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Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

AAP Consumer Cyclical Auto Parts

Advance Auto Parts, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $8.6 billion, down 5.42% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
−0.50%
EPS
+264.0%
Free cash flow
+9,650.0%
Total debt
+89.0%

Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier

47.92 2.83 −5.58%
Market cap
$2.9B
P/E
34.5×
Fwd P/E
17.0×
Dividend yield
2.09%
F-score
4/9
Altman Z
1.67
Beneish M
−2.86
Dividend safety
28/100
Overview
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios

Insider Decisions last twelve months

Trades a month
Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 1.72%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Size
Market Cap 2,910.00
Revenue ttm 8,622.00
Net income ttm 85.00
Free cash flow ttm 25.00
Net debt Q 267.00
Valuation
P/E 34.47
Forward P/E 17.00
Price / sales 0.34
Forward P/S Powerpack
Price / FCF 125.09
Price / book 1.28
Financial health
Current ratio Q 1.75 (at or above 1.5: strong)
Debt / equity Q 1.50
Interest coverage Q 2.10
Growth
Revenue growth Q −0.50% (below 0%: shrinking)
Operating income growth Q +359.09% (above 0%: growing)
EPS, this year +30.50% (at or above 15%: strong)
EPS, next year A +27.64% (at or above 15%: strong)
Revenue, next year A −0.90% (below 0%: weak)
EPS, past 5 yrs −36.62% (below 0%: weak)
EPS, next 5 yrs A +24.10% (at or above 15%: strong)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges; (Q) is the latest quarter, (A) analysts’ estimates. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

EV/Sales, ten years
EV/Sales is 0.4×, against a ten-year median of 1.1×; over the ten years it ranged from 0.2× in 2025 to 1.6× in 2021.
P/E against its own 10 years 85.58%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 13.68%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 11.44%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 8.32%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 93.61%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Yield
2.09%
Annual rate
1.00
Payout ratio
73.0%
Growth, 2018–26
+19.5%/yr
  1. 0.24 ’18
  2. 0.24 ’19 +0
  3. 1.25 ’20 +421
  4. 3.25 ’21 +160
  5. 6.00 ’22 +85
  6. 2.00 ’23 −67
  7. 1.00 ’24 −50
  8. 1.00 ’25 +0
  9. 1.00 ’26 +0
paid change on the year, % Powerpack

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 488 1,869 3,123 3,120
Receivables 610 544 380 390
Inventory 3,894 3,612 3,646 3,844
Other 1,386 118 141 119
6,377 6,143 7,290 7,473
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 3,526 3,408 2,977 3,126
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other 1,165 473 443 417
5,307 4,665 4,176 4,276

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales (1.23%) (3.17%) (2.04%)
Cash Flow 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Earnings (21.15%) (38.32%) (54.41%)
Book Value (1.12%) (9.19%) (5.44%)

Earnings Trends EPS, adjusted, against the consensus

Q2 FY26 Estimate 0.81 Actual 1.03

Earnings per share against the consensus, by quarter
Quarter Estimate Reported Result
Q3 FY25 0.74 0.92 Beat by 0.18
Q4 FY26 0.41 0.86 Beat by 0.45
Q1 FY26 0.39 0.77 Beat by 0.38
Q2 FY26 0.81 1.03 Beat by 0.22
Q3 FY26 0.77 — Reports 5 November 2026

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 0.39 0.90 — — —
’25 0.40 0.25 (0.02) 0.10 0.73
’24 0.67 0.75 (0.10) (6.92) (5.61)
’23 0.72 1.43 (1.04) (0.59) 0.50
’22 2.26 2.38 1.84 1.09 8.27
’21 2.81 2.74 2.68 1.01 9.55
’20 0.63 2.74 2.13 1.65 7.14
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 2,614 2,000 — — —
’25 2,583 2,010 2,036 1,972 8,601
’24 2,772 2,178 2,148 1,996 9,094
’23 3,418 2,686 2,218 887 9,209
’22 3,374 2,665 2,641 468 9,149
’21 3,330 2,649 2,621 2,397 10,998
’20 2,698 2,501 2,542 2,365 10,106
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (19) 271 — — —
’25 (156) 50 (12) 72 (46)
’24 3 85 70 (73) 85
’23 (383) 215 196 258 287
’22 (55) 363 175 253 737
’21 330 446 149 182 1,107
’20 11 437 361 160 970
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (74) 195 — — —
’25 (183) 2 (74) (22) (277)
’24 (33) 46 29 (124) (82)
’23 (472) 162 167 211 68
’22 (169) 267 53 186 337
’21 260 389 88 84 820
’20 (72) 380 309 86 703
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

