| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2025 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2024 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2018 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 36.05 | 28.27 | 46.25 | 29.98 |
| Receivables | 234.77 | 277.33 | 252.79 | 308.61 |
| Inventory | 1,454.82 | 1,508.99 | 1,555.47 | 1,617.03 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 1,794.01 | 1,878.96 | 1,990.09 | 2,170.70 |
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 1,183.28 | 1,253.51 | 1,307.41 | 1,427.91 |
| ST’ Debt | 472.63 | 175.00 | 120.00 | 230.00 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 2,468.05 | 2,534.08 | 2,670.23 | 2,972.55 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Apr | Jul | Oct | Jan | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 5,661.50 | 6,226.58 | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 5,153.48 | 5,380.24 | 5,348.16 | 5,575.38 |
21,457.27
|
| ’25 | 4,918.52 | 5,205.40 | 5,099.36 | 5,278.52 |
20,501.80
|
| ’24 | 4,723.14 | 4,963.54 | 4,924.72 | 5,357.29 |
19,968.69
|
| ’23 | 4,496.44 | 5,103.82 | 4,785.32 | 4,929.59 |
19,315.16
|
| ’22 | 3,868.22 | 4,177.16 | 4,264.09 | 4,357.84 |
16,667.30
|
| ’21 | 3,797.61 | 3,954.13 | 3,731.67 | 3,946.61 |
15,430.02
|
| Apr | Jul | Oct | Jan | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 139.96 | 401.48 | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 208.09 | 249.86 | 181.14 | 390.96 |
1,030.06
|
| ’25 | 200.85 | 221.35 | 206.76 | 271.92 |
900.87
|
| ’24 | 119.13 | 150.37 | 175.03 | 274.35 |
718.88
|
| ’23 | 44.31 | 398.74 | 169.81 | 175.31 |
788.17
|
| ’22 | 248.97 | 310.35 | 173.86 | 98.48 |
831.66
|
| ’21 | 469.90 | 263.79 | 68.28 | 66.57 |
868.55
|
| Apr | Jul | Oct | Jan | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (42.05) | 224.15 | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 67.60 | 84.30 | (13.74) | 189.86 |
328.01
|
| ’25 | 95.11 | 87.47 | 18.82 | 111.49 |
312.89
|
| ’24 | 27.05 | 28.21 | 41.32 | 155.23 |
251.81
|
| ’23 | (46.22) | 297.74 | 67.03 | 71.81 |
390.36
|
| ’22 | 174.28 | 237.23 | 99.17 | (2.61) |
508.06
|
| ’21 | 434.69 | 216.04 | (1.56) | 1.04 |
650.21
|
| Apr | Jul | Oct | Jan | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.10 | 1.36 | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.15 | 0.96 |
4.38
|
| ’25 | 0.83 | 1.08 | 1.17 | 0.92 |
4.00
|
| ’24 | 0.85 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 1.08 |
3.88
|
| ’23 | 0.82 | 1.03 | 0.95 | 0.95 |
3.76
|
| ’22 | 0.59 | 0.80 | 0.92 | 0.78 |
3.09
|
| ’21 | 0.69 | 0.76 | 0.88 | 0.69 |
3.03
|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 51.45 | 60.33 | 64.06 | 86.68 | 83.21 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 80.41 | 78.88 | 100.74 | 121.10 | 105.78 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 34,000 | 34,000 | 34,000 | 33,000 | 35,000 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.61 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16,667.30 | 19,315.16 | 19,968.69 | 20,501.80 | 21,457.27 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.47% | 17.77% | 18.24% | 18.36% | 18.64% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 557.88 | 690.52 | 735.89 | 720.85 | 774.21 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.35% | 3.58% | 3.69% | 3.52% | 3.61% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 426.65 | 513.18 | 523.74 | 534.42 | 578.38 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 183.94 | 203.70 | 228.94 | 263.17 | 289.69 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 123.11 | 144.12 | 150.09 | 155.14 | 163.56 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 3.15 | 3.83 | 3.94 | 4.04 | 4.41 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.14 | 5.88 | 5.40 | 6.82 | 7.85 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.39) | (2.97) | (3.51) | (4.45) | (5.35) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.75 | 2.91 | 1.89 | 2.37 | 2.50 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.79 | 7.81 | 10.96 | 13.98 | 16.75 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 135.39 | 134.02 | 133.05 | 132.15 | 131.19 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.51 | 18.92 | 16.33 | 24.52 | 20.93 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.43 | 0.64 | 0.56 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.84 | 9.28 | 5.87 | 7.09 | 5.51 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.47 | 0.67 | 0.59 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.04 | 26.98 | 37.31 | 43.58 | 38.36 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 831.66 | 788.17 | 718.88 | 900.87 | 1,030.06 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (323.59) | (397.80) | (467.07) | (587.98) | (702.05) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 508.06 | 390.36 | 251.81 | 312.89 | 328.01 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (485.42) | (842.10) | (674.04) | (655.12) | (680.14) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 889.57 | 852.88 | 871.06 | 573.81 | 519.10 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 844.13 | 818.97 | 835.01 | 545.54 | 472.85 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 648.11 | 1,046.84 | 1,458.85 | 1,847.45 | 2,197.66 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.70% | 8.54% | 8.04% | 7.78% | 7.94% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 25.86% | 24.72% | 21.81% | 20.17% | 19.11% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 88.20% | 60.55% | 41.80% | 32.33% | 28.60% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
BJ’s Wholesale Club (BJ) has evolved into a resilient warehouse club contender, delivering 7% revenue CAGR from $12.4B in 2017 to $20B in 2024, with projections to $24.3B by 2028, fueled by membership fees, operational leverage (revenue per employee up 29% to $621K), and gross margins expanding to 18.4%. Earnings have surged dramatically—EBT up 3,028% to $736M, EPS from $0.34 to a forecasted $5.02—driving 400%+ stock gains since 2018 lows, while mirroring Costco’s recession-proof model accelerated by COVID demand.
Balance sheet strength shines with 72% debt reduction to $766M, flipping equity positive and ROE to 25-32%, supporting attractive EV/Sales at 0.47x. Yet, FCF per share has plunged 63% from 2021 peaks due to capex doubling to $588M for expansions, and heavy insider selling ($65M+ net sells in 2025, led by CEO) signals caution amid modest analyst targets (3% mean upside).
Fundamentals point to mid-single-digit growth in a defensive sector, with 20%+ long-term potential if capex moderates and margins hold, but FCF cycles and competitive pressures warrant dollar-cost averaging—explore the full analysis for historical parallels and projections.
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