| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2025 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2024 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2018 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 10.31 | 3.81 | 6.27 | 10.29 |
| Receivables | 245.93 | 224.79 | 204.39 | 255.94 |
| Inventory | 985.79 | 1,049.30 | 930.94 | 1,042.20 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 1,265.90 | 1,301.45 | 1,158.62 | 1,326.37 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 117.65 | 88.49 | 88.37 | 115.44 |
| ST’ Debt | 8.26 | 7.84 | 25.86 | 3.21 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 897.39 | 1,000.70 | 873.33 | 987.04 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 461.62 | 563.45 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 422.23 | 511.48 | 482.06 | 528.18 |
1,943.96
|
| ’24 | 411.31 | 423.01 | 447.22 | 520.74 |
1,802.28
|
| ’23 | 452.16 | 456.83 | 434.35 | 521.75 |
1,865.10
|
| ’22 | 366.48 | 362.11 | 357.78 | 486.72 |
1,573.09
|
| ’21 | 78.30 | 375.11 | 357.31 | 356.44 |
1,167.15
|
| ’20 | 81.74 | 68.48 | 69.26 | 83.26 |
302.74
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 23.82 | 44.37 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 55.64 | 125.72 | 81.45 | 47.31 |
310.11
|
| ’24 | (14.37) | 37.78 | 16.53 | 82.05 |
121.99
|
| ’23 | 3.91 | (5.01) | (1.60) | (28.18) |
(30.88)
|
| ’22 | (29.77) | 8.41 | 25.71 | 41.62 |
45.97
|
| ’21 | (12.09) | 69.31 | 55.53 | 26.17 |
138.93
|
| ’20 | (2.82) | 22.49 | (4.80) | 27.96 |
42.83
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (35.42) | (2.62) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (15.67) | 57.22 | 11.08 | (24.98) |
27.65
|
| ’24 | (29.85) | (39.42) | (13.52) | (29.23) |
(112.02)
|
| ’23 | (26.61) | (54.61) | (33.85) | (92.41) |
(207.48)
|
| ’22 | (25.75) | (26.70) | (31.76) | (38.91) |
(123.14)
|
| ’21 | (8.04) | 41.10 | 1.17 | 12.90 |
47.13
|
| ’20 | (30.37) | 13.63 | 2.27 | 27.99 |
13.52
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (0.02) | 0.05 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.08) | (0.13) | (0.03) | 0.09 |
(0.14)
|
| ’24 | (0.06) | (0.10) | (0.07) | 0.12 |
(0.12)
|
| ’23 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.07 |
0.21
|
| ’22 | (0.01) | 0.05 | (0.01) | 0.13 |
0.16
|
| ’21 | (0.57) | (0.53) | (0.08) | (0.02) |
(0.75)
|
| ’20 | (0.33) | (0.27) | 0.31 | (0.15) |
(0.43)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 4.54 | 4.42 | 3.03 | 3.18 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.40 | 7.64 | 7.00 | 6.78 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,270 | 2,580 | 261 | 2,500 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.69 | 0.72 | 6.91 | 0.78 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,573.09 | 1,865.10 | 1,802.28 | 1,943.96 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 24.39% | 24.36% | 21.65% | 21.19% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 46.73 | 58.08 | (29.19) | (28.13) | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.97% | 3.11% | (1.62%) | (1.45%) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 38.91 | 50.71 | (28.65) | (31.05) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 228.34 | 224.65 | 241.53 | 268.26 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.36 | 7.61 | 7.61 | 8.57 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.16 | 0.21 | (0.12) | (0.14) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.19 | (0.13) | 0.51 | 1.37 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.68) | (0.72) | (0.99) | (1.24) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.50) | (0.85) | (0.47) | 0.12 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.59 | 3.74 | 3.63 | 3.56 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 247.15 | 245.09 | 236.98 | 226.96 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 39.50 | 28.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.99 | 0.82 | 0.63 | 0.67 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.76 | 1.67 | 1.32 | 1.62 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.85 | 1.62 | 1.48 | 1.52 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (23.65) | (14.55) | (23.78) | 106.56 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 45.97 | (30.88) | 121.99 | 310.11 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (169.10) | (176.60) | (234.00) | (282.46) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (123.14) | (207.48) | (112.02) | 27.65 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 233.37 | 368.51 | 300.75 | 285.29 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,364.91 | 1,495.39 | 1,527.72 | 1,645.21 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,350.55 | 1,485.08 | 1,523.92 | 1,638.94 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 888.44 | 917.20 | 861.31 | 809.10 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.38% | 1.61% | (0.83%) | (0.89%) | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.88% | 4.45% | 3.31% | 3.19% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.45% | 5.62% | (3.22%) | (3.72%) | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) has ridden a rollercoaster in the specialty trucking sector, surging from modest pre-merger revenues of $303 million in 2020 to a peak of $1.87 billion in 2023 via aggressive acquisitions post its 2021 SPAC debut. Fueled by U.S. infrastructure spending, growth hit 286% in 2021 and continued strong, but 2024 saw a 3% dip amid softening demand, with eyebrow-raising forecasts predicting a 72% plunge to $513 million in 2025—hinting at major divestitures and a radical refocus, evidenced by employee count crashing from 2,580 to 261.
Profitability flickered from deep losses to $51 million net income in 2023, before reverting to a $29 million loss in 2024, pressured by high debt ($1.53 billion), rising depreciation, and slipping gross margins. Operating cash flow rebounded sharply to $122 million, yet free cash flow stayed negative amid fleet capex, with leverage anchoring the balance sheet and stock languishing at multi-year lows despite historical ties to revenue cycles.
Trading at a 62% valuation discount (PS ~0.6x) and 10% below analyst targets, CTOS whispers turnaround potential: slim profits eyed for 2026-2027, infrastructure tailwinds from IIJA, and possible FCF unlock via pruning. Debt paydown will be key—could this value pocket ignite 20-30% upside for patient investors?
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