Palantir Technologies Inc. PLTR

185.99 (1.49) (0.79%) as of 29 Sep
Market cap
$449.2B
P/E
149×
Indexes indicate stock being part of an index,
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

Insider Decisions

Total sells 866.16
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell 1 7 2 3 8 1 1 8 2 2 5 2
Insider Ownership 7.91%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 449,230.00
Revenue 6,155.94
Net Income 3,030.72
Free Cash Flow 3,358.27
Net Debt (9,409.10)
Current Ratio 7.23
Debt/Equity 0.00
P/E ratio 148.79
P/S ratio 73.09
P/B ratio 45.52
Past 5Y EPS Growth 16.90%
This Y EPS Growth 112.60%
Next Y EPS Growth 43.44%
Next 5Y EPS Growth 65.82%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.00
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2025 Powerpack
2024 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 3,674 5,230 7,177 9,409
Receivables 365 575 1,042 1,485
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
4,139 5,934 8,358 11,100
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 12 0 8 504
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other 210 265 357 452
746 996 1,176 1,536
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales — 32.58% 32.92%
Cash Flow — 0.00% 112.09%
Earnings — 0.00% 0.00%
Book Value — 37.52% 41.51%

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1,633 1,935 — — —
’25 884 1,004 1,181 1,407 4,475
’24 634 678 726 828 2,866
’23 525 533 558 608 2,225
’22 446 473 478 509 1,906
’21 341 376 392 433 1,542
’20 229 252 289 322 1,093
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 899 1,216 — — —
’25 310 539 508 777 2,134
’24 130 144 420 460 1,154
’23 187 90 133 301 712
’22 35 62 47 79 224
’21 117 23 101 93 334
’20 (287) 61 (52) (18) (297)
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 892 1,202 — — —
’25 304 532 501 764 2,101
’24 127 141 416 457 1,141
’23 183 86 132 296 697
’22 20 57 33 74 184
’21 116 22 95 88 321
’20 (290) 58 (54) (23) (309)
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 0.34 0.41 — — —
’25 0.08 0.13 0.18 0.24 0.63
’24 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.03 0.19
’23 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.09
’22 (0.05) (0.09) (0.06) 0.02 (0.17)
’21 (0.07) (0.07) (0.05) (0.08) (0.27)
’20 (0.09) (0.17) (0.94) (0.08) (1.20)
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.9
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
— — — — 8.90 17.06 5.92 6.09 15.66 63.40

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
Low Price
— — — — 33.50 45.00 18.84 21.85 84.80 207.52
High Price
— — — 2,391 2,439 2,920 3,838 3,735 3,936 4,429
Employees
— — 0.00 0.31 0.45 0.53 0.50 0.60 0.73 1.01
Revenue/Emp
— — 595 743 1,093 1,542 1,906 2,225 2,866 4,475
Revenue
— — 72.22% 67.36% 67.74% 77.99% 78.56% 80.62% 80.25% 82.37%
Gross Margin
— — (571) (567) (1,179) (488) (361) 237 489 1,657
EBT
— — (95.89%) (76.39%) (107.90%) (31.68%) (18.94%) 10.66% 17.07% 37.03%
EBT Margin
— 0 (580) (580) (1,166) (520) (371) 217 468 1,635
Net Income
— — 14 12 14 15 23 33 32 26
Depreciation
— — 1.11 1.29 1.12 0.80 0.92 1.04 1.27 1.89
Revenue/Sh
— — (1.08) (1.00) (1.19) (0.27) (0.18) 0.10 0.21 0.69
Earnings/Sh
— — (0.07) (0.29) (0.30) 0.17 0.11 0.33 0.51 0.90
Cash Flow/Sh
— — (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
Capex/Sh
— — (0.09) (0.31) (0.32) 0.17 0.09 0.32 0.51 0.89
Free CF/Sh
— — 0.00 (3.43) 1.56 1.19 1.28 1.66 2.26 3.16
Book Value/Sh
— — 537 577 978 1,924 2,064 2,147 2,250 2,370
Shares
— — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 186.08 378.15 257.61
PE Ratio
— — 8.60 8.60 38.01 22.72 6.92 16.00 59.39 94.11
PS Ratio
— — 6.87 6.87 27.28 15.29 4.99 10.00 33.41 56.25
PB Ratio
— — 6.96 6.96 36.31 21.20 5.64 14.43 57.63 92.55
EV/Sales
— — (14.99) (14.99) (128.58) 101.76 58.56 46.07 144.70 197.19
EV/FCF
— — (39) (165) (297) 334 224 712 1,154 2,134
Op' Cash Flow
— — (7) (13) (12) (13) (40) (15) (13) (34)
Capex
— — (46) (178) (309) 321 184 697 1,141 2,101
FCF
— — 688 486 1,654 2,203 2,454 3,393 4,938 7,183
Working Cap'
— — — 396 198 220 204 — — —
Total Debt
— — (1,127) (735) (1,851) (2,341) (2,430) (3,674) (5,230) (7,177)
Net Debt
— — — (1,981) 1,523 2,291 2,642 3,561 5,094 7,488
Sh' Equity
— — 0.00% (73.79%) (54.45%) (17.53%) (11.14%) 5.26% 8.51% 21.32%
ROA
— — 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% (47.35%) 0.00% 0.00% 284.20%
ROIC
— — 32.05% 31.52% 509.24% (27.29%) (15.15%) 6.76% 10.68% 25.83%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Palantir Technologies Inc. peers in Software Infrastructure

Company Market cap P/E Compare
ORCL Oracle Corporation $402.6B 20.5× Compare
PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. $321.7B 738× Compare
CRWD CrowdStrike $265.7B 7,365× Compare
FTNT Fortinet, Inc. $129.1B 61.7× Compare
Company Market cap P/E Compare
NET Cloudflare, Inc. $126.1B 0.0× Compare
SNPS Synopsys, Inc. $79.5B 73.3× Compare
NBIS Nebius Group N.V. $64.1B 892× Compare
MSFT Microsoft Corporation $3.77T 28.3× Compare

All 173 Software Infrastructure stocks →

PLTR metrics, ten years each

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) key facts

  • Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is a Software Infrastructure company in the Technology sector, listed on Nasdaq.
  • Palantir Technologies Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.5 billion, up 56.2% from fiscal 2024.
  • As of September 28, 2026, PLTR traded at $187.48, a market capitalization of $449.2 billion.
  • Return on equity was 25.8% and debt-to-equity 0.00.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Financial Analysis (summary)

Updated

Palantir Technologies reported expanding revenue, earnings, operating income and free cash flow through FY2025 and into Q2 FY2026. The company moved from annual net losses in earlier years to positive annual net income beginning in FY2023, while quarterly revenue and earnings continued to rise through the latest reported quarter.

The balance sheet shows negative net debt, substantial cash and short-term investments, and a current ratio above one in the latest quarter. Current market multiples stand above the company’s available five-year median multiples. Share count increased over the longer annual comparison period, while quarterly changes were limited in the latest reported period.

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

29 Sep

4

Investing $1,000 per month for five years would contribute $60,000. A base-case projection puts the 2031 end value at about $70,049, a 35.8% gain (6.32% annualized) with a $257.62 endpoint. The first month’s $1,000 could be worth roughly $1,358 by 2031. The plan assumes about 271.9 shares worth about $70k versus $60k contributed. Palantir reports strong momentum: U.S. commercial revenue up 149% YoY to $764M, 653 U.S. commercial customers, and net dollar retention of 157%. Management raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to about $8.15B (roughly 82% growth) and projects $4.5–$4.7B in adjusted free cash flow; EPS has beaten estimates in the last four quarters. Risks include a rich trailing P/E of 162, a beta of 1.62, and rising expenses; bear/bull/base endpoints shown: $286.39, $257.62, and $181.88. Raised 2026 revenue guidance to about $8.15B and 149% YoY U.S. commercial growth signal meaningful near-term upside despite high valuation.

