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GFL Environmental Inc. GFL

Industrials — Waste Management
Dividend Champion (3y)
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

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Insider Decisions

in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership
17.87%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
18,970.00
Revenue
5,042.44
Net Income
(207.96)
Free Cash Flow
193.49
Net Debt
7,133.22
Current Ratio
0.75
Debt/Equity
1.34
P/E ratio
0.00
P/S ratio
3.05
P/B ratio
2.82
Past 5Y EPS Growth
(7.26%)
This Y EPS Growth
10.19%
Next Y EPS Growth
39.31%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
27.47%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
—
Annual Dividend Rate
0.05
Annual Dividend Yield
0.13%
total individual payouts
2028 ‡‡‡‡‡
2027 ‡‡‡‡‡
2026 0.05
—
—
—
2025 0.05
—
—
—
—
2024 0.06
—
—
—
—
2023 0.05
—
—
—
—
2022 0.16
—
—
—
—
—
—
2021 0.05
—
—
—
—
—
2020 0.03
—
—
—
2019 ‡‡‡‡‡
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 100.53 97.65 61.26 138.75
Receivables 835.40 920.35 642.70 754.88
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
1,100.09 1,237.45 833.22 1,048.64
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 1,243.88 1,372.17 1,351.46 1,298.05
ST’ Debt 7.19 836.72 — —
Other 41.63 37.73 31.49 36.26
1,341.14 2,299.38 1,429.90 1,393.25
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings — ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Book Value — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1,198.17 1,406.90 — —
—
’25 1,086.45 1,211.17 1,229.82 1,207.56
4,735.00
’24 1,335.38 1,505.24 1,476.78 1,420.29
5,737.69
’23 1,329.90 1,445.65 1,408.62 1,383.32
5,567.48
’22 1,106.55 1,337.14 1,403.07 1,354.04
5,200.79
’21 937.18 1,070.10 1,179.76 1,221.75
4,408.80
’20 694.49 716.67 777.73 943.58
3,132.46
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 122.31 300.31 — —
—
’25 120.83 225.93 285.29 309.82
941.86
’24 195.11 263.62 255.87 409.44
1,124.04
’23 142.30 194.79 94.44 294.75
726.28
’22 138.97 179.91 212.33 312.07
843.27
’21 167.99 149.71 170.14 228.59
716.43
’20 (68.08) 127.24 195.10 120.63
374.89
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (155.33) 101.88 — —
—
’25 (95.69) 15.50 75.53 171.40
166.76
’24 (18.83) 48.86 72.30 195.80
298.12
’23 (49.67) 1,212.38 (1,307.00) 134.73
(9.56)
’22 51.09 255.26 60.74 156.20
523.29
’21 67.29 76.25 147.76 115.94
407.25
’20 (142.46) 46.07 129.05 34.45
67.11
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.44) (0.34) — —
—
’25 6.04 0.51 0.20 0.05
7.15
’24 (0.39) (0.96) 0.17 (0.37)
(1.51)
’23 (0.49) 0.54 0.00 (0.15)
(0.10)
’22 0.02 0.09 (0.42) (0.49)
(0.80)
’21 (0.52) 0.02 (0.56) (0.20)
(1.46)
’20 (0.57) (0.23) (0.24) (1.07)
(2.15)

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

1.6
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
— — — — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 23.10 26.87 30.57 41.29 — — —
Low Price
— — — — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 38.05 39.06 48.87 52.00 — — —
High Price
— — — — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 19,500 20,000 20,000 14,850 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.32 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5,200.79 5,567.48 5,737.69 4,735.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11.80% 16.89% 18.90% 20.67% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (276.37) 142.31 (689.51) 162.39 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (5.31%) 2.56% (12.02%) 3.43% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (239.30) 23.85 (538.37) 2,729.25 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,173.42 1,103.57 1,144.18 941.93 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 14.16 15.06 15.07 12.81 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (0.80) (0.10) (1.51) 7.33 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.30 1.96 2.95 2.55 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (0.87) (1.99) (2.17) (2.10) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.43 (0.03) 0.78 0.45 — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 12.66 14.80 13.84 14.50 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 367.17 369.66 380.84 369.56 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.31 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.07 2.25 2.96 3.35 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.32 2.29 3.22 2.96 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3.48 3.45 4.27 4.54 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 34.58 (2,012.82) 82.22 128.96 — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 843.27 726.28 1,124.04 941.86 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (319.99) (735.84) (825.91) (775.10) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 523.29 (9.56) 298.12 166.76 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
FCF
— — ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (1,006.88) (241.06) (1,061.93) (596.68) — — —
Working Cap'
— — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7,379.78 6,830.40 7,645.90 5,634.85 — — —
Total Debt
— — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7,316.63 6,729.87 7,548.25 5,573.59 — — —
Net Debt
— — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 4,649.12 5,471.70 5,270.40 5,357.30 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (1.61%) (0.23%) (3.88%) 18.74% ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROA
— — ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.27% 1.12% 1.62% 2.38% — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (5.18%) (0.69%) (10.91%) 51.64% ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

