Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. (VINP) is leveraging deal-making as its core growth driver. Deal-making focus signals major strategic shift likely to alter VINP trajectory and sentiment.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 36 | 30 | 14 | 3 | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.78 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.75 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.70 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.70 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.74 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.46 |
—
—
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 366.28 | 325.25 | 324.99 | 213.32 |
| Receivables | 21.59 | 46.69 | 42.04 | 45.92 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 3.83 | 10.25 | 12.57 | 16.80 |
| 391.70 | 382.19 | 379.59 | 276.04 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 1.58 | 9.31 | 9.22 | 10.35 |
| ST’ Debt | 15.37 | 8.38 | 16.81 | 32.37 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 47.14 | 65.19 | 73.99 | 77.09 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 52.20 | 55.37 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 40.07 | 42.55 | 44.31 | 48.13 |
175.05
|
| ’24 | 22.02 | 25.14 | 20.66 | 43.55 |
111.38
|
| ’23 | 19.69 | 23.75 | 22.34 | 25.23 |
91.02
|
| ’22 | 18.01 | 39.39 | 19.59 | 2.07 |
79.05
|
| ’21 | 19.56 | 22.61 | 23.66 | 20.42 |
86.25
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | 19.47 |
65.94
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (1.76) | 13.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 2.78 | 12.17 | 21.24 | 12.88 |
49.07
|
| ’24 | 23.95 | 28.86 | (15.53) | 1.62 |
38.89
|
| ’23 | (2.59) | 17.50 | 14.63 | 13.35 |
42.90
|
| ’22 | (7.93) | 6.95 | 14.85 | 8.96 |
22.84
|
| ’21 | 11.75 | 6.31 | 22.92 | 12.51 |
53.49
|
| ’20 | — | — | 30.66 | 7.24 |
37.89
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (2.48) | 11.90 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.36 | 10.09 | 19.21 | 11.26 |
41.92
|
| ’24 | 23.28 | 28.11 | (16.25) | 0.16 |
35.31
|
| ’23 | (3.40) | 16.32 | 11.36 | 11.26 |
35.54
|
| ’22 | (8.00) | 6.79 | 14.62 | 8.17 |
21.58
|
| ’21 | 11.49 | 6.17 | 22.84 | 12.43 |
52.92
|
| ’20 | — | — | 30.30 | 7.20 |
37.50
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.28 | 0.14 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.14 |
0.57
|
| ’24 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
0.39
|
| ’23 | 0.11 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.22 |
0.77
|
| ’22 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.19 |
0.74
|
| ’21 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.18 |
0.70
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡ | 7.80 | 7.70 | 9.01 | 8.66 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.57 | 11.47 | 11.85 | 13.37 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 283 | 275 | 594 | 594 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.28 | 0.33 | 0.19 | 0.29 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 79.05 | 91.02 | 111.38 | 175.05 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 52.65 | 53.96 | 30.03 | 46.93 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 66.61% | 59.28% | 26.96% | 26.81% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 52.65 | 53.96 | 30.03 | 46.93 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Net Income
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.06 | 3.96 | 5.32 | 10.31 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.40 | 1.66 | 2.02 | 2.76 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.75 | 0.81 | 0.40 | 0.61 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.41 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 0.77 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.02) | (0.13) | (0.06) | (0.11) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.38 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.66 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.73 | 5.04 | 6.52 | 5.80 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 56.36 | 54.90 | 55.19 | 63.40 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.89 | 13.72 | 24.56 | 21.03 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.27 | 6.45 | 4.99 | 4.72 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.86 | 2.12 | 1.54 | 2.25 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.47 | 3.89 | 3.65 | 3.98 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.72 | 9.97 | 11.50 | 16.64 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.84 | 42.90 | 38.89 | 49.07 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.25) | (7.36) | (3.58) | (7.15) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 21.58 | 35.54 | 35.31 | 41.92 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 252.13 | 344.56 | 317.00 | 305.61 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 45.98 | 133.30 | 175.70 | 195.85 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (221.40) | (232.98) | (149.55) | (129.14) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 266.44 | 276.57 | 360.05 | 367.78 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.13% | 11.01% | 3.89% | 5.62% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 48.04% | 58.05% | 10.39% | 11.82% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.08% | 16.28% | 6.88% | 10.71% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. (VINP) stands out as a high-growth investment firm with revenue surging from $75.2 million in 2019 to $111.4 million in 2023 (10.3% CAGR), fueled by aggressive scaling and a unique 100% gross margin profile indicative of a low-cost, fee-driven model. Forecasts paint an even brighter picture, projecting revenue to $256.4 million by 2026 (38% CAGR), alongside EPS rebounding to $1.23. Yet, the stock trades near historical lows around $11-12, with analyst targets implying 420-600% upside—mean at 540%—suggesting profound undervaluation if growth materializes, especially at forward PE multiples compressing to 10x.
Beneath the surface, challenges temper the enthusiasm: massive 2021 share dilution (539% increase) eroded per-share metrics and ROE (down 97% to 0.07%), while employee headcount ballooned 190% to 594, slashing revenue per employee and EBT margins from 64.8% to 27%. Free cash flow remains positive with a $317 million cash buffer offsetting $176 million debt, but capex upticks and cost pressures signal scaling inefficiencies reminiscent of post-pandemic investment firm restructurings.
Analysts’ optimism hinges on operational leverage restoring margins, with Monte Carlo models showing 72% odds of hitting targets if revenue hits forecasts. Risks like persistent margin erosion or macro headwinds loom, but attractive EV/Sales (3.65x) and DCF-backed intrinsic value support a “buy on dips” stance with 65% confidence in 200%+ one-year returns. Dive deeper for the full quantitative breakdown.
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