| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | 2 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 2.94 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 2.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 2.60 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2.60 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 3.52 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 3.52 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 3.64 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 4.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 4.80 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 4.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 4.80 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 1,412.15 | 1,488.03 | 2,072.23 | 2,945.13 |
| Receivables | — | — | — | — |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 7,698.16 | 8,305.41 | 8,020.70 | 11,177.38 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 3,249.39 | 308.28 | 2,059.39 | 331.59 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 65,738.87 | 66,265.52 | 84,305.80 | 87,648.23 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1,613.80 | 2,216.87 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1,283.77 | 1,256.52 | 2,142.33 | 2,385.53 |
7,068.15
|
| ’24 | 1,603.74 | 1,171.76 | 1,336.08 | 1,679.05 |
5,790.62
|
| ’23 | 11.32 | 1,171.84 | 530.04 | 693.30 |
2,406.50
|
| ’22 | 2,171.13 | 1,093.25 | 160.13 | (180.05) |
3,244.46
|
| ’21 | 1,874.69 | (175.14) | 609.09 | 527.58 |
2,836.21
|
| ’20 | (3,085.79) | 1,109.09 | 1,184.98 | 994.83 |
203.11
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (1,401.44) | 1,619.45 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (156.27) | 180.74 | 24.09 | 644.34 |
692.91
|
| ’24 | 1,697.89 | 477.07 | (1,672.78) | 2,808.48 |
3,310.66
|
| ’23 | (1,018.97) | 1,136.64 | 1,871.01 | 378.52 |
2,367.20
|
| ’22 | 2,029.15 | 687.70 | 2,453.98 | 201.58 |
5,372.41
|
| ’21 | 1,064.55 | 506.49 | 644.24 | 861.56 |
3,076.84
|
| ’20 | (2,023.26) | 682.97 | 1,000.47 | 867.79 |
527.97
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (1,902.31) | 1,563.20 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (541.54) | 141.92 | 417.82 | (206.25) |
(188.05)
|
| ’24 | 1,182.13 | 478.14 | (1,607.58) | 1,945.36 |
2,513.81
|
| ’23 | (1,054.80) | 923.29 | 1,871.01 | (18.28) |
1,970.40
|
| ’22 | 2,029.15 | 1,836.66 | 2,453.98 | (798.68) |
4,372.15
|
| ’21 | 1,068.82 | 560.40 | 644.24 | 878.63 |
3,147.82
|
| ’20 | (2,023.26) | 1,193.38 | 1,000.47 | 1,017.39 |
677.57
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.33 | 1.06 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
2.92
|
| ’24 | 0.85 | (0.09) | 0.05 | 0.78 |
1.62
|
| ’23 | (1.79) | 0.27 | (1.21) | (0.88) |
(3.61)
|
| ’22 | 5.44 | 2.20 | (0.70) | (1.96) |
3.92
|
| ’21 | 4.92 | (0.92) | 1.36 | 1.08 |
6.40
|
| ’20 | (10.28) | 2.32 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
(2.92)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.11 | 14.52 | 17.67 | 16.60 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 32.72 | 24.43 | 21.11 | 23.38 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 161 | 187 | 191 | 212 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 20.15 | 12.87 | 30.32 | 33.34 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,244.46 | 2,406.50 | 5,790.62 | 7,068.15 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 59.63% | (59.69%) | 20.70% | 31.75% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,771.99 | (1,599.02) | 1,027.03 | 2,044.82 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 54.62% | (66.45%) | 17.74% | 28.93% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,726.42 | (1,638.46) | 1,011.77 | 2,051.69 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 102.93 | 224.36 | 146.98 | 245.43 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.89 | 4.87 | 11.10 | 11.05 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 3.93 | (3.61) | 1.62 | 2.92 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.06 | 4.79 | 6.35 | 1.08 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.43) | (0.80) | (1.53) | (1.38) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.63 | 3.98 | 4.82 | (0.29) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 27.64 | 22.94 | 24.34 | 25.27 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 411.35 | 494.54 | 521.74 | 639.51 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.27 | 0.00 | 11.51 | 8.01 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.72 | 3.96 | 1.65 | 2.02 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.90 | 0.97 | 0.86 | 1.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.96 | 35.96 | 12.99 | 11.22 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.62) | 111.07 | 36.58 | (610.72) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5,372.41 | 2,367.20 | 3,310.66 | 692.91 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,000.26) | (396.81) | (796.85) | (880.96) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,372.15 | 1,970.40 | 2,513.81 | (188.05) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (56,396.79) | (58,040.71) | (57,960.11) | (76,285.10) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 67,261.16 | 13,733.09 | 2,470.63 | — | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 65,684.45 | 12,320.94 | 982.60 | (2,072.23) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11,369.43 | 11,345.09 | 12,696.95 | 16,159.91 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.04% | (2.04%) | 0.86% | 1.56% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.44% | (4.22%) | 4.69% | 9.07% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.03% | (18.17%) | 8.08% | 14.65% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Annaly Capital Management (NLY), a leading mREIT, has endured a decade of interest rate volatility, macroeconomic shocks, and leverage risks reminiscent of past crises, yet demonstrated remarkable resilience with a dramatic 2024 turnaround: revenue surged 141% to $5.79 billion, net income flipped to $1.01 billion from 2023 losses, and the balance sheet strengthened through aggressive deleveraging, slashing debt by 98% while building a cash surplus. This rebound, fueled by peaking short-term rates and stabilizing yields, has boosted gross margins from negative territory to positive, with analysts forecasting robust growth—2025 revenue at $7.07 billion and net income at $2.49 billion, implying EPS of $3.46 and ROE near 15% through 2027.
However, caution flags abound: shares outstanding have ballooned 115% since 2016, eroding book value per share by 53% to $24.34, while recent insider selling exceeding $5.3 million (including by CEO and CFO) signals limited conviction amid persistent book value pressure. Trading at ~0.9x book value in the middle of its historical range, NLY offers modest 8% upside per analyst targets, with free cash flow supporting its ~13% dividend yield but vulnerable to Fed path shifts or housing slowdowns.
This mid-cycle recovery evokes post-hike rallies like 2016-2017, potentially delivering 10-15% annualized returns if rate cuts widen margins without recession. Yet dilution and macro risks temper the bull case—read the full analysis for detailed trends, projections, and strategic insights.
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