4

Palantir trades at about 73x sales and a high P/E, implying years of profit not yet earned. A Trefis model says, to justify a mature P/E of 28.8, the company would need about $73.6 billion in revenue and a 21% margin to hit current value in seven years — about 43% revenue growth annually. Management guided fiscal 2026 revenue to ~ $8.2 billion (roughly 82% growth), but sustaining the price would require ~40% annual growth for the next six-and-a-half years. Margins are currently strong (around 49%), above Palantir’s three-year average, and demand remains solid in government and commercial segments (U.S. commercial revenue up 149% in Q2 FY2026; FY2026 guidance ~134%). If growth slows toward historical levels, the stock could face downside; otherwise, rapid growth could support the price, but the path is steep. Current valuation hinges on sustained outsized growth for many years; a slowdown would likely undermine the stock’s price.

3

Palantir Technologies shares fell about 1.1% to $185.49 around 11:27 a.m. ET as CEO Alex Karp prepared to meet President Trump and House Speaker Johnson in Washington’s AI guardrail debate. A seat at the table gives Palantir a voice, but it doesn’t reveal any policy path or revenue. The company cautions that generative and agentic AI could bring liability, security costs and reputational risk, with stronger safeguards potentially increasing both the value of its controls and deployment costs. The stock trades near GuruFocus’s GF Value estimate of $182.09, leaving little cushion for a policy win unless demand for governed AI yields durable revenue. CBS News confirmed Karp’s attendance. The key question is whether governance-driven AI demand will translate into lasting growth. Policy guardrails and potential liability costs could shape Palantir's product costs and demand, influencing its revenue trajectory.

3

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) and Coherent Corp. (COHR) are major AI and data-infrastructure players. Palantir’s commercial momentum is accelerating with its AI Platform, Gotham, and Foundry, as more customers move from pilots to mission-critical deployments. Domestic demand remains strong, and the model’s profitability is robust: adjusted gross margin in the mid-80s%, adjusted operating margin above 60%, and free cash flow over $1.2B in the quarter, supported by roughly $9.2B in cash. Cloud-hosting headwinds dampen gross margins but are offset by deeper client relationships and scale. Coherent’s AI-centric portfolio centers on datacenter and communications, about 79% of fiscal Q4 2026 revenue, with 58.6% growth to $1.6B. Margins improved: GAAP gross 38.5%, adjusted gross 40.2%, and adjusted operating margin 21.8%. Profitability hinges on hyperscaler capex cycles and execution, with industrial revenue down 15.8%. Valuation favors COHR (forward P/S ~4.8x vs PLTR ~41.8x). Zacks rates PLTR #1 and COHR #2, deeming Palantir the better buy given earnings growth and cash generation. Palantir's stronger earnings growth, cash generation, and domestic demand could lift sentiment and near-term multiples, but high valuation and sensitivity to AI spending limit upside.

3

Snowflake shares surged 115% in the six months ending Sept. 28, 2026, as revenue growth accelerated for three straight quarters, helped by AI products and a swelling backlog. Management flagged remaining performance obligations of $5.7 billion as of Nov. 20, 2024, with backlog growth accelerating to 55% year over year, suggesting revenue would lift later. Revenue growth did not immediately pick up, slipping from 27% in Q4 2025 to 26% in Q1 2026, then rising to 32% in Q2 2026 and 29% in Q3 2026 before hitting 30% in Q4 2026. The operating loss narrowed to 25% of revenue by Q4 2026. Snowflake branded itself as the AI Data Cloud company in late 2025; before the run, results already showed faster revenue growth. The stock outpaced the S&P 500 and peers, supported by AI-driven performance and a valuation of about 21x sales. AI-driven growth at Snowflake heightens investor expectations for AI-enabled data platforms, which could influence Palantir's growth prospects and market sentiment.

28 Sep

4

Michael Burry accelerates his bearish view on the AI rally, moving the timeline up and shifting into put options to bet on a decline. The change signals stronger conviction that AI hype may peak sooner than previously thought, potentially weighing on Palantir and other AI-focused names as sentiment pivots and hedging increases. A cooler macro view on AI could temper Palantir's growth narrative and valuation in the near term, even if fundamentals remain solid. Rising bearish sentiment on AI could materially affect Palantir's near-term prospects and stock performance.

4

Palantir reported a record quarter with revenue up 93% to $1.935B and EPS of $0.41, beating estimates as U.S. commercial revenue jumped 149%. Management raised full-year revenue guidance to about $8.15B. Yet the stock would need roughly 2.3x a $440B market cap to reach a $1 trillion valuation, implying a share price near $435. The shares trade far above peers on a cash-flow/earnings basis (roughly 211x forward earnings), even as 26 analysts lifted EPS estimates in the past 30 days with no cuts. Bears point to 273x trailing earnings, heavy U.S. concentration (81% of revenue), rising Q3 expenses, and government-contract risk, offset by strong net-dollar retention (157%) and a growing remaining deal value ($13.1B). International growth remains uneven, but sovereign AI demand could boost upside if forecasts accelerate. Strong growth and revisions support upside, but high valuation and U.S.-exposure pose meaningful risk that could temper long-term gains.

4

Palantir expands its AI platform (AIP) to run and orchestrate models from multiple providers while tying them to customers’ data, permissions, and workflows. September updates add Grok 4.7 for eligible commercial environments and open-weight models from OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, DeepSeek, Z.ai, Moonshot AI, plus Gemini 3.8 Flash. AIP also includes Evolve, which orchestrates AI agents to improve existing systems and reviews proposals before production changes. The aim is to move beyond betting on one winner by making model choice replaceable and keeping data control sovereign. Partnerships with Nvidia and Nebius enable a sovereign AI setup using Foundry, Ontology, and external compute, with initial deployments in supply chains. Palantir posted strong Q2 growth and orders from government and commercial sectors, signaling a broader strategic push into model-neutral AI infrastructure. AIP’s multi-model, sovereign-data approach and partnerships could significantly alter Palantir’s growth trajectory and competitive moat.

4

Palantir's stock is analyzed via a projections model that estimates a $10,000 stake could end up around $13,583 in a base case, $15,100 in a bull scenario, or $9,589 in a bear outcome by the five-year horizon marked to 2031 (2030 figure is illustrative). The central price target is $257.62, implying about 6.3% annualized gains; a shorter-term target implies roughly 7.9% upside over the next year. In Q2, Palantir posted $1.935B in revenue and a 47% GAAP margin, with Rule of 40 at 155%. U.S. commercial revenue rose 149% to $764M, while government revenue grew 90% to $809M; full-year guidance lifted to about $8.15B. But valuation remains extreme (268x trailing earnings, 93x forward, ~207x FCF), meaning any growth slowdown could sharply compress returns. Risks include long sales cycles, government-contract exposure, SBC costs, and US concentration. Extremely high valuations relative to earnings amplify downside risk if growth slows, despite solid revenue growth and guidance.

4

Palantir stock has surged 77% since late June after Q2 revenue rose 93% year over year to $1.935 billion, with U.S. commercial revenue up 149% to $764 million. Management lifted FY26 guidance to about $8.15 billion and raised the U.S. commercial target above $3.42 billion, signaling durable demand from sovereign AI that keeps data and models in-house. September deals—Nebius as sovereign AI infrastructure partner and Nvidia’s Nemotron open models integrated into Foundry and AIP—extend the sovereignty thesis into infrastructure. International revenue growth lagged, underscoring Europe/friction despite strong U.S. demand. TIKR’s mid-case values Palantir at $1,344 by 2030, implying roughly a 608% total return from the current price of about $190. Guidance raise, rapid revenue growth, and strategic sovereign AI partnerships imply material, sustained upside beyond the current rally.

4

Palantir Technologies benefits from the AI boom as its software expands in commercial and government sectors. The company posted a fifth straight double-beat, with revenue of $1.9 billion, up 92% YoY, and earnings up 140% YoY. U.S. commercial revenue rose 149% to $764 million, up 28% sequentially. U.S. commercial total contract value hit a record $2.1 billion, up 153% YoY; remaining deal value climbed to $6.2 billion, up 124%. The guidance was lifted for FY26 to $8.150-8.158 billion revenue (about 82% growth), with U.S. commercial demand expected to grow 134% YoY. Earnings are forecast to grow 115% in FY26 and another 40% in FY27. Palantir's AI Platform integrates data with large language models and generative AI, driving commercial momentum and government deployments, supporting a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). Strong results, record contract values, and raised FY26 guidance imply meaningful upside for PLTR.

