Afya Limited
AFYA Consumer Defensive Education & Training Services
Afya Limited’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $662.2 million, up 8.09% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 18.6%, EPS grew 29.4%, free cash flow grew 59.5% and total debt rose 3.71%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for five consecutive years, operating cash flow growth for five.
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Afya Limited (AFYA) Altman Z-score
Afya Limited's Altman Z-score for fiscal 2025 is 2.40, in the grey zone (1.81–2.99).
Altman Z-score, annual
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Annual newest first
| Period | Altman Z-score | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2.40 | 0.24 |
| FY2024 | 2.16 | (0.33) |
| FY2023 | 2.49 | 0.44 |
| FY2022 | 2.05 | (0.04) |
| FY2021 | 2.09 | (2.44) |
| FY2020 | 4.53 | (2.45) |
| FY2019 | 6.97 | — |
How fiscal 2025’s score is made up
| Component | This year | Year before | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Working capital / total assets | 0.11 | — | 0.14 | |
| Retained earnings / total assets | 0.28 | — | 0.39 | |
| EBIT / total assets | 0.13 | — | 0.43 | |
| Market value of equity / total liabilities | 1.74 | — | 1.05 | |
| Sales / total assets | 0.40 | — | 0.40 | |
| Altman Z-score | Grey zone | 2.40 | ||
| Z″ Variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies (drops the sales/assets term, uses book equity) | Safe zone | 3.68 | ||
Z and Z″ put Afya Limited in different zones: grey zone by Z, safe zone by Z″.
How the Altman Z-score works
Z = 1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets (Altman, 1968). The market value of equity is the close on the last trading day of the fiscal year times weighted basic shares.
Z″ = 6.56 × working capital ÷ total assets + 3.26 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 6.72 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 1.05 × book equity ÷ total liabilities (Altman, Hartzell and Peck, 1995), the variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies.
| Zone | Z | Z″ |
|---|---|---|
| Safe zone | above 2.99 | above 2.60 |
| Grey zone | 1.81–2.99 | 1.10–2.60 |
| Distress zone | below 1.81 | below 1.10 |
Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs, whose balance sheets the model does not describe, nor when a figure is missing or there is no share price in the week to the fiscal year end.
Altman Z-score against peers
| Company | Altman Z-score |
|---|---|
| PRDO Perdoceo Education Corporation compare | 6.7× |
| STRA Strategic Education Inc. compare | 3.9× |
| APEI American Public Education, Inc. compare | 3.7× |
| UTI Universal Technical Institute Inc compare | 3.7× |
| LINC Lincoln Educational Services Corporation compare | 3.0× |
| AFYA Afya Limited | 2.4× |
| COUR Coursera, Inc. compare | 1.9× |
| MH McGraw Hill, Inc. compare | 0.5× |
| PXED Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. compare | — |
What Altman Z-score is
The Altman Z-Score weighs working capital, retained earnings, operating profit, market value and sales against assets and debts to gauge the risk of distress.
1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets