| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2025 | 0.08 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.16 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.10 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.10 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.05 |
—
—
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2018 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 194.52 | 86.65 | 162.08 | 146.35 |
| Receivables | 94.59 | 85.24 | 55.55 | 83.06 |
| Inventory | 7.25 | 10.95 | 7.65 | 3.82 |
| Other | 31.48 | 7.58 | 29.57 | 27.82 |
| 328.83 | 195.01 | 259.90 | 264.26 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 63.58 | 74.01 | 84.31 | 52.61 |
| ST’ Debt | 120.00 | 120.00 | 60.00 | 120.00 |
| Other | 13.32 | 5.70 | 2.59 | 42.40 |
| 287.39 | 284.63 | 230.26 | 305.49 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 215.89 | 272.42 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 272.31 | 216.47 | 188.86 | 185.71 |
863.36
|
| ’24 | 287.76 | 275.27 | 271.58 | 282.57 |
1,117.18
|
| ’23 | 223.79 | 240.76 | 345.59 | 320.99 |
1,131.13
|
| ’22 | 92.23 | 201.43 | 204.11 | 257.92 |
755.69
|
| ’21 | 25.72 | 48.27 | 47.47 | 98.67 |
220.12
|
| ’20 | 4.62 | 0.94 | 7.49 | 11.57 |
24.62
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 54.20 | 126.35 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 157.05 | 141.21 | 120.24 | 93.09 |
511.60
|
| ’24 | 171.44 | 202.33 | 177.10 | 139.52 |
690.39
|
| ’23 | 190.01 | 173.67 | 158.07 | 234.65 |
756.39
|
| ’22 | 49.95 | 98.24 | 154.62 | 201.21 |
504.01
|
| ’21 | 11.37 | 35.91 | 40.46 | 59.28 |
147.02
|
| ’20 | 6.03 | (10.84) | 11.40 | (5.28) |
1.31
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (24.70) | 15.92 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (22.20) | 11.29 | 31.08 | (30.16) |
(9.99)
|
| ’24 | 21.51 | 32.87 | 33.88 | (17.42) |
70.84
|
| ’23 | (194.58) | (128.61) | (5.44) | 59.88 |
(268.74)
|
| ’22 | (121.60) | (384.84) | (176.41) | (124.49) |
(807.33)
|
| ’21 | (33.81) | (11.00) | (72.55) | (23.26) |
(140.61)
|
| ’20 | (45.01) | (12.16) | (7.60) | (52.94) |
(117.71)
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (1.02) | 0.59 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.26 | 0.19 | (0.15) | (0.21) |
0.14
|
| ’24 | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.35 | 0.06 |
0.67
|
| ’23 | 0.39 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.66 |
1.58
|
| ’22 | (0.17) | 0.64 | 0.85 | 0.53 |
1.93
|
| ’21 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.35 |
0.54
|
| ’20 | — | (0.05) | (0.13) | (0.05) |
(1.10)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 14.56 | 10.44 | 12.47 | 4.19 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 38.21 | 30.15 | 17.48 | 15.72 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 47 | 48 | 47 | 50 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.08 | 23.57 | 23.77 | 17.27 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 755.69 | 1,131.13 | 1,117.18 | 863.36 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Revenue
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 85.70% | 81.98% | 82.82% | 79.53% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 312.22 | 281.77 | 130.92 | 26.17 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 41.32% | 24.91% | 11.72% | 3.03% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
EBT Margin
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 236.85 | 215.87 | 95.07 | 18.96 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Net Income
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 191.11 | 450.98 | 518.90 | 433.37 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.22 | 9.59 | 8.92 | 6.89 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 2.04 | 1.64 | 0.69 | 0.13 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.81 | 6.41 | 5.51 | 4.08 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (12.52) | (8.69) | (4.95) | (4.16) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (7.71) | (2.28) | 0.57 | (0.08) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.17 | 13.16 | 12.79 | 12.73 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 104.74 | 117.96 | 125.28 | 125.27 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Shares
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.70 | 9.14 | 21.30 | 52.67 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
PE Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.21 | 1.55 | 1.65 | 0.69 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
PS Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.07 | 1.13 | 1.15 | 0.37 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
PB Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.10 | 2.40 | 2.51 | 1.88 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | — |
EV/Sales
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (3.84) | (10.09) | 39.57 | (162.61) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 504.01 | 756.39 | 690.39 | 511.60 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,311.35) | (1,025.13) | (619.55) | (521.59) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (807.33) | (268.74) | 70.84 | (9.99) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (121.60) | 41.44 | (89.62) | 29.64 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 704.35 | 1,150.30 | 1,048.38 | 1,192.81 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 673.85 | 955.78 | 961.74 | 1,030.73 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,169.65 | 1,552.72 | 1,602.46 | 1,594.57 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.83% | 8.05% | 3.09% | 0.60% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.33% | 10.63% | 8.22% | 3.57% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 24.88% | 15.86% | 6.03% | 1.19% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
HighPeak Energy (HPK) has delivered explosive growth in the Permian Basin, transforming from a modest SPAC merger in 2020 amid oil’s COVID crash into a high-margin producer with revenue surging from $8 million in 2019 to over $1 billion by 2023. This meteoric ramp—fueled by efficient drilling, lean operations (revenue per employee up 1,022% to $22.8 million), and gross margins consistently above 80%—has generated positive free cash flow of $70.8 million in 2024, even as capex eased, signaling maturation and resilience in a volatile sector.
Despite rising debt to $1.05 billion and a 2024 revenue dip, fundamentals scream undervaluation: book value per share compounded at 20%+ CAGR, yet shares trade at compressed multiples (P/E 21x, P/S 1.7x) versus peers, decoupling from steady per-share metrics. ROE and ROIC remain competitive, positioning HPK for deleveraging above $70/barrel oil.
Analysts forecast revenue moderation to $860 million in 2025 amid capex cuts, but high-margin torque could amplify EBITDA 30-40% per $10 oil rally, with FCF positivity persisting and price targets implying up to 135% upside. Low breakevens under $40/barrel and 5-10 years of inventory make HPK a primed contrarian play in shale’s next leg—dive deeper for the full quantitative breakdown.
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