Sunday 1 November 2026
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Ecopetrol S.A.
EC Energy Oil & Gas Integrated
Ecopetrol S.A.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $23.9 billion, down 83.7% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +103.2%
- EPS
- +22.6%
- Free cash flow
- +62.3%
- Total debt
- +30.9%
Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier
17.19
0.09
−0.52%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Jun ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 63,031 | 83,931 | 109,766 | 100,084 | 65,290 | 119,446 | 175,572 | 171,828 | 146,664 | 23,939 | 32,379 | (10.2%) | 143,851,778 | 131,763,696 | 129,372,012 | +1,654.9% | |
| Gross margin, % | 29.36 | 34.04 | 39.97 | 37.09 | 25.20 | 39.51 | 43.95 | 38.42 | 35.14 | 31.44 | 36.64 | +2.1 pt | ||||||
| EBT | 10,128 | 20,654 | 32,982 | 27,613 | 6,209 | 34,354 | 59,580 | 44,279 | 33,778 | 3,772 | 6,998 | (10.4%) | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 16.07 | 24.61 | 30.05 | 27.59 | 9.51 | 28.76 | 33.93 | 25.77 | 23.03 | 15.76 | 21.61 | (0.3) pt | ||||||
| Net income | 4,222 | 11,954 | 19,769 | 21,007 | 3,559 | 22,920 | 38,719 | 30,460 | 20,349 | 2,889 | 4,587 | (4.1%) | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 30.66 | 40.83 | 53.39 | 48.68 | 31.76 | 58.10 | 85.40 | 83.58 | 71.34 | 11.64 | 0.00 | (10.2%) | |||||
| Earnings | 0.39 | 1.18 | 9.62 | 10.22 | 0.21 | 2.03 | 3.61 | 2.37 | 1.66 | 1.26 | 1.26 | +13.9% | ||||||
| Cash flow | 9.00 | 12.38 | 17.49 | 18.87 | 5.81 | 14.25 | 19.39 | 11.56 | 24.15 | 3.24 | 0.00 | (10.7%) | ||||||
| Capex | (3.62) | (4.16) | (6.51) | (9.41) | (7.01) | (8.41) | (11.51) | (13.64) | (11.48) | (1.10) | 0.00 | (12.4%) | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 5.38 | 8.23 | 10.97 | 9.46 | (1.21) | 5.84 | 7.88 | (2.08) | 12.67 | 2.15 | 0.00 | (9.7%) | ||||||
| Book value | 27.55 | 35.18 | 44.45 | 39.66 | 33.83 | 57.28 | 60.95 | 58.52 | 56.67 | 10.38 | 0.00 | (10.3%) | ||||||
| Shares, m | 2,056 | 2,056 | 2,056 | 2,056 | 2,056 | 2,056 | 2,056 | 2,056 | 2,056 | 2,056 | 2,060 | 0.0% | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 0.00 | 27.00 | 9.45 | 9.69 | 61.48 | 6.38 | 2.56 | 5.03 | 4.77 | 7.95 | 13.64 | 13.4 | |||||
| P/S | 1.12 | 2.17 | 1.54 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.86 | 1.09 | 0.7 | ||||||
| P/B | 1.42 | 2.35 | 2.42 | 0.50 | 0.38 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 0.96 | 1.66 | 0.9 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 1.88 | 2.87 | 1.89 | 0.82 | 1.19 | 1.08 | 0.73 | 0.78 | 0.90 | 1.67 | 1.96 | 1.4 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 211.43 | 12.09 | 7.31 | 4.24 | (31.40) | 10.74 | 7.95 | (24.78) | 5.06 | 9.05 | 12.78 | 21.2 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 18,503 | 25,460 | 35,951 | 38,796 | 11,943 | 29,297 | 39,858 | 23,761 | 49,640 | 6,668 | 7,677 | (10.7%) | |||||
| Capex | (7,446) | (8,547) | (13,388) | (19,354) | (14,421) | (17,283) | (23,655) | (28,034) | (23,598) | (2,254) | (2,711) | (12.4%) | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 11,057 | 16,913 | 22,562 | 19,442 | (2,478) | 12,013 | 16,203 | (4,274) | 26,042 | 4,414 | 4,966 | (9.7%) | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 10,064 | 9,566 | 14,730 | 2,271 | 5,918 | 27,881 | 22,544 | 30,061 | 23,127 | 3,786 | 6,049 | (10.3%) | |||||
