Fair Isaac Corporation FICO

863.09 6.61 0.77% as of 25 Sep
Market cap
$18.6B
P/E
24.8×
Indexes indicate stock being part of an index,
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

Insider Decisions

Total sells 0.09
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell 2 2 2 — 2 — — — — 1 — —
Insider Ownership 7.90%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 18,570.00
Revenue 2,393.58
Net Income 815.02
Free Cash Flow 960.88
Net Debt 5,333.95
Current Ratio 1.18
Debt/Equity (1.36)
P/E ratio 24.79
P/S ratio 8.17
P/B ratio 0.00
Past 5Y EPS Growth 26.38%
This Y EPS Growth 43.72%
Next Y EPS Growth 22.53%
Next 5Y EPS Growth 28.30%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.00
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2025 Powerpack
2024 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
2020 Powerpack
2017 0.02
0.02
2016 0.08
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 137 151 134 248
Receivables 388 427 529 593
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
556 617 705 882
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 19 22 32 27
ST’ Debt 50 15 400 300
Other — — — —
368 380 849 745
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales 9.03% 8.99% 13.07%
Cash Flow 18.16% 16.37% 15.20%
Earnings 22.38% 22.49% 20.40%
Book Value 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

Revenue

Dec Mar Jun Sep Year
’26 512 692 674 — —
’25 440 499 536 516 1,991
’24 382 434 448 454 1,718
’23 345 380 399 390 1,514
’22 322 357 349 349 1,377
’21 312 331 338 335 1,317
’20 299 308 314 374 1,295
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Dec Mar Jun Sep Year
’26 174 223 380 — —
’25 194 75 286 224 779
’24 122 71 213 226 633
’23 92 90 123 164 469
’22 125 123 117 145 509
’21 78 154 101 92 424
’20 60 61 107 136 365
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Dec Mar Jun Sep Year
’26 165 214 370 — —
’25 187 65 276 211 739
’24 121 62 206 219 607
’23 84 90 122 169 465
’22 126 120 115 142 503
’21 83 152 237 (56) 416
’20 54 55 99 135 343
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Dec Mar Jun Sep Year
’26 6.61 11.14 10.45 — —
’25 6.14 6.59 7.40 6.42 26.54
’24 4.80 5.16 5.05 5.44 20.45
’23 3.84 4.00 5.08 4.01 16.93
’22 3.09 3.95 3.61 3.55 14.18
’21 2.90 2.33 5.18 3.00 13.40
’20 1.82 1.94 2.15 1.98 7.90
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

2
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
80.20 118.95 152.47 178.42 177.65 342.89 340.48 575.39 1,105.65 1,300.00

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
Low Price
132.95 159.92 241.10 380.49 530.95 553.97 638.87 1,185.42 2,402.52 2,217.60
High Price
3,088 3,299 3,668 4,009 4,003 3,650 3,404 3,455 3,586 3,811
Employees
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Revenue/Emp
881 935 1,000 1,160 1,295 1,317 1,377 1,514 1,718 1,991
Revenue
69.91% 69.24% 68.71% 70.96% 72.10% 74.75% 78.06% 79.45% 79.73% 82.23%
Gross Margin
145 156 157 216 257 473 471 554 642 803
EBT
16.40% 16.72% 15.69% 18.63% 19.85% 35.94% 34.22% 36.58% 37.38% 40.31%
EBT Margin
109 133 126 192 236 392 374 429 513 652
Net Income
32 36 30 32 30 26 20 15 14 15
Depreciation
28.31 30.30 33.66 40.03 44.54 45.82 52.89 60.58 69.60 82.13
Revenue/Sh
3.52 4.16 4.79 6.63 8.13 13.65 14.34 17.18 20.78 26.90
Earnings/Sh
6.75 7.31 7.51 8.98 12.55 14.75 19.56 18.77 25.65 32.13
Cash Flow/Sh
(0.71) (0.64) (1.05) (0.83) (0.76) (0.26) (0.23) (0.17) (1.04) (1.63)
Capex/Sh
6.05 6.67 6.45 8.16 11.80 14.49 19.33 18.60 24.62 30.50
Free CF/Sh
14.35 13.82 9.67 10.00 11.39 (3.86) (30.79) (27.53) (39.01) (72.02)
Book Value/Sh
31 31 30 29 29 29 26 25 25 24
Shares
35.39 34.19 54.11 45.78 52.26 29.13 28.67 50.24 93.53 55.63
PE Ratio
4.40 4.70 6.76 7.58 9.55 8.69 7.79 14.26 27.92 18.22
PS Ratio
8.68 10.29 23.51 30.36 37.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PB Ratio
4.96 5.23 7.43 8.20 10.07 9.49 9.04 15.40 29.12 19.69
EV/Sales
23.22 23.76 38.76 40.25 38.03 30.02 24.73 50.15 82.34 53.01
EV/FCF
210 226 223 260 365 424 509 469 633 779
Op' Cash Flow
(22) (20) (31) (24) (22) (8) (6) (4) (26) (39)
Capex
188 206 192 236 343 416 503 465 607 739
FCF
22 (16) (78) (35) 120 (8) 153 189 237 (144)
Working Cap'
571 605 764 825 834 1,259 1,854 1,862 2,209 3,056
Total Debt
495 499 674 718 677 1,064 1,720 1,725 2,058 2,922
Net Debt
447 427 287 290 331 (111) (802) (688) (963) (1,746)
Sh' Equity
8.93% 10.78% 9.78% 13.90% 15.55% 24.71% 24.82% 28.46% 31.14% 36.36%
ROA
11.26% 12.30% 11.40% 15.72% 18.35% 33.16% 36.91% 38.75% 41.85% 49.16%
ROIC
24.77% 30.55% 35.43% 66.57% 76.16% 356.21% (81.84%) (57.64%) (62.13%) (48.14%)
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Sep 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Fair Isaac Corporation peers in Software Application

