Casella Waste Systems, Inc. CWST
- Market cap
- $5.3B
- P/E
- 914×
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free account| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.97 | 11.15 | 22.15 | 26.75 | 34.35 | 53.43 | 63.90 | 72.33 | 80.04 | 82.22 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
Low Price
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| 13.41 | 23.20 | 34.48 | 47.72 | 63.58 | 89.84 | 92.75 | 95.78 | 114.88 | 121.24 |
High Price
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| 2,000 | 2,000 | 2,300 | 2,500 | 2,500 | 2,900 | 3,200 | 4,200 | 5,100 | 5,600 |
Employees
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| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Revenue/Emp
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| 565 | 599 | 661 | 743 | 775 | 889 | 1,085 | 1,265 | 1,557 | 1,837 |
Revenue
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| 32.40% | 32.39% | 31.39% | 31.57% | 33.43% | 34.50% | 33.36% | 34.20% | 34.03% | 33.77% |
Gross Margin
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| (6) | (37) | 6 | 30 | 38 | 58 | 75 | 37 | 21 | 13 |
EBT
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| (1.13%) | (6.18%) | 0.91% | 4.01% | 4.94% | 6.53% | 6.91% | 2.93% | 1.35% | 0.71% |
EBT Margin
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| (7) | (22) | 6 | 32 | 91 | 41 | 53 | 25 | 14 | 8 |
Net Income
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| 75 | 74 | 83 | 82 | 93 | 106 | 128 | 174 | 238 | 310 |
Depreciation
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| 13.70 | 14.32 | 15.48 | 15.74 | 15.87 | 17.33 | 21.02 | 22.92 | 26.14 | 28.94 |
Revenue/Sh
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| (0.17) | (0.52) | 0.15 | 0.67 | 1.87 | 0.80 | 1.03 | 0.46 | 0.23 | 0.12 |
Earnings/Sh
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| 1.95 | 2.57 | 2.83 | 2.47 | 2.87 | 3.56 | 4.21 | 4.22 | 4.72 | 5.20 |
Cash Flow/Sh
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| (1.28) | (1.53) | (1.70) | (2.17) | (2.20) | (2.39) | (2.53) | (2.79) | (3.39) | (3.86) |
Capex/Sh
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| 0.67 | 1.04 | 1.14 | 0.31 | 0.66 | 1.17 | 1.68 | 1.44 | 1.33 | 1.34 |
Free CF/Sh
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| (0.60) | (0.90) | (0.37) | 2.60 | 7.42 | 8.23 | 9.64 | 18.52 | 26.03 | 24.72 |
Book Value/Sh
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| 41 | 42 | 43 | 47 | 49 | 51 | 52 | 55 | 60 | 63 |
Shares
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| 0.00 | 0.00 | 189.93 | 69.74 | 33.85 | 106.78 | 77.29 | 188.18 | 460.04 | 816.17 |
PE Ratio
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| 0.93 | 1.62 | 1.84 | 2.92 | 3.90 | 4.93 | 3.75 | 3.69 | 4.05 | 3.38 |
PS Ratio
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| 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.71 | 8.35 | 10.38 | 8.17 | 4.57 | 4.06 | 3.96 |
PB Ratio
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| 1.82 | 2.42 | 2.66 | 3.61 | 4.40 | 5.51 | 4.23 | 4.35 | 4.53 | 3.95 |
EV/Sales
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| 37.37 | 33.41 | 36.24 | 186.18 | 105.36 | 81.38 | 52.82 | 69.29 | 88.72 | 85.49 |
EV/FCF
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| 80 | 108 | 121 | 117 | 140 | 183 | 217 | 233 | 281 | 330 |
Op' Cash Flow
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| (53) | (64) | (72) | (102) | (108) | (123) | (130) | (154) | (202) | (245) |
Capex
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| 28 | 43 | 48 | 14 | 32 | 60 | 87 | 79 | 79 | 85 |
FCF
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| (4) | (4) | (14) | (28) | 116 | (6) | 30 | 147 | 306 | 75 |
Working Cap'
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| 509 | 483 | 544 | 513 | 540 | 552 | 594 | 1,043 | 1,133 | 1,155 |
Total Debt
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| 506 | 481 | 540 | 510 | 385 | 519 | 523 | 823 | 750 | 1,031 |
Net Debt
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| (25) | (38) | (16) | 123 | 362 | 422 | 498 | 1,022 | 1,551 | 1,569 |
Sh' Equity
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| (1.08%) | (3.50%) | 0.95% | 3.80% | 8.57% | 3.32% | 3.88% | 1.27% | 0.47% | 0.24% |
ROA
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| 5.83% | (1.78%) | 4.73% | 5.24% | 4.96% | 5.16% | 5.84% | 2.73% | 1.98% | 1.53% |
ROIC
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| 29.68% | 69.86% | (23.91%) | 59.21% | 37.58% | 10.48% | 11.53% | 3.34% | 1.05% | 0.50% |
ROE
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Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) key facts
- Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) is a Waste Management company in the Industrials sector, listed on Nasdaq.
