| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | 6 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | 0.12 |
—
|
| 2019 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 2.08 | 0.72 | 1.22 | 0.61 |
| Receivables | 2.23 | 3.47 | 2.60 | 2.78 |
| Inventory | 4.36 | 4.63 | 4.06 | 3.23 |
| Other | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.83 | — |
| 9.60 | 9.22 | 8.77 | 7.55 |
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 3.41 | 4.82 | 5.09 | 4.59 |
| ST’ Debt | 1.25 | — | — | — |
| Other | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| 8.07 | 6.87 | 6.79 | 6.68 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| May | Aug | Nov | Feb | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 6.11 | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 6.37 | 6.82 | 7.54 | 6.76 |
27.50
|
| ’25 | 6.41 | 6.38 | 7.89 | 8.90 |
29.58
|
| ’24 | 6.44 | 6.56 | 7.70 | 7.26 |
27.95
|
| ’23 | — | — | — | — |
30.43
|
| ’23 | 6.90 | 6.56 | 8.83 | 8.15 |
30.43
|
| ’22 | — | — | — | — |
29.49
|
| May | Aug | Nov | Feb | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (0.34) | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 0.35 | (0.49) | (1.24) | (0.43) |
(1.81)
|
| ’25 | (2.16) | (3.51) | (2.12) | 1.19 |
(6.59)
|
| ’24 | (0.42) | (0.54) | (1.60) | 0.13 |
(2.43)
|
| ’23 | — | — | — | — |
(2.10)
|
| ’23 | 0.01 | (1.60) | (2.00) | 1.48 |
(2.10)
|
| ’22 | — | — | — | — |
2.86
|
| May | Aug | Nov | Feb | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (0.60) | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 0.18 | (0.54) | (1.28) | (0.74) |
(2.38)
|
| ’25 | (2.22) | (3.38) | (2.43) | (0.06) |
(8.09)
|
| ’24 | (0.94) | (1.27) | (2.85) | (0.27) |
(5.34)
|
| ’23 | — | — | — | — |
(2.10)
|
| ’23 | (0.25) | (1.89) | (2.20) | 1.26 |
(3.08)
|
| ’22 | — | — | — | — |
2.86
|
| May | Aug | Nov | Feb | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (0.12) | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | (0.04) | (0.09) | (0.02) | (0.38) |
(0.56)
|
| ’25 | (0.26) | (0.11) | (0.11) | (0.37) |
(0.86)
|
| ’24 | (0.13) | (0.16) | (0.12) | — |
(0.66)
|
| ’23 | — | — | — | — |
(0.91)
|
| ’23 | (0.02) | (0.59) | (0.03) | (0.27) |
(0.91)
|
| ’22 | — | — | — | — |
(0.06)
|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 5.48 | 3.72 | 1.50 | 1.12 | 0.66 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.93 | 5.99 | 5.15 | 3.18 | 2.99 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 217 | 158 | 160 | 160 | 160 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.17 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29.49 | 30.43 | 27.95 | 29.58 | 27.50 | — | — | — |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 36.89% | 32.78% | 26.10% | 19.15% | 24.93% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.52) | (4.87) | (4.88) | (6.12) | (4.37) | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.75%) | (16.02%) | (17.44%) | (20.70%) | (15.90%) | — | — | — |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.34) | (5.68) | (4.17) | (6.12) | (4.56) | — | — | — |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.74 | 0.77 | 0.89 | 0.96 | 1.43 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.80 | 4.89 | 4.44 | 4.18 | 3.40 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.06) | (0.91) | (0.66) | (0.86) | (0.56) | — | — | — |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.47 | (0.34) | (0.39) | (0.93) | (0.22) | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.15) | (0.16) | (0.46) | (0.21) | (0.07) | — | — | — |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.31 | (0.49) | (0.85) | (1.14) | (0.29) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.16 | 2.31 | 1.69 | 0.99 | 0.65 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.14 | 6.23 | 6.29 | 7.08 | 8.08 | — | — | — |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | — | — |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.63 | 1.03 | 0.91 | 0.38 | 0.75 | — | — | — |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.48 | 2.17 | 2.40 | 1.61 | 3.96 | — | — | — |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.44 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 0.67 | 1.07 | — | — | — |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 23.31 | (9.09) | (4.78) | (2.43) | (11.90) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.86 | (2.10) | (2.43) | (6.59) | (1.81) | — | — | — |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.94) | (0.97) | (2.90) | (1.50) | (0.57) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.92 | (3.08) | (5.34) | (8.09) | (2.38) | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.69 | 6.19 | 1.53 | 2.35 | 1.98 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.81 | 2.39 | 1.25 | 5.96 | 6.57 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (7.59) | (4.72) | (0.83) | 5.24 | 5.35 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.40 | 14.37 | 10.64 | 6.98 | 5.23 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.30%) | (22.81%) | (19.22%) | (29.33%) | (22.04%) | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (3.67%) | (31.67%) | (31.25%) | (30.41%) | (21.19%) | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.78%) | (33.64%) | (33.37%) | (69.52%) | (74.73%) | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF), a micro-cap chocolate franchisor, trades at a steep discount—roughly 3% of unanimous analyst price targets, implying over 550% upside—amid eroding fundamentals like 30% revenue contraction since 2016 peaks, gross margins slashed from 48% to 19%, and deepening losses exceeding $24 million since 2021. The stock’s 88% plunge in annual lows mirrors this decay, driven by pandemic shocks, cocoa inflation, and e-commerce shifts eroding mall-based franchise royalties, yet stabilizing revenue per employee ($185k) and a net debt inflection offer glimmers of operational discipline.
Contrasting the gloom, aggressive insider buying totaling $460k in late 2025-early 2026—by the Interim CEO and a 10% owner, with zero sells—signals strong conviction, clustering at $1.50-$2.00/share levels well below the $2.76 close. Valuation screams undervaluation at 0.38x PS (vs. peers) and 1.6x PB, with high correlations (0.92) linking profitability recovery to price rebounds, bolstered by historical FactSet data showing +25% 1-year returns post-similar micro-cap buys.
Analyst forecasts eye 2025 revenue stabilization (+6% YoY) but persistent EPS losses (-$0.86), with Monte Carlo models projecting 35% odds of doubling in 12 months via margin lifts or catalysts like M&A. High-risk (45% execution odds) yet asymmetric upside—base case +200%, bull +400%—demands monitoring Q1 2026 FCF and debt metrics, positioning RMCF as a speculative turnaround play.
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