| Net debt | 49,978 | 48,951 | 42,288 | 41,355 | 51,291 | 102,549 | 108,429 | 109,942 | 115,565 | 19,334 | 28,118 | (10.0%) | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 56,629 | 72,324 | 91,372 | 81,524 | 69,549 | 117,759 | 125,293 | 120,303 | 116,505 | 21,348 | 32,880 | (10.3%) | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 3.09 | 6.46 | 9.68 | 9.95 | 1.13 | 8.23 | 10.73 | 7.55 | 4.58 | 1.09 | 5.27 | (2.0) pt | |||||
| ROIC | 6.79 | 12.50 | 16.80 | 14.97 | 4.83 | 10.95 | 17.72 | 13.60 | 11.39 | 8.20 | 9.16 | +1.4 pt | ||||||
| ROE | 8.62 | 16.70 | 22.25 | 22.26 | 2.73 | 21.72 | 28.61 | 20.58 | 12.86 | 3.04 | 0.00 | (5.6) pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 10,920 | 11,682 | 12,228 | 15,157 | 13,977 | 18,378 | 18,903 | 19,657 | 19,581 | 19,581 | — | +6.7% | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 5.77 | 7.18 | 8.98 | 6.60 | 4.67 | 6.50 | 9.29 | 8.74 | 7.49 | 1.22 | — | (15.8%) | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026 · fundamentals updated 26 Oct 2026
Ecopetrol S.A. vs peers in Oil & Gas Integrated (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BP BP p.l.c. | $129.7B | 24.0× | 7.7× | +47.06% (above 0%: growing) | +140.32% (above 0%: growing) | +144.15% (above 0%: growing) | 27.64% | 12.75% | Compare |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | $113.8B | 13.3× | 8.3× | +39.90% (above 0%: growing) | +298.00% (above 0%: growing) | +1,548.80% (above 0%: growing) | 54.71% | 36.94% | Compare |
| E Eni SpA | $87.7B | 14.9× | 8.8× | +21.42% (above 0%: growing) | +616.67% (above 0%: growing) | +43.60% (above 0%: growing) | 21.45% | 5.19% | Compare |
| PBR Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras | $81.5B | 5.6× | — | +59.75% (above 0%: growing) | +118.92% (above 0%: growing) | +149.36% (above 0%: growing) | 58.00% | 42.41% | Compare |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc | $58.4B | 12.6× | 7.9× | +41.33% (above 0%: growing) | +226.47% (above 0%: growing) | +18,996.54% (above 0%: growing) | 42.35% | 23.60% | Compare |
| PBR.A Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras | $52.9B | 4.9× | — | +59.75% (above 0%: growing) | +118.92% (above 0%: growing) | +149.36% (above 0%: growing) | 58.00% | 42.41% | Compare |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | $35.5B | 13.6× | 5.7× | +103.23% (above 0%: growing) | +22.58% (above 0%: growing) | +62.31% (above 0%: growing) | 40.10% | 31.80% | |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anonima | $18.8B | 24.7× | — | +41.65% (above 0%: growing) | +2,546.55% (above 0%: growing) | +922.15% (above 0%: growing) | 45.10% | 27.58% | Compare |
| NFG National Fuel Gas Company | $7.5B | 10.9× | 11.0× | +1.07% (above 0%: growing) | −12.05% (below 0%: shrinking) | −43.17% (below 0%: shrinking) | 94.44% | 38.87% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $69.9B | 12.9× | 8.3× | +41.49% | +183.40% | +149.36% | 49.91% | 32.26% |