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INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC IVR

Real Estate — Reit Mortgage
Insider Buys (last 12m)
Insider Buys alert about insiders buying in the last 12 month

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Insider Decisions

Total buys
0.02
Total sells
0.05
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — 1 — — 1 — — — —
Sell — 1 — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership
0.00%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
703.97
Revenue
315.87
Net Income
120.07
Free Cash Flow
166.02
Net Debt
5,969.87
Current Ratio
0.04
Debt/Equity
6.27
P/E ratio
4.36
P/S ratio
1.94
P/B ratio
0.74
Past 5Y EPS Growth
(51.53%)
This Y EPS Growth
(17.18%)
Next Y EPS Growth
(10.36%)
Next 5Y EPS Growth
(9.45%)
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.41
Annual Dividend Rate
1.60
Annual Dividend Yield
18.77%
total individual payouts
2028 ‡‡‡‡‡
2027 ‡‡‡‡‡
2026 1.08
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2025 0.94
—
—
—
—
2024 1.60
—
—
—
—
2023 2.25
—
—
—
—
—
2022 3.35
—
—
—
—
2021 3.59
—
—
—
—
—
2020 6.20
—
—
—
—
2019 18.50
—
—
—
—
2018 17.28
—
—
—
—
—
2017 16.30
—
—
—
—
2016 16.40
—
—
—
—
—
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 198.64 210.88 166.43 240.54
Receivables — — — —
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
198.64 210.88 166.43 240.54
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 1.30 1.62 1.58 2.29
ST’ Debt 4,458.70 4,893.96 5,619.26 6,210.40
Other — — — —
4,475.78 4,928.29 5,649.50 6,225.20
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 79.64 85.41 — —
—
’25 73.85 70.62 72.92 77.90
295.29
’24 68.58 68.03 73.83 76.11
286.55
’23 69.29 71.43 75.13 62.08
277.93
’22 42.17 44.56 49.73 58.06
194.51
’21 40.01 43.15 43.18 42.86
169.20
’20 186.70 30.17 27.44 35.86
280.17
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 26.69 42.23 — —
—
’25 19.35 40.63 37.30 59.81
157.09
’24 57.50 32.98 30.83 61.86
183.16
’23 67.16 86.58 52.37 31.67
237.79
’22 40.14 40.64 46.01 69.30
196.08
’21 34.51 38.97 36.98 41.84
152.29
’20 110.04 20.58 13.10 26.75
170.46
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 26.69 42.23 — —
—
’25 19.35 40.63 37.30 59.81
157.09
’24 57.50 32.98 30.83 61.86
183.16
’23 67.16 86.58 52.37 31.67
237.79
’22 40.14 40.64 46.01 69.30
196.08
’21 34.51 38.97 36.98 41.84
152.29
’20 110.04 20.58 13.10 26.75
170.46
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.28) 0.34 — —
—
’25 0.26 (0.40) 0.74 0.68
1.32
’24 0.49 (0.38) 0.63 (0.09)
0.65
’23 0.39 (0.03) (1.62) 0.46
(0.85)
’22 (7.20) (3.52) (2.78) 0.84
(12.21)
’21 (0.90) (3.40) 1.70 (2.30)
(4.80)
’20 (103.80) (18.00) 5.30 5.90
(98.90)

