Saturday 17 October 2026
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Fossil Group, Inc.
FOSL Consumer Cyclical Footwear & Accessories
Fossil Group, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.0 billion, down 12.3% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue fell 4.86%, EPS fell 350.0%, free cash flow fell 130.0% and total debt rose 13.4%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Insiders bought in the last twelve months.
6.92
0.04
+0.58%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 23.10 | 5.50 | 7.16 | 6.83 | 2.69 | 8.43 | 3.25 | 1.07 | 0.75 | 0.86 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 51.93 | 27.33 | 32.17 | 19.35 | 13.61 | 28.60 | 14.58 | 6.08 | 2.61 | 4.40 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 14,500 | 12,300 | 10,800 | 10,200 | 7,500 | 6,900 | 6,900 | 6,100 | 5,200 | 4,500 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.22 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 3,042 | 2,788 | 2,541 | 2,218 | 1,613 | 1,870 | 1,682 | 1,412 | 1,145 | 1,004 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 51.87 | 48.74 | 52.73 | 49.58 | 47.75 | 51.68 | 49.37 | 48.12 | 52.15 | 56.07 | |||||
| EBT | 114 | (454) | 20 | (31) | (172) | 53 | (22) | (156) | (118) | (50) | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 3.76 | (16.27) | 0.79 | (1.41) | (10.66) | 2.84 | (1.32) | (11.05) | (10.31) | (4.95) | |||||
| Net income | 86 | (474) | (1) | (50) | (96) | 27 | (44) | (157) | (106) | (78) | |||||
| Depreciation | 96 | 81 | 68 | 55 | 43 | 30 | 23 | 19 | 16 | 13 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 63.20 | 57.53 | 51.66 | 44.15 | 31.56 | 35.99 | 32.45 | 27.01 | 21.62 | 18.57 | ||||
| Earnings | 1.64 | (9.87) | (0.07) | (1.04) | (1.88) | 0.49 | (0.85) | (3.00) | (1.94) | (1.45) | |||||
| Cash flow | 4.37 | 3.70 | 5.04 | (0.28) | 1.98 | 0.96 | (2.14) | (1.14) | 0.88 | (1.07) | |||||
| Capex | (0.42) | (0.55) | (0.32) | (0.46) | (0.21) | 0.14 | (0.16) | (0.19) | 0.08 | 0.41 | |||||
| Free cash flow | 3.95 | 3.16 | 4.73 | (0.74) | 1.77 | 1.10 | (2.30) | (1.33) | 0.96 | (0.66) | |||||
| Book value | 21.10 | 11.99 | 11.97 | 10.03 | 8.61 | 8.96 | 7.77 | 4.81 | 2.58 | 1.60 | |||||
| Shares, m | 48 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 53 | 54 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 16.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||
| P/S | 0.42 | 0.15 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.20 | |||||
| P/B | 1.25 | 0.72 | 1.31 | 0.79 | 1.01 | 1.15 | 0.57 | 0.31 | 0.65 | 2.34 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 0.53 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.28 | |||||
| EV/FCF | 8.46 | 4.15 | 3.30 | (10.80) | 3.91 | 7.45 | (2.08) | (2.44) | 2.56 | (7.97) | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 210 | 180 | 248 | (14) | 101 | 50 | (111) | (59) | 47 | (58) | ||||
| Capex | (20) | (27) | (16) | (23) | (11) | 7 | (9) | (10) | 4 | 22 | |||||
| Free cash flow | 190 | 153 | 233 | (37) | 91 | 57 | (119) | (69) | 51 | (36) | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 933 | 782 | 653 | 500 | 432 | 487 | 519 | 368 | 228 | 166 | ||||
| Total debt | 636 | 446 | 396 | 205 | 227 | 142 | 216 | 207 | 165 | 178 | |||||
| Net debt | 339 | 215 | (7) | 5 | (89) | (109) | 18 | 90 | 41 | 82 | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 1,015 | 581 | 589 | 504 | 440 | 465 | 403 | 252 | 137 | 87 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 3.47 | (24.87) | (0.22) | (3.29) | (6.23) | 1.79 | (3.39) | (14.18) | (11.79) | (10.78) | ||||
| ROIC | 5.87 | (33.32) | 6.74 | (3.49) | (24.06) | 16.24 | (0.22) | (26.14) | (36.50) | (7.07) | |||||
| ROE | 8.10 | (59.91) | (0.59) | (9.59) | (20.36) | 5.62 | (10.17) | (47.98) | (52.86) | (70.07) | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
Fossil Group, Inc. vs peers in Footwear & Accessories (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CROX Crocs, Inc. | $6.0B | 10.5× | 9.3× | +2.62% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +22.93% (above 0%: growing) | 59.41% | 24.22% | Compare |
| SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. | $3.4B | 22.5× | 16.9× | +19.12% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +233.50% (above 0%: growing) | 46.50% | 5.90% | Compare |
| WWW Wolverine World Wide, Inc. | $1.6B | 15.3× | 10.3× | +6.79% (above 0%: growing) | +15.62% (above 0%: growing) | +104.37% (above 0%: growing) | 46.47% | 9.34% | Compare |
| FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. | $545.5M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +332.09% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −4,212.31% (below 0%: shrinking) | 62.19% | (651.82%) | Compare |
| WEYS Weyco Group, Inc. | $497.7M | 14.2× | 6.9× | +6.86% (above 0%: growing) | +487.50% (above 0%: growing) | −31.69% (below 0%: shrinking) | 70.37% | 27.36% | Compare |
| FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. | $406.9M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −4.86% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −130.01% (below 0%: shrinking) | 62.38% | 1.53% | |
| RCKY Rocky Brands, Inc. | $349.7M | 11.9× | — (loss-making) | +12.04% (above 0%: growing) | +285.42% (above 0%: growing) | +275.54% (above 0%: growing) | 51.37% | 16.63% | Compare |
| DBI Designer Brands Inc. | $328.2M | 22.1× | — (loss-making) | −1.23% (below 0%: shrinking) | +40.91% (above 0%: growing) | +385.67% (above 0%: growing) | 50.01% | 7.49% | Compare |
| VRA Vera Bradley, Inc. | $171.7M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +1.12% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +462.76% (above 0%: growing) | 59.76% | 5.83% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $521.6M | 14.7× | 9.8× | +6.83% | +163.17% | +168.94% | 55.39% | 8.42% |
Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) key facts
- Concern: Fossil Group, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.0 billion, down 12.3% from fiscal 2024.
- Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) is a Footwear & Accessories company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on Nasdaq.
- As of October 16, 2026, FOSL traded at $6.92, a market capitalization of $406.9 million.
- Return on equity was −70.1% and debt-to-equity 2.74.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 4 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 1.53 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.
Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) Latest News
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