3

Activist investor Jana Partners pushes Fiserv to accelerate cost reductions, aiming to raise earmarked savings from $500 million to $1.25 billion by 2029 and to publish more aggressive targets in Q3 results. Jana also says Palantir technology could help Fiserv streamline operations, pay down tech debt and trim legacy vendor costs. Fiserv stock has fallen more than 13% in September amid weaker forecasts, contracting margins and leadership shake-ups, while CEO Takis Georgakopoulos contemplates a company-wide review and potential divestitures. Reuters cites a Jana letter; neither side commented. Jana previously urged a formal review of the company. Potential revenue from Fiserv via Palantir could materialize if a deal forms, but its realization is uncertain and contingent on negotiations.

3

REDL Intermediate Holdings, operating as REDLattice, will go public via a SPAC merger with Bold Eagle Acquisition Corp., valuing the company at $1.25 billion and potentially raising up to $610 million in gross proceeds (about $335 million from committed capital and up to $275 million from Bold Eagle’s trust if no redemptions). Proceeds will refinance debt, fund the final earnout from Paragon Solutions, and back organic growth, product expansion, and M&A. REDLattice provides lawful intercept, vulnerability research, and intelligence acquisition for government agencies, with more than 100 customers in 23 countries. As of June 30, it reported $267 million in revenue, a $200 million backlog, and a $1.5 billion pipeline. CEO Andy Boyd says AI has accelerated cyber conflict, reinforcing REDLattice’s strategic edge. Close expected by year-end 2026; Nasdaq ticker will be REDL. Introduces a new public competitor in the government cyber-intelligence space, potentially affecting Palantir's market share and pricing dynamics over the medium term.

3

Nvidia launches OpenShell, an Open Agent Safety Platform to sandbox AI agents, trace actions, and enforce policy to prevent autonomous AI from exceeding boundaries. The platform, running on BlueField-4 DPUs with a companion layer called Sentry that can quarantine agents within milliseconds, is pitched as a response to rising AI containment failures, with about 100 launch partners including Microsoft, Anthropic, JPMorgan Chase, and Palantir. Huang previously dismissed extinction-risk estimates and argued against broad regulation, but now positions Nvidia as the ‘trust infrastructure’ provider for enterprise AI as demand for safety rails grows. The move is paired with a $150 billion increase in stock buybacks, lifting the total authorization to $235 billion. Nvidia forecasts approximately 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028 and a policy of returning 50% of free cash flow to shareholders. Palantir's involvement as a launch partner could provide a modest revenue and positioning boost, but actual impact depends on future deals and adoption.

3

Palantir Technologies' stock has surged more than 50% since its August earnings, moving from about $125 prior to the Q2 report to roughly $190 last week. Growth accelerated to 93% in Q2 (up from 85%), and CEO Alex Karp's AI strategy comments—especially around frontier AI models—helped lift investor sentiment. Palantir emphasizes secure data handling to let customers rely on its AI services without model leakage. The stock briefly topped $190 again after the report, but its all-time high of $207.52 would require a sub-10% rally. Valuation remains rich, trading above 160x trailing earnings, which keeps downside risk present despite the upbeat outlook. A new all-time high is possible in 2026, but investors should stay cautious given the high multiple and sentiment-driven moves. Earnings-driven growth acceleration and AI narrative boost investor sentiment, potentially pushing PLTR toward a new all-time high, despite high valuation.