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

2.8
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 9.60 6.34 7.60 5.86 — — —
Low Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 30.20 15.56 9.97 9.06 — — —
High Price
— — — — — — — — — — — — —
Employees
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 194.51 277.93 286.55 295.29 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 73.49% 17.88% 12.85% 25.54% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (402.92) (15.86) 59.88 101.28 — — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (207.15%) (5.71%) 20.90% 34.30% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (402.92) (15.86) 59.88 101.28 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (20.21) (24.22) (12.72) (4.97) — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5.69 6.31 5.33 4.42 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ (12.21) (0.85) 0.65 1.32 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5.74 5.40 3.41 2.35 — — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5.74 5.40 3.41 2.35 — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 23.54 17.76 13.59 11.92 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 34.16 44.07 53.77 66.88 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 12.38 6.57 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.31 1.37 1.51 1.90 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.89 0.77 0.78 0.89 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 26.45 19.37 20.44 22.88 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 26.24 22.63 31.97 43.00 — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 196.08 237.79 183.16 157.09 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
— ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ — — — — — — — — — —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 196.08 237.79 183.16 157.09 — — —
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (3,977.95) (4,277.14) (4,717.41) (5,483.07) — — —
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 4,234.82 4,458.70 4,893.96 5,619.26 — — —
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,956.04 4,260.06 4,683.08 5,452.82 — — —
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 804.08 782.67 730.73 797.54 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (6.16%) (0.72%) 0.63% 1.45% — — —
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.54% 0.37% 0.20% 0.57% — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (56.36%) (7.51%) 6.62% 14.84% — — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR), a mortgage REIT focused on agency RMBS, has endured a decade of extreme volatility, with its stock plunging from triple-digit highs above $188 in 2019 to single-digit lows around $6-8 today. This collapse mirrors brutal book value erosion—BVPS down 93% to $13.59—driven by COVID-19 shocks, unprecedented MBS spread widening, and Fed rate hikes that crushed net interest margins. Massive share dilution (from 11.2 million to 66.8 million shares) preserved liquidity but hammered per-share metrics, while revenue peaked at $778 million pre-pandemic before stabilizing at $286 million in 2024 amid resilient but anemic cash flows.

Profitability swings underscore IVR’s leverage risks: EPS cratered from $28.70 in 2017 to losses exceeding $1.67 billion in 2020, with ROE hitting -108% before scraping 6.6% in 2024. Deleveraging slashed debt 75% to $4.9 billion, boosting ROIC and ROA, yet gross margins languished at 12.9% and insider silence—no buys, minimal sells—signals caution. Valuation looks cheap at 0.8x PB and 1.5x PS, but reflects eroded NAV confidence.

Projections hint at fragile recovery: revenue may halve to $139 million by 2026, but net income turns positive at $47.9 million, driving EPS to $1.00 by 2027 and ROE toward double-digits if Fed cuts widen spreads. Analyst targets offer 9% upside at best or 5% dip on average, with 15%+ yields tempting yield hunters. IVR’s deleveraged balance sheet and hedging could fuel 10-20% rebound, but dilution scars and macro risks demand vigilance—watch BVPS for the next twist.

Read full commentary →

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC (IVR) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

7 Aug

3 transcript www.fool.com, 10:28 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) released its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript covering quarterly results, portfolio performance, and management outlook. Earnings updates supply performance metrics that can shift near-term investor sentiment without guaranteeing structural change.

31 Jul

3 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 4:03 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) issued Q2 earnings call highlights covering quarterly results and management commentary. Quarterly earnings details can shift near-term investor views and trading but rarely overhaul long-term strategy.

3 transcript app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. discussed Q2 2026 financial results and outlook during its earnings call. Q2 earnings call updates performance metrics and strategy for Invesco Mortgage Capital.

30 Jul

3 , 4:15 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. reported its second quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings reports deliver performance metrics that can shift investor sentiment and valuation.

14 May

3 PR Newswire, 4:15 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) announced its May 2026 dividend alongside an April financial update, detailing portfolio performance and maintaining its high-yield payout schedule. Dividend announcements and financial updates for mortgage REITs like IVR influence investor sentiment and yield expectations without fundamentally altering long-term operations.

2 May

3 GuruFocus.com, 3:02 AM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) Q1 2026 earnings call highlights strategies for navigating market volatility amid ongoing challenges. Earnings highlights on volatility navigation will moderately affect IVR's financial performance and investor sentiment without fundamentally altering long-term trajectory.

