GFL Environmental Inc.

GFL Industrials Waste Management

GFL Environmental Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.7 billion, down 17.5% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 16.2%, EPS fell 165.4%, free cash flow grew 557.1% and total debt rose 41.7%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for three consecutive years.

43.85 0.30 +0.69%
Market cap
$19.0B
P/E
0.0×
Fwd P/E
−101×
Dividend yield
0.15%
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
1.53
Beneish M
−3.04
Dividend safety
60/100

Insider Decisions trades per month

Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 17.87%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 18,990.00
Revenue 5,042.44
Net Income (207.96)
Free Cash Flow 193.49
Net Debt 7,133.22
Current Ratio 0.75 (below 1: weak)
Debt/Equity 1.34
P/E ratio 0.00
Fwd P/E (101.00) (negative: loss-making)
P/S ratio 3.14
P/B ratio 2.91
Past 5Y EPS Growth —
This Y EPS Growth 8.91%
Next Y EPS Growth 40.66% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y revenue growth 18.87% (at or above 10%: strong)
Next 5Y EPS Growth 24.73% (at or above 15%: strong)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/S against its own 10 years 66.96%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 71.99%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 82.69%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 74.55%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio —
Annual Dividend Rate 0.07
Annual Dividend Yield 0.15%
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 0.05
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
2025 0.05
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
2024 0.06
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
2023 0.05
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
2022 0.16
0.01
0.01
0.10
0.01
0.01
0.01
2021 0.05
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
2020 0.03
0.01
0.01
0.01
2019 Powerpack
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 101 98 61 139
Receivables 835 920 643 755
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
1,100 1,237 833 1,049
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 1,244 1,372 1,351 1,298
ST’ Debt 7 837 — —
Other 42 38 31 36
1,341 2,299 1,430 1,393

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales — 8.61% (3.08%)
Cash Flow — 20.23% 3.75%
Earnings — 0.00% 0.00%
Book Value — 4.79% 4.84%

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1,198 1,407 — — —
’25 1,086 1,211 1,230 1,208 4,735
’24 1,335 1,505 1,477 1,420 5,738
’23 1,330 1,446 1,409 1,383 5,567
’22 1,107 1,337 1,403 1,354 5,201
’21 937 1,070 1,180 1,222 4,409
’20 694 717 778 944 3,132
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 122 300 — — —
’25 121 226 285 310 942
’24 195 264 256 409 1,124
’23 142 195 94 295 726
’22 139 180 212 312 843
’21 168 150 170 229 716
’20 (68) 127 195 121 375
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (155) 102 — — —
’25 (96) 16 76 171 167
’24 (19) 49 72 196 298
’23 (50) 1,212 (1,307) 135 (10)
’22 51 255 61 156 523
’21 67 76 148 116 407
’20 (142) 46 129 34 67
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.44) (0.34) — — —
’25 6.04 0.51 0.20 0.05 7.15
’24 (0.39) (0.96) 0.17 (0.37) (1.51)
’23 (0.49) 0.54 0.00 (0.15) (0.10)
’22 0.02 0.09 (0.42) (0.49) (0.80)
’21 (0.52) 0.06 (0.56) (0.36) (1.46)
’20 (0.57) (0.23) (0.24) (1.07) (2.15)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.7
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low — — — — 11.92 26.79 23.10 26.87 30.57 41.29