All 237 Software Application stocks →

FICO metrics, ten years each

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) key facts

  • Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) is a Software Application company in the Technology sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • Fair Isaac Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $2.0 billion, up 15.9% from fiscal 2024.
  • As of September 25, 2026, FICO traded at $863.09, a market capitalization of $18.6 billion.
  • Return on equity was −48.1% and debt-to-equity -1.36.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

23 Sep

4

FICO has been named a Leader in IDC MarketScape's Worldwide Decision Intelligence Platforms 2026 Vendor Assessment, recognized for stateful real-time profiling, an expanding ecosystem, and agentic policy authoring. The FICO Platform emphasizes built-in governance to turn analytics into scalable, auditable decisions. Nikhil Behl says the decision layer turns model outputs into governed action with traceability, while IDC highlights always-on customer profiles with sub-millisecond latency for high-volume fraud detection, a growing marketplace for data and third-party providers, and alliances with global systems integrators. IDC notes that leaders must keep decisions governed and explainable as generative/agentic AI grows, underscoring FICO's market positioning as AI governance becomes central to decisioning. Recognition as a Leader in decision governance and scalable platform capabilities strengthens FICO's competitive position and growth prospects in decision intelligence.

21 Sep

3

FICO's UK Credit Card Market Report for July 2026 shows a fall in overall card spending in July after June’s uptick, but average active balances rose to a record high for the second straight month. Payment rates edged up month-on-month but remain below last year, while late payments deteriorated year-on-year. The new FCA Buy Now Pay Later affordability checks (effective July 15, 2026) could divert some borrowing to cards, modestly lifting balances in coming months. Highlights: average spend £815 (-2.0% MoM); average card balance £1,980 (+0.4% MoM; record). Percentage of payments to balance 33.6% (+0.9% MoM). One-, two-, and three-missed-payment accounts rose MoM, while those with three delinquencies saw a 1.5% monthly balance increase to £3,310. Average credit limit £5,995 (+0.2%). Risk teams should focus on early intervention for one-month missed payments and monitor three-missed-payment balances; StepChange findings underscore consumer debt pressures. BNPL affordability checks could shift spend to cards, expanding demand for FICO's risk analytics in the UK.

20 Sep

4

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) has fallen about 43% from its 2026 peak amid broad multiple- and regulatory concerns over its mortgage-score pricing. Yet the business remains durable: the Scores segment drives most revenue, aided by ongoing price increases, while the Software unit builds recurring revenue. Q3 FY2026 revenue rose 17% year over year and adjusted EPS reached $10.13. Free cash flow more than doubled since 2021, reflecting powerful cash generation. FICO’s margins are exceptionally high (LTM gross margin ~85%, EBIT margin ~52%), a feature of its data-driven infrastructure model. The bear case centers on possible regulatory caps or reversals of per-score pricing that could weigh the Scores segment, while the bull case rests on steady growth and rising prices supporting multiple expansion or contraction. Valuation suggests upside from here, with a mid-case target around $1,871 and Street mean near $1,440. Regulatory risk to pricing per score could materially affect the Scores business and investor sentiment.

3

Affirm launched a transformer-based real-time underwriting model designed to approve more eligible applicants, including people with thin or no credit histories. Built from 14 years of transaction data, it analyzes the sequence and timing of credit events to find patterns traditional models miss. It can incorporate contextual details, such as a letter explaining a late payment, that would normally be ignored by standard systems. Human underwriters still decide which signals to act on; the model augments rather than replaces judgment. Affirm says the system remains explainable and fast, and would not threaten humans. The rollout coincided with a modest overnight stock move for AFRM, and investor sentiment on StockTwits was mixed. AI underwriting by Affirm could pressure traditional risk scoring models and push FICO to accelerate AI-enabled innovation.

19 Sep

4

Fair Isaac (FICO) stock may be undervalued by 34 percent ahead of FHA mortgage score expansion. FHA mortgage score expansion represents a regulatory shift that could substantially boost FICO's market position in mortgage lending.

3

Fair Isaac is offering FICO Score 10T free to FHA lenders, triggering investor reactions to the move's implications for adoption and revenue. Offering FICO Score 10T free to FHA lenders may boost adoption and competitive reach while pressuring scoring revenue streams.

11 Sep

4

FICO Score 10T becomes available for FHA mortgage underwriting starting January 1, 2027. FHA adoption of FICO Score 10T expands use of the company's new model in major mortgage segment from 2027.

8 Sep

4

FICO's monopoly position is cracking, triggering a stock dip that may present a buying opportunity for patient investors. Monopoly erosion signals major competitive shifts that could significantly alter FICO's trajectory.

7 Sep

5

Bill Pulte directs Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to accept VantageScore, ending FICO's monopoly in mortgage credit scoring and causing FICO stock to fall pre-market. Direct policy order opens FICO's core mortgage scoring market to VantageScore competition and erodes its monopoly position.

6 Sep

4

Regulator ends Fair Isaac Corporation's mortgage monopoly, triggering 16% stock decline. Ending FICO's mortgage monopoly marks a major regulatory shift likely to significantly alter its core market position and trajectory.

5 Sep

4

FICO shares dropped 19.2% after FHFA opened mortgage scoring to VantageScore competition, challenging the company's core business dominance. FHFA decision introduces direct competition to FICO mortgage scoring, threatening revenues and market position.

3

FHFA developments have potentially placed Fair Isaac (FICO) stock into reasonable valuation territory. FHFA regulatory moves may moderately shift FICO valuation and investor sentiment.

4 Sep

4

Bill Pulte instructs Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to approve VantageScore, directly challenging FICO's dominance in mortgage credit scoring. Mandated VantageScore approval by Fannie and Freddie erodes FICO's core mortgage scoring revenue and market position.

4

FICO stock falls 16% after Pulte ends its mortgage monopoly. Loss of monopoly position in mortgages triggers major stock decline and shifts competitive dynamics for FICO.

4

Fair Isaac stock crashed after the company posted weaker-than-expected quarterly results and lowered forward guidance, triggering heavy selling by investors. Missed earnings and reduced guidance directly pressure near-term revenue visibility and valuation multiples for FICO's core credit-scoring business.

14 Aug

4

Fair Isaac adds AI fraud intelligence to its marketplace. AI fraud intelligence addition strengthens FICO core product line and competitive position in financial risk management.

3

FICO launches new marketplace integrations that may signal a broader shift in its platform strategy. Marketplace integrations suggest a platform strategy shift with moderate effects on FICO's positioning and performance.

13 Aug

3

Fair Isaac Corporation's AI-driven stock is predicted to double by 2027. Bullish AI growth prediction may moderately lift FICO investor sentiment and valuation outlook.

7 Aug

4 transcript

FICO held Q3 2026 earnings call covering financial results, guidance, and executive commentary on operations and outlook. Earnings call delivers key quarterly metrics and strategy updates that typically move investor sentiment and valuation.

4 Aug

4

FICO's Q2 results reflect mortgage market volatility affecting core operations while platform expansion efforts shape the company's strategic outlook and positioning. Mortgage market volatility and platform expansion represent major factors that could significantly alter FICO's trajectory and market performance.

30 Jul

4 transcript

Fair Isaac Corp reported record revenue and EPS growth in Q3 2026 fueled by core business strength. Record revenue and EPS growth signals robust financial health likely to lift stock valuation and market outlook.

3

FICO shares plunged the most in six years after the company reported weaker-than-expected results and guidance tied to slower growth in its core credit-scoring segment. Large stock drop reflects near-term growth concerns that can pressure valuation and sentiment without altering long-term market position.

3

FICO stock posted its largest decline in a year after problems surfaced that weighed on investor views of the company's outlook. Largest one-year stock drop points to short-term sentiment pressure without evidence of lasting operational or strategic damage.

3

FICO shares suffer worst day in over a year after company issues downside guidance. Downside guidance lowers expected financial results and drives major one-day stock drop.

3

Fair Isaac reported Q3 earnings that beat estimates, with revenues rising year-over-year on growth in its scores business. Quarterly earnings beat and revenue growth signal moderately positive financial momentum without indicating major strategic shifts.

3

Fair Isaac Corporation held its Q3 2026 earnings call covering quarterly results and outlook. Quarterly earnings data and guidance statements typically move FICO valuation and near-term sentiment.

29 Jul

3

Fair Isaac reported Q3 results in its earnings call, covering revenue, earnings per share, segment performance and updated fiscal guidance. Q3 earnings updates can move near-term sentiment but rarely alter FICO's long-term trajectory.

3

Fair Isaac (FICO) reported third-quarter earnings exceeding estimates. Beating quarterly earnings estimates signals stronger than expected financial performance likely to support near-term stock gains.

3

Fair Isaac reported Q3 earnings with key metrics showing performance details that bear on its operations and market standing. Q3 earnings and metrics directly shape near-term investor views and valuation of Fair Isaac.

3

Fair Isaac Corporation missed Q2 CY2026 revenue estimates, triggering an immediate stock price drop. Revenue shortfall creates short-term negative sentiment without indicating structural change to core business.

stockrow.com/FICO · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com