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Target Price Range
Recommendation Rating
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.30 | 6.81 | 8.92 | 7.85 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.66 | 12.25 | 10.85 | 10.93 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 51 | 53 | 53 | 54 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 31.18 | 38.51 | 55.64 | 65.24 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,590.00 | 2,041.00 | 2,949.00 | 3,523.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 60.69% | (12.05%) | 0.61% | 19.16% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,190.00) | 155.00 | 863.00 | 1,670.00 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (74.84%) | 7.59% | 29.26% | 47.40% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,190.00) | 155.00 | 863.00 | 1,670.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.00 | 201.00 | 123.00 | 177.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.96 | 3.30 | 3.76 | 3.45 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | (2.41) | 0.05 | 0.93 | 1.48 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.89 | (0.19) | 0.11 | 0.64 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.89 | (0.19) | 0.11 | 0.64 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.66 | 13.35 | 12.46 | 12.15 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 537.00 | 618.40 | 783.40 | 1,020.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 966.00 | 9.49 | 7.60 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.53 | 2.93 | 2.45 | 3.10 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.89 | 1.05 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 24.99 | 26.98 | 22.52 | 26.84 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 39.23 | (466.70) | 772.09 | 144.78 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,013.00 | (118.00) | 86.00 | 653.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Capex |
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,013.00 | (118.00) | 86.00 | 653.00 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (27,707.00) | (37,609.00) | (42,058.00) | (67,128.00) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 36,456.00 | 50,868.00 | 60,956.00 | 85,348.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 34,122.00 | 49,097.00 | 59,185.00 | 83,606.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7,870.00 | 8,257.00 | 9,762.00 | 12,393.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.16%) | 0.05% | 0.92% | 1.49% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.77%) | 0.17% | 0.78% | 1.09% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (17.22%) | 0.50% | 9.91% | 16.27% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Analyst Commentary (Summary)
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Latest News
21 Sep
AGNC Investment closed at $9.97, +1.01% on the day, underperforming the S&P 500 (+1.49%), while the Dow (+0.71%) and Nasdaq (+2.26%) rose. Over the past month, AGNC slid 9.37, worse than the Finance sector (-2.25%) and the S&P's near-flat move. Ahead of earnings, the company is projected to report Q2EPS of $0.39, up 11.4% year over year, with revenue of $428.4 million, up about 189.5%. For the full year, Zacks Consensus calls for $1.60 per share on $1.47 billion revenue, up 6.7% and 117.7%, respectively. The Zacks Rank remains #3 (Hold). Forward P/E is 6.19 vs. industry 7.54, and the REIT/Energy group sits in the bottom 9% of industries. Revisions to estimates were flat over the past month; positives are framed as near-term signals. The report promotes Zacks' research and forthcoming earnings news. Upcoming earnings and flat revisions suggest a modest near-term impact on AGNC's outlook.
AGNC Investment Corp. joined the S&P MidCap 400 index in the latest quarterly rebalance, also placing it in the S&P Composite 1500, S&P 900, and S&P 1000. The addition should lift institutional ownership as funds that track these indexes buy AGNC shares, possibly supporting the stock price and easing equity raises. The monthly dividend remains $0.12, keeping a current yield around 14%–15% due to a year-to-date price decline. Management cites ROE of roughly 15%–17%, aligning with the dividend’s economics, but AGNC remains highly sensitive to interest-rate moves and could cut the payout if returns fall out of line with costs. Despite the milestone, dividend safety is not guaranteed. Index inclusion boosts liquidity and potential equity-raising capacity, but dividend remains unchanged and performance still hinges on interest-rate risk.
18 Sep
AGNC Investment Corp. huge mortgage REIT yields hinge on interest rate movements that determine net interest margins and dividend sustainability. Interest rate shifts directly control AGNC net interest margins and long-term yield viability.
17 Sep
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) will join a major mid-cap index. Index inclusion typically draws inflows from passive funds and lifts trading volume.
16 Sep
AGNC Investment Corp. will join the S&P MidCap 400 Index. Index inclusion typically drives higher demand from passive funds and improves liquidity.
31 Aug
AGNC Investment Corp evaluates its dividend distributions, sustainability metrics and yield outlook in light of prevailing interest rates and portfolio performance. Dividend reviews can influence near-term investor sentiment and share-price volatility for a yield-dependent mortgage REIT.
27 Aug
AGNC Investment Corp. stock may be 31% undervalued based on equity returns analysis. Valuation analysis highlighting 31% undervaluation can shift investor sentiment and affect near-term AGNC share price.
AGNC Investment Corp. may be 72% undervalued given its focus on 13% yield. Yield focus and undervaluation assessment could moderately affect AGNC investor sentiment and stock trajectory.
26 Aug
AGNC Investment Corp. sustains a dividend yield above 13 percent, prompting evaluation of whether the payout signals a bargain or conceals risks to sustainability. Yield sustainability questions may moderately sway near-term AGNC investor sentiment and valuation.
12 Aug
AGNC Investment Corp. offers a 13.2% dividend yield whose sustainability is questioned amid potential risks to maintaining payouts. Dividend sustainability analysis for a REIT like AGNC can moderately sway investor sentiment and stock valuation.
11 Aug
Cherry Hill Mortgage agrees to $9B merger at 29% premium, opening door to bigger upside in quarterly update tied to AGNC Investment Corp. Sector merger at premium may moderately influence AGNC positioning without altering core trajectory.
1 Aug
AGNC Investment Corp. shows earnings rebound with dividend appeal, prompting analysis of whether the stock represents a bargain buy amid its financial recovery. Earnings rebound and dividend focus affect AGNC's valuation and investor sentiment without altering core operations or market trajectory.
