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Fossil Group, Inc.

FOSL Consumer Cyclical Footwear & Accessories

Fossil Group, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.0 billion, down 12.3% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
−4.86%
EPS
−350.0%
Free cash flow
−130.0%
Total debt
+13.4%

Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier

7.72 0.10 +1.31%
Market cap
$459.2M
P/E
0.0×
Fwd P/E
−47.4×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
4/9
Altman Z
1.53
Beneish M
−2.67
Dividend safety
n/a
Overview
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios

Insider Decisions last twelve months

Bought, $m 0.35
Sold, $m 0.31
Trades a month
Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Buy 1 — — 1 — 1 — — 1 — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — 1 — — —
Insider Ownership 5.06%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Size
Market Cap 459.20
Revenue ttm 985.17
Net income ttm (69.16)
Free cash flow ttm (37.14)
Net debt Q 124.07
Valuation
P/E 0.00
Forward P/E (47.40) (negative: loss-making)
Price / sales 0.46
Forward P/S Powerpack
Price / FCF 0.00
Price / book 6.16 (above 6: high)
Financial health
Current ratio Q 1.76 (at or above 1.5: strong)
Debt / equity Q 2.74 (above 2: weak)
Interest coverage Q 0.38
Growth
Revenue growth Q −4.86% (below 0%: shrinking)
Operating income growth Q −62.30% (below 0%: shrinking)
EPS, this year +96.32% (at or above 15%: strong)
EPS, next year A +776.19% (at or above 15%: strong)
Revenue, next year A −3.87% (below 0%: weak)
EPS, past 5 yrs —
EPS, next 5 yrs A +14.90%

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges; (Q) is the latest quarter, (A) analysts’ estimates. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

EV/Sales, ten years
EV/Sales is 0.6×, against a ten-year median of 0.2×; over the ten years it ranged from 0.1× in 2020 to 0.9× in 2016.
P/S against its own 10 years 91.68%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 100.00%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 91.79%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Yield
—
Annual rate
—
Payout ratio
—

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 117 124 96 79
Receivables 188 162 145 111
Inventory 253 179 152 178
Other — — — —
711 555 468 438
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 147 158 133 124
ST’ Debt 0 2 4 0
Other — — — —
342 327 302 248

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales (11.02%) (9.04%) (15.80%)
Cash Flow 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Earnings 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Book Value (21.14%) (27.73%) (40.06%)

Earnings Trends EPS, adjusted, against the consensus

Q2 FY25 Estimate −0.29 Actual −0.13

Earnings per share against the consensus, by quarter
Quarter Estimate Reported Result
Q4 FY19 0.84 −0.06 Miss by 0.90
Q4 FY25 0.02 −0.15 Miss by 0.17
Q1 FY26 −0.22 −0.03 Beat by 0.19
Q2 FY25 −0.29 −0.13 Beat by 0.16
Q3 FY25 0.03 — Reports 10 November 2026

