Novavax, Inc. NVAX

10.63 0.03 0.28% as of 25 Sep
Market cap
$1.8B
P/E
0.0×

Insider Decisions

in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 4.76%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 1,750.00
Revenue 413.80
Net Income (247.73)
Free Cash Flow (42.20)
Net Debt (426.13)
Current Ratio 2.33
Debt/Equity (1.54)
P/E ratio 0.00
P/S ratio 4.23
P/B ratio 0.00
Past 5Y EPS Growth 25.88%
This Y EPS Growth (128.25%)
Next Y EPS Growth 79.60%
Next 5Y EPS Growth 36.59%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.00
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2025 Powerpack
2024 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
2020 Powerpack
2019 Powerpack
2017 Powerpack
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 579 934 746 719
Receivables 297 108 106 19
Inventory 42 9 12 10
Other — — 88 —
1,144 1,129 978 771
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 133 42 25 23
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other 861 220 186 136
1,635 1,154 460 331
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales 40.97% 18.76% (17.24%)
Cash Flow 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Earnings 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Book Value 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 140 57 — — —
’25 667 239 70 147 1,123
’24 94 415 85 88 682
’23 81 424 187 291 984
’22 704 186 735 357 1,982
’21 447 298 179 222 1,146
’20 3 36 157 280 476
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (32) (73) — — —
’25 (186) (127) 108 (39) (245)
’24 (84) 314 (145) (173) (87)
’23 (326) (172) (40) (177) (714)
’22 (89) (171) (39) (118) (416)
’21 663 144 (142) (342) 323
’20 (23) 116 (6) (129) (43)
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (34) (73) — — —
’25 (187) (129) 106 (42) (251)
’24 (91) 311 (147) 17 91
’23 (349) (180) (58) (186) (773)
’22 (105) (195) (68) (140) (509)
’21 649 129 (154) (359) 265
’20 (23) 112 (15) (171) (97)
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.06) (0.32) — — —
’25 2.93 0.62 (1.25) 0.11 2.58
’24 (1.05) 0.99 (0.76) (0.51) (1.23)
’23 (3.41) 0.58 (1.26) (1.44) (5.41)
’22 2.56 (6.53) (2.15) (2.28) (8.42)
’21 (3.05) (4.75) (4.31) (11.18) (23.44)
’20 (0.58) (0.30) (3.21) (2.70) (7.27)
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

2.3
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
23.20 14.60 23.00 3.54 3.65 109.01 8.75 4.80 3.53 5.01

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
Low Price
169.80 35.60 55.00 48.80 189.40 331.68 145.20 13.70 23.86 11.55
High Price
355 347 379 165 791 1,541 1,992 1,543 952 749
Employees
0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Revenue/Emp
15 31 34 19 476 1,146 1,982 984 682 1,123
Revenue
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 54.46% 65.05% 70.28% 93.50%
Gross Margin
(280) (184) (185) (133) (418) (1,715) (654) (543) (177) 442
EBT
(1,823.53%) (589.46%) (538.81%) (711.04%) (87.94%) (149.57%) (32.98%) (55.20%) (25.89%) 39.36%
EBT Margin
(280) (184) (185) (133) (418) (1,744) (658) (545) (187) 440
Net Income
10 11 10 6 5 13 29 41 48 28
Depreciation
1.13 2.13 1.85 0.77 8.26 15.41 25.35 9.76 4.48 6.94
Revenue/Sh
(20.60) (12.60) (10.00) (5.51) (7.27) (23.44) (8.42) (5.41) (1.23) 2.72
Earnings/Sh
(19.11) (9.87) (10.00) (5.67) (0.74) 4.34 (5.32) (7.09) (0.57) (1.51)
Cash Flow/Sh
(1.34) (0.29) (0.07) 0.68 (0.95) (0.77) (1.19) (0.58) 1.17 (0.04)
Capex/Sh
(20.46) (10.16) (10.07) (4.99) (1.69) 3.57 (6.51) (7.67) 0.60 (1.55)
Free CF/Sh
(0.41) (6.95) (9.08) (7.72) 10.90 (4.73) (8.11) (7.11) (4.10) (0.79)
Book Value/Sh
14 15 18 24 58 74 78 101 152 162
Shares
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.45
PE Ratio
22.40 12.20 19.84 5.14 13.49 9.29 0.39 0.52 1.79 0.97
PS Ratio
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PB Ratio
25.69 16.44 26.15 17.94 12.56 8.24 (0.19) 0.15 0.75 0.52
EV/Sales
(1.42) (3.45) (4.82) (2.79) (61.59) 35.17 0.75 (0.20) 5.66 (2.34)
EV/FCF
(259) (144) (185) (137) (43) 323 (416) (714) (87) (245)
Op' Cash Flow
(18) (4) (1) 16 (55) (57) (93) (59) 178 (6)
Capex
(277) (149) (186) (120) (97) 265 (509) (773) 91 (251)
FCF
221 130 74 71 669 (235) (757) (491) (25) 518
Working Cap'
316 318 319 321 362 323 198 224 223 246
Total Debt
51 132 216 239 (443) (1,203) (1,149) (355) (710) (500)
Net Debt
(6) (102) (168) (186) 627 (352) (634) (717) (624) (128)
Sh' Equity
(71.75%) (52.75%) (72.38%) (69.67%) (47.65%) (83.85%) (27.21%) (26.88%) (11.17%) 32.17%
ROA
(373.77%) (351.93%) (225.18%) (142.67%) (141.24%) 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
ROIC
(195.01%) 342.60% 137.02% 74.98% (189.60%) (1,265.71%) 133.49% 80.69% 27.97% (117.16%)
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) key facts

  • Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) is a Biotechnology company in the Healthcare sector, listed on Nasdaq.
  • Novavax, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.1 billion, up 64.7% from fiscal 2024.
  • As of September 25, 2026, NVAX traded at $10.63, a market capitalization of $1.8 billion.
  • Return on equity was −117.2% and debt-to-equity -1.54.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

16 Sep

4

Novavax could trade 32 percent above fair value due to Medicare policy fears affecting its valuation and market performance. Medicare policy fears indicate Novavax shares may sit 32 percent above fair value and alter investor sentiment.

3

Novavax forms new partnerships that may offset policy risks from the Protecting Approved Care Act. New partnerships could moderately balance policy risks affecting NVAX operations and market position.

10 Sep

4

Novavax highlights catalysts from Sanofi and Pfizer in its pivot to the Matrix-M platform. Pivot to Matrix-M platform with Sanofi and Pfizer catalysts marks major strategic move that could significantly alter company trajectory.

3

Novavax emphasizes Matrix-M licensing efforts alongside oncology expansion plans during Cantor Conference presentation. Licensing initiatives and oncology ambitions indicate moderate strategic shifts with potential revenue impact.

1 Sep

3

NVAX shares rise 6% on speculation about Matrix-M use in oncology, with questions on whether the royalty model represents the core driver. Speculation around Matrix-M oncology applications can affect NVAX market sentiment and short-term performance but lacks confirmation of major strategic or operational shifts.

29 Aug

4

Expanded Nuvaxovid royalties and partner-led execution may shape Novavax investment narrative. Expanded royalties and partner execution signal major strategic factors likely to alter NVAX trajectory and investor sentiment.

3

Novavax receives updated Nuvaxovid approval and faces wide debate over its fair value. Updated vaccine approval prompts analyst debate on valuation without altering core operations.

28 Aug

4

Pfizer begins shipping its updated COVID-19 vaccine into a notably smaller market than prior seasons, reflecting reduced demand for boosters. Shrinking overall COVID vaccine demand directly pressures Novavax revenue and market position in its core product area.

4

Novavax secures approvals for XFG-adapted Nuvaxovid in the U.S., EU, and Japan for the 2026-2027 season through its partnership strategy. Approvals across major markets support future vaccine sales and revenue for Novavax.

3

NVAX stock rises as partnership model sustains ongoing cash flow from COVID vaccine. Partnerships maintain vaccine revenue and lift near-term financial performance.

26 Aug

4

Novavax achieves milestone vaccine success but its stock pulls back following the announcement. Vaccine milestone success can substantially boost Novavax's market position and future prospects.