24 Jul
AGNC Investment Corp. enables investors to double annual income from $45,000 to $90,000 without deploying additional capital. Potential income doubling for AGNC investors may lift near-term sentiment and share demand but leaves core mortgage portfolio dynamics unchanged.
23 Jul
AGNC Investment Corp. offers a 13% yield amid uncertain interest rates, raising questions on whether the stock is a buy. Yield levels and interest rate shifts directly affect AGNC's net interest margins and stock valuation.
22 Jul
AGNC Investment Corp. held Q2 earnings call and outlined agency MBS market outlook along with portfolio positioning. Q2 earnings call and agency MBS outlook directly address AGNC core operations and near-term performance drivers.
21 Jul
AGNC Investment Corp. reported Q2 results with net interest income of $158M, unchanged book value per share at $8.76, leverage at 7.3x, and a $0.12 monthly dividend; management discussed MBS portfolio positioning amid rate volatility and expected stable performance. Q2 earnings update delivers standard financial metrics and outlook that moderately inform near-term investor views without altering long-term strategy.
AGNC Investment Corp. held its Q2 2026 earnings call covering financial results, portfolio performance, and outlook for the mortgage REIT. Earnings call delivers quarterly results and strategy details that typically produce moderate short-term market reaction.
20 Jul
AGNC Investment Corp. announces financial results for the second quarter of 2026. Quarterly earnings updates can shift near-term investor sentiment and stock price but rarely redefine long-term trajectory.
18 Jul
AGNC Investment Corp. stock may be 45% below fair value ahead of earnings. Valuation opinion ahead of earnings can shift short-term investor sentiment and price action.
28 Jun
Fed policy shifts create fresh headwinds for AGNC Investment Corp.'s dividend yield above 13.5%. Fed rate decisions directly pressure AGNC's net interest margins and stock valuation.
18 Jun
Three Fed rate cuts have lowered interest rate volatility and hedging costs for mortgage REITs, stabilizing AGNC Investment Corp. net interest margins and supporting safer dividend payouts on its mortgage-backed securities portfolio. Fed cuts directly improve AGNC margins and dividend coverage by reducing borrowing costs and MBS duration risk.
17 Jun
AGNC Investment Corp reported latest quarterly earnings, prompting assessment of dividend reliability and income potential amid interest rate and portfolio performance factors. Earnings results directly affect near-term perceptions of AGNC dividend sustainability and valuation.
11 Jun
AGNC Investment Corp. shows valuation optimism but faces persistent investor concerns over yields and book value that may shape stock responses. Yield and book value concerns combined with valuation views can moderately influence AGNC investor sentiment and near-term performance.
31 May
AGNC Investment Corp. plans a $2 billion equity raise, with analysis focusing on whether the issuance will deliver accretion to book value or earnings per share. $2b equity issuance creates dilution risk that can alter near-term earnings accretion and investor returns.
29 May
AGNC Investment Corp. continues issuing new shares of stock, a strategy that supports portfolio expansion, sustains dividend payouts and delivers net benefits to shareholders despite dilution. Ongoing equity raises directly shape AGNC's capital base, portfolio size and long-term dividend capacity.
26 May
AGNC Investment Corp employs a defensive strategy to navigate market volatility and support sustainable long-term growth. Defensive strategy evaluation signals moderate effects on AGNC financial performance and positioning.
25 May
AGNC Investment Corp.'s net interest spread serves as a more reliable gauge of ongoing profitability than its advertised 14% dividend yield, which faces sustainability risks from interest rate shifts and portfolio dynamics. Focus on net interest spread directly addresses core profitability metrics that shape AGNC's earnings stability and valuation.
8 May
AGNC Investment Corp. reported strong Q1 coverage of its monthly dividend, raising questions on whether it bolsters the bull case for the stock amid ongoing analysis of its financial stability and yield attractiveness. Strong Q1 dividend coverage enhances AGNC's financial stability and investor appeal, potentially shifting market sentiment and trajectory significantly.
23 Apr
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) reported a first-quarter loss as interest rate volatility weighed heavily on returns. Quarterly loss driven by rate volatility moderately affects financial performance and market sentiment but remains balanced by sector dynamics.
22 Apr
AGNC Investment Corp. posted sharply contrasting results in the first two quarters, fueling concerns over the sustainability of its 13% monthly dividend yield. Mixed quarterly results question dividend stability, moderately impacting AGNC's financial outlook and investor sentiment.
AGNC Investment Corp., a high-yield mortgage REIT darling for income seekers, has ridden a wild rollercoaster of interest rate swings, with revenue and earnings feast-or-famine: surging 44% to $2.95 billion in 2024 after COVID crashes and 2022 rate-hike pain, but forecasts predict an 80% revenue-per-share plunge in 2025 before rebounding. High leverage amplifies returns—ROE could hit 17%—yet book value has eroded 49% since 2016 amid 136% share dilution to 783 million shares, trading at a discounted 0.89x PB that screams value trap or opportunity.
Insider selling raises eyebrows: zero buys, $13.3 million in sales by top execs like the CEO and Chair, signaling caution despite stabilizing spreads post-Fed cuts. Valuations look cheap (PS at 2.45, PE normalizing to 9.5x), with juicy 12-14% dividend yields tempting yield chasers.
Analysts forecast modest 6% upside (highs at 14%), EPS growth to $1.55 in 2026, and potential 20%+ returns if spreads widen amid rate normalization—but leverage bombs and dilution cap the thrill. Is AGNC a patient bull’s income gem or a yield mirage? Dive into the full analysis for the unpack.