Friday 6 November 2026
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Norfolk Southern Corporation
NSC Industrials Railroads
Norfolk Southern Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $12.2 billion, roughly unchanged from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +13.6%
- EPS
- +6.65%
- Free cash flow
- +7.49%
- Total debt
- −2.75%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
328.49
15.65
−4.55%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Sep ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 9,888 | 10,551 | 11,458 | 11,296 | 9,789 | 11,142 | 12,745 | 12,156 | 12,123 | 12,180 | 12,963 | +2.3% | 13,449 | 14,167 | 14,700 | +6.5% | |
| Gross margin, % | 69.21 | 71.61 | 69.70 | 69.74 | 70.63 | 72.43 | 67.88 | 66.50 | 72.22 | 69.94 | 67.59 | +0.7 pt | ||||||
| EBT | 2,582 | 3,128 | 3,469 | 3,491 | 2,530 | 3,878 | 4,130 | 2,320 | 3,329 | 3,665 | 3,426 | +4.0% | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 26.11 | 29.65 | 30.28 | 30.90 | 25.85 | 34.81 | 32.40 | 19.09 | 27.46 | 30.09 | 26.43 | +4.0 pt | ||||||
| Net income | 1,668 | 5,404 | 2,666 | 2,722 | 2,013 | 3,005 | 3,270 | 1,827 | 2,622 | 2,873 | 2,684 | +6.2% | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 33.64 | 36.65 | 41.26 | 42.90 | 38.37 | 45.13 | 54.28 | 53.57 | 53.62 | 54.13 | 57.72 | +5.4% | |||||
| Earnings | 5.66 | 18.76 | 9.51 | 10.25 | 7.84 | 12.11 | 13.88 | 8.02 | 11.57 | 12.75 | 11.93 | +9.4% | ||||||
| Cash flow | 10.32 | 11.30 | 13.42 | 14.78 | 14.26 | 17.23 | 17.98 | 14.01 | 17.92 | 19.38 | 16.84 | +7.3% | ||||||
| Capex | (5.98) | (5.28) | (6.29) | (6.24) | (4.55) | (5.31) | (7.18) | (9.88) | (8.06) | (9.07) | (8.10) | +4.7% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 4.35 | 6.02 | 7.13 | 8.55 | 9.71 | 11.92 | 10.80 | 4.13 | 9.86 | 10.32 | 8.74 | +10.1% | ||||||
| Book value | 42.22 | 56.82 | 55.32 | 57.67 | 57.98 | 55.25 | 54.23 | 56.33 | 63.27 | 69.10 | 74.49 | +5.6% | ||||||
| Shares, m | 294 | 288 | 278 | 263 | 255 | 247 | 235 | 227 | 226 | 225 | 225 | (2.9%) | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 18.90 | 7.78 | 15.71 | 18.94 | 30.23 | 24.56 | 17.82 | 29.38 | 20.30 | 22.64 | 27.53 | 20.6 | |||||
| P/S | 3.18 | 4.01 | 3.62 | 4.53 | 6.19 | 6.60 | 4.56 | 4.40 | 4.38 | 5.33 | 5.69 | 4.7 | ||||||
| P/B | 2.53 | 2.59 | 2.70 | 3.37 | 4.10 | 5.39 | 4.57 | 4.18 | 3.71 | 4.18 | 4.41 | 3.7 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 4.12 | 4.88 | 4.57 | 5.55 | 7.37 | 7.76 | 5.72 | 5.68 | 5.66 | 6.61 | 6.85 | 5.8 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 31.87 | 29.71 | 26.43 | 27.88 | 29.15 | 29.38 | 28.73 | 73.65 | 30.79 | 34.69 | 45.21 | 34.2 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 3,034 | 3,253 | 3,726 | 3,892 | 3,637 | 4,255 | 4,222 | 3,179 | 4,052 | 4,361 | 3,783 | +4.1% | |||||
| Capex | (1,757) | (1,521) | (1,747) | (1,642) | (1,161) | (1,311) | (1,685) | (2,241) | (1,823) | (2,040) | (1,819) | +1.7% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 1,277 | 1,732 | 1,979 | 2,250 | 2,476 | 2,944 | 2,537 | 938 | 2,229 | 2,321 | 1,964 | +6.9% | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | (48) | (396) | (729) | (219) | 158 | (354) | (642) | 639 | (357) | (577) | (356) | +31.8% | |||||
| Net debt | 9,256 | 9,146 | 10,787 | 11,616 | 11,566 | 13,001 | 14,726 | 15,611 | 15,565 | 15,557 | 15,015 | +5.9% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 12,409 | 16,359 | 15,362 | 15,184 | 14,791 | 13,641 | 12,733 | 12,781 | 14,306 | 15,547 | 16,730 | +2.5% | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 4.82 | 15.30 | 7.39 | 7.33 | 5.30 | 7.86 | 8.45 | 4.53 | 6.14 | 6.46 | 5.92 | +1.6 pt | |||||
| ROIC | 8.68 | 8.63 | 9.46 | 9.30 | 7.12 | 10.43 | 10.95 | 6.28 | 8.52 | 8.75 | 8.05 | +0.1 pt | ||||||
| ROE | 13.52 | 37.54 | 16.77 | 17.79 | 13.41 | 21.12 | 24.78 | 14.30 | 19.34 | 19.23 | 16.82 | +5.7 pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 28,044 | 27,110 | 26,662 | 24,587 | 20,156 | 18,100 | 19,300 | 20,700 | 19,600 | 19,300 | — | (4.1%) | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.62 | 0.66 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.63 | — | +6.7% | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Sep 2026 · fundamentals updated 2 Nov 2026
Business profile
Where the money comes from and where it goes Fiscal 2025
| Merchandise | 7,684 | 63.09% |
|---|---|---|
| Intermodal | 3,009 | 24.70% |
| Coal | 1,487 | 12.21% |
| Gross margin | 69.94% | |