19 Aug

4

Novavax (NVAX) shares surged sharply amid recent positive developments for the company. Sharp share price increase signals major positive events likely to alter company trajectory and investor sentiment.

8 Aug

4

Novavax shares rise 8.6% after beating Q2 estimates and expanding partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies. Q2 earnings beat plus expanded big-pharma partnerships indicate major strategic progress that can lift revenue outlook and investor sentiment.

7 Aug

4

Novavax beat Q2 earnings and sales estimates while raising its 2026 sales outlook. Beats on earnings and sales with raised 2026 outlook point to stronger financial trajectory and investor sentiment.

3

Novavax Q2 earnings call highlights financial results and operational updates. Q2 earnings highlights deliver financial and outlook details with moderate short-term market effects.

6 Aug

4

Novavax lifts revenue outlook on licensing pivot. NVAX stock holds steady. Retail eyes buyout and more partnership deals. Licensing pivot raises revenue outlook and sparks buyout speculation potentially transforming company trajectory.

4

Novavax surpassed earnings forecasts, raised its revenue outlook, and advanced its Sanofi collaboration. Beating forecasts with raised revenue guidance plus Sanofi progress signals major positive shift in financial trajectory and investor sentiment.

3

Novavax Inc reported Q2 2026 earnings with Matrix-M adjuvant momentum driving revenue growth. Positive Matrix-M revenue momentum signals moderate influence on NVAX financial performance and market position.

3

Novavax reported a Q2 loss while surpassing revenue estimates. Mixed Q2 results with a loss but revenue beat point to moderate effects on near-term financials and sentiment.

3

Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX) exceeded Q2 CY2026 expectations. Quarterly earnings beat provides moderate positive signal for near-term sentiment and share price without altering long-term trajectory.

3

Novavax reported second quarter 2026 financial results and operational highlights. Quarterly earnings releases typically produce moderate effects on near-term stock valuation and sentiment.

5 Aug

3

Novavax may be 44% undervalued after shifting strategy toward licensing deals and focusing on Cyclospora. Licensing pivot and Cyclospora focus could moderately lift valuation and market perception.

10 Jun

4

Novavax pivots strategy to Matrix-M licensing after ceding Europe to Sanofi. Strategic pivot to Matrix-M licensing plus loss of European territory signals major realignment of Novavax revenue model and market reach.

26 May

3

NVAX stock rises on positive developments driving investor interest and trading activity. Stock gains reflect moderate short-term sentiment shifts without evidence of major strategic or operational transformation.

16 May

3

Novavax's Q1 earnings call drew analyst questions on revenue guidance, COVID vaccine sales trajectory, clinical pipeline updates, cost management, and potential partnerships or new market entries. Earnings call questions reflect routine scrutiny of financials and pipeline that may sway near-term sentiment without signaling major strategic shifts.

11 May

4

Novavax (NVAX) shares surged 25.9% after a deal with Pfizer for its Matrix-M adjuvant and Q1 earnings beating expectations. Pfizer Matrix-M deal unlocks key adjuvant revenue stream while Q1 beat reinforces financial recovery, significantly enhancing NVAX trajectory and sentiment.

3

Novavax stock surges amid hype, but institutional investors aggressively sell shares, signaling caution. Institutional selling amid stock rally highlights sentiment shift that could moderately pressure near-term performance.

7 May

4

Novavax (NVAX) Q1 earnings beat expectations, stock jumps 16% on Matrix-M deal momentum. Q1 earnings beat and Matrix-M deal momentum indicate strong financial results and strategic partnership growth, significantly boosting NVAX stock and future outlook.

6 May

4 transcript

Novavax (NVAX) Q3 2025 earnings call transcript details quarterly financial results, operational updates, and forward-looking statements from management. Q3 2025 earnings transcript discloses financial performance, pipeline progress, and guidance, likely driving major shifts in investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

4

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) Q1 2026 earnings call summary highlights quarterly financial results, operational progress, pipeline updates, and forward guidance. Q1 2026 earnings details directly influence NVAX financial performance, investor sentiment, and strategic trajectory.

stockrow.com/NVAX · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com