Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

AAP Consumer Cyclical Auto Parts

Advance Auto Parts, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $8.6 billion, down 5.42% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue was flat, EPS grew 264.0%, free cash flow grew 9,650.0% and total debt rose 89.0%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for three consecutive years.

44.45 0.53 +1.21%
Market cap
$2.7B
P/E
32.0×
Fwd P/E
21.0×
Dividend yield
2.25%
F-score
4/9
Altman Z
1.67
Beneish M
−2.86
Dividend safety
28/100

Insider Decisions trades per month

Total sells 0.39
Totals in millions of $.
Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell 1 — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 1.72%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 2,650.00
Revenue 8,622.00
Net Income 85.00
Free Cash Flow 25.00
Net Debt 267.00
Current Ratio 1.75 (at or above 1.5: strong)
Debt/Equity 1.50
P/E ratio 31.98
Fwd P/E 21.00
P/S ratio 0.31
P/B ratio 1.19
Past 5Y EPS Growth (36.62%) (below 0%: weak)
This Y EPS Growth 31.71% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y EPS Growth 30.57% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y revenue growth (0.87%) (below 0%: weak)
Next 5Y EPS Growth 24.72% (at or above 15%: strong)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/E against its own 10 years 82.66%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 9.80%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 8.66%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 6.93%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 93.52%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.73
Annual Dividend Rate 1.00
Annual Dividend Yield 2.25%
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 1.00
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
2025 1.00
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
2024 1.00
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
2023 2.00
1.50
0.25
0.25
2022 6.00
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
2021 3.25
0.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
2020 1.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
2019 0.24
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
2018 0.24
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
2017 0.24
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
2016 0.24
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 488 1,869 3,123 3,120
Receivables 610 544 380 390
Inventory 3,894 3,612 3,646 3,844
Other 1,386 118 141 119
6,377 6,143 7,290 7,473
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 3,526 3,408 2,977 3,126
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other 1,165 473 443 417
5,307 4,665 4,176 4,276

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales (1.23%) (3.17%) (2.04%)
Cash Flow 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Earnings (21.15%) (38.32%) (54.41%)
Book Value (1.12%) (9.19%) (5.44%)

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 2,614 2,000 — — —
’25 2,583 2,010 2,036 1,972 8,601
’24 2,772 2,178 2,148 1,996 9,094
’23 3,418 2,686 2,218 887 9,209
’22 3,374 2,665 2,641 468 9,149
’21 3,330 2,649 2,621 2,397 10,998
’20 2,698 2,501 2,542 2,365 10,106
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (19) 271 — — —
’25 (156) 50 (12) 72 (46)
’24 3 85 70 (73) 85
’23 (383) 215 196 258 287
’22 (55) 363 175 253 737
’21 330 446 149 182 1,107
’20 11 437 361 160 970
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (74) 195 — — —
’25 (183) 2 (74) (22) (277)
’24 (33) 46 29 (124) (82)
’23 (472) 162 167 211 68
’22 (169) 267 53 186 337
’21 260 389 88 84 820
’20 (72) 380 309 86 703
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 0.39 0.90 — — —
’25 0.40 0.25 (0.02) 0.10 0.73
’24 0.67 0.75 (0.10) (6.92) (5.61)
’23 0.72 1.43 (0.82) (0.59) 0.50
’22 2.26 2.38 1.84 1.09 8.27
’21 2.81 2.74 2.68 1.01 9.55
’20 0.63 2.74 2.13 1.65 7.14
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

3
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low 131.59 78.81 99.71 130.09 71.33 143.15 138.52 47.73 35.59 28.89