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High — — — — 29.24 43.71 38.05 39.06 48.87 52.00
People
People Employees — — — — 15,475 18,000 19,500 20,000 20,000 14,850
Revenue/emp, $m 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.24 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.32
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 692 1,066 1,363 2,575 3,132 4,409 5,201 5,567 5,738 4,735
Gross margin, % 11.99 14.10 8.04 8.19 4.53 9.55 11.80 16.89 18.90 20.67
EBT (150) (112) (459) (468) (1,012) (569) (276) 142 (690) 162
EBT margin, % (21.63) (10.50) (33.68) (18.20) (32.31) (12.90) (5.31) 2.56 (12.02) 3.43
Net income (113) 0 (355) (348) (743) (484) (239) 24 (538) 2,729
Depreciation 132 124 225 615 924 1,111 1,173 1,104 1,144 942
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 2.20 3.40 4.34 8.20 8.69 12.19 14.16 15.06 15.07 12.81
Earnings (0.36) (0.26) (1.13) (1.11) (2.15) (1.46) (0.80) (0.10) (1.51) 7.33
Cash flow 0.19 0.28 (0.08) 0.56 1.04 1.98 2.30 1.96 2.95 2.55
Capex 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.85) (0.86) (0.87) (1.99) (2.17) (2.10)
Free cash flow 0.19 0.28 (0.08) 0.56 0.19 1.13 1.43 (0.03) 0.78 0.45
Book value 0.00 0.00 7.48 6.78 11.76 12.75 12.66 14.80 13.84 14.50
Shares, m 314 314 314 314 360 362 367 370 381 370
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.31
P/S 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.36 3.10 2.07 2.25 2.96 3.35
P/B 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.48 2.97 2.32 2.29 3.22 2.96
EV/Sales 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.86 4.56 3.48 3.45 4.27 4.54
EV/FCF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 226.69 49.37 34.58 (2,012.82) 82.22 128.96
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 60 89 (25) 177 375 716 843 726 1,124 942
Capex (92) (163) (118) (352) (308) (309) (320) (736) (826) (775)
Free cash flow 60 89 (25) 177 67 407 523 (10) 298 167
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital — — 0 427 (123) (21) (1,007) (241) (1,062) (597)
Total debt — — 4,624 6,014 4,718 6,572 7,380 6,830 7,646 5,635
Net debt — — 4,619 5,572 4,697 6,420 7,317 6,730 7,548 5,574
Shareholders’ equity — — 2,348 2,129 4,240 4,609 4,649 5,472 5,270 5,357
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 0.00 0.00 (8.57) (3.86) (6.92) (3.67) (1.61) (0.23) (3.88) 18.74
ROIC — — 0.00 0.00 (1.66) (0.29) 0.27 1.12 1.62 2.38
ROE 0.00 0.00 (15.87) (15.53) (23.32) (10.94) (5.18) (0.69) (10.91) 51.64
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Charts ten years each

GFL Environmental Inc. vs peers in Waste Management (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
WM Waste Management, Inc. $89.6B 32.0× 27.0× +3.95% (above 0%: growing) +8.89% (above 0%: growing) +34.81% (above 0%: growing) 40.83% 18.75% Compare
RSG Republic Services, Inc. $70.3B 32.8× 28.9× +4.60% (above 0%: growing) +4.55% (above 0%: growing) +8.20% (above 0%: growing) 42.14% 20.34% Compare
WCN Waste Connections, Inc. $41.7B 40.3× 33.5× +6.42% (above 0%: growing) +4.46% (above 0%: growing) +6.63% (above 0%: growing) 42.25% 17.08% Compare
GFL GFL Environmental Inc. $19.0B — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +16.16% (above 0%: growing) n/m +557.08% (above 0%: growing) 19.81% 5.58%
CLH Clean Harbors, Inc. $16.9B 38.7× 33.3× +11.95% (above 0%: growing) +36.29% (above 0%: growing) −4.89% (below 0%: shrinking) 35.09% 15.50% Compare
CWST Casella Waste Systems, Inc. $5.5B 978× 559× +16.85% (above 0%: growing) −25.00% (below 0%: shrinking) +14.24% (above 0%: growing) 32.88% 3.67% Compare
ONT Onterris, Inc. $494.1M — (loss-making) 123× −20.42% (below 0%: shrinking) −91.67% (below 0%: shrinking) −96.15% (below 0%: shrinking) 44.07% 3.46% Compare
PESI Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. $282.0M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −11.66% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m −156.46% (below 0%: shrinking) (19.43%) (50.50%) Compare
ABAT American Battery Technology Company $225.5M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +196.60% (above 0%: growing) n/m −32.23% (below 0%: shrinking) 15.66% (246.50%) Compare
Median of peers $11.2B 38.7× 33.4× +5.51% +4.51% +0.87% 37.96% 9.59%

All 20 Waste Management stocks →

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) key facts

  • Concern: GFL Environmental Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.7 billion, down 17.5% from fiscal 2024.
  • GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) is a Waste Management company in the Industrials sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • As of October 16, 2026, GFL traded at $43.85, a market capitalization of $19.0 billion.
  • GFL Environmental Inc. pays an annual dividend of $0.07 per share, a yield of 0.15%.
  • Return on equity was 51.6% and debt-to-equity 1.34.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 7 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 1.53 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) Latest News

7 Aug

Impact 4 · transcript
stockrow.com/GFL · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com