M | 22.9× | 22.9× | +18.52% (above 0%: growing) | +60.00% (above 0%: growing) | −662.14% (below 0%: shrinking) | 25.55% | 3.26% | Compare |
| SERV Serve Robotics Inc. | $246.3M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +404.36% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −97.50% (below 0%: shrinking) | (271.12%) | (2,040.30%) | |
| FLX BingEx Limited | $77.0M | — (loss-making) | 7.1× | −3.11% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | — | 10.16% | 0.77% | Compare |
| PSIG PS International Group Ltd. | $75.5M | — (loss-making) | — | — | n/m | +36.15% (above 0%: growing) | — | — | Compare |
| PAL Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc. | $67.9M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −5.32% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −124.95% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | (2.96%) | Compare |
| NCEW New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited | $56.0M | — | — | — | — | −150.21% (below 0%: shrinking) | — | — | Compare |
| Median of peers | $251.8M | — | 14.4× | +2.31% | — | −37.43% | 36.73% | (1.10%) |
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 24 April 2026
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
5.00%
Vinod Khosla
5.90%
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement