| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.32 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.30 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.28 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.26 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.24 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.22 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.18 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.17 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.04 |
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 116.73 | 46.16 | 222.76 | 268.31 |
| Receivables | 10.00 | 9.62 | 25.73 | 22.70 |
| Inventory | 91.70 | 96.25 | 107.99 | 133.43 |
| Other | 49.20 | 46.17 | 60.68 | 75.70 |
| 267.63 | 198.21 | 417.15 | 500.13 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 7.79 | 11.68 | 20.42 | 35.29 |
| ST’ Debt | 58.29 | — | — | — |
| Other | 2.21 | 2.05 | — | — |
| 100.35 | 44.82 | 75.01 | 88.22 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 124.28 | 142.96 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 106.44 | 116.63 | 118.98 | 121.01 |
463.06
|
| ’24 | 83.06 | 93.23 | 90.70 | 93.67 |
360.66
|
| ’23 | 100.96 | 105.60 | 101.72 | 16.79 |
325.06
|
| ’22 | 100.89 | 102.93 | 107.80 | 9.61 |
321.23
|
| ’21 | 107.64 | 122.64 | 109.90 | 105.28 |
445.47
|
| ’20 | 90.69 | 104.96 | 104.17 | 105.29 |
405.11
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (22.26) | 26.33 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 17.41 | 11.82 | 3.29 | 24.86 |
57.37
|
| ’24 | 22.64 | 13.44 | 13.24 | 17.74 |
67.06
|
| ’23 | 15.38 | 12.15 | 12.47 | 26.88 |
66.88
|
| ’22 | 13.04 | (5.89) | 9.24 | 13.88 |
30.27
|
| ’21 | 24.24 | 13.17 | 12.15 | 18.65 |
68.22
|
| ’20 | 14.73 | 2.81 | 15.67 | 10.48 |
43.68
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (27.40) | 26.24 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 15.22 | 7.83 | (0.72) | 21.51 |
43.85
|
| ’24 | 22.27 | 10.95 | 12.59 | 16.64 |
62.44
|
| ’23 | 12.95 | 11.59 | 11.26 | 25.38 |
61.18
|
| ’22 | 10.25 | (8.74) | 8.27 | 12.68 |
22.47
|
| ’21 | 23.40 | 11.85 | 9.93 | 16.94 |
62.12
|
| ’20 | 13.85 | 1.73 | 14.20 | 7.76 |
37.55
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.60 | 0.18 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 1.13 | 0.42 |
3.11
|
| ’24 | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.13 |
2.14
|
| ’23 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 0.58 | 0.53 |
2.01
|
| ’22 | 0.55 | 0.30 | 0.60 | (0.93) |
0.64
|
| ’21 | 0.57 | 0.73 | 0.65 | 0.57 |
2.52
|
| ’20 | 0.16 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.65 |
1.67
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.81 | 19.67 | 21.98 | 51.48 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 38.63 | 26.56 | 66.18 | 113.31 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 413 | 373 | 310 | 484 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.78 | 0.87 | 1.16 | 0.96 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 321.23 | 325.06 | 360.66 | 463.06 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 55.36% | 56.28% | 55.89% | 57.08% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 42.07 | 62.07 | 64.96 | 83.14 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.10% | 19.09% | 18.01% | 17.96% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.16 | 37.78 | 40.51 | 68.15 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.96 | 6.56 | 8.09 | 9.13 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.95 | 18.49 | 20.34 | 25.28 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 0.65 | 2.19 | 2.24 | 3.18 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.69 | 3.80 | 3.78 | 3.13 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.44) | (0.32) | (0.26) | (0.74) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.26 | 3.48 | 3.52 | 2.39 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.33 | 8.65 | 10.74 | 20.31 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.90 | 17.58 | 17.73 | 18.31 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 34.94 | 11.96 | 26.59 | 33.77 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.21 | 1.41 | 2.96 | 4.29 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.42 | 3.01 | 5.60 | 5.34 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.15 | 2.17 | 3.85 | 4.70 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 30.75 | 11.55 | 22.21 | 49.60 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 30.27 | 66.88 | 67.06 | 57.37 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (7.80) | (5.70) | (4.62) | (13.53) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.47 | 61.18 | 62.44 | 43.85 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 216.28 | 167.28 | 153.39 | 342.14 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 409.86 | 365.36 | 248.60 | 293.63 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 303.46 | 248.63 | 202.45 | 70.87 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 113.38 | 152.01 | 190.38 | 371.98 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.98% | 6.74% | 7.49% | 9.25% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.10% | 12.94% | 12.86% | 13.45% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.42% | 28.99% | 23.25% | 20.69% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Turning Point Brands (TPB) has shown resilience in the tobacco alternatives space—spanning smokeless tobacco, accessories, and oral nicotine pouches—navigating FDA vaping crackdowns, COVID disruptions, and a sharp 2022 revenue plunge after a 2021 peak. Revenue has rebounded strongly from $321 million in 2022 to $361 million in 2024, with efficiency soaring: revenue per employee up 61%, headcount down 40%, and stable free cash flow supporting debt reduction. Gross margins expanded to 55.9% and ROIC hit 12.9%, bolstering a balance sheet where debt fell 40% to $249 million and equity doubled, positioning TPB as a capital-efficient player amid shifting consumer trends.
The stock has surged 240% since 2016, trading at premiums to analyst targets (P/E 27x trailing, EV/Sales 3.8x) on forecasts of 28% revenue growth to $463 million in 2025 and EPS doubling by 2026, driven by nicotine pouch expansion. Yet, insider selling totaling $20 million in 2025-2026—with no buys—signals caution at peak valuations, decoupled from fundamentals.
While projections suggest 15-20% annual returns in a structural shift from combustibles, downside risks loom: regulatory threats to flavored pouches, Big Tobacco competition, and lingering leverage. TPB’s steady cash generation offers buffers, but prudent investors should weigh these against the premium pricing before committing.
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