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.01) (0.18) — — —
’25 (0.33) (0.04) (0.76) (0.33) (1.45)
’24 (0.46) (0.73) (0.60) (0.14) (1.94)
’23 (0.80) (0.51) (1.16) (0.54) (3.00)
’22 (0.41) (0.37) 0.11 (0.18) (0.85)
’21 (0.47) (0.02) 0.60 0.37 0.48
’20 (1.69) (0.44) 0.31 (0.08) (1.88)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 225 210 — — —
’25 233 220 270 281 1,004
’24 255 260 288 342 1,145
’23 325 322 344 421 1,412
’22 376 371 436 499 1,682
’21 363 411 492 604 1,870
’20 391 259 435 528 1,613
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (22) (9) — — —
’25 (60) 9 (22) 15 (58)
’24 1 38 (23) 31 47
’23 (86) 3 (25) 49 (59)
’22 (115) (51) (49) 104 (111)
’21 (38) 28 (27) 87 50
’20 (77) 89 84 5 101
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (22) (9) — — —
’25 (60) 30 (21) 15 (36)
’24 (1) 37 (16) 30 51
’23 (89) 1 (29) 47 (69)
’22 (117) (52) (53) 103 (119)
’21 (23) 27 (30) 83 57
’20 (80) 85 82 4 91
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Ten-year view Analyst estimates Powerpack
Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 TTM Jun ’26 Trend 10 yrs 2026e 2027e 2028e Next 3/yr
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 3,042 2,788 2,541 2,218 1,613 1,870 1,682 1,412 1,145 1,004 985 (11.6%) 966 979 1,006 +0.1%
Gross margin, % 51.87 48.74 52.73 49.58 47.75 51.68 49.37 48.12 52.15 56.07 56.73 +4.2 pt
EBT 114 (454) 20 (31) (172) 53 (22) (156) (118) (50) (42) n/m
EBT margin, % 3.76 (16.27) 0.79 (1.41) (10.66) 2.84 (1.32) (11.05) (10.31) (4.95) (4.21) (8.7) pt
Net income 86 (474) (1) (50) (96) 27 (44) (157) (106) (78) (69) n/m
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 63.20 57.53 51.66 44.15 31.56 35.99 32.45 27.01 21.62 18.57 16.69 (12.7%)
Earnings 1.64 (9.87) (0.07) (1.04) (1.88) 0.49 (0.85) (3.00) (1.94) (1.45) (1.28) n/m
Cash flow 4.37 3.70 5.04 (0.28) 1.98 0.96 (2.14) (1.14) 0.88 (1.07) (0.64) n/m
Capex (0.42) (0.55) (0.32) (0.46) (0.21) 0.14 (0.16) (0.19) 0.08 0.41 0.01 n/m
Free cash flow 3.95 3.16 4.73 (0.74) 1.77 1.10 (2.30) (1.33) 0.96 (0.66) (0.63) n/m
Book value 21.10 11.99 11.97 10.03 8.61 8.96 7.77 4.81 2.58 1.60 1.25 (24.9%)
Shares, m 48 48 49 50 51 52 52 52 53 54 56 +1.3%
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 16.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.7
P/S 0.42 0.15 0.30 0.18 0.27 0.29 0.14 0.06 0.08 0.20 0.46 0.2
P/B 1.25 0.72 1.31 0.79 1.01 1.15 0.57 0.31 0.65 2.34 6.16 1.0
EV/Sales 0.53 0.23 0.30 0.18 0.22 0.23 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.28 0.59 0.2
EV/FCF 8.46 4.15 3.30 (10.80) 3.91 7.45 (2.08) (2.44) 2.56 (7.97) (15.61) 0.7
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 210 180 248 (14) 101 50 (111) (59) 47 (58) (38) n/m
Capex (20) (27) (16) (23) (11) 7 (9) (10) 4 22 1 n/m
Free cash flow 190 153 233 (37) 91 57 (119) (69) 51 (36) (37) n/m
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 933 782 653 500 432 487 519 368 228 166 189 (17.4%)
Net debt 339 215 (7) 5 (89) (109) 18 90 41 82 124 (14.6%)
Shareholders’ equity 1,015 581 589 504 440 465 403 252 137 87 74 (23.9%)
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 3.47 (24.87) (0.22) (3.29) (6.23) 1.79 (3.39) (14.18) (11.79) (10.78) (10.29) (14.3) pt
ROIC 5.87 (33.32) 6.74 (3.49) (24.06) 16.24 (0.22) (26.14) (36.50) (7.07) (1.76) (12.9) pt
ROE 8.10 (59.91) (0.59) (9.59) (20.36) 5.62 (10.17) (47.98) (52.86) (70.07) (67.21) (78.2) pt
People
People Employees 14,500 12,300 10,800 10,200 7,500 6,900 6,900 6,100 5,200 4,500 — (12.2%)
Revenue/emp, $m 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.22 0.22 0.27 0.24 0.23 0.22 0.22 — +0.7%
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Fossil Group, Inc. vs peers in Footwear & Accessories (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
CROX Crocs, Inc. $7.0B 11.3× 10.1× +4.65% (above 0%: growing) +68.07% (above 0%: growing) +21.83% (above 0%: growing) 66.16% 28.00% Compare
BIRK Birkenstock Holding PLC $6.6B 17.3× 16.6× +16.05% (above 0%: growing) −10.26% (below 0%: shrinking) −3.15% (below 0%: shrinking) 59.05% 28.22% Compare
SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. $2.9B 19.2× 16.4× +19.12% (above 0%: growing) n/m +233.50% (above 0%: growing) 46.50% 5.90% Compare
WWW Wolverine World Wide, Inc. $1.8B 16.8× 12.7× +6.79% (above 0%: growing) +15.62% (above 0%: growing) +104.37% (above 0%: growing) 46.47% 9.34% Compare
WEYS Weyco Group, Inc. $602.4M 16.9× 6.9× +6.86% (above 0%: growing) +487.50% (above 0%: growing) −31.69% (below 0%: shrinking) 70.37% 27.36% Compare
FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. $459.2M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −4.86% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m −130.01% (below 0%: shrinking) 62.38% 1.53%
RCKY Rocky Brands, Inc. $391.5M 11.3× — (loss-making) +13.28% (above 0%: growing) +78.16% (above 0%: growing) +221.36% (above 0%: growing) 45.02% 13.09% Compare
DBI Designer Brands Inc. $340.0M 23.6× — (loss-making) −1.23% (below 0%: shrinking) +40.91% (above 0%: growing) +385.67% (above 0%: growing) 50.01% 7.49% Compare
VRA Vera Bradley, Inc. $200.3M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +1.12% (above 0%: growing) n/m +462.76% (above 0%: growing) 59.76% 5.83% Compare
Median of peers $1.2B 16.9× 12.7× +6.83% +54.49% +162.87% 54.53% 11.22%

All 14 Footwear & Accessories stocks →

Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 12 August 2026

Ownership

Directors and executive officers, together 3.80%
Nantahala Capital Management, LLC 10.40%
Blackrock, Inc. 6.40%
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more. Read the proxy statement

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) Latest News

4 Nov

Impact 3 · · Insider Monkey

28 Oct

Impact 3 · · Zacks

20 Oct

Impact 3 · · GlobeNewswire

8 Oct

Impact 4 · · GlobeNewswire

2 Oct

Impact 3 · · Simply Wall St.

24 Sep

Impact 3 ·

8 Sep

Impact 3 ·

7 Sep

Impact 3 · · TheStreet

19 Aug

Impact 3 · · The Motley Fool transcript

14 Aug

Impact 4 · · TheStreet

13 Aug

Impact 4 ·
Impact 3 · · Moby transcript

12 Aug

Impact 3 · · MarketBeat transcript
Impact 3 ·

4 Aug

Impact 3 ·

17 Jul

Impact 3 · · livenowfox.com

16 Jul

Impact 3 · · usatoday.com

11 Jul

Impact 3 · · TheStreet

23 Jun

Impact 3 · · GlobeNewswire

15 May

Impact 4 · · Simply Wall St.

14 May

Impact 4 · · Moby
Impact 3 ·

13 May

Impact 4 · · MarketBeat
Impact 4 · · Benzinga transcript
Impact 3 · · Zacks
Impact 3 · · GlobeNewswire

20 Mar

Impact 3 · · Insider Monkey

11 Mar

Impact 4 · · GuruFocus.com
Impact 4 · · Moby
Impact 4 · · MarketBeat
stockrow.com/FOSL · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com