| Operating margin | 35.76% | |
| Pre-tax margin | 30.09% |
Norfolk Southern Corporation vs peers in Railroads (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNP Union Pacific Corporation | $177.1B | 23.2× | 23.3× | +15.26% (above 0%: growing) | +15.89% (above 0%: growing) | +12.09% (above 0%: growing) | 57.62% | 40.89% | Compare |
| CSX CSX Corporation | $93.7B | 26.3× | 25.3× | +11.99% (above 0%: growing) | +54.05% (above 0%: growing) | +65.76% (above 0%: growing) | 70.13% | 39.08% | Compare |
| CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited | $81.5B | 29.9× | 27.0× | +13.46% (above 0%: growing) | +2.30% (above 0%: growing) | +124.63% (above 0%: growing) | 67.03% | 35.25% | Compare |
| NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation | $74.0B | 27.5× | 27.8× | +13.63% (above 0%: growing) | +6.65% (above 0%: growing) | +7.49% (above 0%: growing) | 66.25% | 32.61% | |
| WAB Wabtec | $46.7B | 34.7× | 30.0× | +8.11% (above 0%: growing) | +34.25% (above 0%: growing) | +22.12% (above 0%: growing) | 37.31% | 20.03% | Compare |
| TRN Trinity Industries, Inc. | $2.4B | 7.5× | 13.4× | +17.84% (above 0%: growing) | −42.16% (below 0%: shrinking) | +50.99% (above 0%: growing) | 23.70% | 17.87% | Compare |
| GBX Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (The) | $1.3B | 16.1× | 12.5× | −22.19% (below 0%: shrinking) | −64.93% (below 0%: shrinking) | −373.08% (below 0%: shrinking) | 13.50% | 4.31% | Compare |
| FSTR L.B. Foster Company | $411.0M | 29.3× | 22.1× | +21.48% (above 0%: growing) | +54.76% (above 0%: growing) | −10.70% (below 0%: shrinking) | 20.49% | 6.00% | Compare |
| RAIL Freightcar America, Inc. | $136.1M | — (loss-making) | 9.7× | −4.62% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +33.43% (above 0%: growing) | 5.45% | (3.80%) | Compare |
| Median of peers | $24.6B | 26.3× | 22.7× | +12.73% | +15.89% | +27.78% | 30.51% | 18.95% |
From the latest earnings call
- CEO Mark George said truck-market conditions were helping Norfolk Southern win freight, but he viewed most factors behind recent highway-to-rail conversions as temporary.
- CFO Jason Zampi said higher fuel prices increased both revenue and expenses and pushed the operating ratio above the company’s earlier expectation.
Largest institutional holders 13F, quarter to 30 June 2026
Held by institutions
75.37%
Held by the ten largest
33.42%
| Holder | Shares | Stake | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard | 24.36m | 10.85% | +3.32m |
| BlackRock | 16.00m | 7.12% | +724.24k |
| State Street | 10.24m | 4.56% | +408.77k |
| Millennium Management | 5.20m | 2.32% | +617.64k |
| Geode Capital Management | 5.11m | 2.28% | +38.09k |
| Bank of America | 3.11m | 1.39% | −89.18k |
| Norges Bank | 3.04m | 1.35% | +3.04m |
| Pentwater Capital Management LP | 2.78m | 1.24% | −445.00k |
| Northern Trust | 2.61m | 1.16% | −23.26k |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.61m | 1.16% | −15.43k |
13F filings for the quarter to 30 June 2026: long positions in US-listed shares reported by managers with $100m or more, ~45 days after the quarter.
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) Latest News
30 Oct
29 Oct
23 Oct
22 Oct
21 Oct
15 Oct
NSC metrics, ten years each
- Revenue
- Net income
- EPS (diluted)
- EBITDA
- Free cash flow
- Operating cash flow
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
- Free cash flow margin
- P/E ratio
- P/S ratio
- P/B ratio
- Price to free cash flow
- EV/EBITDA
- EV/Sales
- EV/FCF
- Return on equity
- Return on assets
- Return on invested capital
- Debt to equity
- Current ratio
- Total debt
- Shares outstanding
- Book value per share
- Revenue growth
- Piotroski F-score
- Altman Z-score
- Beneish M-score
Norfolk Southern owns and operates a freight railroad. It transports raw materials, intermediate products and finished goods for businesses, primarily across the Southeast, East and Midwest. Connections with other rail carriers extend its service to and from the rest of the United States, while ports connect its network with overseas trade.
The company carries freight in three broad groups: merchandise, intermodal and coal. Merchandise covers goods ranging from grain and chemicals to construction materials and vehicles. Intermodal freight travels in containers or trailers that can move between trains and other forms of transport. Coal moves to electricity generators, industrial customers and export markets.