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McDonald's Corporation MCD

Consumer Cyclical — Restaurants
S&P 500 Member Dividend Champion (5y)
Indexes indicate stock being part of an index ,
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

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Insider Decisions

Total sells
40.53
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — 3 3 1 5 3 2 2 1 — — —
Insider Ownership
0.26%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
176,560.00
Revenue
27,702.00
Net Income
8,787.00
Free Cash Flow
7,931.00
Net Debt
39,041.00
Current Ratio
1.08
Debt/Equity
(38.97)
P/E ratio
20.17
P/S ratio
6.35
P/B ratio
0.00
Past 5Y EPS Growth
7.66%
This Y EPS Growth
5.86%
Next Y EPS Growth
7.97%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
6.95%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.55
Annual Dividend Rate
6.68
Annual Dividend Yield
2.31%
total individual payouts
2028 ‡‡‡‡‡
2027 ‡‡‡‡‡
2026 7.50
—
—
—
2025 7.17
—
—
—
—
2024 6.78
—
—
—
—
2023 6.23
—
—
—
—
2022 5.66
—
—
—
—
2021 5.25
—
—
—
—
2020 5.04
—
—
—
—
2019 4.73
—
—
—
—
2018 4.19
—
—
—
—
2017 3.83
—
—
—
—
2016 3.61
—
—
—
—
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 4,579.00 1,085.00 774.00 822.00
Receivables 2,488.00 2,383.00 2,466.00 2,485.00
Inventory 53.00 56.00 61.00 58.00
Other 919.10 1,130.00 924.00 —
7,986.00 4,599.00 4,163.00 4,345.00
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 1,103.00 1,029.00 1,149.00 1,114.00
ST’ Debt 2,192.00 — — —
Other — — — —
6,859.00 3,861.00 4,361.00 4,018.00
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 6,517.00 7,099.00 — —
—
’25 5,956.00 6,843.00 7,078.00 7,008.00
26,885.00
’24 6,169.00 6,490.00 6,873.00 6,388.00
25,920.00
’23 5,898.00 6,498.00 6,692.00 6,406.00
25,494.00
’22 5,665.60 5,718.40 5,872.10 5,926.90
23,183.00
’21 5,124.60 5,887.90 6,201.30 6,009.10
23,222.90
’20 4,714.40 3,761.50 5,418.10 5,313.80
19,207.80
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 2,412.00 2,810.00 — —
—
’25 2,428.00 1,998.00 3,428.00 2,697.00
10,551.00
’24 2,390.00 1,689.00 2,737.00 2,631.00
9,447.00
’23 2,420.00 1,674.00 3,029.00 2,489.00
9,612.00
’22 2,133.30 618.10 2,433.90 2,201.70
7,387.00
’21 2,124.00 1,733.20 2,617.80 2,666.50
9,141.50
’20 1,546.00 (213.10) 2,939.50 1,992.80
6,265.20
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1,764.00 1,998.00 — —
—
’25 1,882.00 1,265.00 2,439.00 1,730.00
7,316.00
’24 1,851.00 1,076.00 1,953.00 1,914.00
6,794.00
’23 1,935.00 1,151.00 2,472.00 1,792.00
7,350.00
’22 1,737.00 186.50 1,913.80 1,689.70
5,527.00
’21 1,788.10 1,274.40 2,157.60 1,987.60
7,207.70
’20 1,079.30 (516.30) 2,549.50 1,539.30
4,651.80
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 2.78 3.32 — —
—
’25 2.60 3.14 3.18 3.03
11.95
’24 2.66 2.80 3.13 2.80
11.39
’23 2.45 3.15 3.17 2.80
11.56
’22 1.48 1.60 2.68 2.59
8.33
’21 2.05 2.95 2.86 2.18
10.04
’20 1.47 0.65 2.35 1.84
6.31

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

2.1
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 217.68 245.73 243.53 276.53 — — —
Low Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 281.67 299.35 317.90 326.32 — — —
High Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.18 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 23,183.00 25,494.00 25,920.00 26,885.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 56.97% 57.12% 56.75% 57.41% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7,825.00 10,522.00 10,345.00 10,897.00 — — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 33.75% 41.27% 39.91% 40.53% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 6,177.00 8,469.00 8,223.00 8,563.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,871.00 1,978.00 2,097.00 2,199.00 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 31.48 35.02 36.09 37.69 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 8.33 11.56 11.39 11.95 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 10.03 13.21 13.15 14.79 ‡‡‡‡ — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (2.53) (3.11) (3.69) (4.53) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7.50 10.10 9.46 10.26 — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (8.15) (6.47) (5.29) (2.51) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 736.50 727.90 718.30 713.40 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 31.66 25.67 25.45 25.58 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 8.40 8.48 8.03 8.11 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 9.86 9.84 9.50 9.63 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 41.37 34.15 36.23 35.41 — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7,387.00 9,612.00 9,447.00 10,551.00 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (1,860.00) (2,262.00) (2,653.00) (3,235.00) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5,527.00 7,350.00 6,794.00 7,316.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,622.10 1,127.00 738.00 (198.00) — — —
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 36,564.50 39,345.00 38,424.00 39,973.00 — — —
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 33,980.70 34,766.00 37,339.00 39,199.00 — — —
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (6,003.40) (4,707.00) (3,797.00) (1,791.00) — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11.85% 15.89% 14.77% 14.93% — — —
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 20.94% 24.22% 21.82% 20.70% — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (116.50%) (158.16%) (193.44%) (306.59%) — — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) demonstrates operational resilience through its franchise-heavy model, delivering steady efficiency gains amid headwinds like inflation, food safety scares, and shifting consumer habits. Revenue per share has climbed from $28.82 in 2016 to a projected $42.57 by 2027 (3.4% CAGR), while EPS is forecasted to reach $14.32 from $11.39 in 2023 (+26%), propelled by a 60% headcount cut since 2016 that boosted revenue per employee 163% to $172,800. Gross margins expanded to 57.1% via royalty-driven income, supporting revenue growth to $30.3 billion by 2027 and robust free cash flow per share at $13.15, underscoring its cash-generative moat.

Yet, the balance sheet warrants caution: shareholders’ equity remains negative at -$3.8 billion, with debt at $38.4 billion, though covered by strong operating cash flows and ROIC of 21.8%. Profitability has fortified post-pandemic, with net income up 79% to $8.5 billion and share repurchases shrinking shares 16%, but insider activity shows 20 sells totaling $21 million over the past year and no buys—signaling stability yet limited near-term enthusiasm.

Valuation at 25x PE and 36x EV/FCF appears fair for this defensive staple, with analysts eyeing modest 5-16% upside and 8-12% annualized returns through 2028, tempered by wage pressures, competition, and capex ramps. MCD suits steady performers, but downside risks from leverage and margins merit close scrutiny in the full analysis.

Read full commentary →

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

18 Sep

3 , 7:43 PM
McDonald's stock shows potential for gains as market conditions and operational factors align to support future performance and investor returns. Market conditions may moderately influence McDonald's competitive position without fundamentally altering long-term trajectory.

3 , 10:00 AM
McDonald's raised its quarterly dividend, providing income investors with higher payouts and signaling ongoing cash flow strength. Dividend increase offers modest positive signal for investor returns but does not shift core operations or long-term trajectory.

3 247wallst.com, 9:40 AM
McDonald's stock continues declining but a Wall Street analyst forecasts 45% gains ahead. Analyst upside forecasts can lift short-term MCD sentiment without altering core operations.

3 247wallst.com, 7:45 AM
McDonald’s sales growth slows amid competition from Burger King owner Restaurant Brands International. Slowing McDonald’s sales growth moderately affects financial performance and competitive positioning.

17 Sep

4 , 3:51 PM
McDonald's plans to overhaul its value strategy to revive US sales growth. Value strategy overhaul represents a major move targeting core US operations and sales trajectory.

3 www.trefis.com, 5:26 PM
McDonald's has stopped addressing its low-income customer segment, signaling potential strategic shifts or difficulties retaining budget-conscious diners amid changing market conditions. Reduced focus on low-income customers risks slower sales growth and weaker competitive positioning in a price-sensitive market.

3 247wallst.com, 1:14 PM
McDonald’s CEO admits execution failure as K-shaped economy splits consumer base. CEO admission of execution failure signals operational challenges that may affect McDonald's performance amid consumer divergence.

16 Sep

4 , 3:10 PM
McDonald's investors prepare for a major company update likely tied to strategic or financial developments. Major update signals strategic moves or results that could significantly shift MCD trajectory and sentiment.

15 Sep

3 www.entrepreneur.com, 10:00 AM
A Chinese restaurant chain has surpassed McDonald's in total locations worldwide by copying the low-cost, high-volume expansion model of a major U.S. discount retailer to accelerate domestic growth. A larger Chinese rival using proven discount tactics intensifies competition and threatens McDonald's market share in its key growth region.

