Aptiv stock fair value declines as analysts split on growth outlook and execution ability. Split analyst views lower fair value and may shift near-term investor sentiment without altering core operations.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| Sell | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2025 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2024 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | 0.05 |
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.27 |
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.95 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.95 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 1.04 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 1.02 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 1,640.00 | 1,574.00 | 1,854.00 | 765.00 |
| Receivables | 3,546.00 | 3,261.00 | 3,477.00 | 2,434.00 |
| Inventory | 2,365.00 | 2,320.00 | 2,561.00 | 2,038.00 |
| Other | 696.00 | 671.00 | 853.00 | 766.00 |
| 8,247.00 | 7,826.00 | 8,745.00 | 6,003.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 3,151.00 | 2,870.00 | 3,157.00 | 1,910.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 9.00 | 509.00 | 81.00 | 23.00 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 4,808.00 | 5,131.00 | 5,037.00 | 2,975.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 5,086.00 | 3,274.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 4,825.00 | 3,199.00 | 5,212.00 | 7,162.00 |
20,398.00
|
| ’24 | 4,901.00 | 5,051.00 | 4,854.00 | 4,907.00 |
19,713.00
|
| ’23 | 4,818.00 | 5,200.00 | 5,114.00 | 4,919.00 |
20,051.00
|
| ’22 | 4,178.00 | 4,057.00 | 4,614.00 | 4,640.00 |
17,489.00
|
| ’21 | 4,023.00 | 3,807.00 | 3,654.00 | 4,134.00 |
15,618.00
|
| ’20 | 3,226.00 | 1,960.00 | 3,668.00 | 4,212.00 |
13,066.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (143.00) | 92.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 273.00 | 510.00 | 584.00 | 818.00 |
2,185.00
|
| ’24 | 244.00 | 643.00 | 499.00 | 1,060.00 |
2,446.00
|
| ’23 | (9.00) | 535.00 | 746.00 | 624.00 |
1,896.00
|
| ’22 | (202.00) | 95.00 | 437.00 | 933.00 |
1,263.00
|
| ’21 | 252.00 | 297.00 | 4.00 | 669.00 |
1,222.00
|
| ’20 | 161.00 | (106.00) | 559.00 | 799.00 |
1,413.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (362.00) | 35.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 65.00 | 415.00 | 320.00 | 665.00 |
1,507.00
|
| ’24 | (61.00) | 419.00 | 246.00 | 897.00 |
1,501.00
|
| ’23 | (279.00) | 316.00 | 534.00 | 417.00 |
988.00
|
| ’22 | (448.00) | (151.00) | 224.00 | 756.00 |
381.00
|
| ’21 | 119.00 | 170.00 | (165.00) | 493.00 |
618.00
|
| ’20 | (42.00) | (271.00) | 443.00 | 707.00 |
837.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.88 | 1.17 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.05) | 1.80 | (1.63) | 0.64 |
0.75
|
| ’24 | 0.79 | 3.47 | 1.48 | 1.14 |
6.96
|
| ’23 | 0.54 | 0.84 | 5.76 | 3.22 |
10.39
|
| ’22 | 0.27 | (0.23) | 1.05 | 0.86 |
1.96
|
| ’21 | 1.03 | 0.54 | 0.32 | 0.06 |
1.94
|
| ’20 | 6.14 | (1.43) | 1.05 | 1.04 |
6.66
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 77.96 | 71.01 | 51.47 | 47.19 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 175.91 | 124.88 | 91.66 | 88.80 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 160,000 | 154,000 | 141,000 | 140,000 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.15 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17,489.00 | 20,051.00 | 19,713.00 | 20,398.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.07% | 17.15% | 18.83% | 19.11% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 990.00 | 1,337.00 | 2,151.00 | 919.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.66% | 6.67% | 10.91% | 4.51% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 590.00 | 2,966.00 | 1,810.00 | 181.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 771.00 | 921.00 | 976.00 | 1,648.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 64.56 | 72.41 | 76.89 | 92.72 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 1.96 | 10.50 | 6.97 | 0.75 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.66 | 6.85 | 9.54 | 9.93 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (3.26) | (3.28) | (3.69) | (3.08) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.41 | 3.57 | 5.85 | 6.85 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 33.22 | 42.41 | 35.08 | 42.71 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 270.90 | 276.92 | 256.38 | 220.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 47.42 | 8.70 | 8.79 | 100.12 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.44 | 1.25 | 0.79 | 0.82 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.80 | 2.13 | 1.72 | 1.78 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.72 | 1.47 | 1.13 | 1.11 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 79.11 | 29.90 | 14.85 | 15.46 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,263.00 | 1,896.00 | 2,446.00 | 2,185.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (882.00) | (908.00) | (945.00) | (678.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 381.00 | 988.00 | 1,501.00 | 1,507.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,919.00 | 3,439.00 | 2,695.00 | 3,708.00 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6,491.00 | 6,213.00 | 8,352.00 | 7,551.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,960.00 | 4,573.00 | 6,778.00 | 5,697.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8,998.00 | 11,745.00 | 8,993.00 | 9,397.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.66% | 12.69% | 7.46% | 0.70% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.66% | 5.97% | 7.30% | 4.90% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.05% | 28.33% | 17.23% | 1.79% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Aptiv PLC (APTV) stands at the epicenter of the automotive revolution, powering electrification, ADAS, and software-defined vehicles as OEMs race toward EVs and autonomy. Despite headwinds like COVID, chip shortages, and macro pressures, the company has delivered robust revenue growth—a 7.2% CAGR from 2016 to 2023, with a minor 2024 dip giving way to projected 3.5% rebound in 2025 and 20% cumulative gains by 2028. Efficiencies shine through, with revenue per employee surging 72% to $145,700 in 2025 amid stable headcount and aggressive share repurchases, slashing shares by 6% and boosting per-share metrics—setting the stage for explosive shareholder value.
Profitability has been volatile, with gross margins climbing to 18.8% in 2024 and EPS poised for a 2025 trough before skyrocketing to $9.80 by 2028, fueled by margin recovery and $1.76 billion FCF in 2026. A rock-solid balance sheet—equity up 240%, attractive ROIC—and disciplined capex in high-growth EV/ADAS platforms underpin this resilience, even as valuations scream opportunity: PE at 8.8x, PS at 0.79x, and EV/FCF at 14.8x, deeply discounted versus history and peers.
Analysts eye 23-29% upside, propelled by Aptiv’s 20-25% EV content capture and partnerships like Lyft’s autonomous JV. While insider selling tempers near-term enthusiasm and 2025 earnings warrant watching, this compressed setup amid megatrend tailwinds positions APTV for a potential re-rating surge—perfect for growth seekers betting on the electrified future.
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