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Target Price Range
Recommendation Rating
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.78 | 10.88 | 7.14 | 7.67 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 33.57 | 21.53 | 15.44 | 12.84 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,884 | 2,583 | 1,990 | 1,778 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.21 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 449.51 | 464.05 | 356.33 | 373.26 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 166.67 | 170.32 | 118.86 | 122.47 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 37.08% | 36.70% | 33.36% | 32.81% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 140.87 | 140.99 | 66.72 | 79.68 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.61 | 22.27 | 21.47 | 22.44 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.58 | 0.67 | 5.08 | 5.35 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 2.07 | 0.20 | 0.93 | 1.15 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.34 | 0.27 | 0.76 | 2.00 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.13) | (0.03) | (0.16) | (0.27) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.21 | 0.24 | 0.60 | 1.73 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 20.16 | 2.11 | 19.55 | 20.47 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 68.33 | 694.74 | 70.17 | 69.76 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.30 | 6.50 | 12.46 | 8.96 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.39 | 19.87 | 2.31 | 1.88 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.78 | 6.28 | 0.60 | 0.49 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.28 | 18.51 | 0.84 | 0.43 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.56) | 6.52 | 0.52 | 0.93 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 91.76 | 185.68 | 53.07 | 139.65 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (9.09) | (22.24) | (11.26) | (19.18) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 82.67 | 163.44 | 41.81 | 120.47 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 639.71 | 736.05 | 691.22 | 705.46 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 188.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (499.68) | (806.49) | (699.47) | (719.23) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,377.44 | 1,468.69 | 1,371.74 | 1,427.54 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.28% | 8.13% | 3.83% | 4.85% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.24% | 14.60% | 8.07% | 9.80% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.67% | 9.99% | 4.59% | 5.71% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Analyst Commentary (Summary)
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) Latest News
21 Sep
Noah Holdings Limited held its 2026 Global Investor Summit in Hong Kong to outline AI-enabled use of its global investment network for global Chinese families. The event showcased Olive Asset Management and three coordinated platforms—ARK Wealth Management, Olive Asset Management, and Glory Family Heritage—designed to turn long-term client needs into investments, allocations, and succession planning. Noah argues AI expands research, sharpens judgment, and delivers a long-term wealth management system clients can rely on. Attendees included investment professionals from Global Infrastructure Partners (BlackRock), Macquarie Asset Management, Bridgepoint, HarbourVest, and Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Asset Management. Olive CEO Peng Jing spoke of institutional intelligence that codifies practice into standards while testing models against outcomes. Breakout sessions covered tech trends, private/public markets, and family governance. Noah aims to connect global resources, research, and client service across its nine-country footprint. AI-enabled platform integration and institutional intelligence could materially boost Noah's competitive edge and long-term asset flow.
27 Aug
Noah (NOAH) boosted operating income 34% despite falling revenue via cost cuts, raising doubts if reductions can sustain results. Cost cuts drove 34% operating income growth amid revenue decline, likely exerting moderate influence on financial outlook and investor views.
26 Aug
Noah Holdings reported Q2 2026 results with operating margin rising to 34.8%. Institutional productivity model validated as AI-powered platform combined with licensed professionals and ecosystem partners architecture becomes replicable. Q2 margin growth plus validated replicable AI architecture signals major positive shift in Noah Holdings trajectory.
Noah Holdings Ltd reports record margins for Q2 2026 earnings call, driven by AI initiatives that boost operational efficiency and growth. Record margins combined with AI-driven advances signal major strategic gains that can reshape competitive positioning and investor outlook.
25 Aug
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) Q2 earnings call covered financial results, operational updates and management outlook. Q2 earnings call directly discloses financial performance and guidance that typically moves stock price and investor views.
Noah Holdings Limited announced unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2026. Quarterly earnings releases drive major shifts in valuation and investor outlook.
Noah Holdings Limited announced unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2026. Quarterly financial results typically drive immediate stock price movements and shift investor outlook.
6 Jul
Noah Holdings releases its H2 2026 CIO Report on AI value realization and global asset repricing. Company CIO report on AI signals strategic positioning that may moderately affect investor sentiment and operations.
28 May
Noah Holdings Ltd. reported Q1 2026 earnings, noting continued transformation momentum from scalable AI breakthroughs and long-term growth engines. Q1 2026 earnings highlight AI breakthroughs and growth engines that signal major strategic progress likely to reshape Noah's trajectory.
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) reported Q1 2026 earnings, noting ongoing transformation momentum fueled by scalable AI breakthroughs and long-term growth engines. Earnings report highlights AI breakthroughs signaling major strategic advances likely to alter company trajectory.
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) released its Q1 2026 earnings call transcript covering financial results and business outlook. Q1 2026 earnings call provides detailed financial metrics and guidance that directly shape investor views and stock trajectory.
Noah Holdings Ltd reported strong Q1 2026 profitability despite revenue pressures during its earnings call. Positive profitability results in the quarterly earnings call can moderately lift near-term investor sentiment and share price.
27 May
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) Q1 earnings call highlighted revenue, net income, and management outlook on core wealth management operations. Q1 earnings metrics directly inform near-term financial performance expectations and trading activity for NOAH.
Noah Holdings Limited released unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2026. Quarterly results releases typically move stock prices and investor views in the near term.
Noah Holdings Limited announced unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2026. Quarterly results release can shift near-term stock price and sentiment.
