Diversified Energy Company PLC commits $1.8 billion to expand scale in the Permian Basin. The $1.8 billion Permian expansion marks a major strategic move likely to alter the company's production trajectory and investor sentiment.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 1.16 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 1.16 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 1.75 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2.63 |
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 3.40 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 3.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 2.85 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 2.06 |
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 14.95 | 17.42 | 51.45 | 19.64 |
| Receivables | 190.21 | 234.42 | 408.40 | 407.82 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 99.44 | 52.43 | 190.32 | 124.06 |
| 304.60 | 304.26 | 650.16 | 551.52 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 53.49 | 35.01 | 81.81 | 129.54 |
| ST’ Debt | 200.82 | 209.46 | 236.55 | 107.14 |
| Other | 323.34 | 437.27 | 563.59 | 555.73 |
| 638.44 | 777.11 | 1,075.69 | 969.85 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 27.14 | 811.91 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 62.52 | — | — | — |
1,829.14
|
| ’24 | — | — | — | — |
757.29
|
| ’23 | — | 500.21 | — | 868.26 |
868.26
|
| ’22 | — | 867.70 | — | 1,011.45 |
1,919.35
|
| ’21 | — | 323.35 | — | 678.58 |
990.54
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
436.99
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 168.73 | 88.78 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 84.86 | 179.28 | — | 464.62 |
464.62
|
| ’24 | — | 160.81 | — | 345.66 |
220.65
|
| ’23 | — | 116.15 | — | 410.13 |
410.13
|
| ’22 | — | 160.23 | — | 387.76 |
387.76
|
| ’21 | — | 89.91 | — | 188.77 |
273.71
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
221.53
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 67.94 | (170.86) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 6.84 | 171.50 | — | (197.43) |
(197.43)
|
| ’24 | — | (32.22) | — | 14.75 |
(113.78)
|
| ’23 | — | 116.15 | — | 77.63 |
77.63
|
| ’22 | — | 160.23 | — | 49.20 |
49.20
|
| ’21 | — | 89.91 | — | 188.77 |
273.71
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
221.53
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (2.13) | 3.31 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | — | — | — | — |
4.58
|
| ’24 | — | — | — | — |
(1.84)
|
| ’23 | — | 0.68 | — | 15.95 |
15.95
|
| ’22 | — | (1.02) | — | 0.39 |
(0.72)
|
| ’21 | — | (0.11) | — | (0.28) |
(0.41)
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
(0.04)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡ | 1.24 | 0.78 | 10.54 | 10.08 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | 1.74 | 18.05 | 17.05 | 17.70 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,582 | 1,214 | 1,589 | 1,987 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 1.21 | 0.72 | 0.48 | 0.92 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,919.35 | 868.26 | 757.29 | 1,829.14 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 65.19% | 23.40% | 43.19% | 59.61% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (799.50) | 1,000.34 | (247.94) | 301.35 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (41.65%) | 115.21% | (32.74%) | 16.47% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (620.60) | 759.70 | (103.09) | 341.90 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 222.26 | 224.55 | 292.00 | 412.51 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 45.48 | 18.41 | 15.77 | 25.07 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.72) | 16.07 | (1.84) | 4.67 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.19 | 8.70 | 4.59 | 6.37 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | (8.02) | (7.05) | (6.96) | (9.07) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.17 | 1.65 | (2.37) | (2.71) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (3.26) | 12.69 | 8.58 | 13.64 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 42.20 | 47.17 | 48.03 | 72.97 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.04 | 0.90 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.42 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.35 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 1.28 | 1.84 | 0.85 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.92 | 0.63 | 0.77 | 1.54 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 3.20 | 1.90 | (15.47) | (864.20) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 387.76 | 410.13 | 220.65 | 464.62 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (338.56) | (332.50) | (334.43) | (662.04) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 49.20 | 77.63 | (113.78) | (197.43) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (777.41) | (333.84) | (472.85) | (425.53) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,459.90 | 1,297.19 | 1,704.93 | 2,952.01 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,444.68 | 1,282.24 | 1,687.52 | 2,900.57 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (137.72) | 598.41 | 411.96 | 994.99 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (17.09%) | 20.75% | (2.81%) | 6.74% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 51.67% | 2.49% | (2.82%) | 8.19% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (246.12%) | 329.08% | (20.66%) | 48.49% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC), a nimble U.S. natural gas producer anchored in the Appalachian Basin’s mature, low-decline assets, has ridden a rollercoaster from shale boom highs to the 2022 energy crisis windfalls and back to price normalization pains. Revenues soared 94% to $1.92 billion in 2022 on sky-high gas prices, only to crater 55% in 2023 and dip further in 2024 amid oversupply, yet analysts forecast a sharp rebound to $1.64 billion in 2025 (106% YoY) driven by acquisitions and tighter supply—highlighting DEC’s opportunistic bolt-on strategy amid volatility.
Profitability swings underscore the risks: massive 2022 impairments erased gains despite fat 65% gross margins, flipping to windfall profits in 2023 before 2024 losses, with resilient free cash flow ($0.31/share) now targeting debt reduction from a towering $1.72 billion pile. Shares, after wild 2023 spikes and steady 2024 consolidation, trade at dirt-cheap forward multiples (PE ~4-6x, PS 0.24x), a 60% discount to peaks, though zero insider buys and recent director sales inject caution.
Analysts are bullish, with mean price targets implying 74% upside (high 212%), betting on EPS ramps to $3.41 (2025), FCF explosions funding deleveraging, and ROE stabilization around 30-40%. As DEC pivots from survivor to steady producer, blending acquisition grit with gas price revival, the turnaround narrative tempts patient investors—but debt maturities, methane regs, and weather whims loom large.
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