| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 14.17 | 38.93 | 129.65 | 93.73 |
| Receivables | 0.35 | 0.68 | 1.61 | 1.96 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 14.51 | 39.61 | 131.26 | 95.68 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 2.49 | 2.23 | 4.82 | 10.14 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 1.64 | 3.16 | 3.12 | 12.36 |
| 4.16 | 5.48 | 8.66 | 24.01 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Cash Flow | — | — | ‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | — | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Year |
|---|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (10.56) | (13.86) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (5.43) | (7.59) | (9.64) | (13.23) |
(35.88)
|
| ’24 | (3.97) | (6.63) | (5.92) | (6.06) |
(22.57)
|
| ’23 | (2.97) | (3.50) | (4.46) | (6.01) |
(16.94)
|
| ’22 | (3.95) | (3.62) | (3.34) | (3.31) |
(14.22)
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (14.45) | (18.24) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (5.48) | (7.72) | (10.77) | (17.90) |
(41.82)
|
| ’24 | (4.00) | (6.66) | (5.94) | (6.20) |
(22.81)
|
| ’23 | (2.98) | (3.65) | (4.52) | (6.14) |
(17.29)
|
| ’22 | (3.96) | (3.83) | (3.37) | (3.38) |
(14.54)
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (0.13) | (0.22) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.22) | (0.11) | (0.13) | (0.16) |
(0.58)
|
| ’24 | (0.07) | (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.13) |
(0.33)
|
| ’23 | (0.07) | (0.10) | (0.06) | (0.09) |
(0.33)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | 1.49 | 1.92 | 2.25 | 4.12 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | 3.01 | 5.26 | 4.24 | 16.16 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 70 | 84 | 102 | 154 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (17.27) | (19.13) | (26.95) | (49.86) | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (17.27) | (19.13) | (26.95) | (49.86) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.34 | 0.81 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | (0.36) | (0.33) | (0.33) | (0.58) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.29) | (0.29) | (0.33) | (0.42) | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.01) | (0.01) | 0.00 | (0.07) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.30) | (0.30) | (0.33) | (0.49) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.54 | 1.70 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 48.47 | 58.19 | 68.40 | 85.32 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (14.22) | (16.94) | (22.57) | (35.88) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.32) | (0.35) | (0.24) | (5.95) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (14.54) | (17.29) | (22.81) | (41.82) | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.69 | 10.35 | 34.14 | 122.59 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 1.14 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (8.46) | (14.08) | (38.86) | (128.51) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.94 | 12.72 | 37.01 | 145.13 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | (126.02%) | (141.16%) | (90.55%) | (49.71%) | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | (195.47%) | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | (153.39%) | (194.65%) | (108.38%) | (54.75%) | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL), a Colombian explorer advancing the high-grade Apollo porphyry system at its Guayabales project, has seen its stock surge 218% from 2024 highs, driven by promising drill results amid copper’s supercycle and gold’s inflation hedge. Despite this momentum, the company remains pre-production with widening losses—from $17.3 million in 2021 to $27 million in 2024—and ongoing cash burn, underscoring the speculative nature of early-stage mining where share price decouples from deteriorating fundamentals like EPS and free cash flow.
CNL’s balance sheet offers a rare bright spot for a junior miner: debt-free with $38.9 million in net cash, providing 1-2 years of runway, bolstered by equity raises that recovered book value per share 279% to $0.541. However, dilution from 88% share growth, zero insider buying in the past year, and Colombia’s geopolitical risks—royalty hikes, permitting delays under evolving administrations—amplify downside vulnerabilities in a volatile LatAm backdrop.
Analyst projections signal modest revenue ramps to $1.8 million by 2026 alongside peaking losses before narrowing toward breakeven, with targets implying 36% mean upside but 12-30% pullback risk on execution slips. This high-conviction copper play rewards discovery de-risking yet demands caution amid frothy multiples and macro headwinds—positioning CNL as a balanced bet for patient sector allocators.
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