GFL Environmental Inc. has transformed the waste management sector through aggressive acquisitions, scaling revenue nearly eightfold from $692 million in 2016 to $5.74 billion in 2024, fueled by urbanization, population growth, and regulations. As a North American powerhouse post-2020 SPAC IPO, it boasts improving efficiency—revenue per employee up to $287,000 and per share at $15.07—amid tailwinds like recycling, renewable natural gas ventures, and market consolidation dominated by giants like Waste Management.

Despite early losses, high debt ($7.65 billion), and capex drag ($826 million in 2024), profitability is turning: gross margins surged to 18.9%, operating cash flow hit $1.12 billion, and free cash flow per share reached $0.78. Projections dazzle with a 2025 earnings rebound to $2.73 billion, EPS at $0.60 by 2027, and debt cuts, though a revenue dip looms short-term. The stock, peaking at $44 in 2021 before volatility, now trades well below analyst targets implying 76% upside.

This undervalued contender offers recession-resistant growth, but execution on integrations, rate sensitivity, and competition pose risks. Dive into the full analysis for per-share metrics, ROE/ROIC trends, valuation multiples, and Q4 2025 catalysts that could ignite shares.

Read full commentary →

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

17 Sep

5 , 9:38 AM
GFL Environmental shares surge on reports of a private equity bidding war for the company. Potential private equity takeover would fundamentally redefine GFL ownership and long-term trajectory.

4 stocktwits.com, 3:08 AM
GFL Environmental Inc. stock surges over 10% overnight on drivers lifting the mid-cap waste management company. Over 10% overnight surge signals major market momentum likely to shift GFL valuation and investor outlook.

10 Sep

4 , 12:49 PM
GFL Environmental closes SECURE Waste Infrastructure acquisition by issuing 75 million new shares and securing a US$1B term loan. Acquisition financed by large equity issuance and debt expands operations and alters capital structure.

8 Sep

4 www.barchart.com, 1:30 PM
GFL Environmental Inc. sees unusual call options activity as a takeover target. Unusual options activity around takeover target status points to major strategic event likely to shift GFL trajectory and investor sentiment.

1 Sep

4 , 8:49 AM
GFL Environmental Inc. completed its acquisition of SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. Completed acquisition of SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. represents major strategic expansion altering GFL scale and positioning.

4 www.wastedive.com, 6:27 AM
GFL Environmental closes acquisition of Secure Waste Infrastructure. Acquisition expands GFL operations and competitive position in waste sector.

3 , 5:15 PM
S&P Dow Jones Indices announces GFL Environmental Inc. addition to the S&P/TSX Composite Index. Index inclusion draws passive fund inflows and lifts short-term trading volume for GFL without altering core operations.

27 Aug

3 , 7:00 AM
SECURE has set an election deadline for its transaction with GFL Environmental Inc. Transaction deadline may affect GFL's operational structure and market position in the near term.

16 Aug

3 , 2:11 AM
GFL Environmental posted 16% revenue growth, raising questions on whether its valuation is reasonable or stretched. Revenue growth triggers valuation questions that moderately shape investor views without altering core strategy.