27 Sep

4

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has surged as AI demand boosts both government and commercial deals. Its software now includes the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), combining generative AI and AI agents to unlock near-immediate value for customers. Commercial adoption has accelerated, with U.S. commercial revenue up 149% to $764 million and government revenue up 90% to $809 million in the latest quarter, while U.S. commercial customers exceed 650—up 35% year over year. Palantir’s profitability mix remains strong, evidenced by a high Rule of 40 score, and management lifted full-year guidance to more than $8 billion in total revenue and over $3.4 billion in U.S. commercial revenue, signaling robust demand and expanding margins. The stock has regained momentum, supporting a long-term view, though no single stock is a guaranteed millionaire-maker. Raising revenue guidance and rapid AIP-driven commercial growth imply meaningful near-term upside with durable long-term potential.

3

Michael Burry, famed for The Big Short, says AI infrastructure has become a key pillar of the U.S. economy and that the Trump administration cannot afford to let the AI boom falter. He remains bearish on several AI leaders and has recently disclosed short positions in Oracle, Palantir, Nebius, Nvidia, Micron and CoreWeave. The piece notes rising AI spending by Big Tech and looming IPOs from OpenAI and Anthropic as the sector expands. Burry questions whether the AI investment cycle—centered on Nvidia chips, hyperscale data centers, and players like OpenAI and Anthropic—can sustain durable returns, while warning Washington has limited tools to prevent a downturn. Trump has made AI leadership a national priority, pushing faster adoption and domestic computing infrastructure, with the White House stressing broader access to advanced systems for military and intelligence use. Shorting by a high-profile investor can sway sentiment and create near-term downside pressure, signaling meaningful but not determinative risk to Palantir's trajectory.

26 Sep

3

Palantir Technologies trades at a steep premium (around 160x trailing 12-month sales), making the stock sensitive to any hint of trouble even as results improve. After a spring tumble it’s back in positive territory for the year, driven by accelerating AI demand and a SaaS model that binds clients with long-term commitments. The company’s AI Platform and sovereign data tools appeal to government and expanding commercial clients, helping push revenue up 93% year over year in Q2 2026, with US commercial revenue up 104%. Total contract value rose to $3.37 billion, deals of at least $10 million numbered 73, and deals of at least $1 million reached 220. GAAP operating margin expanded to 47%. The biggest risk is market expectations about Palantir’s future and AI competition, not the current fundamentals; short-term growth remains strong with Q3 revenue projected around 83% growth. Market sentiment about future growth and AI competition could moderately influence Palantir’s stock trajectory despite robust current performance.

25 Sep

4

Palantir expanded its AIP-based commercial AI business across healthcare, defense, and manufacturing, raised full-year revenue guidance, and named Nebius as its sovereign AI infrastructure partner, integrating Nebius compute into AIP. The company is positioning itself as core AI and data infrastructure for governments and enterprises, leveraging stronger demand and a broader sovereign footprint. Yet investors face valuation risk and questions about concentration in government and defense contracts, regulatory scrutiny, and potential slowdowns in international AI demand. The Nebius deal deepens work on sensitive workloads, aligning with AI-driven growth catalysts while adding governance and geopolitical risk. Overall, the news reinforces near-term demand tailwinds for Palantir, but underscores dependence on U.S. government contracts and the possibility that aggressive growth expectations are already priced in. Nebius partnership and expanded AIP wins bolster Palantir's AI infrastructure leadership and near-term growth prospects, though valuation and government-contract concentration risk temper upside.

4

Palantir expands its commercial AI reach via the AIP platform, securing enterprise and government contracts across healthcare, defense, and manufacturing, and broadening its ties in Europe and the Middle East while growing its footprint within U.S. federal agencies. A Mercury Systems deal targets streamlining material planning and factory workflows for large-scale military programs, supporting efforts for the U.S. Department of War to boost productivity and shorten delivery timelines. In Q2, revenue rose to $1.94 billion, up 93% year over year, with the commercial segment at $764 million, up 149%. Net dollar retention reached 157%, signaling 12-month revenue growth from existing customers. Valuation concerns persist as Palantir must sustain rapid commercial expansion to justify the high multiple. Full-year guidance was raised to about $8.15-$8.158 billion from $7.65-$7.662 billion. Hedge fund interest remains notable, with BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street among top holders. Sharper revenue growth and raised guidance tied to expanding commercial AI momentum create meaningful upside despite ongoing valuation risk.

