| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 2.18 |
—
—
|
| 2025 | 2.12 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 2.04 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 1.96 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 1.88 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 1.81 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 1.77 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 1.73 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 1.69 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 1.65 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 1.61 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 55.45 | 38.22 | 43.17 | 1,235.18 |
| Receivables | 160.60 | 127.22 | 180.80 | 227.91 |
| Inventory | 81.50 | 82.73 | 84.01 | 64.07 |
| Other | 116.88 | 107.75 | 102.75 | 86.71 |
| 414.43 | 355.92 | 410.73 | 1,613.87 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 211.21 | 207.79 | 185.01 | 146.85 |
| ST’ Debt | 297.00 | 500.00 | 300.00 | — |
| Other | 80.78 | 60.38 | 53.12 | 28.75 |
| 806.31 | 1,095.89 | 925.76 | 504.22 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Dec | Mar | Jun | Sep | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 651.51 | 858.37 | 537.50 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 549.48 | 729.95 | 531.83 | 466.28 |
2,277.54
|
| ’24 | 525.36 | 629.94 | 417.44 | 372.07 |
1,944.81
|
| ’23 | 658.86 | 717.26 | 428.70 | 368.95 |
2,173.77
|
| ’22 | 546.56 | 701.72 | 502.62 | 435.14 |
2,186.05
|
| ’21 | 441.16 | 551.12 | 394.40 | 355.99 |
1,742.66
|
| ’20 | 444.19 | 491.10 | 323.02 | 287.99 |
1,546.29
|
| Dec | Mar | Jun | Sep | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 274.92 | 382.36 | 377.26 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 220.09 | 253.78 | 388.41 | 237.75 |
1,100.03
|
| ’24 | 270.94 | 315.32 | 281.75 | 197.95 |
1,065.96
|
| ’23 | 327.34 | 383.87 | 343.90 | 181.96 |
1,237.08
|
| ’22 | 171.48 | 254.14 | 228.40 | 158.51 |
812.52
|
| ’21 | 204.74 | 212.39 | 254.68 | 119.74 |
791.55
|
| ’20 | 167.75 | 223.24 | 232.88 | 116.94 |
740.81
|
| Dec | Mar | Jun | Sep | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (2.71) | 161.72 | 111.01 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (20.34) | 59.95 | 195.35 | (47.75) |
187.21
|
| ’24 | 24.01 | 80.30 | 79.51 | (49.09) |
134.73
|
| ’23 | 93.87 | 120.98 | 112.53 | (100.17) |
227.21
|
| ’22 | (42.01) | 95.74 | 262.24 | (60.83) |
255.13
|
| ’21 | 21.44 | 56.82 | 80.77 | (119.22) |
39.82
|
| ’20 | (30.75) | 26.25 | 77.36 | (48.21) |
24.66
|
| Dec | Mar | Jun | Sep | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.98 | 2.59 | 1.45 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.49 | 2.37 | 1.64 | 1.18 |
5.68
|
| ’24 | 1.44 | 1.80 | (0.59) | (1.84) |
0.84
|
| ’23 | 1.84 | 1.53 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
5.17
|
| ’22 | 1.44 | 1.82 | 1.17 | 1.71 |
6.15
|
| ’21 | 0.85 | 1.23 | 0.94 | 0.95 |
3.97
|
| ’20 | 1.00 | (1.23) | 0.47 | (1.60) |
(1.41)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 58.12 | 48.60 | 45.32 | 60.48 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 75.97 | 63.76 | 65.06 | 94.13 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,132 | 2,240 | 2,311 | 2,322 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.03 | 0.97 | 0.84 | 0.98 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,186.05 | 2,173.77 | 1,944.81 | 2,277.54 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 82.06% | 79.87% | 92.28% | 90.63% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 682.65 | 641.40 | 87.26 | 694.05 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 31.23% | 29.51% | 4.49% | 30.47% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 566.02 | 476.87 | 77.51 | 518.50 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 369.79 | 409.57 | 457.03 | 456.59 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 23.91 | 23.69 | 21.19 | 25.17 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 6.19 | 5.20 | 0.84 | 5.73 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.89 | 13.48 | 11.61 | 12.15 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (6.10) | (11.01) | (10.15) | (10.09) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.79 | 2.48 | 1.47 | 2.07 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.75 | 32.30 | 31.03 | 34.19 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 91.41 | 91.75 | 91.79 | 90.50 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.94 | 9.73 | 73.02 | 16.09 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.57 | 2.13 | 2.86 | 3.67 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.71 | 1.56 | 1.95 | 2.70 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.71 | 3.34 | 4.22 | 4.83 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 31.83 | 31.94 | 60.96 | 58.75 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 812.52 | 1,237.08 | 1,065.96 | 1,100.03 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (557.39) | (1,009.87) | (931.24) | (912.82) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 255.13 | 227.21 | 134.73 | 187.21 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,181.44) | (391.88) | (739.97) | (515.04) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,632.41 | 2,681.49 | 2,688.24 | 2,682.86 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,494.69 | 2,626.04 | 2,650.02 | 2,639.70 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,079.90 | 2,963.38 | 2,848.34 | 3,094.60 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.37% | 5.90% | 0.93% | 6.09% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.13% | 8.44% | 2.38% | 8.87% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29.28% | 18.91% | 2.67% | 17.45% | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
National Fuel Gas Company (NFG), a diversified natural gas leader in the Appalachian Basin and Western New York, has weathered a decade of commodity volatility, from 2016 impairments and 2020 COVID lows to 2022’s energy crisis highs. Revenue surged from $1.45 billion in 2016 to a $2.19 billion peak in 2022 (7% CAGR), dipped to $1.94 billion in 2024 amid softer prices, but analysts forecast a sharp rebound—$2.28 billion in 2025 (17% growth), climbing to $3.24 billion in 2027—driven by Marcellus Shale production ramps and LNG export potential.
Operational efficiency stands out, with revenue per share up 47% to $25.17, gross margins rebounding to 92% in 2024, and steady productivity at $700K-$1M per employee despite aggressive $900M+ annual capex. Profitability swings are stark—net income from losses to $566 million peaks—but EPS projections soar to $5.73 in 2025 (582% jump) and $8.23 by 2027, backed by 17% ROE, positive free cash flow, and a fortress balance sheet (equity up 96%, net debt/equity <1x).
Valuation looks compelling at 11x forward PE, 5-6% dividend yield, and analyst targets implying 9-16% upside, positioning NFG as a growth-yield hybrid less burdened by utility regulation. Tailwinds like AI/data center demand and export ramps could drive 10-15% returns, though risks from price cycles and oversupply linger—meriting accumulation for patient investors eyeing outperformance.
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