| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 1.34 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 1.26 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 1.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 1.14 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 1.08 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 1.08 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 1.08 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 1.00 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.98 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.88 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 1.02 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 302.70 | 368.60 | 326.40 | 322.80 |
| Receivables | 572.10 | 568.90 | 571.30 | 481.40 |
| Inventory | 823.60 | 770.90 | 688.30 | 619.30 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 1,698.40 | 1,708.40 | 1,586.00 | 1,423.50 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 743.50 | 731.40 | 651.70 | 574.20 |
| ST’ Debt | 530.00 | — | — | — |
| Other | 275.00 | — | — | — |
| 1,040.60 | 731.40 | 651.70 | 2,379.80 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Nov | Feb | May | Aug | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 706.10 | 587.50 | 576.50 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 875.90 | 762.10 | 842.70 | 759.50 |
3,240.20
|
| ’24 | 808.80 | 862.70 | 820.20 | 1,053.00 |
3,544.70
|
| ’23 | 766.50 | 1,122.00 | 1,038.10 | 1,017.40 |
3,944.00
|
| ’22 | 550.70 | 682.80 | 793.50 | 950.70 |
2,977.70
|
| ’21 | 403.00 | 295.60 | 450.20 | 599.10 |
1,747.90
|
| ’20 | 769.36 | 623.85 | 762.56 | 636.44 |
2,792.20
|
| Nov | Feb | May | Aug | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 76.20 | 158.70 | (226.80) | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (65.10) | 93.60 | 139.20 | 98.00 |
265.70
|
| ’24 | (44.70) | 99.10 | 84.00 | 191.20 |
329.60
|
| ’23 | (255.50) | 159.10 | 97.60 | 70.00 |
71.20
|
| ’22 | (196.70) | (23.60) | (108.10) | 178.00 |
(150.40)
|
| ’21 | 8.60 | (103.40) | (29.00) | 83.30 |
(40.50)
|
| ’20 | (70.32) | (62.85) | 222.21 | 183.17 |
272.20
|
| Nov | Feb | May | Aug | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 61.20 | 208.30 | (238.30) | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (123.60) | 81.30 | 76.30 | 28.60 |
62.60
|
| ’24 | (112.60) | 2.40 | (8.20) | 124.70 |
6.30
|
| ’23 | (298.70) | 94.70 | 27.60 | (35.70) |
(212.10)
|
| ’22 | (355.60) | 85.90 | (152.40) | 46.50 |
(375.60)
|
| ’21 | (21.30) | (112.50) | (40.70) | 10.90 |
(163.60)
|
| ’20 | (66.07) | (66.11) | 244.41 | 176.57 |
288.80
|
| Nov | Feb | May | Aug | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.14 | 0.47 | 0.60 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.72 | 1.56 | 1.86 | 1.16 |
6.35
|
| ’24 | 0.96 | 1.03 | 1.06 | 1.92 |
4.96
|
| ’23 | (0.51) | 0.97 | 0.64 | 0.77 |
1.89
|
| ’22 | 0.32 | 0.38 | 0.09 | 0.60 |
1.40
|
| ’21 | (0.30) | (0.28) | 0.59 | 0.95 |
0.96
|
| ’20 | 0.23 | 0.41 | 0.83 | 0.00 |
1.46
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 23.80 | 25.41 | 41.40 | 37.77 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 53.46 | 48.21 | 69.12 | 71.06 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14,400 | 13,800 | 14,200 | 11,000 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.29 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,977.70 | 3,944.00 | 3,544.70 | 3,240.20 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.28% | 11.18% | 15.76% | 18.75% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 60.60 | 91.00 | 223.70 | 284.40 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.04% | 2.31% | 6.31% | 8.78% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 53.80 | 75.60 | 172.70 | 213.10 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 102.00 | 106.30 | 115.60 | 121.50 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 91.43 | 123.32 | 113.97 | 103.95 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 1.44 | 1.95 | 5.15 | 6.55 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (4.62) | 2.23 | 10.60 | 8.52 | ‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (6.91) | (8.86) | (10.39) | (6.52) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (11.53) | (6.63) | 0.20 | 2.01 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 43.88 | 44.09 | 49.41 | 54.46 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 32.57 | 31.98 | 31.10 | 31.17 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.80 | 21.60 | 9.19 | 7.10 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.45 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.65 | 0.97 | 0.96 | 0.85 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.81 | 0.89 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (5.40) | (13.67) | 455.76 | 46.07 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (150.40) | 71.20 | 329.60 | 265.70 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (225.20) | (283.30) | (323.30) | (203.10) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (375.60) | (212.10) | 6.30 | 62.60 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 893.70 | 657.80 | 977.00 | 934.30 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,657.10 | 1,841.70 | 1,755.80 | 1,750.90 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,098.00 | 1,539.00 | 1,387.20 | 1,424.50 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,429.10 | 1,410.20 | 1,536.60 | 1,697.70 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.30% | 1.60% | 3.89% | 4.74% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.92% | 3.74% | 6.94% | 7.21% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.23% | 4.40% | 10.87% | 12.62% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Greenbrier Companies (GBX), the poster child for railcar manufacturing’s brutal cycles, dazzles Wall Street with revenue peaks and margin pops, but peel back the hype and you’ll find a fragile beast chained to volatile freight demand, exploding debt, and insider cash-outs. Revenue surged 47% to $3.94 billion by 2023 before sliding 10% in 2024, with forecasts eyeing further drops to $3.24 billion in 2025—echoing the 37% pandemic plunge that exposed GBX’s mercy to steel prices, supply snarls, and economic whim. Gross margins clawed to 15.8% in 2024 (projected 18.8% next year), yet EBT stays razor-thin at 6.3%, primed for strikes, tariffs, or recessions to gut it.
Debt has ballooned 482% to $1.76 billion since 2016, fueling capex black holes that turn free cash flow wildly negative—flipping positive at a measly $0.20/share in 2024 but forecasted to crater again. ROIC and ROE rebound but falter ahead, while insiders dump shares into strength, with execs offloading over $1.2 million amid token buys. Valuations scream cheap on PS (0.4x) but sucker’s rally on EV/FCF (46x), decoupling from fundamentals as stock highs precede busts.
Analysts bet on a soft landing with tepid price targets (14% downside mean), but contrarians smell blood: coal car obsolescence from green shifts, working capital traps, high-rate debt bites, and rail traffic slowdowns loom large. GBX booms in euphoria, bleeds in reality—fade the froth before the cycle skewers the optimists.
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