Orchid Island Capital, Inc. ORC

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Get access to target analyst prices, predictions, compound annual growth rates and more than four years of historical data.

Insider Decisions

in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy
Sell
Insider Ownership 0.86%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 1,210.00
Revenue 562.65
Net Income 244.72
Free Cash Flow 206.45
Net Debt (317.60)
Current Ratio 0.00
Debt/Equity 0.34
P/E ratio 4.11
P/S ratio 2.17
P/B ratio 0.85
Past 5Y EPS Growth (23.20%)
This Y EPS Growth 64.83%
Next Y EPS Growth (7.65%)
Next 5Y EPS Growth 6.44%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 13.00
Annual Dividend Rate 1.92
Annual Dividend Yield 18.02%
total individual payouts
2027 ‡‡‡
2026 1.26
2025 1.44
2024 1.44
2023 1.80
2022 3.12
2021 3.90
2020 3.95
2019 4.80
2018 5.35
2017 8.40
2016 8.40
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 200.29 335.05 724.56 813.64
Receivables 14.95 23.04 49.13 55.43
Inventory
Other
215.24 358.10 773.69 869.06
2022 2023 2024 2025
Payables 60.45 1.52
ST’ Debt 3,378.00
Other
60.45 1.52
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 157.84 164.19
’25 81.09 92.29 108.43 132.19 414.00
’24 48.87 53.06 67.65 72.00 241.58
’23 38.01 39.91 50.11 49.54 177.57
’22 41.86 35.27 35.61 31.90 144.63
’21 26.86 29.25 34.17 44.42 134.70
’20 35.67 27.26 27.22 25.89 116.05
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 48.62 81.61
’25 25.78 18.44 27.97 48.26 120.45
’24 45.01 19.29 (14.82) 17.51 66.99
’23 (2.63) 15.97 35.49 (40.82) 8.00
’22 114.17 70.49 105.99 (1.29) 289.37
’21 24.76 13.89 22.54 35.26 96.44
’20 (7.10) 19.16 18.82 24.49 55.37
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 48.62 81.61
’25 25.78 18.44 27.97 48.26 120.45
’24 45.01 19.29 (14.82) 17.51 66.99
’23 (2.63) 15.97 35.49 (40.82) 8.00
’22 114.17 70.49 105.99 (1.29) 289.37
’21 24.76 13.89 22.54 35.26 96.44
’20 (7.10) 19.16 18.82 24.49 55.37
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.11) 0.44
’25 0.18 (0.29) 0.53 0.62 1.24
’24 0.38 (0.09) 0.24 0.07 0.57
’23 0.09 0.25 (1.68) 0.52 (0.89)
’22 (4.20) (1.70) (2.40) 0.95 (2.63)
’21 (1.70) (0.85) 1.00 (1.35) (2.70)
’20 (7.05) 3.65 2.10 1.15 0.15

Target Price Range

High ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Average ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Low ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

3
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
Powerpack only forecast
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7.95 5.90 7.41 5.69
Low Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 23.55 12.66 9.08 9.01
High Price
Employees
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 144.63 177.57 241.58 414.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (258.45) (39.23) 37.66 159.03
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (178.70%) (22.09%) 15.59% 38.41% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (258.45) (39.23) 37.66 159.03 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3.86 3.98 3.69 3.23 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ (2.63) (0.89) 0.57 1.24 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7.72 0.18 1.02 0.94
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7.72 0.18 1.02 0.94
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11.71 10.53 10.21 10.69
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 37.47 44.65 65.45 128.30 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 12.97 6.92 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.77 2.09 2.11 2.23 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.91 0.79 0.76 0.67 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 25.45 26.69 19.63 11.49 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 12.72 592.09 70.77 39.48
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 289.37 8.00 66.99 120.45 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 289.37 8.00 66.99 120.45
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 248.74 154.79 358.10 772.17
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,378.00 128.72
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,140.78 (200.29) (335.05) (595.84)
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 438.76 469.95 668.50 1,371.95
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (4.73%) (0.96%) 0.75% 1.83%
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (3.44%) 37.71% 51.35% 37.43%
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (42.83%) (8.63%) 6.62% 15.59%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Orchid Island Capital (ORC), a dynamic agency mortgage REIT, has staged an electrifying comeback in 2024, swinging from a massive $392 million loss in 2023 to $37.7 million in net income—a over 1,000% turnaround fueled by deleveraging to a rare net cash position, surging free cash flow, and stabilizing spreads amid cooling inflation. Revenue hit a peak of $241.6 million, up at a 13% CAGR over eight years, powering its signature 20%+ dividend yields that thrill yield seekers, even as share dilution tempers per-share gains. With book value recovering and ROE rebounding to 6.6%, ORC’s efficient capital deployment shines in a rate-sensitive arena ripe for Fed cuts.

Trading at a compelling 0.76 price-to-book and 13.0 trailing P/E—deeply discounted versus peers—ORC offers undervalued entry amid sector undervaluation, underscored by improving ROIC at 51.4% and robust liquidity buffers. Insider neutrality and consensus price targets signal low downside risk, positioning this high-wire act for explosive upside as housing dynamics and monetary easing unlock RMBS potential.