14 May
Minhang District Commission of Commerce led an entrepreneur delegation to Noah Hong Kong, positioning it as a strategic gateway for Chinese enterprises expanding globally. Government-backed delegation visit boosts Noah's role in cross-border wealth management and signals new client opportunities.
29 Apr
Noah Holdings Ltd. Chairlady releases letter to shareholders reviewing Fiscal Year 2025 performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook. Chairlady's shareholder letter outlines FY2025 strategies and performance, signaling major shifts in operations and investor expectations.
27 Mar
Noah Holdings Ltd. and Olive co-host the 2026 AI Outlook event, redefining global asset allocation strategies for global Chinese investors in the AI era. Co-hosting an AI investment outlook event strengthens Noah's positioning in high-growth AI strategies for Chinese investors, moderately impacting competitive appeal and sentiment.
Noah Holdings Ltd. and Olive co-host the 2026 AI Outlook event, redefining global asset allocation strategies for global Chinese investors navigating the AI era. Co-hosting an AI-focused outlook event positions Noah strategically in high-growth AI investments for Chinese clients, moderately boosting competitive positioning and market sentiment.
25 Mar
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) reported Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings, showcasing structural transformation that drove significant profitability improvements through AI integration enhancing operational efficiency. Earnings report highlights major profitability gains from structural changes and AI efficiencies, poised to significantly enhance market performance and investor sentiment.
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) reported Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings, with structural transformation driving significant profitability improvements through AI integration enhancing operational efficiency. Earnings highlight major profitability gains from structural transformation and AI efficiency, likely boosting future performance and investor sentiment.
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) reported strong profit growth in Q4 2025 earnings call highlights amid strategic initiatives. Strong Q4 2025 profit growth and strategic moves signal significant positive trajectory for future performance and investor sentiment.
24 Mar
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) posted Q4 results with revenue of $316.5 million, up 15% year-over-year, net income of $41.1 million, or $0.82 per ADS, beating estimates amid strong wealth management growth. Q4 earnings beat drives significant positive investor sentiment and stock trajectory shift.
Noah Holdings Limited announced unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter 2025 and full year 2025. Quarterly and annual financial results directly influence investor sentiment, stock valuation, and future performance expectations.
Noah Holdings Limited announced unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter 2025 and full year 2025. Quarterly and annual financial results announcements typically drive significant stock price movements and shape investor expectations for future performance.
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) Q4 earnings call highlights key financial results, strategic updates, and forward guidance. Q4 earnings call highlights detail financial performance and outlook with moderately noticeable effects on future trajectory.
19 Mar
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) investment story shifts as analysts reassess fair value upward while highlighting elevated risks from market volatility, regulatory pressures, and competitive dynamics in wealth management. Reassessment of fair value and risks directly impacts investor sentiment and NOAH's valuation trajectory.
20 Jan
Noah Holdings Ltd. released its H1 2026 CIO Report, highlighting the growing importance of AI infrastructure as a key long-term asset for wealth allocation. The report emphasizes the need for investors to adapt to technological advancements and integrate AI-driven solutions into their portfolios to enhance performance and competitiveness in the evolving market landscape. The emphasis on AI infrastructure as a critical asset indicates a significant shift in investment strategies that could alter Noah Holdings' market positioning and investor sentiment.
Noah Holdings Ltd. released its H1 2026 CIO Report, highlighting the growing importance of AI infrastructure as a vital long-term asset for wealth allocation. The report emphasizes the need for investors to adapt to technological advancements and integrate AI into their investment strategies to enhance portfolio performance and resilience in a rapidly changing market landscape. The emphasis on AI infrastructure as a critical asset indicates a significant shift in investment strategies that could alter Noah Holdings' competitive positioning and market performance.
14 Dec
Noah Holdings Ltd. insiders hold a significant 38% ownership stake in the company, indicating their strong commitment and vested interest in its future performance. This level of insider ownership can influence investor confidence and market perception, as it suggests that those with the most knowledge about the company are aligned with its success. The article highlights the implications of this ownership structure for the company's strategic direction and potential growth. High insider ownership typically signals confidence in the company's future, which can significantly impact investor sentiment and market performance.
Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH), a premier Chinese wealth manager for high-net-worth clients, has endured a decade of boom-to-bust cycles, with revenues peaking at $674 million in 2021 before plunging 47% to $356 million in 2024 amid regulatory crackdowns, the Evergrande crisis, and COVID disruptions. Despite this, the firm boasts resilient 100% gross margins, robust EBT margins above 33%, and a cash-rich balance sheet with negative net debt, generating positive free cash flow. Trading at depressed multiples—P/E 12.5x, EV/Sales 0.84x, PB 0.6x—the stock has cratered 78% from highs, far outpacing revenue declines and implying massive undervaluation versus historical norms.
Operational efficiency shines through, with revenue per employee steady at $179,000 despite a 42% headcount cut, and ROIC holding positive at 8.1%. Analyst targets scream opportunity: low at 490% upside, mean 770%, high 860% from recent lows, fueled by projections of explosive 612% revenue growth to $2.54 billion in 2025, net income surging 880% to $653 million, and EPS hitting $10.02.
This disconnect between battered sentiment and coiled fundamentals positions NOAH as a high-conviction recovery play, with multi-bagger potential if China’s wealth transfer and fee-based pivots materialize—though property risks and geopolitics loom. Dive into the full analysis for historical trends, projections, and valuation models.