Mobileye Global Inc. stock may be 43% undervalued following ADAS progress. ADAS progress represents a core technological advance with strong potential to lift valuation and market trajectory.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 1,212.00 | 1,426.00 | 1,836.00 | 1,443.00 |
| Receivables | 357.00 | 212.00 | 131.00 | 208.00 |
| Inventory | 391.00 | 415.00 | 327.00 | 310.00 |
| Other | 106.00 | 121.00 | 184.00 | 120.00 |
| 2,066.00 | 2,174.00 | 2,478.00 | 2,081.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 229.00 | 190.00 | 228.00 | 251.00 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 48.00 | 34.00 | 33.00 | 49.00 |
| 403.00 | 333.00 | 406.00 | 452.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 558.00 | 508.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 438.00 | 506.00 | 504.00 | 446.00 |
1,894.00
|
| ’24 | 239.00 | 439.00 | 486.00 | 490.00 |
1,654.00
|
| ’23 | 458.00 | 454.00 | 530.00 | 637.00 |
2,079.00
|
| ’22 | 394.00 | 460.00 | 450.00 | 565.00 |
1,869.00
|
| ’21 | — | — | 326.00 | — |
1,386.00
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
967.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 75.00 | 135.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 109.00 | 213.00 | 167.00 | 113.00 |
602.00
|
| ’24 | 40.00 | 30.00 | 126.00 | 204.00 |
400.00
|
| ’23 | 171.00 | 26.00 | 88.00 | 109.00 |
394.00
|
| ’22 | 51.00 | 182.00 | 162.00 | 151.00 |
546.00
|
| ’21 | — | — | 438.00 | 161.00 |
599.00
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
271.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 45.00 | 114.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 95.00 | 199.00 | 143.00 | 86.00 |
523.00
|
| ’24 | 18.00 | 6.00 | 104.00 | 191.00 |
319.00
|
| ’23 | 145.00 | (6.00) | 71.00 | 86.00 |
296.00
|
| ’22 | 24.00 | 156.00 | 136.00 | 119.00 |
435.00
|
| ’21 | — | — | 340.00 | 116.00 |
456.00
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
271.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (4.68) | (0.03) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.13) | (0.08) | (0.12) | (0.16) |
(0.48)
|
| ’24 | (0.27) | (0.11) | (3.35) | (0.09) |
(3.82)
|
| ’23 | (0.10) | (0.04) | 0.02 | 0.08 |
(0.03)
|
| ’22 | — | — | (0.06) | 0.04 |
(0.11)
|
| ’21 | — | — | — | — |
(0.09)
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
(0.25)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.85 | 28.73 | 10.48 | 10.04 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 37.31 | 48.11 | 43.40 | 22.51 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,500 | 3,700 | 3,900 | 4,200 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.53 | 0.56 | 0.42 | 0.45 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,869.00 | 2,079.00 | 1,654.00 | 1,894.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 49.33% | 50.36% | 44.80% | 47.73% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (32.00) | 16.00 | (3,163.00) | (377.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.71%) | 0.77% | (191.23%) | (19.90%) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (82.00) | (27.00) | (3,090.00) | (392.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 567.00 | 513.00 | 506.00 | 517.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.46 | 2.58 | 2.04 | 2.33 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.11) | (0.03) | (3.82) | (0.48) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.72 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.74 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.15) | (0.12) | (0.10) | (0.10) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.57 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.64 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.49 | 18.54 | 14.94 | 14.61 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 759.00 | 805.00 | 809.00 | 813.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.28 | 16.01 | 9.74 | 4.48 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.68 | 2.23 | 1.33 | 0.71 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.77 | 15.45 | 8.91 | 3.51 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 54.85 | 108.52 | 46.22 | 12.72 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 546.00 | 394.00 | 400.00 | 602.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (111.00) | (98.00) | (81.00) | (79.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 435.00 | 296.00 | 319.00 | 523.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,132.00 | 1,663.00 | 1,841.00 | 2,072.00 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 58.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (966.00) | (1,212.00) | (1,426.00) | (1,836.00) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14,794.00 | 14,924.00 | 12,087.00 | 11,881.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.51%) | (0.17%) | (21.95%) | (3.13%) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.17%) | (0.15%) | (18.91%) | (2.74%) | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.53%) | (0.18%) | (22.88%) | (3.27%) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) has plummeted from post-spin-off highs to multi-year lows near $9, reflecting eroding fundamentals in the cutthroat ADAS and autonomous driving sector. Revenue soared from $879 million in 2019 to $2.079 billion in 2023, but cratered 20% to $1.654 billion in 2024 amid industry headwinds, softening EV demand, and reliance on key OEMs like VW and BMW. Profitability flipped from a slim 2023 profit to a staggering -$3.09 billion net loss, with EBT margins at -191%, likely tied to spin-off costs and impairments—yet the balance sheet remains fortress-like with negative net debt and steady free cash flow.
Valuation multiples scream bargain (PS at 9.7x, EV/Sales 8.9x), but a massive $1.024 billion insider sell-off—including a 63.7 million share dump—and zero buys signal deep skepticism, decoupling stock price from fundamentals. Analysts project a V-shaped rebound to $2.272 billion revenue by 2027 with profitability returning, fueled by EyeQ6 ramps and new deals, implying up to 194% upside. This contrarian analysis questions the hype amid intensifying competition from Tesla, Nvidia, and Waymo, warning of a potential value trap in autonomy’s Darwinian arena—read the full breakdown for the risks and catalysts that could flip the script.
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