Analysts project a stellar trajectory: net income exploding to $266 million in 2026 (a 209% jump from 2025), EPS rocketing 149% to $1.42, and revenue surging toward $278 million by 2027, assuming sustained spreads above 200 bps. Despite dilution risks, ORC’s net cash fortress and FCF strength set the stage for ROE north of 15% and multiple expansion— a high-octane growth story for bold investors eyeing outsized returns in a softening rate world.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

31 Jul

4 , 5:10 AM

Orchid Island Capital recorded a profit swing and completed a buyback, altering its investment story. Profit swing combined with completed buyback at Orchid Island Capital shifts its performance trajectory and investor outlook.

24 Jul

3 , 5:01 PM

Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) reported strong EPS recovery in its Q2 2026 earnings call. Strong EPS recovery points to improved profitability with moderate effects on future financial performance and investor views.

3 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 1:03 PM

Orchid Island Capital held its Q2 earnings call covering portfolio performance, net interest income, dividend outlook, and mortgage market conditions for the REIT. Q2 earnings call updates provide moderate insight into financial metrics and strategy that can shift short-term investor sentiment for ORC.

3 transcript app.moby.co, 8:30 AM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call covering quarterly results, portfolio performance, and management outlook for the mortgage REIT. Q2 earnings call supplies updated financial metrics and guidance that can move ORC share price and sentiment in the near term.

23 Jul

3 , 4:10 PM

Orchid Island Capital reported its second quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings results shape near-term investor views on financial health and valuation.

22 Jun

3 GlobeNewswire, 4:45 PM

Orchid Island Capital increased its stock repurchase program authorization and released an estimated book value per share. Expanded buybacks can support share price while the book value estimate improves valuation transparency for investors.

30 Apr

4 Insider Monkey, 5:30 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) announced financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. Quarterly earnings results directly influence financial performance, dividend sustainability, and investor sentiment for a mortgage REIT like ORC.

4 Simply Wall St., 12:28 AM

Orchid Island Capital (ORC) faces valuation scrutiny after Q1 net loss and further book value decline amid rising interest rates and portfolio adjustments. Q1 loss and book value decline represent major financial setbacks likely to pressure ORC's market performance and investor confidence.

29 Apr

4 Simply Wall St., 12:06 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) reported a significant loss, raising investor concerns about its prospects for raising new capital and maintaining dividend payments. Loss directly undermines ORC's dividend sustainability and capital-raising ability, core to mREIT performance and investor sentiment.

27 Apr

4 www.marketbeat.com, 5:36 PM

Orchid Island Capital's Q1 earnings call highlighted book value decline to $8.11 per share, $17.9 million net income, $22.4 million economic net interest income, unchanged $0.12 monthly dividend, and portfolio adjustments amid rising interest rates. Q1 financial results, dividend stability, and strategy updates signal significant potential shifts in performance and investor sentiment for the mortgage REIT.

25 Apr

4 GuruFocus.com, 3:04 AM

Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) Q1 2026 earnings call highlights detail strategies for navigating challenges amid economic pressures, with focus on portfolio management, dividend sustainability, and outlook for agency MBS investments. Q1 2026 earnings highlights address key challenges in portfolio and dividends, likely significantly influencing ORC's market performance and investor sentiment.

24 Apr

4 app.moby.co, 8:30 AM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) released Q1 2026 earnings call summary covering financial results, portfolio performance, dividend declarations, and management outlook amid interest rate environment. Q1 2026 earnings summary details financial metrics, book value, and dividend policy directly shaping ORC's valuation and investor sentiment.

23 Apr

3 GlobeNewswire, 4:05 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) announced first quarter 2026 results, detailing financial performance for the period. Quarterly earnings announcements influence financial performance and investor sentiment but represent routine reporting.

20 Apr

3 , 7:07 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) lowered its monthly dividend, prompting investors to reconsider income strategies amid potential impacts on yield and stock performance. Dividend reduction affects key income appeal for ORC investors and may moderately pressure financial performance and market sentiment.

16 Apr

3 247wallst.com, 9:03 AM

SRET investors receive high income yields plus 24% capital gains this year. SRET's 24% capital gains and income reflect strong sector performance benefiting ORC's market sentiment and future outlook.

15 Mar

4 Simply Wall St., 9:07 AM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) dividend reliability faces scrutiny as cash coverage ratios tighten, raising concerns over sustainability amid financial pressures. Tightening cash coverage directly threatens ORC's high dividend payouts, core to its investor appeal, potentially eroding market confidence and performance.

13 Mar

3 GuruFocus.com, 5:00 PM

Bimini Capital Management Inc. (BMNM) reported strong net income in Q4 2025 earnings call highlights. BMNM's strong Q4 2025 net income as ORC's external manager indicates solid portfolio performance with moderate positive influence on ORC's financials and sentiment.

1 Feb

4 Simply Wall St., 11:26 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) is experiencing a significant surge in earnings projected for 2025, which is reshaping its risk-reward profile. This improvement is expected to enhance investor sentiment and potentially attract more capital, as the company adapts to changing market conditions and focuses on optimizing its portfolio. The anticipated earnings growth reflects strategic adjustments and a favorable economic environment, positioning ORC for a more robust financial future. The projected earnings surge is likely to significantly impact investor sentiment and the company's financial trajectory.