- Casella Waste Systems, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.8 billion, up 18.0% from fiscal 2024.
- Net income was $7.9 million, or $0.12 per share (basic), a net margin of 0.43%.
- As of September 25, 2026, CWST traded at $82.24, a market capitalization of $5.3 billion.
- At that price the stock trades at 914× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 2.7× sales.
- Return on equity was 0.50% and debt-to-equity 0.85.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) Latest News
23 Sep
Casella Waste Systems released its 2026 Sustainability Report, outlining progress toward its 2030 goals and ongoing investments in employees, infrastructure, and services to improve environmental and operating performance. Highlights: annual resource recovery exceeds 1.6 million tons, up more than 500,000 tons since 2019; for every ton of CO2 emitted by Casella, its activities prevent about 5.7 tons of emissions elsewhere through recycling, renewable energy, and carbon sequestration, topping the 2030 target of 5.0; its workforce contributed over 24,000 volunteer hours in 2025, a 90% increase from the prior year. The company also notes ongoing investments in safety programs, recycling capacity, renewable energy, fleet efficiency, and employee training and development, plus technologies to improve safety and environmental performance. The report is at casella.com/sustainability. Forward-looking statements and risk disclosures accompany the release. Progress toward 2030 sustainability targets, expanded resource recovery, and quantified climate benefits improve Casella's long-term viability and potential investor appeal.
Casella Waste Systems showcased tech and process changes at the 18th Annual Boston C-Level Technology Leadership Summit, with CTO Keith S. Landau outlining how technology intersects with solid-waste operations. The stock trades around $85.76, down ~6.8% over 30 days and ~13% year-to-date, while 3-year total shareholder return sits at 11.6%. Analysts see a valuation gap, with a fair value around $112 and a narrative tilting between undervalued growth potential and margin pressures from higher labor and capital costs and integration risk. Demand for Casella's Resource Solutions segment is supported by ESG-focused clients and upgraded recycling facilities, though margins could be squeezed if costs rise. The piece notes a higher price multiple (P/S ~2.8x vs peers) reflecting optimism for future execution, and flags risks from acquisitions and commodity swings. Valuation gap amid higher labor and capital costs and acquisition risks suggests a moderate impact on future performance.
Casella Waste Systems' stock (CWST) has fallen 13.1% year-to-date to about $85.76, prompting scrutiny of whether the price is justified by cash-generating potential. The company relies on recurring waste collection, disposal and recycling contracts that can yield steady inflows if pricing, costs and renewals hold. A discounted cash flow (DCF) view starts from about $92.3 million in free cash flow over the past year and projects a rise into the mid-hundreds of millions by 2030, with a taper after an initial ramp. Those projections imply an intrinsic value well above the current price. The piece also flags insider selling and references a 2.8x price-to-sales multiple as another valuation lens, noting a 23% undervaluation in some community narratives. It frames a valuation-focused, investor-sentiment story rather than a near-term operational update. DCF-based valuation implies significant upside relative to the current price, potentially altering investor sentiment and demand for CWST shares.
21 Sep
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) trades at $89.06 and has moved with the market; it rose 14.2% over six months while the S&P 500 gained 16.4%. The report highlights two positives—19.3% annualized revenue growth over five years and an 8.4% CAGR in EPS—alongside a warning sign: operating margin declined 5.2 percentage points in five years, with trailing 12‑month margin at 3.4%. Valuation is rich, at about 71.3x forward earnings. The piece argues CWST has huge potential but faces open questions about cost leverage and pass-through to customers. It ends by asking whether now is the time to initiate a position and promotes a full, free research report. Strong revenue and earnings momentum are offset by shrinking margins and a rich valuation, yielding a moderate but meaningful impact on sentiment and prospects.
5 Sep
Casella Waste Systems' expansion is exceeding profit generation as costs outpace revenue gains. Profit pressures from rapid growth may moderately weigh on margins and near-term investor views.
4 Sep
Casella Waste Systems acquires Pennsylvania hauler planning to triple transfer capacity. Acquisition expands regional footprint and supports capacity growth.
3 Sep
Casella Waste Systems and Waga Energy activated their third RNG facility at McKean Landfill. Third RNG facility launch incrementally expands CWST renewable operations and supports long-term waste-to-energy positioning.
19 Aug
Casella Waste Systems shows durable growth potential that extends beyond current market concerns. Positive durability outlook creates moderate influence on CWST performance expectations.
