Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
RRGB Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.2 billion, down 3.07% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue fell 2.14%, EPS fell 90.9%, free cash flow grew 107.2% and total debt was flat, each against the same quarter a year earlier.
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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) Altman Z-score
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.'s Altman Z-score for fiscal 2025 is 1.56, in the distress zone (below 1.81).
Altman Z-score, annual
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Annual newest first
| Period | Altman Z-score | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 1.56 | 0.31 |
| FY2024 | 1.24 | (0.39) |
| FY2023 | 1.64 | 0.52 |
| FY2022 | 1.12 | (0.06) |
| FY2021 | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| FY2020 | 0.12 | (1.51) |
| FY2019 | 1.63 | (0.88) |
| FY2018 | 2.52 | (0.50) |
| FY2017 | 3.01 | 0.29 |
| FY2016 | 2.73 | (0.60) |
How fiscal 2025’s score is made up
| Component | This year | Year before | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Working capital / total assets | (0.19) | — | −0.23 | |
| Retained earnings / total assets | (0.31) | — | −0.44 | |
| EBIT / total assets | 0.00 | — | 0.02 | |
| Market value of equity / total liabilities | 0.11 | — | 0.06 | |
| Sales / total assets | 2.15 | — | 2.15 | |
| Altman Z-score | Distress zone | 1.56 | ||
| Z″ Variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies (drops the sales/assets term, uses book equity) | Distress zone | −2.43 | ||
How the Altman Z-score works
Z = 1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets (Altman, 1968). The market value of equity is the close on the last trading day of the fiscal year times weighted basic shares.
Z″ = 6.56 × working capital ÷ total assets + 3.26 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 6.72 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 1.05 × book equity ÷ total liabilities (Altman, Hartzell and Peck, 1995), the variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies.
| Zone | Z | Z″ |
|---|---|---|
| Safe zone | above 2.99 | above 2.60 |
| Grey zone | 1.81–2.99 | 1.10–2.60 |
| Distress zone | below 1.81 | below 1.10 |
Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs, whose balance sheets the model does not describe, nor when a figure is missing or there is no share price in the week to the fiscal year end.
Altman Z-score against peers
| Company | Altman Z-score |
|---|---|
| HCHL Happy City Holdings Limited compare | 5.5× |
| MB MasterBeef Group compare | 4.5× |
| BDL Flanigan's Enterprises, Inc. compare | 3.0× |
| BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. compare | 1.6× |
| RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. compare | 1.6× |
| RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. | 1.6× |
| JACK Janus Henderson Sustainable & Impact Core Bond ETF compare | 1.5× |
| PTLO Portillo's Inc. compare | 0.7× |
| NDLS Noodles & Company compare | 0.1× |
What Altman Z-score is
The Altman Z-Score weighs working capital, retained earnings, operating profit, market value and sales against assets and debts to gauge the risk of distress.
1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets