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El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

LOCO Consumer Cyclical Restaurants

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $490.0 million, up 3.60% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+2.97%
EPS
+79.2%
Free cash flow
+155.5%
Total debt
−55.5%

Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier

16.45 0.02 −0.12%
Market cap
$500.9M
P/E
13.9×
Fwd P/E
13.7×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
9/9
Altman Z
1.61
Beneish M
−2.52
Dividend safety
n/a
Overview
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios

Insider Decisions last twelve months

Sold, $m 10.02
Trades a month
Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — 1 5 2 — 1 —
Insider Ownership 4.94%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Size
Market Cap 500.93
Revenue ttm 500.79
Net income ttm 34.86
Free cash flow ttm 41.01
Net debt Q 18.05
Valuation
P/E 13.94
Forward P/E 13.70
Price / sales 0.98
Forward P/S Powerpack
Price / FCF 11.93
Price / book 1.54
Financial health
Current ratio Q 0.41 (below 1: weak)
Debt / equity Q 0.10 (at or below 0.5: strong)
Interest coverage Q 26.46
Growth
Revenue growth Q +2.97% (above 0%: growing)
Operating income growth Q +65.26% (above 0%: growing)
EPS, this year +4.76%
EPS, next year A +7.79%
Revenue, next year A +2.87%
EPS, past 5 yrs +5.77%
EPS, next 5 yrs A +5.44%

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges; (Q) is the latest quarter, (A) analysts’ estimates. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

EV/Sales, ten years
EV/Sales is 1.0×, against a ten-year median of 1.1×; over the ten years it ranged from 0.7× in 2025 to 2.2× in 2021.
P/E against its own 10 years 30.10%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 50.39%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 49.43%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 40.92%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 3.92%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Yield
—
Annual rate
—
Payout ratio
—

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 7 2 6 13
Receivables 10 10 11 13
Inventory 2 2 2 2
Other — — — —
25 20 26 34
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 13 12 16 19
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other — — — —
73 76 79 85

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales 3.27% 2.84% 1.40%
Cash Flow (1.85%) 3.47% 7.64%
Earnings 0.97% 1.59% 8.39%
Book Value 1.75% 0.95% 1.16%

Earnings Trends EPS, adjusted, against the consensus

Q2 FY26 Estimate 0.29 Actual 0.30

Earnings per share against the consensus, by quarter
Quarter Estimate Reported Result
Q3 FY25 0.23 0.27 Beat by 0.04
Q4 FY25 0.21 0.25 Beat by 0.04
Q1 FY26 0.22 0.28 Beat by 0.06
Q2 FY26 0.29 0.30 Beat by 0.01
Q3 FY26 0.24 — Reports 5 November 2026

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 0.27 0.43 — — —
’25 0.19 0.24 0.25 0.22 0.90
’24 0.19 0.25 0.21 0.20 0.86
’23 0.13 0.20 0.28 0.14 0.74
’22 0.06 0.20 0.14 0.18 0.57
’21 0.11 0.24 0.28 0.17 0.80
’20 0.10 0.16 0.28 0.15 0.68
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 126 130 — — —
’25 119 126 122 124 490
’24 116 122 120 114 473
’23 115 121 120 112 469
’22 110 124 120 116 470
’21 108 122 116 109 454
’20 105 100 111 110 426
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 13 32 — — —
’25 5 14 15 14 48
’24 11 17 13 6 47
’23 4 18 11 8 41
’22 (2) 14 10 17 39
’21 7 19 16 10 52
’20 (8) 19 22 7 41
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 3 23 — — —
’25 1 9 10 5 25
’24 7 10 9 1 28
’23 (2) 15 5 2 19
’22 (6) 9 6 10 19
’21 2 16 12 5 35
’20 (9) 18 21 5 34
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.6
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Ten-year view Analyst estimates Powerpack
Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 TTM Jun ’26 Trend 10 yrs 2026e 2027e 2028e Next 3/yr
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 380 402 436 442 426 454 470 469 473 490 501 +2.9% 504 525 557 +4.4%
Gross margin, % 25.56 24.79 27.74 28.11 28.27 29.07 25.51 28.12 30.83 31.90 32.23 +6.3 pt
EBT 31 9 (12) 35 30 39 29 35 35 38 49 +2.1%
EBT margin, % 8.19 2.27 (2.80) 7.82 7.07 8.68 6.15 7.44 7.46 7.67 9.81 (0.5) pt
Net income 18 9 (9) 25 24 29 21 26 26 26 35 +4.2%
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 9.91 10.45 11.30 12.04 12.11 12.63 12.93 13.68 15.85 16.79 16.85 +6.0%
Earnings 0.48 0.22 (0.23) 0.68 0.70 0.81 0.57 0.75 0.86 0.91 1.18 +7.4%
Cash flow 1.29 1.40 1.18 0.98 1.15 1.45 1.06 1.19 1.57 1.65 2.49 +2.8%
Capex (0.98) (0.94) (0.72) (0.42) (0.19) (0.47) (0.55) (0.62) (0.64) (0.78) (1.11) (2.5%)
Free cash flow 0.31 0.45 0.46 0.56 0.96 0.97 0.51 0.57 0.93 0.87 1.38 +12.2%
Book value 6.91 7.15 6.88 6.68 7.89 8.63 7.73 7.32 8.73 9.98 10.66 +4.2%
Shares, m 38 38 39 37 35 36 36 34 30 29 29 (3.0%)
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 26.46 46.60 0.00 22.60 26.23 17.52 16.84 11.58 13.58 11.62 13.94 19.3
P/S 1.28 0.98 1.34 1.26 1.50 1.12 0.76 0.64 0.73 0.62 0.98 1.0
P/B 1.84 1.43 2.21 2.27 2.29 1.64 1.26 1.20 1.32 1.05 1.54 1.7
EV/Sales 1.55 1.19 1.50 1.46 2.04 1.15 0.86 0.81 0.88 0.72 1.02 1.2
EV/FCF 49.72 27.46 37.09 31.27 25.61 14.95 21.69 19.72 15.04 13.89 12.41 25.6
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 49 54 45 36 41 52 39 41 47 48 74 (0.3%)
Capex (37) (36) (28) (15) (7) (17) (20) (21) (19) (23) (33) (5.4%)
Free cash flow 12 17 18 21 34 35 19 19 28 25 41 +8.8%
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital (31) (27) (61) (49) (35) (25) (31) (47) (56) (53) (50) +6.3%
Net debt 102 85 67 89 228 12 47 78 70 46 18 (8.4%)
Shareholders’ equity 265 275 265 246 278 311 281 251 261 291 317 +1.0%
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 3.93 1.89 (2.01) 4.63 3.98 4.78 3.44 4.30 4.34 4.42 5.74 +0.5 pt
ROIC 5.89 1.19 (1.78) 7.16 4.15 8.02 5.73 7.56 7.78 7.79 9.82 +1.9 pt
ROE 7.19 3.19 (3.33) 9.75 9.36 9.90 7.03 9.61 10.05 9.60 11.79 +2.4 pt
People
People Employees 5,355 5,637 5,573 5,005 4,711 4,626 4,931 4,362 4,143 4,034 — (3.1%)
Revenue/emp, $m 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 — +6.2%
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. vs peers in Restaurants (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
CNNE Cannae Holdings, Inc. $705.2M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −7.26% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +64.83% (above 0%: growing) 16.54% (55.58%) Compare
PZZA Papa John's International, Inc. $654.8M 26.2× 22.4× −10.49% (below 0%: shrinking) −35.71% (below 0%: shrinking) +14.97% (above 0%: growing) 27.76% 3.13% Compare
HDL Super Hi International Holding Ltd. Unsponsored ADR $597.8M 38.7× — +9.99% (above 0%: growing) n/m +43.42% (above 0%: growing) 65.85% 5.26% Compare
PTLO Portillo's Inc. $533.1M 29.9× 31.0× +6.97% (above 0%: growing) +200.00% (above 0%: growing) +438.83% (above 0%: growing) 65.56% 6.07% Compare
BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. $529.3M — (loss-making) 53.2× +25.01% (above 0%: growing) — −27.71% (below 0%: shrinking) 73.07% 6.51% Compare
LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. $500.9M 13.9× 13.7× +2.97% (above 0%: growing) +79.17% (above 0%: growing) +155.53% (above 0%: growing) 32.80% 14.42%
BH.A Biglari Holdings Inc. $491.2M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −1.19% (below 0%: shrinking) −18.71% (below 0%: shrinking) −73.82% (below 0%: shrinking) 30.05% 0.00% Compare
DIN DINE BRANDS GLOBAL, INC. $454.2M 90.1× 12.9× +15.14% (above 0%: growing) −19.46% (below 0%: shrinking) −35.81% (below 0%: shrinking) 34.03% 11.61% Compare
KRUS Kura Sushi USA, Inc. $450.4M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +11.87% (above 0%: growing) n/m +72.93% (above 0%: growing) 11.96% (0.72%) Compare
Median of peers $531.2M 34.3× 26.7× +8.48% −19.08% +29.20% 32.04% 4.20%

All 55 Restaurants stocks →

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stockrow.com/LOCO · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com