15 Aug
Casella Waste Systems Q2 earnings call featured analyst questions on revenue trends, margin pressures, acquisition pipeline, pricing power and regulatory costs in waste management operations. Earnings call questions surface details on financial performance and strategy that can shift near-term investor sentiment but rarely alter long-term company trajectory.
13 Aug
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) held its Q2 2026 earnings call covering financial performance, operational updates, and forward guidance. Earnings call provides financial metrics and outlook that can influence near-term stock movement but rarely shifts long-term company trajectory.
12 Aug
Casella Waste Systems updated 2026 guidance, prompting assessment that shares could be 17% undervalued. 2026 guidance update moderately shifts investor expectations for Casella Waste Systems financial trajectory.
11 Aug
Casella Waste Systems achieves Q2 growth through acquisition integration and pricing execution despite ongoing cost headwinds. Acquisition integrations and pricing execution support Casella Waste Systems growth while cost headwinds create offsetting pressure.
7 Aug
Casella Waste Systems Inc reported strong revenue growth in Q2 2026 earnings call highlights. Strong revenue growth from earnings call supports improved financial outlook and market sentiment for Casella Waste Systems.
Casella Waste Systems reported Q2 revenue growth from acquisitions and pricing gains with stable waste volumes and raised full-year guidance. Q2 earnings and guidance updates typically produce moderate shifts in near-term valuation without altering long-term strategy.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, covering financial results, operational updates and forward outlook. Quarterly earnings call delivers standard financial and guidance updates that moderately influence near-term sentiment without signaling major strategic shifts.
6 Aug
Casella Waste Systems exceeded Q2 CY2026 expectations with strong results and issued a full-year outlook that slightly surpasses forecasts. Quarterly earnings beat and raised outlook support near-term financial performance and investor sentiment.
Casella Waste Systems exceeded Q2 earnings and revenue estimates. Quarterly earnings and revenue beats typically produce moderate short-term positive effects on stock performance.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. announced its second quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly results provide financial metrics that can shift near-term stock valuation and investor expectations.
31 Jul
WM's latest earnings call signals shifting competitive dynamics and pricing trends in waste management, with potential effects on Casella Waste Systems' market position and growth prospects. WM call commentary on industry conditions points to moderate competitive pressure likely to influence CWST operations.
30 Jul
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) Q2 earnings are projected to decline from the prior year. Projected earnings decline may pressure near-term financial results and stock sentiment.
28 Jul
Casella Waste Systems and Waga Energy began operations of a renewable natural gas facility at Hyland Landfill. RNG facility startup adds renewable energy capacity and supports sustainability initiatives at Casella.
16 Jul
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) stock may be 36% undervalued ahead of upcoming earnings. Pre-earnings valuation suggesting 36% undervaluation can lift near-term investor sentiment and share price.
29 May
Casella Waste Systems reported Q1 earnings amid review of waste management sector stocks, highlighting operational results and market positioning for CWST. Q1 earnings analysis offers moderate insight into financials that may sway near-term sentiment without altering long-term strategy.
25 May
Casella Waste Systems reported Q1 earnings and faces buy, sell or hold analysis based on results and outlook. Q1 earnings data directly informs near-term investor positioning for CWST.
14 May
Casella Waste Systems and Waga Energy unveiled a new Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) facility during a ribbon-cutting ceremony. Unveiling an RNG facility advances Casella's strategic push into sustainable energy production, enhancing revenue potential and market positioning.
3 May
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) delivered robust Q1 results fueled by pricing strength, strategic acquisitions, and margin expansion, enhancing the company's outlook. Pricing power, acquisitions, and margin gains represent major strategic drivers poised to significantly boost CWST's trajectory and investor sentiment.
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) stock soared over 10% today after reporting fourth-quarter results that beat earnings expectations, with adjusted EPS of $0.22 versus $0.12 forecast, fueled by 8% revenue growth to $379 million from acquisitions, higher volumes, and pricing gains in solid waste. Earnings beat with revenue growth and acquisitions signal strong operational momentum and expansion, significantly enhancing future performance and investor sentiment.
2 May
Casella Waste Systems Inc. (CWST) reported strong revenue growth in Q1 2026 earnings call highlights, alongside operational improvements and positive outlook. Strong Q1 2026 revenue growth highlights robust financial performance, boosting CWST's trajectory and investor sentiment.
1 May
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) Q1 2026 earnings call transcript details quarterly financial results, operational updates, and forward guidance. Q1 earnings call transcripts reveal financial performance, strategic initiatives, and outlook that significantly shape investor expectations and market trajectory.
Casella Waste Systems released highlights from its Q1 earnings call, covering financial results, operational updates, and forward guidance. Q1 earnings call highlights detail financial performance, strategic initiatives, and outlook that significantly influence investor sentiment and stock trajectory.