Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. OLLI

84.39 (0.05) (0.06%) as of 25 Sep
Market cap
$5.0B
P/E
18.8×

Insider Decisions

Total sells 3.31
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell 5 — 1 — 1 2 1 — — — — —
Insider Ownership 1.49%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 5,020.00
Revenue 2,793.11
Net Income 273.58
Free Cash Flow 223.91
Net Debt (185.27)
Current Ratio 2.23
Debt/Equity 0.00
P/E ratio 18.75
P/S ratio 1.82
P/B ratio 2.68
Past 5Y EPS Growth 8.59%
This Y EPS Growth 19.36%
Next Y EPS Growth 7.26%
Next 5Y EPS Growth 11.92%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.00
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2026 Powerpack
2025 Powerpack
2024 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
2020 Powerpack
2018 Powerpack
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2024 2025 2026 Q'26
Cash 353 429 296 188
Receivables 2 2 4 8
Inventory 506 553 650 704
Other — — — —
871 994 964 917
2024 2025 2026 Q'26
Payables 128 130 169 190
ST’ Debt 1 1 1 1
Other — — — —
316 304 400 412
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales 13.26% 7.93% 13.19%
Cash Flow 20.52% (3.87%) 37.39%
Earnings 20.97% (0.17%) 32.77%
Book Value 12.88% 7.18% 11.50%

Revenue

Apr Jul Oct Jan Year
’26 659 741 — — —
’26 577 680 614 779 2,649
’25 509 578 517 667 2,272
’24 459 515 480 649 2,103
’23 407 452 418 550 1,827
’22 452 416 383 501 1,753
’21 349 529 414 516 1,809
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Apr Jul Oct Jan Year
’26 46 108 — — —
’26 29 81 5 182 297
’25 40 44 (4) 148 227
’24 36 74 1 144 254
’23 (32) 35 (3) 113 114
’22 40 2 (39) 42 45
’21 41 169 26 125 361
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Apr Jul Oct Jan Year
’26 20 65 — — —
’26 2 54 (26) 164 195
’25 13 6 (35) 124 107
’24 17 48 (35) 101 131
’23 (41) 22 (18) 101 63
’22 31 (4) (51) 37 13
’21 29 163 18 121 331
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Apr Jul Oct Jan Year
’26 0.92 1.42 — — —
’26 0.77 0.99 0.75 1.39 3.89
’25 0.75 0.79 0.58 1.11 3.23
’24 0.50 0.68 0.51 1.23 2.92
’23 0.20 0.22 0.37 0.85 1.64
’22 0.84 0.52 0.36 0.71 2.43
’21 0.51 1.50 0.68 0.98 3.68
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.5
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
27.75 50.15 53.60 28.83 45.55 37.67 46.25 68.05 94.88 60.29

Analyst estimates 2027–2029

Powerpack
Low Price
54.30 97.61 103.03 112.58 123.52 72.27 83.19 120.03 141.74 121.00
High Price
5,500 6,700 7,700 8,300 9,800 9,900 10,700 11,500 12,800 13,000
Employees
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Revenue/Emp
890 1,077 1,241 1,408 1,809 1,753 1,827 2,103 2,272 2,649
Revenue
40.48% 40.08% 40.09% 39.45% 39.99% 38.86% 35.91% 39.59% 40.25% 40.50%
Gross Margin
96 130 161 173 278 204 134 242 266 316
EBT
10.81% 12.12% 12.94% 12.27% 15.36% 11.66% 7.33% 11.53% 11.70% 11.94%
EBT Margin
60 128 135 141 243 157 103 181 200 241
Net Income
11 13 15 18 23 25 29 35 44 55
Depreciation
14.80 17.55 19.84 22.28 27.94 27.20 29.23 34.06 37.04 43.20
Revenue/Sh
0.99 2.08 2.16 2.23 3.75 2.44 1.64 2.94 3.26 3.92
Earnings/Sh
1.12 1.56 2.02 1.67 5.58 0.70 1.83 4.12 3.71 4.84
Cash Flow/Sh
(0.27) (0.31) (1.18) (0.54) (0.47) (0.49) (0.82) (2.01) (1.96) (1.66)
Capex/Sh
0.84 1.25 0.83 1.13 5.11 0.20 1.01 2.11 1.75 3.18
Free CF/Sh
10.83 12.98 15.07 16.75 20.62 19.98 21.79 24.43 27.64 30.79
Book Value/Sh
60 61 63 63 65 64 62 62 61 61
Shares
30.86 26.84 36.19 23.68 24.65 19.65 33.19 24.47 34.10 28.00
PE Ratio
2.06 3.16 3.94 2.38 3.30 1.76 1.87 2.11 3.01 2.55
PS Ratio
2.82 4.28 5.19 3.17 4.47 2.40 2.51 2.94 4.03 3.57
PB Ratio
2.17 3.17 3.90 2.32 3.05 1.62 1.73 1.94 2.82 2.44
EV/Sales
38.16 44.52 92.66 45.83 16.70 215.38 50.00 31.34 59.76 33.10
EV/FCF
67 96 126 105 361 45 114 254 227 297
Op' Cash Flow
(16) (19) (74) (34) (30) (32) (51) (124) (120) (102)
Capex
51 77 52 71 331 13 63 131 107 195
FCF
208 167 208 256 525 464 495 556 689 564
Working Cap'
194 49 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
Total Debt
95 10 (51) (89) (446) (246) (269) (352) (427) (295)
Net Debt
651 796 943 1,059 1,335 1,288 1,362 1,508 1,695 1,888
Sh' Equity
6.03% 12.28% 12.29% 10.24% 13.48% 7.92% 5.12% 8.36% 8.23% 8.72%
ROA
8.56% 10.52% 11.36% 11.08% 19.52% 12.27% 7.49% 12.31% 12.30% 11.68%
ROIC
9.85% 17.63% 15.53% 14.10% 20.28% 12.01% 7.76% 12.64% 12.47% 13.43%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Jan 2026 · latest quarter Jul 2026

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) key facts

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) is a Discount Stores company in the Consumer Defensive sector, listed on Nasdaq.
  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended January 2026) was $2.6 billion, up 16.6% from fiscal 2025.
  • Net income was $240.6 million, or $3.92 per share (basic), a net margin of 9.08%.
  • As of September 25, 2026, OLLI traded at $84.39, a market capitalization of $5.0 billion.
  • At that price the stock trades at 18.8× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 1.8× sales.
  • Return on equity was 13.4% and debt-to-equity 0.00.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

24 Sep

3

Phoenix Rising screener targets beaten-down stocks with early reversal signals. It screens Russell 3000 names with Weighted Alpha under -15 and a Barchart Opinion Sell, then requires a TrendSeeker Buy signal for a potential turning point. Confirmation comes from higher lows, moving-average reclaims, RSI/MACD improvements, broken resistance, and rising volume, with Bollinger Bands showing contractions before a move. Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) is used as a case study: after a roughly 58% decline, price began forming higher lows, reclaimed the 20-, 50-, and 100-day averages, challenged resistance, and saw improving momentum and volume, supported by a TrendSeeker Buy. The setup doesn't prove a bottom, but provides a disciplined framework to investigate potential reversals, including relative strength versus peers and potential catalysts before trading or watching. A webinar explains the workflow. OLLI serves as an example of a potential reversal setup that could influence sentiment without guaranteeing a rebound.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet has fallen about 38% in a year as softer comparable-store sales and a cautious outlook weigh on growth. A discounted cash flow analysis puts intrinsic value well below the current price of about $82.61, despite trailing free cash flow around $201.9 million and projected steady growth. Q2 showed flat comparable-store sales, supporting a more muted expansion path. Bulls argue the stock could be about 16% undervalued due to plans to open 75 stores this year; bears say about 9% overvaluation. Overall, the analysis suggests the market is pricing in cash flows the business may not fully deliver, signaling potential downside risk if growth remains tepid. Cash-flow based value is below the current price, signaling a moderate sentiment shift rather than immediate operational changes.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet opened its 700th store in Maplewood, Minnesota, marking a milestone and prompting investors to reassess its growing footprint. Shares have rebounded recently: 30-day return of 10.7%, 90 days +14.9%, but are down 25.8% YTD and down 38.2% over 1 year. The piece contrasts a positive milestone with underlying volatility and asks whether the rebound reflects confidence in a $2.8B closeout retailer or a short-term swing after a tough year. Narrative view labels the stock 16% undervalued with a fair value of $98.78 vs close of $82.61, but warns tariff refunds helped the quarter and that core margins were about 40.3–40.4%. It notes risks if weather-sensitive categories stay weak or tariff-driven promotions persist. An alternate DCF model gives a $62.80 fair value, suggesting the stock could be expensive on future cash flows. The article advises examining the model and other undervalued ideas. Milestone expansion signals potential long-term growth, but valuation debate and tariff-related margin pressure limit near-term impact.

22 Sep

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet posted Q2 results with adjusted EPS up 43.4% to $1.42 and net sales up 9.1% to $741.3 million on 11.9% store growth to 686 locations, while comps fell 1.8% and full-year comps are guided flat to up 0.5%. Net sales guidance remains $2.928–$2.941 billion. The stock response was mixed: some see better-than-feared results, but others warn that tariff-driven margin gains aren’t durable and demand could stay weak for low-income shoppers facing higher fuel costs. The balance sheet remains cash-rich ($507.1 million) with little debt, $84 million of buybacks this quarter, and a higher buyback target (~$175 million). Bulls highlight treasure-hunt store growth and Ollie’s Army loyalty; bears stress ongoing negative comps and an uncertain macro backdrop that could cap upside until upcoming comps improve. Tariff refunds boosted margins and buybacks support sentiment, but flat-to-low comps and uncertain demand cap upside.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. opened its 700th store in Maplewood, Minnesota, marking a milestone in its Midwest expansion. The new location at 1717 Beam Avenue comes as Ollie's donates 700 books, one per store, to Gillette Children's through the Children's Miracle Network, supporting literacy and hospital programs during National Literacy Month. Ollie's CEO Eric van der Valk framed the milestone as evidence of growing demand for its brand-name closeouts, sold up to 70% below traditional retailers. The Grand Opening is slated for Sept. 24, with a ribbon-cutting at 9 a.m.; media briefings and photo ops run 8:30 a.m. to 2:00 p.m. Ollie's notes it operated 686 stores in 36 states as of August 1, 2026, highlighting ongoing growth, community outreach, and the retailer's Good Stuff Cheap mission. Milestone strengthens growth narrative and community branding without signaling immediate financial gains.

