| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 2.41 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 2.34 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 2.26 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2.21 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 2.11 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 1.99 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 1.87 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 1.69 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 1.49 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 1.38 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 1.24 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 458.41 | 1,972.47 | 1,747.73 | 1,683.26 |
| Receivables | — | — | — | — |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 21,402.92 | 23,874.24 | 23,318.65 | 26,448.17 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 27,179.81 | 28,381.34 | 28,482.48 | 32,599.69 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 31,248.90 | 31,845.16 | 30,664.61 | 35,226.63 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 488.25 | 520.20 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 434.11 | 435.75 | 439.35 | 429.43 |
1,738.62
|
| ’24 | 420.78 | 458.95 | 459.00 | 450.78 |
1,789.52
|
| ’23 | 365.58 | 400.14 | 419.10 | 413.00 |
1,597.81
|
| ’22 | 284.01 | 295.40 | 314.24 | 346.32 |
1,239.96
|
| ’21 | 306.11 | 296.41 | 294.99 | 289.39 |
1,186.89
|
| ’20 | 330.63 | 312.27 | 317.36 | 315.19 |
1,275.44
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 185.11 | 162.43 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 178.17 | 98.18 | 194.82 | 78.34 |
549.51
|
| ’24 | 187.40 | 216.49 | 274.64 | (205.84) |
472.69
|
| ’23 | 179.77 | 194.90 | 243.74 | 27.95 |
646.36
|
| ’22 | 235.68 | 79.53 | 191.80 | (0.48) |
506.53
|
| ’21 | 230.75 | 204.84 | 184.12 | 75.02 |
694.73
|
| ’20 | 209.93 | 227.45 | 59.51 | 85.43 |
582.32
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 183.65 | 162.87 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 173.92 | 95.75 | 188.19 | 73.28 |
531.13
|
| ’24 | 181.05 | 211.99 | 276.41 | (204.41) |
465.03
|
| ’23 | 170.29 | 189.97 | 235.80 | 31.52 |
627.58
|
| ’22 | 216.29 | 76.41 | 186.76 | (5.27) |
474.18
|
| ’21 | 233.70 | 210.09 | 182.10 | 74.00 |
699.88
|
| ’20 | 205.78 | 222.11 | 56.16 | 90.04 |
574.09
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.16 | 1.67 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.37 | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.49 |
5.72
|
| ’24 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.34 | 1.37 |
5.05
|
| ’23 | 1.37 | 0.94 | 1.20 | 1.02 |
4.51
|
| ’22 | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
5.73
|
| ’21 | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.38 |
5.60
|
| ’20 | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.48 |
5.68
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 64.69 | 49.60 | 57.16 | 61.07 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 80.46 | 78.76 | 86.76 | 82.75 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,633 | 3,850 | 3,916 | 3,941 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.34 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.44 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,239.96 | 1,597.81 | 1,789.52 | 1,738.62 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 92.77% | 69.45% | 66.63% | 71.88% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 666.17 | 534.46 | 612.67 | 693.58 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 53.73% | 33.45% | 34.24% | 39.89% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 524.52 | 419.32 | 479.39 | 542.84 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 70.94 | 58.20 | 57.41 | 51.60 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.54 | 17.20 | 18.84 | 18.32 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 5.73 | 4.51 | 5.05 | 5.72 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.53 | 6.96 | 4.98 | 5.79 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.35) | (0.20) | (0.08) | (0.19) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.18 | 6.76 | 4.90 | 5.60 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 73.13 | 76.20 | 78.30 | 80.24 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 91.60 | 92.90 | 95.00 | 94.92 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.59 | 15.09 | 14.89 | 12.06 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.33 | 3.97 | 4.00 | 3.77 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.99 | 0.90 | 0.96 | 0.86 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.86 | 6.56 | 5.47 | 5.41 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.93 | 16.71 | 21.03 | 17.71 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 506.53 | 646.36 | 472.69 | 549.51 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (32.35) | (18.78) | (7.66) | (18.38) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 474.18 | 627.58 | 465.03 | 531.13 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (11,745.34) | (9,845.98) | (7,970.92) | (7,345.96) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,320.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,895.87 | (458.41) | (1,972.47) | (1,747.73) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6,699.37 | 7,079.33 | 7,438.50 | 7,616.14 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.39% | 1.10% | 1.23% | 1.39% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.85% | 5.19% | 7.06% | 7.39% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.99% | 6.09% | 6.60% | 7.21% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Prosperity Bancshares (PB), a Texas regional bank known for opportunistic acquisitions, has delivered impressive revenue growth—up 125% to $1.79 billion since 2016—driven by deals like the 2021 Southside Bancshares purchase and pandemic loan surges. Yet, this masks severe profitability erosion: gross margins plunged 28% to 66.6% by 2024 amid soaring funding costs from Fed rate hikes, with EBT margins halving to 34.2% and ROE lagging peers at 6.6%. Relentless insider selling—nearly $4 million in shares dumped systematically near current prices, with zero buys—signals deep skepticism, especially as shares trade near highs despite these cracks.
Valuation appears bargain-like at 14.9x trailing PE, 0.96x book value, and strong free cash flow coverage for dividends, but free cash flow per share dropped 35% and book value relies on volatile deposits showing persistent negative working capital. Analyst projections bet on rate cuts, M&A revival, and EPS jumping 43% to $7.20 by 2027, yet they gloss over 2023 banking crisis echoes, unrealized losses, and Texas CRE exposure.
As a risk-averse observer, PB’s resilience feels like over-optimism in an unstable rate environment—projections assume a soft landing that insiders seem to doubt. With ROA stuck below peers and potential for deposit flight or credit deterioration, this could be a value trap re-testing lows sub-$65. The full analysis unpacks these downside risks and balance sheet fragilities worth scrutinizing.
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