1 May

4 www.marketbeat.com, 8:05 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) Q1 earnings call highlights quarterly financial results, portfolio performance, dividend updates, and management outlook. Q1 earnings highlights disclose core financial metrics and guidance that significantly shape IVR's valuation and investor expectations.

4 transcript www.fool.com, 10:51 AM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) Q1 2026 earnings call transcript released, detailing quarterly financial results, management discussion, and forward-looking statements. Q1 2026 earnings transcript discloses financial performance and guidance, significantly influencing IVR's trajectory and investor sentiment.

4 app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. summarized its Q1 2026 earnings call, detailing financial results, dividend declarations, portfolio updates, and outlook amid interest rate shifts. Q1 2026 earnings highlights and guidance directly shape IVR's valuation, dividend sustainability, and market trajectory.

30 Apr

3 PR Newswire, 4:15 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) reported first quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings disclosure affects financial performance metrics and investor sentiment for IVR.

27 Apr

3 Simply Wall St., 4:05 PM
New analyst price target for Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) triggers shift in narrative, highlighting changing investor perceptions and potential upside for the mortgage REIT amid market dynamics. New price target shifts IVR narrative, moderately influencing investor sentiment and short-to-medium term market performance.

15 Apr

3 PR Newswire, 4:15 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. announced its April 2026 dividend and released financial update as of March 31, 2026. Dividend announcements and financial updates for REITs like IVR moderately influence investor sentiment and short-term stock performance.

14 Apr

4 PR Newswire, 4:15 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) appoints Kevin Collins as Chief Executive Officer and David Lyle as President. New CEO and President appointments constitute a major leadership change likely to influence strategic direction and market performance.

12 Apr

4 Simply Wall St., 7:09 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) shifts its investment story through new price targets and equity plans amid evolving market dynamics. New targets and equity plans indicate major strategic adjustments likely to influence IVR's trajectory and investor outlook.

29 Mar

4 Simply Wall St., 6:07 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) investment narrative shifts due to changing Agency MBS policies and widening spreads, altering the mortgage REIT's outlook and positioning. Agency MBS policy changes and spread shifts directly impact IVR's core operations, profitability, and investor sentiment as a mortgage REIT.

15 Mar

4 Simply Wall St., 7:08 AM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) investment narrative shifts with new valuation metrics and policy signals indicating potential positive trajectory changes. New valuation and policy signals signal major shifts in market dynamics for IVR, likely altering its trajectory and investor sentiment significantly.

13 Mar

3 PR Newswire, 5:35 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) announced its March 2026 dividend and released a financial update as of February 28, 2026. Dividend announcements and financial updates for mortgage REITs like IVR moderately influence stock performance and investor sentiment regarding yield stability.

13 Feb

4 Simply Wall St., 11:23 PM
Analysts are adjusting their outlook for Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) as sector assumptions undergo a reset. This shift is driven by changing market dynamics and expectations regarding interest rates, which could influence IVR's performance and strategic direction moving forward. Shifts in sector assumptions and market dynamics are likely to significantly impact IVR's future performance and investor sentiment.

3 PR Newswire, 4:15 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. announced its dividend for February 2026 and provided a financial update as of January 31, 2026. The company reported key financial metrics and outlined its strategic direction moving forward, highlighting its commitment to shareholder returns amidst market conditions. The dividend announcement and financial update may influence investor sentiment and financial performance but are not expected to significantly alter the company's overall trajectory.

30 Jan

4 transcript GuruFocus.com, 4:00 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) reported strong economic returns in its Q4 2025 earnings call, highlighting robust financial performance and strategic initiatives that position the company favorably in the market. The management emphasized effective risk management and a focus on enhancing shareholder value, which contributed to positive investor sentiment. Overall, the results reflect a solid operational foundation amid evolving market conditions. Strong economic returns and strategic initiatives are likely to significantly impact future performance and investor sentiment.