3.1
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Ten-year view Analyst estimates Powerpack
Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 TTM Jun ’26 Trend 10 yrs 2026e 2027e 2028e Next 3/yr
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 9,568 9,374 9,581 9,709 10,106 10,998 9,149 9,209 9,094 8,601 8,622 (1.2%) 8,524 8,707 8,890 +1.1%
Gross margin, % 44.48 43.58 44.04 43.82 44.34 44.77 46.27 41.92 37.49 43.40 44.69 (1.1) pt
EBT 739 520 555 638 651 782 460 (47) (768) (91) 129 n/m
EBT margin, % 7.72 5.55 5.80 6.57 6.44 7.11 5.03 (0.51) (8.45) (1.06) 1.50 (8.8) pt
Net income 460 476 424 487 493 597 464 30 (336) 44 85 (22.9%)
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 130.06 126.94 129.94 137.00 147.01 171.77 151.59 155.03 152.58 143.59 142.99 +1.1%
Earnings 6.22 6.44 5.75 6.87 7.17 9.62 8.32 0.50 (5.63) 0.73 1.39 (21.2%)
Cash flow 7.11 8.14 11.00 12.23 14.11 17.29 12.20 4.83 1.43 (0.77) 5.17 n/m
Capex (3.50) (2.42) (2.60) (6.53) (3.88) (4.49) (6.62) (3.69) (2.80) (3.86) (4.76) +1.1%
Free cash flow 3.62 5.72 8.40 5.70 10.22 12.80 5.58 1.14 (1.38) (4.62) 0.41 n/m
Book value 39.64 46.25 48.16 50.08 51.78 48.86 43.07 42.42 36.41 36.69 37.43 (0.9%)
Shares, m 74 74 74 71 69 64 60 59 60 60 60 (2.3%)
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 27.38 16.47 27.38 23.28 16.95 26.00 19.64 50.37 0.00 53.84 34.47 26.1
P/S 1.31 0.84 1.21 1.17 1.09 1.49 1.08 0.43 0.31 0.27 0.34 0.9
P/B 4.30 2.29 3.27 3.20 3.04 4.91 3.52 1.46 1.30 1.07 1.28 2.8
EV/Sales 1.41 0.89 1.23 1.25 1.16 1.58 1.21 0.60 0.31 0.34 0.40 1.0
EV/FCF 50.60 19.74 18.99 20.08 10.18 17.37 13.57 7.65 (33.77) (10.55) 149.64 11.4
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 523 601 811 867 970 1,107 737 287 85 (46) 312 n/m
Capex (257) (179) (192) (463) (267) (287) (400) (219) (167) (231) (287) (1.2%)
Free cash flow 266 422 619 404 703 820 337 68 (82) (277) 25 n/m
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 1,497 1,947 2,197 1,218 1,526 1,095 594 1,070 1,478 3,114 3,197 +8.5%
Net debt 908 497 149 807 661 898 1,102 1,298 (80) 289 267 (11.9%)
Shareholders’ equity 2,916 3,415 3,551 3,549 3,560 3,128 2,599 2,520 2,170 2,198 2,257 (3.1%)
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 5.59 5.66 4.84 4.80 4.27 4.96 3.84 0.25 (2.91) 0.39 0.74 (5.2) pt
ROIC 12.87 9.11 10.21 9.72 11.11 12.77 8.86 0.64 (21.32) (1.08) 5.84 (14.0) pt
ROE 17.10 15.02 12.17 13.72 13.87 17.84 16.22 1.17 (14.33) 2.01 3.77 (15.1) pt
People
People Employees 74,000 71,000 71,000 67,000 68,000 68,000 67,000 69,000 62,800 54,007 — (3.4%)
Revenue/emp, $m 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.16 — +2.3%
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026 · fundamentals updated 25 Oct 2026

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. vs peers in Auto Parts (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. $4.4B — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −2.38% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m −49.65% (below 0%: shrinking) 53.05% (16.67%) Compare
GNTX Gentex Corporation $4.3B 10.9× 10.1× −1.15% (below 0%: shrinking) −6.52% (below 0%: shrinking) +22.58% (above 0%: growing) 33.40% 17.76% Compare
DORM Dorman Products, Inc. $4.1B 20.6× 16.4× +3.31% (above 0%: growing) −19.54% (below 0%: shrinking) +3,022.01% (above 0%: growing) 39.45% 14.76% Compare
ATMU Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. $3.8B 17.6× 16.2× +16.41% (above 0%: growing) +6.85% (above 0%: growing) +100.00% (above 0%: growing) 29.15% 18.41% Compare
GTX Garrett Motion Inc. $3.6B 9.8× 10.9× +3.10% (above 0%: growing) +33.33% (above 0%: growing) +33.33% (above 0%: growing) 22.15% 15.81% Compare
AAP Advance Auto Parts, Inc. $2.9B 34.5× 17.0× −0.50% (below 0%: shrinking) +264.00% (above 0%: growing) +9,650.00% (above 0%: growing) 46.15% 5.05%
VGNT Versigent PLC $2.9B — — +21.05% (above 0%: growing) — +57.41% (above 0%: growing) 13.47% 7.55% Compare
PHIN PHINIA Inc. $2.5B 14.0× 12.1× +0.44% (above 0%: growing) +445.45% (above 0%: growing) −23.66% (below 0%: shrinking) 22.37% 9.21% Compare
DAN Dana Incorporated $2.3B 2.3× 11.8× +6.31% (above 0%: growing) −72.29% (below 0%: shrinking) −49.21% (below 0%: shrinking) 9.86% 4.51% Compare
Median of peers $3.7B 12.4× 12.0× +3.20% +0.17% +27.95% 25.76% 11.99%

All 55 Auto Parts stocks →

Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 1 April 2026

Chief executive’s pay

Year Total pay Actually paid $100 invested
2026 0.00 0.00 27.63
2024 0.00 0.00 30.60
2022 0.00 0.00 98.22

Ownership

Directors and executive officers, together less than 1%
BlackRock, Inc.(a) 14.40%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.(b) 12.40%
The Vanguard Group, Inc.(c) 11.30%
Pzena Investment Management LLC(d) 7.10%
Total pay is as the Summary Compensation Table states it; actually paid revalues the year’s share awards at its end, as the SEC’s pay-versus-performance rule asks. $100 invested is what $100 in the company’s shares at the start of the earliest year shown was worth at each year’s end. Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more. Read the proxy statement

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) Latest News

5 Nov

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Impact 4 ·

27 Aug

Impact 4 · · The Motley Fool transcript

21 Aug

Impact 3 · · MarketBeat
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20 Aug

Impact 4 · · The Motley Fool
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AAP metrics, ten years each

stockrow.com/AAP · Data as of Oct 25, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com