Friday 6 November 2026
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Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $119.7 billion, up 11.5% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +6.69%
- EPS
- +8.48%
- Free cash flow
- −132.2%
- Total debt
- +19.4%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
184.62
2.18
+1.19%
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Morgan Stanley (MS) valuation and DCF model
At $184.62 the price implies 35.0% a year of dividend growth, at a 9.0% cost of equity.
The dividend a share grew 18.0% a year over the last ten years, 19.7% over the last five. The price asks for about twice its ten-year rate.
The other way round · DCF
- The price needs
- 35.0% a year for ten years
- $184.62
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 18.0% a year for five years, then 10.8%
- $42.36
- 77.1% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Morgan Stanley’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
Base case value per share
$42.36
ten years discounted, and what follows
Current price
$184.62
market price per share
Below today’s price
77.1% downside at the base case’s assumptions
How we got there$15.18 10 years of dividends+$27.18 terminal value=$42.36 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 14.35× | 15.79× | 13.61× | 5% above | 14.35× | 0% above | |
| P/FCF | — | 9.87× | 9.87× | — | 9.28× | — | |
| P/B | 2.63× | 2.14× | 1.70× | 55% above | 1.36× | 93% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 1.71× | 1.71× | — | 3.38× | — | |
| EV/Sales | — | 1.00× | 1.00× | — | 3.90× | — |
EV/EBITDA has no reading today; its 10-year average is 1.71×.