Herc Holdings Inc. ranks as a top Wall Street pick with strong fundamentals while two unnamed stocks face headwinds. Positive Wall Street mention of solid fundamentals may lift short-term sentiment for HRI without altering core operations.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 2.86 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 1.61 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 2.66 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2.53 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 2.30 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.50 |
—
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2018 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 71.00 | 83.00 | 52.00 | 43.00 |
| Receivables | 563.00 | 589.00 | 769.00 | 805.00 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 68.00 | 57.00 | 63.00 | 60.00 |
| 732.00 | 776.00 | 956.00 | 960.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 212.00 | 248.00 | 337.00 | 482.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 19.00 | 21.00 | 32.00 | 32.00 |
| Other | 19.00 | 15.00 | — | — |
| 508.00 | 562.00 | 730.00 | 871.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1,139.00 | 1,204.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 861.00 | 1,002.00 | 1,304.00 | 1,209.00 |
4,376.00
|
| ’24 | 804.00 | 848.00 | 965.00 | 951.00 |
3,568.00
|
| ’23 | 740.00 | 802.00 | 908.00 | 832.00 |
3,282.00
|
| ’22 | 568.00 | 640.00 | 745.00 | 787.00 |
2,740.00
|
| ’21 | 453.80 | 490.90 | 550.40 | 577.90 |
2,073.00
|
| ’20 | 436.20 | 368.00 | 456.70 | 520.40 |
1,781.30
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 277.00 | 314.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 171.00 | 241.00 | 358.00 | 315.00 |
1,085.00
|
| ’24 | 240.00 | 318.00 | 336.00 | 331.00 |
1,225.00
|
| ’23 | 235.00 | 281.00 | 280.00 | 290.00 |
1,086.00
|
| ’22 | 143.00 | 216.00 | 264.00 | 294.00 |
917.00
|
| ’21 | 134.70 | 193.20 | 175.30 | 239.80 |
743.00
|
| ’20 | 101.50 | 178.90 | 143.60 | 186.90 |
610.90
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 94.00 | 108.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 49.00 | 54.00 | 30.00 | 166.00 |
299.00
|
| ’24 | 92.00 | 56.00 | 70.00 | 96.00 |
314.00
|
| ’23 | (78.00) | (49.00) | (54.00) | 131.00 |
(50.00)
|
| ’22 | (126.00) | (49.00) | (54.00) | 2.00 |
(227.00)
|
| ’21 | 72.50 | 68.60 | (26.50) | 99.40 |
214.00
|
| ’20 | 39.20 | 124.30 | 73.60 | 187.40 |
424.50
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (0.72) | 0.57 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.63) | (1.17) | 0.90 | 0.72 |
0.03
|
| ’24 | 2.29 | 2.46 | 4.28 | (1.62) |
7.40
|
| ’23 | 2.28 | 2.66 | 3.96 | 3.20 |
12.09
|
| ’22 | 1.92 | 2.38 | 3.36 | 3.27 |
10.92
|
| ’21 | 1.09 | 1.55 | 2.37 | 2.36 |
7.37
|
| ’20 | (0.13) | 0.07 | 1.35 | 1.19 |
2.51
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 83.43 | 93.97 | 124.70 | 96.19 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 175.00 | 162.47 | 246.88 | 212.19 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6,600 | 7,200 | 7,600 | 9,600 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.46 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,740.00 | 3,282.00 | 3,568.00 | 4,376.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 58.43% | 56.86% | 56.87% | 52.88% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 434.00 | 447.00 | 291.00 | 1.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.84% | 13.62% | 8.16% | 0.02% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 330.00 | 347.00 | 211.00 | 1.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 635.00 | 759.00 | 811.00 | 1,088.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 92.57 | 115.16 | 125.63 | 139.81 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 11.15 | 12.18 | 7.43 | 0.03 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 30.98 | 38.11 | 43.13 | 34.66 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (38.65) | (39.86) | (32.08) | (25.11) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (7.67) | (1.75) | 11.06 | 9.55 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 37.43 | 44.67 | 49.15 | 62.24 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29.60 | 28.50 | 28.40 | 31.30 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.86 | 12.11 | 25.45 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.51 | 1.06 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.52 | 3.31 | 3.85 | 2.38 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.52 | 2.42 | 2.66 | 2.91 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (30.38) | (158.77) | 30.21 | 42.61 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 917.00 | 1,086.00 | 1,225.00 | 1,085.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,144.00) | (1,136.00) | (911.00) | (786.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (227.00) | (50.00) | 314.00 | 299.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 40.00 | 224.00 | 214.00 | 226.00 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,046.00 | 3,796.00 | 4,191.00 | 8,148.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,992.00 | 3,725.00 | 4,108.00 | 8,096.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,108.00 | 1,273.00 | 1,396.00 | 1,948.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.32% | 5.33% | 2.83% | 0.01% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.52% | 8.39% | 8.56% | 4.17% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 31.66% | 29.15% | 15.81% | 0.06% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI), spun off from Hertz in 2016, has thrived in equipment rentals by dodging automotive volatility and capitalizing on U.S. infrastructure booms, driving revenues from $1.55 billion to $3.57 billion by 2024—with analysts eyeing $5.35 billion by 2027. Gross margins expanded to 57%, ROE hit 32% peaks, and revenue per share quadrupled to $126, fueled by pricing power, fleet utilization, and laws like the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law. Yet, aggressive capex ($800M-$1.1B annually) has sparked free cash flow swings and ballooned debt to $4.19 billion, exposing vulnerabilities amid rising rates.
Profitability shines with operating cash flow per share up 182%, but 2024 saw EPS plunge 39% to $7.43 and net income shrink amid cost pressures, while share dilution risks loom at 17% by 2025. Stock performance has outpaced revenue 6-10x from troughs, trading at premium multiples (P/E 25.4), with analyst targets hinting 9-18% upside but 31% downside if debt refinancing falters—insider silence adds no conviction.
Projections promise EPS rebounds to $13.27 by 2027 and stabilizing FCF for deleveraging, mirroring United Rentals’ success, but recessionary construction dips or execution slips could echo past pitfalls. A classic tailwind-headwind clash merits dollar-cost averaging on dips for patient investors eyeing 15-20% ROE sustainability.
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