3 Simply Wall St., 2:10 AM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) has experienced mixed returns recently, leading to a modest undervaluation estimate. Analysts are assessing the company's financial performance and market positioning amidst these fluctuations. The evaluation focuses on the potential for future growth and the impact of current market conditions on ORC's trajectory. Mixed returns and modest undervaluation suggest a moderately noticeable influence on financial performance and market sentiment.

30 Jan

4 transcript GuruFocus.com, 4:03 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) reported strong net income and an increase in book value during its Q4 2025 earnings call. The company highlighted its effective management strategies and positive market conditions that contributed to its financial performance. Investors expressed optimism about the company's future prospects, driven by its robust earnings and strategic initiatives. Strong net income and increased book value indicate significant positive momentum for future performance.

3 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 7:09 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. reported its Q4 earnings, highlighting key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company discussed its performance in the mortgage-backed securities market, emphasizing its focus on maintaining a strong dividend payout. Management addressed challenges faced during the quarter, including market volatility and interest rate fluctuations, while outlining plans for future growth and stability. The earnings call provided insights into the company's operational strategies and outlook for the upcoming year. The earnings call revealed operational strategies and market challenges that could moderately influence financial performance.

3 , 9:10 AM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) faces potential limitations on its book value growth due to its dividend payouts, according to a report from Compass Point. The firm suggests that while dividends are attractive to investors, they may hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities, ultimately affecting long-term financial performance. Dividend payouts could moderately influence financial performance and growth potential.

29 Jan

3 Associated Press Finance, 5:06 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) reported its Q4 earnings, highlighting key financial metrics and performance indicators. The company continues to navigate challenges in the mortgage REIT sector, with fluctuations in interest rates impacting its portfolio. Management provided insights into future strategies aimed at enhancing shareholder value and addressing market conditions. Overall, the earnings report reflects the company's ongoing efforts to adapt to a dynamic economic environment. The earnings report indicates moderate influences on financial performance and strategic positioning due to market conditions.

3 GlobeNewswire, 4:05 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, highlighting key metrics such as net income, earnings per share, and dividend declarations. The company emphasized its strategic initiatives and market positioning, providing insights into its performance amidst prevailing economic conditions. Management expressed optimism about future growth and stability, citing effective risk management and investment strategies. The financial results indicate moderate performance that may influence investor sentiment and operational aspects but are not expected to drastically change the company's trajectory.

14 Jan

3 GlobeNewswire, 4:27 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) has announced its estimated results for the fourth quarter of 2025, highlighting key characteristics of its RMBS portfolio as of December 31, 2025. The report provides insights into the company's financial performance and portfolio composition, which are critical for stakeholders and investors monitoring ORC's market position. The estimated results and portfolio characteristics may moderately influence investor sentiment and financial performance.

12 Jan

3 Simply Wall St., 4:09 AM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) has experienced notable share price momentum, leading to discussions about its valuation and premium P/E ratio. Analysts are assessing the implications of this price movement on the company's financial health and market positioning, considering factors such as dividend sustainability and interest rate impacts. The current valuation metrics suggest a premium compared to historical averages, prompting a closer look at future performance expectations and investor sentiment. The recent share price momentum and premium P/E ratio may moderately influence investor sentiment and financial performance.

9 Dec

3 GlobeNewswireGuruFocus.com, 5:29 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. has announced its monthly dividend for December 2025 and provided details on its RMBS portfolio characteristics as of November 30, 2025. The announcement includes specific metrics and performance indicators related to the company's mortgage-backed securities investments, reflecting its ongoing strategy in the market. The announcement of the monthly dividend and portfolio characteristics may moderately influence investor sentiment and financial performance.

25 Oct

4 Simply Wall St.GuruFocus.comGuruFocus.com, 8:15 AM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) is anticipated to experience earnings surprises and potential buybacks, which could shift investor expectations. Analysts are closely monitoring these developments as they may influence the company's financial performance and market sentiment. The focus on buybacks suggests a commitment to returning value to shareholders, while earnings surprises could indicate stronger-than-expected operational performance. Investors are advised to stay alert for these changes, as they may significantly impact ORC's stock trajectory. Earnings surprises and buybacks are likely to significantly influence investor sentiment and the company's market performance.

24 Oct

4 Simply Wall St., 6:05 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) reported strong Q3 earnings, leading to renewed investor optimism. The company's performance has sparked interest among investors, reflecting positively on its valuation. Analysts are assessing the implications of these results on future growth and market positioning, suggesting a potential shift in investor sentiment towards ORC. Strong Q3 earnings and renewed investor optimism indicate significant potential for future performance and market sentiment.

3 Simply Wall St., 7:17 PM

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) has reported a return to profitability, but faces challenges regarding its premium valuation and sustainability narratives. The company's financial performance has improved, yet concerns remain about the sustainability of its growth and valuation in the current market environment. Profitability improvements may influence financial performance, but sustainability concerns could limit overall impact.