Monday 2 November 2026
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Ellington Financial Inc.
Ellington Financial Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $494.5 million, up 18.9% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +48.0%
- EPS
- −4.44%
- Free cash flow
- +108.9%
- Total debt
- +23.7%
Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier
11.52
0.11
+0.96%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Jun ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 80 | 94 | 135 | 160 | 174 | 176 | 282 | 370 | 416 | 494 | 583 | +22.4% | 681 | 759 | 681 | +11.3% | |
| Gross margin, % | 87.45 | 90.36 | 93.86 | 94.93 | 93.37 | 83.43 | 94.03 | 94.48 | 94.36 | 94.86 | 95.29 | +7.4 pt | ||||||
| EBT | (16) | 36 | 50 | 55 | 2 | 86 | (25) | 89 | 116 | 98 | 170 | n/m | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | (19.58) | 38.28 | 36.96 | 34.10 | 1.05 | 48.77 | (8.85) | 24.10 | 27.95 | 19.80 | 29.05 | +39.4 pt | ||||||
| Net income | (16) | 36 | 50 | 63 | 28 | 141 | (71) | 88 | 148 | 151 | 151 | n/m | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 2.45 | 2.93 | 4.46 | 4.99 | 3.99 | 3.62 | 4.72 | 5.42 | 4.79 | 4.97 | 4.64 | +8.2% | |||||
| Earnings | (0.48) | 1.04 | 1.52 | 1.76 | 0.39 | 2.58 | (1.43) | 0.90 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.64 | n/m | ||||||
| Cash flow | 2.13 | (14.44) | (16.31) | 2.47 | 2.75 | 1.06 | 0.71 | (3.54) | (4.96) | (9.31) | (4.92) | n/m | ||||||
| Capex | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.74 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.18 | 0.54 | 0.47 | 0.59 | 0.57 | n/m | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 2.13 | (14.44) | (16.31) | 3.21 | 2.97 | 1.33 | 0.89 | (3.00) | (4.48) | (8.72) | (4.35) | n/m | ||||||
| Book value | 19.68 | 19.37 | 19.64 | 27.09 | 21.19 | 27.27 | 20.40 | 22.50 | 18.32 | 18.82 | 15.91 | (0.5%) | ||||||
| Shares, m | 33 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 43 | 49 | 60 | 68 | 87 | 99 | 112 | +13.1% | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 0.00 | 13.82 | 10.15 | 10.24 | 47.87 | 6.50 | 0.00 | 13.92 | 8.78 | 11.04 | 7.02 | 12.2 | |||||
| P/S | 6.40 | 4.95 | 3.44 | 3.68 | 3.72 | 4.73 | 2.67 | 2.31 | 2.53 | 2.73 | 2.48 | 3.7 | ||||||
| P/B | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.78 | 0.78 | 0.80 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.72 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.8 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 18.05 | 20.16 | 17.89 | 8.84 | 8.34 | 13.71 | 41.40 | 34.02 | 34.56 | 34.81 | 31.99 | 23.2 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 20.76 | (4.09) | (4.89) | 13.72 | 11.19 | 37.19 | 218.91 | (61.41) | (36.93) | (19.86) | (34.15) | 17.5 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 70 | (463) | (494) | 79 | 120 | 51 | 43 | (242) | (431) | (925) | (618) | n/m | |||||
| Capex | — | — | — | 24 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 37 | 41 | 59 | 71 | +16.2% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 70 | (463) | (494) | 103 | 129 | 65 | 53 | (205) | (389) | (867) | (547) | n/m | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 556 | 448 | 389 | 4,052 | 3,126 | 4,660 | 13,173 | 14,307 | 14,836 | 17,705 | 19,307 | +46.9% | |||||
| Net debt | 934 | 1,429 | 1,951 | 826 | 801 | 1,577 | 10,932 | 11,739 | 13,327 | 15,863 | 17,217 | +37.0% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 645 | 621 | 595 | 869 | 922 | 1,324 | 1,221 | 1,536 | 1,591 | 1,871 | 1,999 | +12.6% | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | (0.59) | 1.26 | 1.34 | 1.39 | 0.44 | 2.96 | (0.89) | 0.41 | 0.74 | 0.67 | 1.02 | +1.3 pt | |||||
| ROIC | 2.06 | 2.02 | 2.45 | 6.03 | 3.18 | 3.48 | 0.95 | 2.44 | 2.35 | 2.17 | 2.52 | +0.1 pt | ||||||
| ROE | (2.31) | 5.37 | 7.68 | 8.54 | 2.20 | 13.33 | (8.17) | 5.60 | 9.66 | 8.49 | 12.37 | +10.8 pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 160 | 160 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 170 | 170 | 170 | 160 | 170 | — | +0.7% | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.50 | 0.59 | 0.90 | 1.07 | 1.16 | 1.03 | 1.66 | 2.18 | 2.60 | 2.91 | — | +21.6% | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Ellington Financial Inc. vs peers in Reit Mortgage (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DX Dynex Capital, Inc. | $2.8B | 4.0× | — (loss-making) | +170.93% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +163.96% (above 0%: growing) | 100.00% | 94.64% | Compare |
| ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. | $1.9B | 3.3× | — (loss-making) | +45.88% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +741.92% (above 0%: growing) | 100.00% | 93.50% | Compare |
| BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $1.8B | 122× | — (loss-making) | −3.29% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +3.93% (above 0%: growing) | 78.86% | 71.19% | Compare |
| EFC Ellington Financial Inc. | $1.5B | 7.0× | 5.6× | +47.95% (above 0%: growing) | −4.44% (below 0%: shrinking) | +108.89% (above 0%: growing) | 95.69% | 125.46% | |
| LADR Ladder Capital Corp | $1.2B | 21.8× | 12.9× | +4.91% (above 0%: growing) | −14.29% (below 0%: shrinking) | −9.50% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | 60.88% | Compare |
| ORC Orchid Island Capital, Inc. | $926.4M | 3.2× | — (loss-making) | +77.91% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +342.48% (above 0%: growing) | 100.00% | 117.80% | Compare |
| CIM Chimera Investment Corporation | $694.8M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +10.10% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −4,466.16% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | 1.81% | Compare |
| MFA MFA Financial, Inc. | $673.3M | 6.5× | 7.3× | +4.48% (above 0%: growing) | +59.09% (above 0%: growing) | +162.56% (above 0%: growing) | 100.00% | 78.90% | Compare |
| ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance | $299.5M | 2.9× | 10.2× | −37.40% (below 0%: shrinking) | −8.33% (below 0%: shrinking) | −20.13% (below 0%: shrinking) | 91.99% | 16.46% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $1.0B | 4.0× | 10.2× | +7.51% | −8.33% | +83.24% | 100.00% | 75.05% |
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 9 April 2026
Chief executive’s pay
| Year | Total pay | Actually paid | $100 invested |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 167.05 |
| 2024 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.53 |
| 2023 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 109.94 |
| 2022 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 93.05 |
| 2021 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 113.92 |
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
3.20%
Blackrock, Inc.
13.20%
Total pay is as the Summary Compensation Table states it; actually paid revalues the year’s share awards
at its end, as the SEC’s pay-versus-performance rule asks. $100 invested is what $100 in the company’s
shares at the start of the earliest year shown was worth at each year’s end.
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) Latest News
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