15 Aug

3 , 10:07 AM
GFL Environmental could be 18% undervalued based on FY2025 results that refocus its valuation. Valuation refocus tied to FY2025 results points to moderate influence on investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

3 , 8:11 AM
GFL Environmental posted strong FY2025 free cash flow that may alter its investment narrative and influence future market perception. Strong free cash flow directly supports improved financial positioning and investor views for GFL.

7 Aug

4 transcript www.fool.com, 8:31 PM
GFL Environmental Inc. released its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript covering financial results and company outlook. Earnings call transcript delivers financial results and guidance that can shift investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

31 Jul

3 www.marketbeat.com, 5:04 AM
GFL Environmental Inc. released Q2 earnings call highlights covering revenue, profits, and strategic plans. Earnings highlights inform on company trajectory and influence stock movements.

30 Jul

4 , 11:01 PM
GFL Environmental Inc raised its guidance again during the Q2 2026 earnings call and confirmed key targets. Guidance raise signals stronger financial outlook and lifts stock trajectory.

29 Jul

4 , 4:15 PM
GFL Environmental reported second quarter 2026 results and raised full year 2026 guidance. Raising full year guidance after quarterly results signals stronger expected performance and positive outlook.

4 , 4:15 PM
GFL Environmental Inc. reported second quarter 2026 results and raised full year 2026 guidance. Raising full year guidance signals stronger expected performance and positive market reaction.

3 , 6:25 PM
GFL Environmental Inc. missed Q2 earnings estimates. Q2 earnings miss signals short-term pressure on GFL stock and sentiment without altering long-term trajectory.

7 Jul

3 , 10:12 PM
GFL Environmental joins Russell Indexes. Valuation upside may already be priced in. Russell Indexes inclusion attracts passive fund flows and can lift near-term share demand for GFL.

6 Jul

4 , 11:55 AM
GFL Environmental Inc. stock rises on buyout speculation, with calculations showing substantial upside potential for shareholders based on acquisition math. Potential buyout represents a major strategic shift that would alter ownership, valuation, and long-term trajectory.

25 Jun

3 , 6:29 AM
GFL Environmental Inc. joins the Russell 1000® and Russell 3000® Indices. Index membership draws passive fund inflows and raises visibility without altering operations or strategy.

3 CNW Group, 6:29 AM
GFL Environmental Inc. joins the Russell 1000 and Russell 3000 indices. Index inclusion typically lifts institutional ownership and trading liquidity for GFL.

22 Jun

3 CNW Group, 8:25 AM
GFL Environmental Inc. announces proposed private offering of senior notes. Private senior notes offering alters GFL debt structure and liquidity.

12 Jun

4 www.wastedive.com, 8:52 AM
GFL CEO Dovigi discusses energy, EPR, AI and plans to double company size. Plans to double size alongside AI and energy initiatives signal major strategic growth for GFL.

3 , 12:02 PM
Opal Fuels and GFL Environmental advance two new RNG facilities. Advancing two new RNG facilities signals expansion in GFL renewable operations with moderate effects on performance.

4 Jun

4 Simply Wall St., 9:14 AM
GFL Environmental launched new landfill RNG projects with OPAL Fuels that may shift its investment narrative. Partnership on major RNG projects marks strategic expansion with potential to alter GFL trajectory and sentiment.

3 Jun

4 Business Wire, 6:30 AM
GFL Environmental and OPAL Fuels launch new renewable natural gas projects in Alabama and Georgia to advance growth strategy. New RNG projects mark major strategic expansion that can materially lift GFL revenue trajectory and investor sentiment.

1 Jun

3 Business Wire, 9:15 AM
RWT Capital closes sale of H2Oil Energy to GFL Environmental amid energy M&A boom. Acquisition adds H2Oil Energy assets to GFL expanding its energy sector footprint with moderate growth implications.

29 May

3 Simply Wall St., 5:08 PM
GFL Environmental awaits final approval for secure waste growth opportunity. Potential approval could moderately boost GFL operations and market position.

28 May

4 CNW Group, 7:19 PM
Secure receives final order for GFL transaction. Final order receipt advances major GFL transaction toward completion with direct effects on company operations and valuation.

27 May

4 www.wastedive.com, 1:23 PM
Secure Waste shareholders approve GFL Environmental Inc. acquisition offer. Acquisition approval advances GFL expansion and market position in waste sector.
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