3 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 7:09 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital reported its Q4 earnings, highlighting key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company discussed its performance in the mortgage market, addressing challenges and opportunities. Management provided insights into future expectations and operational adjustments aimed at enhancing profitability. The earnings call emphasized the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet and adapting to market conditions. The earnings call revealed important insights into financial performance and strategic adjustments that could moderately influence the company's future trajectory.

3 Simply Wall St., 10:10 AM
Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) is experiencing a shift in narrative following a new price target adjustment. Analysts are reassessing the company's outlook based on recent market conditions and performance metrics. The updated target reflects changes in interest rates and economic indicators that could influence IVR's profitability and investment appeal. Investors are closely monitoring these developments as they could impact future stock performance and strategic decisions. The new price target and market conditions are expected to moderately influence IVR's financial performance and investor sentiment.

3 Insider Monkey, 9:10 AM
Compass Point has maintained a Buy rating on Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR), highlighting the company's wider-than-average mortgage spreads as a positive indicator for its performance. This assessment suggests confidence in IVR's ability to navigate current market conditions effectively. Wider-than-average mortgage spreads may moderately influence IVR's financial performance and market positioning.

29 Jan

3 Associated Press Finance, 5:12 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. reported its Q4 earnings, highlighting key financial metrics and performance indicators. The company experienced fluctuations in its portfolio value and dividend distributions, reflecting broader market conditions. Analysts are evaluating the implications of these results on future operations and investor sentiment. The earnings report indicates moderate fluctuations in financial performance that could influence investor sentiment and operational strategies.

28 Jan

3 Zacks, 12:28 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is preparing to release its Q4 earnings report, which is anticipated to provide insights into the company's financial performance and future outlook. Analysts are closely watching for key metrics that could influence stock performance and investor sentiment. The report is expected to reflect the impact of recent market conditions and interest rate changes on the company's operations. The upcoming earnings report may affect financial performance and investor sentiment but is not expected to fundamentally alter the company's trajectory.

21 Jan

3 PR Newswire, 4:15 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is set to announce its fourth quarter 2025 financial results. The announcement is anticipated to provide insights into the company's performance and strategic direction moving forward. The upcoming earnings announcement may influence investor sentiment and provide insights into the company's financial health.

15 Jan

4 Simply Wall St., 5:12 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) is experiencing a shift in narrative due to new policy changes and valuation signals. Recent developments indicate potential adjustments in the company's strategy and market positioning, which could influence investor sentiment and future performance. Analysts are closely monitoring these changes as they may impact IVR's operational dynamics and overall market outlook. New policy changes and valuation signals are likely to significantly impact the company's future and performance.

3 Zacks, 5:50 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) has experienced a rise in its stock price, outperforming the broader market. Key factors contributing to this increase include favorable market conditions and strategic management decisions that have positively influenced investor sentiment. Analysts are optimistic about the company's future performance, citing its strong fundamentals and potential for growth in the mortgage sector. The stock's rise indicates a moderately noticeable influence on investor sentiment and market performance.

3 PR Newswire, 4:15 PM
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. has announced its monthly common dividend and provided an update on its book value and leverage. The company continues to manage its portfolio effectively amid changing market conditions, ensuring stability for its shareholders. Updates on dividend and book value indicate moderate influence on financial performance and investor sentiment.

14 Jan

3 ZacksMT NewswiresSimply Wall St.ZacksMT NewswiresSimply Wall St.MT NewswiresSimply Wall St., 9:40 AM
Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) is currently being evaluated for potential undervaluation in the market. Analysts are examining various financial metrics and market conditions to determine if the stock presents a buying opportunity. Factors such as interest rates, dividend yields, and the company's asset management strategies are being considered in this assessment. Investors are encouraged to analyze these elements to make informed decisions regarding IVR's future performance. Current market conditions and financial metrics indicate a moderately noticeable influence on IVR's performance.
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