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High 177.83 177.50 186.15 182.56 170.50 243.05 244.55 158.22 88.56 70.00
People
People Employees 74,000 71,000 71,000 67,000 68,000 68,000 67,000 69,000 62,800 54,007
Revenue/emp, $m 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.16
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 9,568 9,374 9,581 9,709 10,106 10,998 9,149 9,209 9,094 8,601
Gross margin, % 44.48 43.58 44.04 43.82 44.34 44.77 46.27 41.92 37.49 43.40
EBT 739 520 555 638 651 782 460 (47) (768) (91)
EBT margin, % 7.72 5.55 5.80 6.57 6.44 7.11 5.03 (0.51) (8.45) (1.06)
Net income 460 476 424 487 493 597 464 30 (336) 44
Depreciation 258 249 238 238 250 260 248 269 292 272
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 130.06 126.94 129.94 137.00 147.01 171.77 151.59 155.03 152.58 143.59
Earnings 6.22 6.44 5.75 6.87 7.17 9.62 8.32 0.50 (5.63) 0.73
Cash flow 7.11 8.14 11.00 12.23 14.11 17.29 12.20 4.83 1.43 (0.77)
Capex (3.50) (2.42) (2.60) (6.53) (3.88) (4.49) (6.62) (3.69) (2.80) (3.86)
Free cash flow 3.62 5.72 8.40 5.70 10.22 12.80 5.58 1.14 (1.38) (4.62)
Book value 39.64 46.25 48.16 50.08 51.78 48.86 43.07 42.42 36.41 36.69
Shares, m 74 74 74 71 69 64 60 59 60 60
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 27.38 16.47 27.38 23.28 16.95 26.00 19.64 42.43 0.00 53.84
P/S 1.31 0.84 1.21 1.17 1.09 1.49 1.08 0.43 0.31 0.27
P/B 4.30 2.29 3.27 3.20 3.04 4.91 3.52 1.46 1.30 1.07
EV/Sales 1.41 0.89 1.23 1.25 1.16 1.58 1.21 0.60 0.31 0.34
EV/FCF 50.60 19.74 18.99 20.08 10.18 17.37 13.57 7.65 (33.77) (10.55)
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 523 601 811 867 970 1,107 737 287 85 (46)
Capex (257) (179) (192) (463) (267) (287) (400) (219) (167) (231)
Free cash flow 266 422 619 404 703 820 337 68 (82) (277)
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 1,497 1,947 2,197 1,218 1,526 1,095 594 1,070 1,478 3,114
Total debt 1,043 1,044 1,046 1,225 1,496 1,499 1,373 1,786 1,789 3,412
Net debt 908 497 149 807 661 898 1,102 1,298 (80) 289
Shareholders’ equity 2,916 3,415 3,551 3,549 3,560 3,128 2,599 2,520 2,170 2,198
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 5.59 5.66 4.84 4.80 4.27 4.96 3.84 0.25 (2.91) 0.39
ROIC 12.87 9.11 10.21 9.72 11.11 12.77 8.86 0.64 (21.32) (1.08)
ROE 17.10 15.02 12.17 13.72 13.87 17.84 16.22 1.17 (14.33) 2.01
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Charts ten years each

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. vs peers in Auto Parts (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
GNTX Gentex Corporation $4.5B 11.1× 12.4× −1.00% (below 0%: shrinking) +25.58% (above 0%: growing) +22.58% (above 0%: growing) 37.00% 21.70% Compare
DORM Dorman Products, Inc. $3.7B 17.2× 16.1× +0.67% (above 0%: growing) +53.40% (above 0%: growing) +146,375.51% (above 0%: growing) 46.13% 21.34% Compare
ATMU Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. $3.6B 16.9× 16.3× +16.41% (above 0%: growing) +6.85% (above 0%: growing) +100.00% (above 0%: growing) 29.15% 18.41% Compare
DAN Dana Incorporated $3.1B 2.9× 6.3× +3.88% (above 0%: growing) n/m −540.00% (below 0%: shrinking) 10.45% 3.78% Compare
AAP Advance Auto Parts, Inc. $2.7B 32.0× 21.0× −0.50% (below 0%: shrinking) +264.00% (above 0%: growing) +9,650.00% (above 0%: growing) 46.15% 5.05%
VC Visteon Corporation $2.4B 11.2× 15.5× −0.93% (below 0%: shrinking) −22.69% (below 0%: shrinking) −81.25% (below 0%: shrinking) 12.29% 7.60% Compare
PHIN PHINIA Inc. $2.1B 16.6× 14.6× +5.62% (above 0%: growing) −7.89% (below 0%: shrinking) +187.50% (above 0%: growing) 22.98% 8.51% Compare
HSAI Hesai Group Sponsored ADR $1.8B 25.5× 34.9× +28.66% (above 0%: growing) +32.80% (above 0%: growing) −29.90% (below 0%: shrinking) 40.11% 0.26% Compare
THRM Gentherm Inc $1.6B 33.4× 22.0× +10.95% (above 0%: growing) +797.44% (above 0%: growing) −103.23% (below 0%: shrinking) 23.17% 2.57% Compare
Median of peers $2.7B 16.7× 15.8× +4.75% +25.58% −3.66% 26.16% 8.06%

All 53 Auto Parts stocks →

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) key facts

  • Concern: Advance Auto Parts, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $8.6 billion, down 5.42% from fiscal 2024.
  • Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) is an Auto Parts company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • As of October 16, 2026, AAP traded at $44.45, a market capitalization of $2.7 billion.
  • Advance Auto Parts, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $1.00 per share, a yield of 2.25%, with a payout ratio of 73.0%.
  • Return on equity was 2.01% and debt-to-equity 1.50.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 4 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 1.67 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) Latest News

25 Sep

27 Aug

stockrow.com/AAP · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com