12 Sep

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings plans continued national expansion through 2026 while trading at once-in-a-decade low valuation levels. National expansion plans and low valuation may moderately influence financial performance and investor sentiment without fundamentally redefining company trajectory.

10 Sep

3

Ollie's reported sharply higher profits despite customers cutting back on purchases. Higher profits support margins while weaker customer spending points to possible sales pressure ahead.

9 Sep

3

Ollie’s earnings rose 43% despite falling comparable sales, with questions raised over whether store growth can sustain performance. Mixed earnings growth with declining sales points to moderate influence on future trajectory and sentiment.

3 transcript

Ollie's (OLLI) held Q2 2027 earnings call covering financial results and outlook. Quarterly earnings call updates financial performance and guidance with moderate market influence.

8 Sep

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) is identified as a profitable stock worth attention while two other companies face headwinds. Favorable stock selection mention can moderately lift investor sentiment and near-term trading activity for OLLI.

6 Sep

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock declined on weak comparable sales despite margin gains. Weak comparable sales signal sales pressure that may affect near-term performance.

3 Sep

4 transcript

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings reported Q2 2027 earnings, including revenue, EPS figures, and management commentary on operations and outlook during its earnings call. Earnings results and forward guidance directly shape near-term valuation and trading activity.

3

RBC analysts state Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Q2 results establish a fundamental bottom for the company. Q2 earnings and RBC bottom assessment may stabilize investor views without major long-term trajectory shift.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet beats Q2 earnings expectations despite tough macroeconomic conditions, per BofA Securities. Q2 earnings beat shows resilience but faces limits from ongoing macro headwinds.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings reported Q2 results where higher margins and store expansion offset a decline in same-store sales. Margin gains and expansion plans support future revenue growth despite same-store sales weakness.

2 Sep

4 transcript

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc posted Q2 2026 results with EPS surging 43 percent, driven by strong sales growth and margin expansion that exceeded analyst expectations. 43 percent EPS jump reflects major outperformance that typically shifts investor sentiment and near-term stock trajectory.

4

Ollie's Bargain Outlet lowered its full-year sales outlook after second-quarter revenue missed analyst expectations. Revenue shortfall combined with reduced sales guidance signals weaker near-term growth and pressures stock performance.

4

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings reported second quarter fiscal 2026 results. Quarterly earnings release directly shapes near-term stock valuation and guidance outlook.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) Q2 earnings call covered financial results, revenue trends, store expansions, and forward guidance. Q2 results and guidance can moderately shift near-term stock sentiment and valuation.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet beat earnings expectations but trimmed its sales forecast. Earnings beat offers short-term positive signal while trimmed sales forecast points to potential headwinds for growth.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings reported strong second quarter results. Questions remain on whether the stock discount is excessive relative to performance. Strong quarterly results signal improved operations that may lift near-term investor sentiment and valuation.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) reported Q2 earnings with key metrics compared against Wall Street estimates. Q2 earnings metric comparisons to estimates affect assessment of financial performance and near-term stock movement.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlets Holdings will allocate $15 million to reduce prices across its stores. Price reduction investment may lift near-term sales but carries limited scope to reshape long-term earnings trajectory.

3 transcript

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. discussed its Q2 2026 financial performance and outlook in the earnings call. Q2 earnings details provide moderate insight into company performance and market expectations.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings reported Q2 earnings that topped analyst estimates. Q2 earnings beat signals stronger than expected financial performance likely to influence near-term market sentiment.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings reported Q2 CY2026 sales below analyst estimates, yet its stock rose 5.4%. Sales miss points to operational weakness offset by positive market reaction that may limit broader trajectory shifts.

1 Sep

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) is scheduled to report its Q2 earnings, with investors directed to key metrics and expectations ahead of the release. Preview of upcoming earnings can moderately shift short-term market sentiment and valuation ahead of results.

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) is scheduled to report earnings tomorrow. Earnings release may moderately affect near-term stock price and sentiment.

26 Aug

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings earnings are projected to grow, prompting questions on whether investors should buy the stock. Projected earnings growth may moderately affect investor sentiment and short-term stock performance.

25 Aug

3

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings plans to lower 2026 comparable sales guidance because tariff refunds reduce profitability gains, according to RBC. Lowered 2026 guidance points to tempered sales growth expectations from tariff effects on margins.

stockrow.com/OLLI · Data as of Jul 31, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com