4

Palantir stock has risen about 7.7% as AI demand weighs against a lofty valuation. D.A. Davidson boosted its target to $250 from $200, implying roughly 30% upside from the ~$193 share price. The move follows stronger enterprise AI momentum and Palantir’s partnership with Nvidia to help organizations deploy and manage AI models and data. In Q2, revenue jumped 94% year over year to $1.94 billion, with U.S. commercial revenue up 149%. Net-dollar retention is about 157%, indicating customers are spending more, and Palantir raised its fiscal 2026 U.S. commercial revenue forecast above $3.42 billion. Seeking Alpha grades Palantir highly on growth and profitability but low on value. The core question is how much of the rally is baked in versus how much profitability growth and commercial AI adoption can deliver. Raising the price target amid strong AI demand and robust growth signals could meaningfully shift investor expectations and Palantir's valuation.

4

Palantir’s future hinges on a massive valuation built on U.S. commercial growth. In Q2 FY26, revenue reached $1.935B (up 92.8% YoY) with U.S. commercial revenue up 149% to $764M, and GAAP operating margin at 47% as free cash flow hit $1.22B. Management raised FY26 revenue guidance to about $8.15B. Remaining deal value climbed to $6.238B, and U.S. commercial TCV growth is guided to exceed 134%. AI pilot programs (AIP) lifted a Rule-of-40 to 155%. 24/7 Wall St. calls the stock worth $311.42, about 68% above current levels, arguing Palantir’s higher multiple is justified by faster growth versus ServiceNow and Snowflake. Risks include potential valuation compression if growth slows and SBC dilution, plus defense-budget sensitivities. Surging US commercial growth and a lofty price target imply material upside potential but elevated valuation risk that could drive sentiment and performance.

3

Palantir co-founder Joe Lonsdale and FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson pushed AI accountability to the top of Reuters Momentum AI Austin 2026. Lonsdale urged keeping human oversight over autonomous systems, advocating tested, bounded autonomy in realistic scenarios and focusing on productivity gains for investors. He warned against safety rules that entrench dominant firms while acknowledging the need for liability clarity. Ferguson pressed whether existing consumer-protection and product-liability laws suffice for AI harms and said responsibility lies with those who instruct and deploy AI, not the tech itself. Transparency featured prominently, including disclosures about data use and chatbot interactions with children. Businesses were urged to evaluate off-the-shelf platforms before building bespoke tools, measure real outcomes, protect workforce trust during transitions, and stop underperforming AI deployments. The discussion linked AI power to practical governance and measurable value. Regulatory focus on AI accountability could influence Palantir's product roadmap and liability considerations, modestly affecting its growth trajectory.

3

Palantir Technologies closed down 1.53% at $189.64, underperforming the market as the S&P 500 rose 0.51%, the Dow +0.93%, and the Nasdaq +0.48%. Over the last month, PLTR gained 3.58% but trailed the Computer and Technology sector (+6.54%) and slightly outpaced the S&P 500 (+0.74%). Investors await the upcoming earnings report with EPS projected at $0.42 (up 100% year over year) and revenue of $2.17 billion, up 83.95% from the year-ago quarter. For the full year, Zacks Consensus sees EPS of $1.61 and revenue of $8.19 billion, about +114.67% and +82.96%, respectively. The piece notes analyst estimate revisions can move stock prices and cites Palantir’s Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy). Valuation shows a forward P/E of 119.81 and a PEG of 2.16, versus the Internet Software industry PEG of 1.18. High growth expectations and a steep valuation could influence sentiment and add near-term volatility.

3

Peter Thiel says U.S. corporate AI adoption has accelerated 'tremendously' as American businesses race to get ahead, while Europe lags. Speaking at the 2026 Axel Springer Award in Berlin, Thiel argued the U.S. is the AI development center, with China a fast follower and Europe extremely far behind. He pointed to Palantir as evidence, noting U.S. commercial revenue rose 55% year over year to $159 million in Q2 2024 and U.S. commercial customers up 83%. IMF data echoed the split, showing American firms using AI to overhaul processes and European firms applying it more narrowly. Thiel urged Europe to spur growth and join building the future. Market odds still favor U.S. players in AI model leadership. Palantir stock traded around $191.33, down about 0.7% at publication. U.S. demand acceleration strengthens Palantir's growth narrative and could modestly lift sentiment, but sustained adoption and competitive dynamics will determine the ultimate impact.

3

Meta Platforms released Muse, a new AI chatbot, intensifying AI competition. Palantir Technologies' AI moat could be challenged as rivals expand capabilities. Yahoo Finance's Market Hang panel—Turney Duff, Brian Sozzi, Matt Cerminaro, Hardika Singh, and Kevin Paffrath—debates whether Palantir can sustain its edge against growing competitors. The discussion centers on Palantir's AI strategy and potential competitive threats. Rising AI competition from Meta and debates on Palantir's moat could moderately influence investor sentiment and near-term expectations.

3

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) stock fell about 1% to $190.76 at 11:14 a.m. ET after CEO Alex Karp warned that AI liability could complicate frontier-model ventures and potentially impede traditional IPOs. The remarks underscored ongoing legal risk around AI deployments, though no IPO plans were dropped. Palantir notes in its quarterly filing that inaccurate AI outputs or weak controls could invite legal scrutiny and harm its reputation, stressing customers' need to see governance in action. The stock trades roughly 5% above its GF Value estimate, implying a valuation premium that would require durable renewals, profitable growth, and fewer costly AI missteps to justify. AI-liability warnings and Palantir's valuation premium could modestly affect investor sentiment and expectations for durable growth.

3

StockStory designates Palantir as the sole buy among cash-heavy software names, citing a $9.2 billion net cash position (about 2% of its market cap) and strong demand signals. PLTR is praised for 76.7% average billings growth last year, quick payback on sales and marketing, and robust free cash flow that supports growth or shareholder returns. The stock trades around $191.58, equating to roughly 48.4x forward price-to-sales, a heavy valuation hurdle. By contrast, Elastic and Sprout Social are labeled to be sold due to slower ARR growth and margin weakness. The piece argues PLTR could sustain growth and liquidity, while inviting readers to view a free full research report. High cash, strong growth signals, and free cash flow could boost liquidity and sentiment, but valuation remains a hurdle.

3

Palantir is described as an incredible data-architecture company, not a true AI maker. EdgeRunner AI CEO Tyler Saltsman says Palantir’s strength is the engineering and data infrastructure around AI models via Maven and Foundry, while EdgeRunner tests military-specific models with Maven. The startup aims to pull Foundry data onto offline devices so soldiers can access critical information without connectivity, potentially reducing reliance on centralized compute. Saltsman envisions EdgeRunner becoming standard in warfighter kits and expanding beyond defense into regulated industries, though an IPO remains a long-term dream. The piece notes Maven scrutiny after a February strike in Iran, with Palantir not deemed responsible, underscoring the need for up-to-date data. Prediction markets show Anthropic favored to lead AI-model performance by year-end. It positions Palantir as an AI data-infrastructure backbone with potential long-term demand in defense and regulated industries, but provides no immediate revenue catalyst.

24 Sep

4

Palantir (PLTR) and Nebius Group (NBIS) formed a strategic partnership to embed Nebius's sovereign AI-native compute infrastructure inside Palantir's commercial platform. Nebius becomes Palantir's preferred infrastructure partner, enabling clients to deploy OpenAI models and run compute-heavy workloads within Palantir's security perimeter while preserving data sovereignty. The alliance aims to scale compute via modular data center deployments where power is available, supporting faster U.S. expansion and higher-margin software growth. Nebius gains direct access to Palantir's enterprise base to monetize its data-center buildout, while Palantir faces hosting-cost and execution risks from high-density endpoints and potential international growth delays. The deal offers potential upside from increased platform utilization but relies on successful uptime, rapid scaling, and Nebius's ongoing capital needs. Strategic alliance could meaningfully boost Palantir's AI infrastructure capabilities and U.S. expansion, while introducing hosting costs and execution risks that could temper upside.

stockrow.com/PLTR · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com