14 Sep

4 , 11:23 PM
McDonald's commits US$20 billion to delivery expansion and app enhancements, triggering evaluations of investor reactions to the scale of these operational shifts. US$20 billion delivery and app investment marks a major strategic move capable of significantly altering McDonald's trajectory and investor sentiment.

3 , 11:14 AM
Morgan Stanley indicates McDonald's Investor Day will provide strategy details amid challenging demand. Investor Day strategy update amid demand challenges may moderately shift market sentiment and positioning.

3 , 10:02 AM
McDonald's seeks strategies to expand growth from its $20B delivery platform amid ongoing competition. Delivery platform expansion may moderately affect McDonald's revenue and competitive stance without major trajectory shifts.

10 Sep

3 www.tikr.com, 4:28 PM
McDonald's stock hits 52-week low as U.S. business struggles while franchise operations remain stable. U.S. business weakness signals moderate pressure on domestic revenue and near-term stock trajectory.

3 , 12:00 PM
Burger King launches new Whoppers and raises quality standards in major menu revamp. Burger King menu changes directly affect competitive positioning against McDonald's.

8 Sep

3 , 9:16 AM
McDonald's is slowing new restaurant expansion to safeguard returns on those investments amid challenging conditions. Slower expansion pace may stabilize new-unit returns and influence financial performance modestly.

1 Sep

3 , 9:16 AM
McDonald's faces consumer pressure but looks to international markets for growth. International markets offer potential to offset consumer pressures on McDonald's operations and performance.

28 Aug

4 www.trefis.com, 6:26 PM
McDonald's shareholders receive a $37 billion consolation prize tied to major corporate restructuring and asset moves. $37 billion capital return or equivalent event materially shifts shareholder value and market perception of MCD.

3 , 10:18 AM
McDonald's plans major menu changes while its shares face ongoing struggles. Menu adjustments may shift sales and customer demand at McDonald's.

25 Aug

3 , 1:09 PM
McDonald's digital platform update raises questions on whether the company is fairly valued. Digital platform update may influence McDonald's operations and sentiment but leaves overall trajectory largely intact.

3 , 11:30 AM
McDonald's evaluates if its unified digital platform can drive additional growth and productivity. Digital platform rollout may moderately affect McDonald's operations and positioning without altering core trajectory.

20 Aug

3 , 4:12 PM
McDonald's tests loyalty perks and menu tie-ins to reverse declining U.S. traffic trends. Loyalty perks and menu tie-ins represent operational adjustments that may moderately affect U.S. sales without fundamentally altering long-term trajectory.

3 , 12:10 PM
McDonald's pursues value reset strategy to convert weak U.S. traffic into sales growth. Value reset targets U.S. traffic weakness to potentially lift sales.

19 Aug

3 www.trefis.com, 7:51 PM
McDonald's stock rally could be driven by sales recovery, menu changes, digital sales growth, and expansion in key markets amid shifting consumer trends. Discussion of potential rally factors points to moderate effects on sentiment and performance without confirmed major shifts.

18 Aug

3 app.moby.co, 5:04 PM
McDonald's burgers rise as China's preferred budget meal amid slowing economy and shifting consumer preferences toward affordable fast food. Growing popularity in China signals moderate long-term sales growth potential for McDonald's largest international market.

3 , 3:09 PM
McDonald's appoints new US president to steer next growth phase amid evolving market conditions and operational priorities. New US president appointment may shift operational strategies and competitive positioning without fundamentally redefining company trajectory.

3 , 1:18 PM
McDonald's faces questions on buy status as lower valuation meets execution risks. Lower valuation with execution risks may moderately shift McDonald's investor sentiment and trajectory.

3 , 1:13 PM
McDonald's Q2 earnings beat expectations, shifting focus to U.S. traffic trends and operating margins. Earnings beat supports near-term sentiment yet sustained attention on U.S. traffic and margins points to moderate ongoing performance pressure.

3 www.fool.com, 11:05 AM
McDonald's reports disappointing customer traffic but continues collecting steady rent payments from franchisees. Disappointing traffic points to softer core sales while franchise rent collections provide offsetting stability.

3 , 12:00 AM
Burger King is capturing market share from McDonald's in the lunch segment via competitive menu items and promotions, pressuring McDonald's sales and positioning. Rising competition from Burger King can reduce McDonald's market share and exert short-term pressure on sales without fundamentally altering its overall trajectory.

17 Aug

4 , 2:03 PM
McDonald's launches direct competitive moves targeting Starbucks to challenge its position in coffee and breakfast markets. Direct competitive push against Starbucks signals major strategic positioning that could shift market share and investor views on McDonald's growth trajectory.
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