| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2025 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2024 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 0.00 |
—
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 555.00 | 534.00 | 519.00 | 558.00 |
| Receivables | 900.00 | 838.00 | 878.00 | 936.00 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 684.00 | 662.00 | 696.00 | 1,014.00 |
| 2,139.00 | 2,034.00 | 2,093.00 | 2,508.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 2,627.00 | 2,700.00 | 2,865.00 | 3,074.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 32.00 | 20.00 | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 2,659.00 | 2,720.00 | 2,889.00 | 3,097.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 2,530.00 | 2,998.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 2,430.00 | 3,039.00 | 3,519.00 | 2,664.00 |
11,652.00
|
| ’24 | 2,551.00 | 3,048.00 | 3,480.00 | 2,710.00 |
11,789.00
|
| ’23 | 2,557.00 | 3,123.00 | 3,564.00 | 2,764.00 |
12,008.00
|
| ’22 | 2,432.00 | 3,244.00 | 3,547.00 | 2,771.00 |
11,994.00
|
| ’21 | 1,372.00 | 2,371.00 | 3,001.00 | 2,569.00 |
9,313.00
|
| ’20 | 1,753.00 | 760.00 | 1,534.00 | 1,355.00 |
5,402.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 434.00 | 632.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 619.00 | 837.00 | 1,403.00 | 437.00 |
3,296.00
|
| ’24 | 589.00 | 884.00 | 1,273.00 | 772.00 |
3,518.00
|
| ’23 | 819.00 | 963.00 | 1,253.00 | 793.00 |
3,828.00
|
| ’22 | 1,148.00 | 1,223.00 | 1,491.00 | 845.00 |
4,707.00
|
| ’21 | 336.00 | 919.00 | 1,293.00 | 943.00 |
3,491.00
|
| ’20 | 370.00 | (20.00) | 282.00 | 59.00 |
691.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 393.00 | 564.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 585.00 | 786.00 | 1,352.00 | 355.00 |
3,078.00
|
| ’24 | 536.00 | 839.00 | 1,236.00 | 705.00 |
3,316.00
|
| ’23 | 775.00 | 902.00 | 1,178.00 | 700.00 |
3,555.00
|
| ’22 | 1,111.00 | 1,184.00 | 1,447.00 | 719.00 |
4,461.00
|
| ’21 | 324.00 | 901.00 | 1,266.00 | 892.00 |
3,383.00
|
| ’20 | 327.00 | (41.00) | 271.00 | 40.00 |
597.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (8.01) | 0.98 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (14.35) | 0.10 | 10.11 | (21.25) |
(25.25)
|
| ’24 | (3.21) | 0.41 | 6.65 | (55.66) |
(51.23)
|
| ’23 | 7.72 | 11.01 | 16.78 | 7.10 |
42.08
|
| ’22 | 9.71 | 15.71 | 21.67 | 10.10 |
57.16
|
| ’21 | (2.43) | 5.63 | 10.45 | 6.63 |
19.44
|
| ’20 | (2.16) | (6.91) | 0.63 | (1.29) |
(9.71)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 131.83 | 157.55 | 65.73 | 54.03 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 327.80 | 251.26 | 181.50 | 212.81 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 24,500 | 24,500 | 24,000 | 25,000 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.47 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11,994.00 | 12,008.00 | 11,789.00 | 11,652.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 55.94% | 52.74% | 48.99% | 49.73% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,636.00 | 1,914.00 | (2,627.00) | (929.00) | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 30.32% | 15.94% | (22.28%) | (7.97%) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,756.00 | 1,635.00 | (1,817.00) | (995.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,845.00 | 3,490.00 | 4,055.00 | 4,021.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 253.57 | 313.52 | 332.08 | 331.02 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 58.41 | 42.57 | (51.23) | (25.25) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 99.51 | 99.95 | 99.10 | 93.64 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (5.20) | (7.13) | (5.69) | (6.19) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 94.31 | 92.82 | 93.41 | 87.44 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (14.80) | (8.96) | (65.27) | (88.52) | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 47.30 | 38.30 | 35.50 | 35.20 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.82 | 4.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.65 | 0.56 | 0.24 | 0.39 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.14 | 2.49 | 2.14 | 2.51 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.76 | 8.42 | 7.62 | 9.51 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,707.00 | 3,828.00 | 3,518.00 | 3,296.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (246.00) | (273.00) | (202.00) | (218.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,461.00 | 3,555.00 | 3,316.00 | 3,078.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (688.00) | (520.00) | (686.00) | (796.00) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18,480.00 | 23,760.00 | 22,929.00 | 25,261.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17,910.00 | 23,205.00 | 22,395.00 | 24,742.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (700.00) | (343.00) | (2,317.00) | (3,116.00) | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.39% | 5.58% | (5.91%) | (2.95%) | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.12% | 6.11% | (6.85%) | (0.97%) | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (608.14%) | (312.94%) | 136.92% | 32.73% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Avis Budget Group (CAR) exemplifies the perils of cyclical leverage in the vehicle rental industry, enduring wild swings over the past decade amid macroeconomic shocks and fleet dynamics. Post-COVID travel booms propelled revenue 122% to $12 billion in 2023 and net income to $2.8 billion in 2022, turbocharged by inflated used-car sales during supply disruptions. Yet, normalizing markets, rising rates, and $22.9 billion in debt triggered a stark 2024 reversal, with a $1.8 billion net loss and ROE plunging from +90% to negative territory—highlighting CAR’s tight correlation (r=0.92) to travel demand and used-car cycles.
Operational efficiencies shine through, with revenue per employee up 70% despite workforce cuts, and operating cash flow resilient at $3.5 billion in 2024. However, balance sheet strains persist, including negative equity and insider sales signaling caution. Analyst forecasts offer hope: modest revenue growth to $12.2 billion by 2027, profitability rebounding to $423 million net income, and EPS hitting $12.08, with forward PEs at 10x—undervalued versus history amid EV/sales at 0.75x.
At current multiples (PS 0.24x, EV/FCF 7.6x), CAR dangles 20% mean upside to targets, with models projecting 15-25% annualized returns through 2027 if travel sustains and debt eases—though 35% odds of prolonged losses loom from rates and execution risks. This high-volatility play demands vigilant monitoring of fleet sales and Q1 2026 catalysts.
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