Pricing Log in Create free account
Friday 6 November 2026 Export NFG’s income statement to Excel — free account

National Fuel Gas Company

NFG Energy Oil & Gas Integrated

National Fuel Gas Company’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $2.3 billion, up 17.1% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+1.07%
EPS
−12.1%
Free cash flow
−43.2%
Total debt
+33.0%

Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier

74.42 0.45 +0.61%
Market cap
$7.0B
P/E
10.2×
Fwd P/E
11.0×
Dividend yield
2.94%
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
1.71
Beneish M
−2.44
Dividend safety
57/100
Overview Business Profile Earnings & Analysis
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios
Segments Valuation Filings

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $74.42 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 16.6% a year for ten years.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 71.4% a year over the last five years. The price asks for less than its five-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for −0.1%.

In September 2017 the price assumed 6.9% a year; National Fuel Gas Company went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay −4.8% a year to FY2025.

Price implies
16.6%
Last 5 years, reported
71.4%
Industry median implies
−0.1%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
16.6% a year for ten years
$74.42
today’s price
Its base case
25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
$105.97
42.4% above today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record National Fuel Gas Company’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to June 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 16.6% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
Free cash flow Revenue and margin
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against National Fuel Gas Company’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 0.37 × equity premium 4.5% = 6.0% cost of equity; weighted, 6.0%.

Use 6.0%
Equity value $9.92b ▲ above market cap $6.97b
Base case value per share $105.97 equity value ÷ 93.65m shares
Current price $74.42 market price per share
Above today’s price 42.4% upside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$3.94b 10 years of cash to equity+$8.32b terminal value−$2.33b net debt=$9.92b equity value÷93.65m shares=$105.97 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Oil & Gas Integrated).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 10.24× 23.81× 19.46× 47% below 8.84× 16% above
P/FCF 31.76× 32.03× 53.11× 40% below 8.19× 288% above
P/B 1.80× 2.14× 2.25× 20% below 1.43× 26% above
EV/EBITDA 6.49× 8.11× 9.23× 30% below 4.43× 46% above
EV/Sales 3.86× 3.99× 4.07× 5% below 1.48× 161% above
P/E P/FCF P/B EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
9.87×28.96×48.04×67.13×10Y avg 19.46×201720182019202120222023202420252026

NFG trades at 10.24× P/E, against a 10-year average of 19.46× (range 9.73×–73.02×). That is cheaper than 75% of the last 8 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $141.33 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.